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Saying I told you so isn't a strong person's asset. When issue such a caution to a child playing with a razor blade you often get into the house and pull out the first aid kit & prepare for the bleeding.
I recall the experience I had with my brother KM. I picked up the signals first: we had been shafted by Kibaki in 2003 though the full extent of the bila vaseline act would take come out in 2004. KM refused to admit and he wasn't alone. There ensued a civil war between us who were cheering LDP. I was a late convert to opposition having remained true to KANU & was the last soldier to emerge from the forest. I transferred my all to LDP not least because Mudavadi and other wild animals were not in.
On a visit to Kenya I practically ran over Kibaki huddled with Mudavadi. Shortly after I met Raila driving a splitting new range rover with Mudavadi in the passenger side. I knew Kibaki was preparing to screw Raila.
It's all history.
My advice to Ruto is for him to count his losses. The only way to defeat Uhuru is to let Uhuru defeat himself. If I were Ruto I'd quit & watch Uhuru try to shaft Raila a head of schedule.
Like I wrote before i see an 2007 like alliance in the making. As with 2007 the traitors will be Kalonzo & Mudavadi
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I think you have written this severally.When we get to August 23rd 2022 we will know whether Ruto strategy worked or not.So far so good.
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Ok. I didn't realize you're still in denial. Good luck
I think you have written this severally.When we get to August 23rd 2022 we will know whether Ruto strategy worked or not.So far so good.
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Ok. I didn't realize you're still in denial. Good luck
Long time brother Omoro, i wondered where you went almost started a thread asking about your whereabouts after the other nipate, funniest stuff is are you related to Robina?? He writes long essays just like you. However i can see you haven't mastered politics well very unfortunate
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Ruto is not quitting the DPORK. Why would you slit your throat as a strategy?
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Doesn't make sense does it. Ruto still has his "50" percent of gov intact - they may not be as powerful as Uhuru - but they are still useful.
Ruto is not quitting the DPORK. Why would you slit your throat as a strategy?
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it's going mostly as we predicted. Pundit once again misses the target by a mile. Spin works up until it runs headfast into reality
Ruto fixed: Uhuru to remain after 2022
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I find most political analysts or pundits in kenya a bit dumb - but Manyora is the dumbest of them all - I never waste my time on him. Uhuru to remain in 2022 - how? Will he remove the term limits - nope - end of story. Will Uhuru become a glorified Duale for President Raila - :) = that got to be the funniest joke in Sub-Sahara Africa.
it's going mostly as we predicted. Pundit once again misses the target by a mile. Spin works up until it runs headfast into reality
Ruto fixed: Uhuru to remain after 2022
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Ok. I didn't realize you're still in denial. Good luck
Long time brother Omoro, i wondered where you went almost started a thread asking about your whereabouts after the other nipate, funniest stuff is are you related to Robina?? He writes long essays just like you. However i can see you haven't mastered politics well very unfortunate
Oh am sorry... is there something I missed? Most of the bitter Kikuyus backing Ruto will swallow really hard and rejoin Uhuru. Njuri Ncheke calm down, you ain't alone in denial. Chapter closed - Omollo the Oracle has spoken.
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yes Manyora is dumb as a rock. Stuff he says we knew 2 years ago. But he is right about Uhuru slicing out Ruto from Mt Kenya.
You Pundit are absolutely wrong about GEMA sticking out with Ruto or Raila being DOA there. "Selling Raila in GEMA is selling pork in Saudi Arabia" - this is pure spin and hubris. GEMA have never voted for Ruto either. Raila has the big fish while Ruto has the omena. Handshake team will be like NARC - where Uhuru or PK or some GEMA will be touted as Executive PM under Raila. That will be enough to upstage Ruto - cause Raila will get a slice of Mt Kenya, plus his big non-GEMA lead, plus GoK.
BBI 2 has been messed up by C19 and it very unlikely to succeed. However it is not necessary to beat Ruto. Your man is now party-less... shipping out under present hostile climate is tempting fate.
I find most political analysts or pundits in kenya a bit dumb - but Manyora is the dumbest of them all - I never waste my time on him. Uhuru to remain in 2022 - how? Will he remove the term limits - nope - end of story. Will Uhuru become a glorified Duale for President Raila - :) = that got to be the funniest joke in Sub-Sahara Africa.
it's going mostly as we predicted. Pundit once again misses the target by a mile. Spin works up until it runs headfast into reality
Ruto fixed: Uhuru to remain after 2022
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By the way Pundit - Ruto has been avoiding direct battle with Uhuru for mortal fear of backlash in the mountain. This strategy has flopped - now he is going for the jugular. I don't see him winning the propaganda war - here's why
1. Uhuru is GEMA and he is Kalenjin. Tribalism wins - no-brainer
2. Raila and ODM are almost as good as Ruto in propaganda. This largely makes up for Uhuru & Murathe incompetence
3. Hitting out at Mama Ngina and Kenyatta empire - when did Kenyans care about graft or integrity? Ruto is Mr Sleaze himself and his Kalenjin couldn't be bothered
4. PEV is a raw wound that can be ripped open very easily - and Ruto & Uhuru were the warlords breathing fire all over. Those Kiambaa videos will bury Ruto - as his pretend love for GEMA get exposed
I suspect PEV card is being reserved for the 11th hour to finish off Ruto
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Sound like GEMA are ready cut their nose to spite their face. So this plan is very good for Raila. And what is in for GEMA - PM position? How does that help them? Ruto is offering the same 50-50 deal with DPORK - and return to power in 10yrs or earlier if Ruto dies. Ruto at least is trustworthy and has no giant ax-like Raila. GEMA are happy in Jubilee.
