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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: KenyanPlato on October 29, 2020, 10:08:43 PM

Title: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on October 29, 2020, 10:08:43 PM
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Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Nefertiti on October 30, 2020, 07:16:26 AM
I don't get the impression Biden is so popular... deplorables under the radar don't do polls. They live in basement and turn up to vote like roaches. The "blue wall" was making headlines in 2016 and Trump had as dismal chances as today.

My money is on Trump. Hunch. A katikati fool like Noway cannot take a stand so he can ramble on about everyone's record but his own.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on October 30, 2020, 07:56:03 AM
Yeah rethugs are like roaches. Hard to kill them. By the way nairobi used to where roaches went for vacation. Nairobi is nasty
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Nefertiti on October 30, 2020, 08:27:06 AM
Plato do you have ADHD? this inability to focus can't just be drinking problem.

Is Biden winning or not??
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on October 30, 2020, 08:50:02 AM
Plato do you have ADHD? this inability to focus can't just be drinking problem.

Is Biden winning or not??

Of course he is winning but voters are fickle they at the last 5 days break for Trump. In my area Trump is blasting nyeuthis hip hop stations nonstop with Biden tax increase scare

I just bought a membership in a golf course that Biden cronies frequent. I want the federal cheese now
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on October 30, 2020, 09:22:46 AM
11 percent chance Trump wins
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/we-have-a-lot-of-new-polls-but-theres-little-sign-of-the-presidential-race-tightening/
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on October 30, 2020, 11:27:20 PM
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Texas would be just a bonus.  I think Pennsylvania is the key.  Trump loses it and it's over, even if he has Florida in the bag.  Unless he wins Wisconsin, Michigan, AND Minnesota all of which have Biden with comfortable margins.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on October 30, 2020, 11:30:40 PM
Pennsylvania is hard to predict. Too many unknowns.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on October 30, 2020, 11:35:00 PM
Pennsylvania is hard to predict. Too many unknowns.

Like most states, it's purple.  Red and Blue is very misleading.  Most blue states have one or two major urban areas with most of the people.  And a large swathe of sparsely populated rural areas.

Philly and suburbs need to show for Biden with huge margins.   Then he just needs to stay close in the rest of the state.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Nowayhaha on October 30, 2020, 11:39:20 PM
I don't get the impression Biden is so popular... deplorables under the radar don't do polls. They live in basement and turn up to vote like roaches. The "blue wall" was making headlines in 2016 and Trump had as dismal chances as today.

My money is on Trump. Hunch. A katikati fool like Noway cannot take a stand so he can ramble on about everyone's record but his own.

Its good now you have situational awareness on your posts . You cant just post anything and expect it to fly.
Expect me to dig the archives.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on October 30, 2020, 11:54:08 PM
Pennsylvania is hard to predict. Too many unknowns.

Like most states, it's purple.  Red and Blue is very misleading.  Most blue states have one or two major urban areas with most of the people.  And a large swathe of sparsely populated rural areas.

Philly and suburbs need to show for Biden with huge margins.   Then he just needs to stay close in the rest of the state.

If black people refuse to be engaged in white civil war. Democrats lose. Right now nyeuthis in tri-state area are getting force fed propaganda by Trump. The ads are saturating this market
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on October 31, 2020, 12:16:58 AM
Pennsylvania is hard to predict. Too many unknowns.

Like most states, it's purple.  Red and Blue is very misleading.  Most blue states have one or two major urban areas with most of the people.  And a large swathe of sparsely populated rural areas.

Philly and suburbs need to show for Biden with huge margins.   Then he just needs to stay close in the rest of the state.

If black people refuse to be engaged in white civil war. Democrats lose. Right now nyeuthis in tri-state area are getting force fed propaganda by Trump. The ads are saturating this market

Yep.  Democrats are basically liberal whites and minorities.  Most whites, like maybe 60% or more, are conservatives(not necessarily Trumpists) - but overall the conservatives constitute a minority. 

