Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Pajero on May 05, 2020, 04:55:18 PM
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Raila-Joho/oparanya
Peter Kenneth-Gideon/Mutua/Eugene
Ruto-Sonko/Kiunjuri/Wetangula
Kalonzo-no idea
Mdvd-no idea
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Wetangula - Ken Lusaka and Wangamati will square in Bungoma.
Yes, Raila will most likely go with Joho - Oparanya is waste - because Raila can keep part of his Luhyas with or without him - he comes from a small tribe.
Peter keneth - screwed himself up and is impossible sell in GEMA - people long forget his Gatanga dev record.
Anybody picking Gideon Moi is wasting Bonga points.
GEMA - if they decide to run for it - will pick Matiangi (Gusii) to deputize them. The problem remain who in GEMA can win acceptance. Maybe Equity James Mwangi if he can be convinced to go for it - he has mad GEMA respect.
Ruto definitely picking Mt Kenya candidate - unless we have situation like James Mwangi sweeping GEMA :) - in which case we are going for 2nd round - so become No 2 will be important.
Kalonzo and MaDVD will have to run - they would look silly not to.
Raila-Joho/oparanya
Peter Kenneth-Gideon/Mutua/Eugene
Ruto-Sonko/Kiunjuri/Wetangula
Kalonzo-no idea
Mdvd-no idea
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Kabogo is also rumoured to be harbouring presidential ambitions but is still waiting for the BBI end game.PK and Kabogo will fight for the gema vote.Kabogo they say has the steel.
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Who has seen the anti-Ruto videos the papers are mentioning?
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PORK is serious business - money wise. I think he is going for Kiambu. He is definitely going to taking the system backed Nyoro. Waitutu is dead as dodo. Unless James Mwangi was to cross to politics - I don't see any other GEMA who can galvanize the community enough not to give damn about their debt to Ruto.
Kabogo is also rumoured to be harbouring presidential ambitions but is still waiting for the BBI end game.PK and Kabogo will fight for the gema vote.Kabogo they say has the steel.
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Ruto doesnt seem to have a clear runnng mate.He may have to wait longer but my instincts tells me he may have to settle for someone from western.
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You all cant piece this puzzle together :o, its a little complicated and thats why uhuru and baba want to change constitution to accommodate all their henchmen, if wishes were horses they would have Gideon go for pork then baba prime Minister or vice versa, obviously no way you can have pork and deputy as in current katiba, that will favor ruto immensely, because ruto doesn't have that headache on who will deputize him, raila and uhuru have all to lose,and they know in order to be successful katiba has to change, BUT that AINT gonna happen. Uhuru is leading baba on his drunken route to the bottom of the cesspool.
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Western is too fickle to waste on DPORK. Ruto just has to cut a deal with Wetangula by somehow convincing the popular Ken Lusaka not to run - and also make a similar deal to support Ford-K candidate in Tranzoia - and try go for Bukusu and definitely wangas - tachonis. That is enough of Luhyas. Wetangula badly want to become a governor - he knows national politics is now too much for him...and Ken Lusaka stand btw him and 2nd term - because Ken Lusaka delivered and the new guy has totally failed despite his acturial Alexander Forbes credentials.
He can leave Busia for Raila and Vihiga for MaDVD - and Kakamega will be split - 3 ways.
Ruto has to go for Kikuyu DPORK - not iffs or butts - kikuyu even the RV brigade is huge. So Kiunjuri is still very much the man to beat. The others don't have the clout for serious business.
Ruto has to aim for 25% - RV - carry from Loichooggio to Namanga - as the headstart.
Ruto doesnt seem to have a clear runnng mate.He may have to wait longer but my instincts tells me he may have to settle for someone from western.
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The small matter of Kagwe and losing grip of Jubilee is new spanner in Ruto strategy. He is back to basics. All the other influential folks except Duale are neutral or anti-Ruto. And not just in Central.
Western is too fickle to waste on DPORK. Ruto just has to cut a deal with Wetangula by somehow convincing the popular Ken Lusaka not to run - and also make a similar deal to support Ford-K candidate in Tranzoia - and try go for Bukusu and definitely wangas - tachonis. That is enough of Luhyas. Wetangula badly want to become a governor - he knows national politics is now too much for him...and Ken Lusaka stand btw him and 2nd term - because Ken Lusaka delivered and the new guy has totally failed despite his acturial Alexander Forbes credentials.
He can leave Busia for Raila and Vihiga for MaDVD - and Kakamega will be split - 3 ways.
Ruto has to go for Kikuyu DPORK - not iffs or butts - kikuyu even the RV brigade is huge. So Kiunjuri is still very much the man to beat. The others don't have the clout for serious business.
Ruto has to aim for 25% - RV - carry from Loichooggio to Namanga - as the headstart.
Ruto doesnt seem to have a clear runnng mate.He may have to wait longer but my instincts tells me he may have to settle for someone from western.
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You think announcing COVID-19 deaths is now credentials enough to become PORK. Ruto has Jubilee intact. And Raila is just a scarecrow who as always is hinging his support on Uhuru/kibaki/moi etc - and when left high and dry - he will last-minute try to scramble anything - except this time MaDVD and Kalonzo cannot play ball.
Ruto is building his own support. That is a reliable base. Top up and deal-making will be done later. This is time to fatten the bull and protect it from being stolen. The cattle market day will happen in 2022.
The small matter of Kagwe and losing grip of Jubilee is new spanner in Ruto strategy. He is back to basics. All the other influential folks except Duale are neutral or anti-Ruto. And not just in Central.
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Well it do or die from anointed successor - thanks to the old Raila you despise and underrate.
We will see soon enough how URP 2 and NARC 2 fare.
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The oldman is not to be underrated. Neither is Uhuru. Let see what Ruto next move will be.
Well it do or die from anointed successor - thanks to the old Raila you despise and underrate.
We will see soon enough how URP 2 and NARC 2 fare.