You see your theories are very funny.
yes Manyora is dumb as a rock. Stuff he says we knew 2 years ago. But he is right about Uhuru slicing out Ruto from Mt Kenya.
You Pundit are absolutely wrong about GEMA sticking out with Ruto or Raila being DOA there. "Selling Raila in GEMA is selling pork in Saudi Arabia" - this is pure spin and hubris. GEMA have never voted for Ruto either. Raila has the big fish while Ruto has the omena. Handshake team will be like NARC - where Uhuru or PK or some GEMA will be touted as Executive PM under Raila. That will be enough to upstage Ruto - cause Raila will get a slice of Mt Kenya, plus his big non-GEMA lead, plus GoK.
BBI 2 has been messed up by C19 and it very unlikely to succeed. However it is not necessary to beat Ruto. Your man is now party-less... shipping out under present hostile climate is tempting fate.
I find most political analysts or pundits in kenya a bit dumb - but Manyora is the dumbest of them all - I never waste my time on him. Uhuru to remain in 2022 - how? Will he remove the term limits - nope - end of story. Will Uhuru become a glorified Duale for President Raila - :) = that got to be the funniest joke in Sub-Sahara Africa.
it's going mostly as we predicted. Pundit once again misses the target by a mile. Spin works up until it runs headfast into reality
Ruto fixed: Uhuru to remain after 2022
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What is there to gain by fighting Uhuru. Nothing. Ruto is not an idiot like Raila.
As long as the constitution remains unchanged - Raila is going nowhere.
This is just the redux of Raila in 2002 - with Moi enjoying him.
If Uhuru loves Raila - let him purge Ruto people in the cabinet - and put Raila people.
Raila is just being played 10-NIL by GEMA - who are busy stashing their bank accounts - while the idiot as always is dreaming of Statehouse.
As we get to 2022 - it will be very clear - who is getting played. The majority of GEMA MPS and leaders are not stupid to stick with Ruto.
Politics is not like designing a website - What you see is what you get - that naive people like you and Raila can hack - there is a lot more intrigues, tricks, and subterfuge.
By the way Pundit - Ruto has been avoiding direct battle with Uhuru for mortal fear of backlash in the mountain. This strategy has flopped - now he is going for the jugular. I don't see him winning the propaganda war - here's why
1. Uhuru is GEMA and he is Kalenjin. Tribalism wins - no-brainer
2. Raila and ODM are almost as good as Ruto in propaganda. This largely makes up for Uhuru & Murathe incompetence
3. Hitting out at Mama Ngina and Kenyatta empire - when did Kenyans care about graft or integrity? Ruto is Mr Sleaze himself and his Kalenjin couldn't be bothered
4. PEV is a raw wound that can be ripped open very easily - and Ruto & Uhuru were the warlords breathing fire all over. Those Kiambaa videos will bury Ruto - as his pretend love for GEMA get exposed
I suspect PEV card is being reserved for the 11th hour to finish off Ruto
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I need to clap for you both punda and robina, how you can sustain an endless duet baffles me, and that's one reason i joined this nipate. That aside Robina has managed to defeat Punda by luring him on long essays, punda is very good for short straight battles but engaged on long rumbling essays he easily loses his cool and focus... But apart from that most
Reasoning from robina and the like is that Ruto is trapped without an exit. Ruto is far ahead in the mental section here all his foes combined come short, Ruto has managed to bait all his enemies into exposing themselves and wanking dry, a perfect stalinist move just like what Kim jong Un has done in N.korea,his enemies were celebrating his death now he knows them all. Since am not good at inshas i leave robina with a question, have you considered the options Ruto has? I will educate you if you dont
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I find most political analysts or pundits in kenya a bit dumb - but Manyora is the dumbest of them all - I never waste my time on him. Uhuru to remain in 2022 - how? Will he remove the term limits - nope - end of story. Will Uhuru become a glorified Duale for President Raila - :) = that got to be the funniest joke in Sub-Sahara Africa.
it's going mostly as we predicted. Pundit once again misses the target by a mile. Spin works up until it runs headfast into reality
Ruto fixed: Uhuru to remain after 2022
These are the intellectuals. Manyiora is a bit like a polished version of Ngatia wa Scandinavia. He shares some known facts, and then some wild conclusions. He also brings in Kalonzo, Mudavadi without mention without mentioning how their base would be captured. Though I suspect Luhyas long moved into Raila column with/without their so-called leaders. Kalonzo may also be facing serious challenges in ukambani.
It's true that kamwana does not want to continue with the hustler. Beyond that, things like what or who he wants instead, it's just too complicated to say without relying heavily on conjecture.
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I find most political analysts or pundits in kenya a bit dumb - but Manyora is the dumbest of them all - I never waste my time on him. Uhuru to remain in 2022 - how? Will he remove the term limits - nope - end of story. Will Uhuru become a glorified Duale for President Raila - :) = that got to be the funniest joke in Sub-Sahara Africa.
it's going mostly as we predicted. Pundit once again misses the target by a mile. Spin works up until it runs headfast into reality
Ruto fixed: Uhuru to remain after 2022
These are the intellectuals. Manyiora is a bit like a polished version of Ngatia wa Scandinavia. He shares some known facts, and then some wild conclusions. He also brings in Kalonzo, Mudavadi without mention without mentioning how their base would be captured. Though I suspect Luhyas long moved into Raila column with/without their so-called leaders. Kalonzo may also be facing serious challenges in ukambani.