That saturation shows just how important Pennsylvania is.  Trump also has a problem with suburban women, folks he counted on the last time.  Pennsylvania will indeed be interesting and might be the Florida 2000 of 2020.  But there is also a not so remote possibility of Biden winning other unexpected states like Georgia or Texas, that it is also reduced to an afterthought.  But it looks like Pennsylvania is where all the guns are pointed at right now.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Nefertiti on November 01, 2020, 01:48:21 PM
Latinos are majority GoP. Cubans after the horrors of Castro and Maduro will not entertain Kamala or Sanders kind of socialism. Florida and Texas are pro-Trump despite all the phony polls. In 2016 Trump was supposed to lose Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia - they gave him like 10% chance of beating Hillary. Yet he carried Texas by 9 points... you need to get it's Trump who is popular not necessarily conservativism. Socialism is a big sticker for Cubans and significantly some Latinos. 2018 Ted Cruz best Beto O'Rourke by 2 points- because economics don't matter so much outside POTUS and governor.

Fake news and -polls are on steroids this round: the Biden China scandals are as bad as Hillary's emails.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on November 01, 2020, 04:25:02 PM
Trump has lost.  He is now headed to state courts to oppose this thrashing
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on November 01, 2020, 05:50:53 PM
Trump has lost.  He is now headed to state courts to oppose this thrashing

GOP strategy is simple.  Democracy no longer works for them.  Ergo they focus on

1. Undermining the ability of the other side to vote.  This includes gutting voting infrastructure in Democratic areas when they can.  That’s unheard of even in Kenya.

2.  Trying to throw out votes in the areas they know they will lose.  This is happening even before votes are counted.  Another thing not even Kenya sees.

3.  Preventing the votes they could not stop in 1 and 2 from being counted.  Another uniquely American(GOP) trait.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on November 01, 2020, 05:55:50 PM

On February 1st we start the revolution towards SOCIALISM
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on November 01, 2020, 07:10:24 PM
https://nation.africa/kenya/news/diaspora/diaspora-news/-kenyan-born-americans-in-early-voting-for-joe-biden-2727598
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on November 01, 2020, 07:15:56 PM

On February 1st we start the revolution towards SOCIALISM

I still think the path goes through PA.  For Trump, there is no other path.  He has basically lost WI and MI and for whatever strange reason thinks MN will make up for that.  Which is pretty shocking given that his campaign is broke.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on November 02, 2020, 12:23:53 AM
Symone Sanders
Home girl at 29 years is rocking it
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Nefertiti on November 03, 2020, 05:59:44 PM
I don't get the impression Biden is so popular... deplorables under the radar don't do polls. They live in basement and turn up to vote like roaches. The "blue wall" was making headlines in 2016 and Trump had as dismal chances as today.

My money is on Trump. Hunch. A katikati fool like Noway cannot take a stand so he can ramble on about everyone's record but his own.

Its good now you have situational awareness on your posts . You cant just post anything and expect it to fly.
Expect me to dig the archives.

Tell us something about US elections now before they actually happen. But I won't hold my breath.. there is no Pundit MOAS here to parrot so you are mute.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on November 03, 2020, 06:18:38 PM
Robina

Wewe ni kichwa ngoto. You ignore evidence and rant and rant
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: Nefertiti on November 04, 2020, 01:17:58 AM
Robina

Wewe ni kichwa ngoto. You ignore evidence and rant and rant

You are a scutter-brain - ADHD - no stand. What is your prediction for the elections? Ama you wait to be an "expert analyst" after the fact like Noway? I admit I have not bothered to analyze these elections at all - but my HUNCH is Trump's smaller base has the 2016 excitement to nail it again. Biden has a big base but is as boring as Hillary.

Naturally I am only interested to debate people with their own opinions - not empty critics like Noway.
Title: Re: Texas is blue..Florida is Florida
Post by: KenyanPlato on November 04, 2020, 05:30:24 AM
You kichwa maji I predict Biden win by Thursday afternoon.  It will be an ugly win though

https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/03/politics/exit-polls-2020/index.html