Usual blame game; For me, there are FOUR camps, in the Uhuru succession matrix. This too complicated for Robina - so let me break it down.
Gigiri group - Kenyatta-Moi family - OKA - with their little political experiments under the guidance of Nancy Gitau.
Harambee house group -Matiangi-Kibicho (their cabinet lackeys) - doing their thing - at Harambee hse - hoping for Matiangi-Kagwe combination- the dream of these political neophytes ended in Bonchari - for all intents and purposes. Harambee hse through DCI has reduced governors to DCs - so you can say most governors are under their call and peck. Apart from chiefs, DCS, governors..they also boast a lot of support from CSes, PSes, and other scared gov functionaries
- and maybe 3 Gusii Mps that support Matiangi for weekly stipend - and another 5 for Kibicho for a retainer.
Pangani group - Murathe-Tuju-with handshake crew - their brief is to confuse Raila/ODM - as always they are guaranteed to screw up anything in Pangani - Ruto had to sleep there in 2017 to fix their mess. Murathe is ever drunk - Tuju is mostly sick and petty. Atwolis and PK are in this sorry bunch. Uhuru knows their weakness, with BBI and handshake, this sorry bunch led by Murathe-Atwoli, is designed to fail, spectacularly, from ab initio.
Parliament building group -Political confused wing- Kieleweke who are political mercenaries for hire - for all the camps - and who knows as we approach 2012 have the most to lose as they face public anger and wrath. The rest are salaried either in Pangani or Harambee or have made enough money in Gigiri group not to care about salaries. They have no figurehead but Speaker Muturi could snap this group if he plays ball.
Looking at this matrix of 4 camps - post-Juja/Bonchari/several losses.
1) Matiangi is kaput - he needs to quit politicking and concentrate on his day job - otherwise, he will get fired or kicked to some nondescript ministry. Naive fools think Kenyatta loves them. Slightly less naive than Raila though.
2) Jubilee political wing- Kieleweke - if Jubilee loses to UDA/PEP - will abandon the camp, Uhuru and run to UDA/PEP/New parties. They are the political class with no allegiance. At worst they may adopt even Muturi as their leader.
3) Murather-Tuju handshake crew - If 1) Jubilee loses continues due to association with Raila- and or 2) if COA do not stay BBI orders - Raila will abandon BBI - Uhuru will not have any utility having been rejected by even Kiambu home county. Pangani will undergo deep cleaning - with entire Jubilee crew going home- and new team - to try to forestall the #2 (political wing) - from doing what politicians do - switch camps.
Ultimately the real deal as far as Uhuru succession is in the Gigiri group - led by Gideon, Nancy, and Muhoho - working with feckless maDVD - Weta and Kalonzo - is where to watch. This is the real BBI gameplan....and the plan is for 2nd round contest btw OKA and Ruto - with Raila enticed to back OKA.
So I think it's about to come down
1) COA - stay or not stay orders - will determine the fate of BBI/Handshake - very much doubt Raila will want to wait for COA judgment six months later.
2) Kiambu by-elections - will determine the fate of Jubilee and Kieleweke
If things goes south for Uhuru - he will have two choices - To proceed with the hopeless
Gigigir group -MaDVD/Gideon group minus Mt Kenya people and expose himself to ridicule - or listen to the Majority in Jubilee/Gov - and reconcile with Ruto.
Topic: Finally Kieleweke Want Murathe and Tuju Out-Say their Political Careers At Stake (Read 779 times)