It's true that kamwana does not want to continue with the hustler. Beyond that, things like what or who he wants instead, it's just too complicated to say without relying heavily on conjecture.
Yes Manyora is a useless dimwit. I suspect these folks read blogs and then posture - plagiarism and intellectual dishonesty. Only Ndii and Ngunyi have abit of grey cells - but they are too compromised (Ngunyi) or jaundiced (Ndii) to do honest analysis.
Reality: Baba has a big headway in non-GEMA over Mobutu. Even in Mt Kenya Pundit's stories are just that - stories and conjecture. Baba is a sure hand in about 35% of the the country - Luo, Luhya, Gusii, Mijikenda, MATUSA and huge swathes of NFD.
In Ukambani Kalonzo cannot show any winning formula - the governors are with Raila and can slice off a good chunk. Although Kalonzo is still wishy-washy his actions do not indicate any desire to toil in the opposition or hang with Ruto.
Places like Gusii Ruto is DOA unless he can miraculously rope in Matiang'i, Ongeri, etc - dyed in the wool Uhuru diehards.
Western Ruto has Barasa, Echesa and Khalwale :) - against Oparanya and all the governors and senators back Raila. Raila scored 95% of Luhya in 2017.
NFD - Raila got a good chunk I think 40%. But the 60% Jubilee is not all with Ruto. People like Yusuf Haji, Ali Roba, Ukur Yatani are the heavy punchers and are clearly pro-Baba.
Maa you see ole Lenkus and ole Kinas - even ole Tunai long deserted the hustler. Don't even mention Tobiko and Mau poisoned chalice.
In Coast Ruto has Jumwa and Jicho Pevu :D - against Joho, Kingi, Samboja and the shebang.
If Pundit could just lower the gigantic blinkers for a sec- which is a big ask - Raila has a runaway lead over the hustler.
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Your Uhurutopia and they are playing Raila is up is down theory. All the GEMA senators, governors and creme backing Raila are equally not stupid and they are more influencial than Kuria and Nyoro. We are still waiting for you to revise your pseudo-science - how Kareke Mbiuki will infleunce Tharaka over Muthomi Njuki. You can't wind reality like a majira clock - tribalism will not end because Ruto your Messiah is the candidate.
Raila is DOA in GEMA... what's your evidence for this spin? Have GEMA ever voted for Kalenjin? Ohoo Ruto is special. You remind me of pre-2007 days when we were told by Kibaki crew that Kenya cannot vote Raila and Luo. Hehe - how did that go? Next thing ballots were being stuffed in Nithi like miraa :) - to beat the unelectable Raila. Ruto and Tangatanga propaganda is not equal to ground support. All those La Mada comedies, Uhuru being heckled and chiefs vetting folks - Uhuru is donating cash to the UK :D :D - all that nonsense and spin tell us the truth - Ruto is scared shitless of taking on Uhuru in Mt Kenya. Why is he scared? Why sing Uhuru Nyayo if he has the ground? Let see now how he herds his sheep to URP 2 - he will wind up with 15% Kalenjin and pastoralists. Naturally you tell us it Murathe & Tuju kicking him out of Jubilee not Uhuru.
About Ruto is honest & reliable :) - this joke we dispensed a while back - but seem you are back to all straws. Ruto is a world-class backstabber. From playing Chesire and Saina in Eldoret, Mutula in Kanu, riding the Moi tailcoats then stab them in the back, pocket Kibaki pocket change and falsely indict Raila over Mau and ICC, pull Jubilee mlolongo in hare-brained strategy to upstage Uhuru - the rap sheet is a mile long. Now of course he is Guinness Book looter who spread the gospel of sleaze faster than COVID-19 :D
Of course there is the small matter of PEV and genocidal Kalenjin. Why should GEMA and Kikuyu back an all but convicted butcher? If they fall out with Raila as PORK - they merely get fired or short-changed. If they fall out with Ruto - they are hostage in RV - their lives and property are mere karata in Kalenjin. Nothing in GEMA interest or history makes Ruto a safer bet than Raila. Uhuru is not insane and is doing what is good for GEMA. Unlike the Nyoro and Kuria bought for 30 pieces of silver.
What is there to gain by fighting Uhuru. Nothing. Ruto is not an idiot like Raila.
As long as the constitution remains unchanged - Raila is going nowhere.
This is just the redux of Raila in 2002 - with Moi enjoying him.
If Uhuru loves Raila - let him purge Ruto people in the cabinet - and put Raila people.
Raila is just being played 10-NIL by GEMA - who are busy stashing their bank accounts - while the idiot as always is dreaming of Statehouse.
As we get to 2022 - it will be very clear - who is getting played. The majority of GEMA MPS and leaders are not stupid to stick with Ruto.
Politics is not like designing a website - What you see is what you get - that naive people like you and Raila can hack - there is a lot more intrigues, tricks, and subterfuge.
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So your theory is Uhuru will endorse Raila and Raila will win on the back of GEMA and Non-GEMA. or Pajero's GEMA will pull a GEMA rabbit and back him? Or what exactly are you talking about.
The constitution looks increasingly difficult to change.
So we are back to exchanging only two positions - PORK and DPORK (although Uhuru has rained on DPORK position).
My position remain as unchanged. GEMA will back Ruto with or without Uhuru.
Initially, I was imagining Ruto getting the backing of Uhuru to intercede on his behalf - but the opposite is happening.
Uhuru can get some GEMA back if he tries the Pajero option - find some GEMA and prop him up. Raila OPTION is :D :D :D :D :D :D Kicheko biggest.
Your Uhurutopia and they are playing Raila is up is down theory. All the GEMA senators, governors and creme backing Raila are equally not stupid and they are more influencial than Kuria and Nyoro. We are still waiting for you to revise your pseudo-science - how Kareke Mbiuki will infleunce Tharaka over Muthomi Njuki. You can't wind reality like a majira clock - tribalism will not end because Ruto your Messiah is the candidate.
Raila is DOA in GEMA... what's your evidence for this spin? Have GEMA ever voted for Kalenjin? Ohoo Ruto is special. You remind me of pre-2007 days when we were told by Kibaki crew that Kenya cannot vote Raila and Luo. Hehe - how did that go? Next thing ballots were being stuffed in Nithi like miraa :) - to beat the unelectable Raila. Ruto and Tangatanga propaganda is not equal to ground support. All those La Mada comedies, Uhuru being heckled and chiefs vetting folks - Uhuru is donating cash to the UK :D :D - all that nonsense and spin tell us the truth - Ruto is scared shitless of taking on Uhuru in Mt Kenya. Why is he scared? Why sing Uhuru Nyayo if he has the ground? Let see now how he herds his sheep to URP 2 - he will wind up with 15% Kalenjin and pastoralists. Naturally you tell us it Murathe & Tuju kicking him out of Jubilee not Uhuru.
About Ruto is honest & reliable :) - this joke we dispensed a while back - but seem you are back to all straws. Ruto is a world-class backstabber. From playing Chesire and Saina in Eldoret, Mutula in Kanu, riding the Moi tailcoats then stab them in the back, pocket Kibaki pocket change and falsely indict Raila over Mau and ICC, pull Jubilee mlolongo in hare-brained strategy to upstage Uhuru - the rap sheet is a mile long. Now of course he is Guinness Book looter who spread the gospel of sleaze faster than COVID-19 :D
Of course there is the small matter of PEV and genocidal Kalenjin. Why should GEMA and Kikuyu back an all but convicted butcher? If they fall out with Raila as PORK - they merely get fired or short-changed. If they fall out with Ruto - they are hostage in RV - their lives and property are mere karata in Kalenjin. Nothing in GEMA interest or history makes Ruto a safer bet than Raila. Uhuru is not insane and is doing what is good for GEMA. Unlike the Nyoro and Kuria bought for 30 pieces of silver.
What is there to gain by fighting Uhuru. Nothing. Ruto is not an idiot like Raila.
As long as the constitution remains unchanged - Raila is going nowhere.
This is just the redux of Raila in 2002 - with Moi enjoying him.
If Uhuru loves Raila - let him purge Ruto people in the cabinet - and put Raila people.
Raila is just being played 10-NIL by GEMA - who are busy stashing their bank accounts - while the idiot as always is dreaming of Statehouse.
As we get to 2022 - it will be very clear - who is getting played. The majority of GEMA MPS and leaders are not stupid to stick with Ruto.
Politics is not like designing a website - What you see is what you get - that naive people like you and Raila can hack - there is a lot more intrigues, tricks, and subterfuge.
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Uhuru has been lining up GEMA bigwigs behind Raila - so it not a theory. Uhuru will land Raila a big chunk of GEMA. He has deliberately propped Kagwes and Munyas - we are yet to see if he will prop PK as well. The ultimate card remains hidden under the table but it clear as daylight that Ruto is new kîmûndû. :)
Ruto with his omena - Nyoro and Kuria :) - will wind up like Raila 2013 in Kalenjin. Kuria or Ngirici is no different from Kosgey or Sirma. Of course it pure spin that Raila is DOA or Ruto is shoe in. Both got there by riding on Kibaki and Uhuru - then Raila "Njamba" got demonized after falling out with Kibaki. Now it Ruto turn to be demonized - I hear there are dirty videos on social media from weekend? - it going like clockwork. Sorry to burst your bubble but Ruto is not special nor immune to demonization. Kiambaa videos will shred him to pieces - he will be down to Raila 2% - when they are done with him.
You are right about BBI 2 being torpedoed by COVID. But that is unnecessary to hang Ruto. Already the bloke is being rendered party-less. He need to pull the UDM-to-URP miracle :D - herd GEMA and Jumwas to Tangatanga Party - before you sober up as he poll 15% like 2012.
So your theory is Uhuru will endorse Raila and Raila will win on the back of GEMA and Non-GEMA. or Pajero's GEMA will pull a GEMA rabbit and back him? Or what exactly are you talking about.
The constitution looks increasingly difficult to change.
So we are back to exchanging only two positions - PORK and DPORK (although Uhuru has rained on DPORK position).
My position remain as unchanged. GEMA will back Ruto with or without Uhuru.
Initially, I was imagining Ruto getting the backing of Uhuru to intercede on his behalf - but the opposite is happening.
Uhuru can get some GEMA back if he tries the Pajero option - find some GEMA and prop him up. Raila OPTION is :D :D :D :D :D :D Kicheko biggest.
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Pundit so is Ruto still running with Kiunjuri as DPORK? The bloke is MIA as Kagwe hog the airwaves. Or is he waiting for Uhuru to endorse him :) - I doubt Ruto is delusional like you.
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I need to clap for you both punda and robina, how you can sustain an endless duet baffles me, and that's one reason i joined this nipate. That aside Robina has managed to defeat Punda by luring him on long essays, punda is very good for short straight battles but engaged on long rumbling essays he easily loses his cool and focus... But apart from that most
Reasoning from robina and the like is that Ruto is trapped without an exit. Ruto is far ahead in the mental section here all his foes combined come short, Ruto has managed to bait all his enemies into exposing themselves and wanking dry, a perfect stalinist move just like what Kim jong Un has done in N.korea,his enemies were celebrating his death now he knows them all. Since am not good at inshas i leave robina with a question, have you considered the options Ruto has? I will educate you if you dont
duhh it is called debating - welcome to freedom. :D
Do educate us on Ruto's "options." I doubt your spin is any better than Pundit's. He could as well shelf his ambitions to back Raila or anyone else - so long as he does not get the top job am fine. I am not so much pro-Raila as anti-Ruto. The snake in the garden.
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If Uhuru convinces GEMA to back Raila - it's over for Ruto. There is not iffs. But it's not happening. You think Uhuru hates Ruto so much he will do everything to spite or block him from DPORK. That he will forget he is spitting himself. Raila is MAD candidate for both Uhuru and Ruto.
Talk of cutting your nose to spite at your face.
Uhuru has been lining up GEMA bigwigs behind Raila - so it not a theory. Uhuru will land Raila a big chunk of GEMA. He has deliberately propped Kagwes and Munyas - we are yet to see if he will prop PK as well. The ultimate card remains hidden under the table but it clear as daylight that Ruto is new kîmûndû. :)
Ruto with his omena - Nyoro and Kuria :) - will wind up like Raila 2013 in Kalenjin. Kuria or Ngirici is no different from Kosgey or Sirma. Of course it pure spin that Raila is DOA or Ruto is shoe in. Both got there by riding on Kibaki and Uhuru - then Raila "Njamba" got demonized after falling out with Kibaki. Now it Ruto turn to be demonized - I hear there are dirty videos on social media from weekend? - it going like clockwork. Sorry to burst your bubble but Ruto is not special nor immune to demonization. Kiambaa videos will shred him to pieces - he will be down to Raila 2% - when they are done with him.
You are right about BBI 2 being torpedoed by COVID. But that is unnecessary to hang Ruto. Already the bloke is being rendered party-less. He need to pull the UDM-to-URP miracle :D - herd GEMA and Jumwas to Tangatanga Party - before you sober up as he poll 15% like 2012.
So your theory is Uhuru will endorse Raila and Raila will win on the back of GEMA and Non-GEMA. or Pajero's GEMA will pull a GEMA rabbit and back him? Or what exactly are you talking about.
The constitution looks increasingly difficult to change.
So we are back to exchanging only two positions - PORK and DPORK (although Uhuru has rained on DPORK position).
My position remain as unchanged. GEMA will back Ruto with or without Uhuru.
Initially, I was imagining Ruto getting the backing of Uhuru to intercede on his behalf - but the opposite is happening.
Uhuru can get some GEMA back if he tries the Pajero option - find some GEMA and prop him up. Raila OPTION is :D :D :D :D :D :D Kicheko biggest.
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Uhuru honeymoon will end in 2021. Mid 2021 - election is one year. The gloves will be so off - and uhuru will be officially lameduck. Let us see who survive this COVID-19 - and then we can go 2021 when everyone interested in politics will out there.
To fight Uhuru whose is PORK takes Ruto like patience, brains and strategy. You don't go rushing headlong.
Pundit so is Ruto still running with Kiunjuri as DPORK? The bloke is MIA as Kagwe hog the airwaves. Or is he waiting for Uhuru to endorse him :) - I doubt Ruto is delusional like you.
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I dont know why you people keep debating about 2022.Neither Raila nor Ruto will see the Gema vote.They will each hang separately.
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That more plausible theory than Robina. Ruto will get GEMA vote - they are keen to payback. GEMA don't have the time to generate a candidate who'd be acceptable even within GEMA.
I dont know why you people keep debating about 2022.Neither Raila nor Ruto will see the Gema vote.They will each hang separately.
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🤣🤣 I missed that about being related to Robina. I like her. She's smart.
Ok. I didn't realize you're still in denial. Good luck
Long time brother Omoro, i wondered where you went almost started a thread asking about your whereabouts after the other nipate, funniest stuff is are you related to Robina?? He writes long essays just like you. However i can see you haven't mastered politics well very unfortunate
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First Ruto has to know his enemy. Then either destroy him or make peace. So far he's pursued a scorched earth tactic- attacking anybody he considers an obstacle and in the process getting bogged down in skirmishes that have opened him to destruction.
Secondly he must recognize that it's not about power for Kenyatta. It's about self preservation and a chance to get a stab at power in future. As of now Raila or even hapless MDVD looks more assuring to the Kenyattas.
3rd he must understand that the Kikuyu Intelligentsia despise their riff raff. They have no time for them. They are there to vote or appear to vote as instructed. Cultivating their support is directly threatening the power structure Jomo set up after independence.
Roadblocks:
Like I predicted, Ruto will strike a deal with Raila. It is inevitable because Uhuru isn't Mama Ngina to keep a deal. He'll be tempted to follow the hawkish and rejectionists in his camp. They'll try to do a Kibaki.
That said, I can't see him winning. He's made some serious mistakes.
Sound like GEMA are ready cut their nose to spite their face. So this plan is very good for Raila. And what is in for GEMA - PM position? How does
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GEMA are btw a hard place and a rock. This time power has to leave the Mountain. They have two choice unless someone get assisinated. They either choose Raila or Ruto. The people understand this very well. A few people around Uhuru are so scared of losing power they don't give a damn. They are the most dangerous going forward because they know if power leave - then it will be tough 10yrs to get it back or maybe longer if demographics changes. They would wish Uhuru was granted a third term somehow.
But the reality - the choice for 2022 is clear...Raila or Ruto.
First Ruto has to know his enemy. Then either destroy him or make peace. So far he's pursued a scorched earth tactic- attacking anybody he considers an obstacle and in the process getting bogged down in skirmishes that have opened him to destruction.
Secondly he must recognize that it's not about power for Kenyatta. It's about self preservation and a chance to get a stab at power in future. As of now Raila or even hapless MDVD looks more assuring to the Kenyattas.
3rd he must understand that the Kikuyu Intelligentsia despise their riff raff. They have no time for them. They are there to vote or appear to vote as instructed. Cultivating their support is directly threatening the power structure Jomo set up after independence.
Roadblocks:
Like I predicted, Ruto will strike a deal with Raila. It is inevitable because Uhuru isn't Mama Ngina to keep a deal. He'll be tempted to follow the hawkish and rejectionists in his camp. They'll try to do a Kibaki.
That said, I can't see him winning. He's made some serious mistakes.
Sound like GEMA are ready cut their nose to spite their face. So this plan is very good for Raila. And what is in for GEMA - PM position? How does
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Pundit & Omollo: Uhuru and the GEMA elite know their choices and have chosen Raila. They are busy tagging along the masses and they have enough tools to pull it off. I don’t see a Raila-Ruto alliance because there is little time and circumstance for Kenyatta to pull a BBI rabbit. The stars are lined up for Raila and he is not stupid to mess it up. Expect Raila to bend over backwards for Uhuru and GEMA including ignore the looting, tribal appointments, stupidity like taking over Nairobi, etc- and ultimately sign a 50-50 MOU which he won’t keep.
This is Kenya so after 2022, expect usual betrayal and bickering with friends and foes switching places exactly as now. Pundit’s story about Ruto or the Kalenjin being more trustworthy is not fooling anyone on the mountain. Raila’s advanced years and the RV geopolitics favor a partnership with Raila not Ruto.
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We shall see :) - maybe this time GEMA-Luo union will last longer than 2yrs. It normally hasn't lasted that long. Jaramogi-Kenyatta fell out 3yrs. Jaramogi-Matiba 1yr. Raila-Kibaki last 2yrs. Ruto and GEMa have been in the union for many years - just like Moi - Kenyatta lasted many years - and so did Moi-Kibaki. What is important is for Raila and GEMA to learn loyalty and respect in any such coalition - otherwise, it become a destabilizing force.
Pundit & Omollo: Uhuru and the GEMA elite know their choices and have chosen Raila. They are busy tagging along the masses and they have enough tools to pull it off. I don’t see a Raila-Ruto alliance because there is little time and circumstance for Kenyatta to pull a BBI rabbit. The stars are lined up for Raila and he is not stupid to mess it up. Expect Raila to bend over backwards for Uhuru and GEMA including ignore the looting, tribal appointments, stupidity like taking over Nairobi, etc- and ultimately sign a 50-50 MOU which he won’t keep.
This is Kenya so after 2022, expect usual betrayal and bickering with friends and foes switching places exactly as now. Pundit’s story about Ruto or the Kalenjin being more trustworthy is not fooling anyone on the mountain. Raila’s advanced years and the RV geopolitics favor a partnership with Raila not Ruto.
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Luos don’t murder folks when shit hit the fan. They merely block roads, burn tyres and loot kiosks. Kalenjin-Luo alliance of course has the worst record: Moi refuse Jaramogi to be Ag PORK for mere single day as his dying wish :D - Moi betray Raila after 6 months merger - Ruto sabotage Raila by falsely indicting him for ICC and Mau. That Raila-Ruto lasted few days before Ruto started demanding 5 powerful cabinet posts.
Only reason Uhuru/GEMA tolerated Ruto 5years is 50%+1 .. the real test is the ZERO DAYS Jubilee lasted after 2nd swearing in :D 8)
With 50%+1 insular GEMA has better leverage due to the fierce non-GEMA rivalry. That’s how lame Kibaki then dumb Uhuru sneaked in. Even now Raila and Ruto would rather Uhuru stay on than let the other win.
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Sometimes you get ahead of yourself. Jubilee still very much intact. We still have our 50-50 - in the cabinet, in parastatals, ambassadors and shebang - including in parliament. It may not be as equal as in Jubilee 1.0 when Ruto basically was running the show - but it's still a pretty good deal.
As for Raila-Ruto or Kalenjin-Luo - agreed - no synergy. The Odinga are very hard to work with. Moi even tried rehabilitating Jaramogi but gave up.
If Uhuru and GEMA are willing to carry the monkey on their bank - who will disagree? Uhuru and GEMA are in a BIG debate over that. As for RV - Land - we are hosting 1M kikuyus in diaspora in our ancestral lands thanks to Jomo Kenyatta land grab - so that is big issues for Kalenjin. Kalenjin agreed with Kikuyus to bury the hatchet, share power and if Uhuru wants war - he surely will get one. He is surely asking for another PEV if he was to listen to Marathas.
Luos don’t murder folks when shit hit the fan. They merely block roads, burn tyres and loot kiosks. Kalenjin-Luo alliance of course has the worst record: Moi refuse Jaramogi to be Ag PORK for mere single day as his dying wish :D - Moi betray Raila after 6 months merger - Ruto sabotage Raila by falsely indicting him for ICC and Mau. That Raila-Ruto lasted few days before Ruto started demanding 5 powerful cabinet posts.
Only reason Uhuru/GEMA tolerated Ruto 5years is 50%+1 .. the real test is the ZERO DAYS Jubilee lasted after 2nd swearing in :D 8)
With 50%+1 insular GEMA has better leverage due to the fierce non-GEMA rivalry. That’s how lame Kibaki then dumb Uhuru sneaked in. Even now Raila and Ruto would rather Uhuru stay on than let the other win.
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Uhuru knows very well what is at stake should he double deal Ruto, but what he doesn't know is the magnitude of reaction in that event, for the first time mt. Kenya would also burn his properties would suffer as they would be ransacked by GEMA especially kikuyu masses. The masssea are for Ruto simple and clear, Am quite surprised that Robina and Omollo are counting on the so called GEMA elite instead of the masses. Have said many times GEMA dont have the same mentality as luos where you can just lump them together and sell them like potatoes in sacks to highest bidder, for Raira to even think the remotest chance for him to stand would be to pick a GEMA running mate, that by itself would be the most minimum to be even considered, i see raira been played and Uhuru could be trying to play them both and sneak in another Kikuyu. Uhuru however is not that intelligent and any miscalculation will lead to the end of Kenyattas hegemony
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Ruto MOU with Uhuru was 2013-2032. That is dead.
Power-sharing or consultation- dead.
The CS’s or parastatal and ambassador are retained tactically in GoK so Ruto has something to lose. It also deny him underdog or outsider card. I see nothing resembling 50-50 when Uhuru rule and eat alone or with Raila and Matiang’i - while the entire machinery has been mobilized against Ruto. DPORK is mere VP shell like Saitoti or Kibaki in Jubilee 2.0
Sometimes you get ahead of yourself. Jubilee still very much intact. We still have our 50-50 - in the cabinet, in parastatals, ambassadors and shebang - including in parliament. It may not be as equal as in Jubilee 1.0 when Ruto basically was running the show - but it's still a pretty good deal.
As for Raila-Ruto or Kalenjin-Luo - agreed - no synergy. The Odinga are very hard to work with. Moi even tried rehabilitating Jaramogi but gave up.
If Uhuru and GEMA are willing to carry the monkey on their bank - who will disagree? Uhuru and GEMA are in a BIG debate over that. As for RV - Land - we are hosting 1M kikuyus in diaspora in our ancestral lands thanks to Jomo Kenyatta land grab - so that is big issues for Kalenjin. Kalenjin agreed with Kikuyus to bury the hatchet, share power and if Uhuru wants war - he surely will get one. He is surely asking for another PEV if he was to listen to Marathas.
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Ruto has Murkomen, Kihika, Duale, Washiali and GEMA mlolongo MPs. It this pyrrhic victory that rattled GEMA elite in the first place. He should have stayed lean and meek and trust Uhuru to keep his word - as he moronically lectures Raila should have done with Kibaki.
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Kalonzo tried that before - he still has 20mps like he had 10yrs ago. GEMA elite has to accept to lose power. Raila in my view is a scarecrow they are using to threaten Ruto with. Ruto can easily pull the plug by endorsing Raila :) even just for the fun of it.
Ruto has Murkomen, Kihika, Duale, Washiali and GEMA mlolongo MPs. It this pyrrhic victory that rattled GEMA elite in the first place. He should have stayed lean and meek and trust Uhuru to keep his word - as he moronically lectures Raila should have done with Kibaki.
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Welcome to Robina's brain-picking daily routine. Yes I think the problem is Uhuru has to explain to Gema what is plan is - 1) if this Raila - I think no boarding will happen - and I also doubt Uhuru can endorse Raila 2) If it's another Kikuyu - then depending on who - GEMA might listen. But I think Uhuru is just being selfish - and eventually, he will slither away - cut his own deal with Ruto - and leave whoever will emerge to lead GEMA. Within Kieleweke they have no such leader. So Pro-Ruto group will simply do a deal with Ruto.
Uhuru knows very well what is at stake should he double deal Ruto, but what he doesn't know is the magnitude of reaction in that event, for the first time mt. Kenya would also burn his properties would suffer as they would be ransacked by GEMA especially kikuyu masses. The masssea are for Ruto simple and clear, Am quite surprised that Robina and Omollo are counting on the so called GEMA elite instead of the masses. Have said many times GEMA dont have the same mentality as luos where you can just lump them together and sell them like potatoes in sacks to highest bidder, for Raira to even think the remotest chance for him to stand would be to pick a GEMA running mate, that by itself would be the most minimum to be even considered, i see raira been played and Uhuru could be trying to play them both and sneak in another Kikuyu. Uhuru however is not that intelligent and any miscalculation will lead to the end of Kenyattas hegemony
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Jubilee laity is still carrying on Jubilee's mission. They see Uhuru has betrayed that mission. Eventually, the revolt will happen. And that will happen in 2021 because the election is going to happen soon after. This COVID will make gov look bad because the economy is going to take a big hit - the next 2yrs. People will go jobless. Small businesses will die. And Uhuru will become even more unpopular.
Ruto has Murkomen, Kihika, Duale, Washiali and GEMA mlolongo MPs. It this pyrrhic victory that rattled GEMA elite in the first place. He should have stayed lean and meek and trust Uhuru to keep his word - as he moronically lectures Raila should have done with Kibaki.
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To what end? He did that in 2012 - pretend to endorse Raila - as Uhuru did with Mdvd. He still wound up as DPORK and is now crying in the toilet. It would be the same or worse with Raila. It is Ruto and Kalenjin who need to accept there is only room for one big non-GEMA in Kenya. Raila could only land Luhya, Mijikenda, Matusa after Moi retired. Uhuru and GEMA know power is going away and have settled on old Odinga as the safer bet.
The real delusion is that a non-GEMA can directly usurp GEMA as Ruto has tried. Hehe - in which world would an incumbent PORK allow it to happen? - everyone but Pundit saw this as DOA strategy from 2016.
Ruto best chance is probably after Raila - at least compromised Ngunyi thinks so.
Kalonzo tried that before - he still has 20mps like he had 10yrs ago. GEMA elite has to accept to lose power. Raila in my view is a scarecrow they are using to threaten Ruto with. Ruto can easily pull the plug by endorsing Raila :) even just for the fun of it.
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If you do a simple sample on say Facebook it's obvious the average luo guy currently has a big dislike for both kikuyu and kalenjin a fact that is not lost especially on kikuyus so Uhuru trying to push Raila will be a really hard sell if not dead on arrival. Njuris observation seems more plausible.As for Rift valley kikuyu unless the kalenjin give us someone to replace Ruto , we are bound by the understanding started by the elders of both communities after the election violence and before both Uhuru and Ruto endorsed it to support our neighbors. It's a gentleman goodwill gesture just like the African Americans came to Bidens rescue.
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GEMA will regret mightly if they don't reject Uhuru like Kalenjin did eventually to Moi - because Uhuru has decided to throw caution to the wind and start a war he won't finish. But it's very good war because GEMA has needed this - like Kalenjin needed to kick Moi and his group of selected elites. Ruto era gave Kalenjin new lease of life - and now it easy for 20yr old unknown person to be a governor.
GEMA has to reject what Uhuru is doing - otherwise, they are being driven into a very bad place - because the Luos will exact their revenge - while Kalenjin will be unforgiving. You don't open two war fronts - and you picked Gideon Moi to lead you :D.If GEMA elite were to play Ruto - Ruto will easily bid his time (54yrs) - he is very young and will back Raila.
What is going to happen is MAD - mutually assured destruction - and right now only the GEMA laity revolution against the selfish elite will save it.
If you do a simple sample on say Facebook it's obvious the average luo guy currently has a big dislike for both kikuyu and kalenjin a fact that is not lost especially on kikuyus so Uhuru trying to push Raila will be a really hard sell if not dead on arrival. Njuris observation seems more plausible.As for Rift valley kikuyu unless the kalenjin give us someone to replace Ruto , we are bound by the understanding started by the elders of both communities after the election violence and before both Uhuru and Ruto endorsed it to support our neighbors. It's a gentleman goodwill gesture just like the African Americans came to Bidens rescue.
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As of now the notion that kikuyus can not be trusted to keep a promise has been strongly implanted in among other communities, the luo and kamba. The luhyia are kinda divided on that because Wamalwa died before his chance so you can't accuse Kibaki of not keeping his promise. Now to any sane kikuyu it seems obvious that we are being set up against the only remaining major community and that label will be sealed for ever. Like I said if Ruto did something so bad let Uhuru tell us. The only other way is for the kalenjin to give us someone else to support. As gema we have to stay out of the fight between Gideon and Ruto and support whoever the kalenjin chose just as happened with Uhuru and akina Karua and Kenneth. Anything else is suicide politically.
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Interesting times ahead. With COVID-19 - and Uhuru destabilizing his gov - we are getting into very interesting times. Some of people are not very bright. Like South Sudan Nuer-Dinka war. The Dinka star a war they cannot finish. They kill the economy and waste 10yrs to realize they cannot beat Nuers.
As of now the notion that kikuyus can not be trusted to keep a promise has been strongly implanted in among other communities, the luo and kamba. The luhyia are kinda divided on that because Wamalwa died before his chance so you can't accuse Kibaki of not keeping his promise. Now to any sane kikuyu it seems obvious that we are being set up against the only remaining major community and that label will be sealed for ever. Like I said if Ruto did something so bad let Uhuru tell us. The only other way is for the kalenjin to give us someone else to support. As gema we have to stay out of the fight between Gideon and Ruto and support whoever the kalenjin chose just as happened with Uhuru and akina Karua and Kenneth. Anything else is suicide politically.
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Here we go again - Ruto did not beat Moi in Kalenjin - Moi was 10 years from retirement and senile at 88. It akin to "beating" Kibaki in GEMA now - which is nonsense cause he is long retired and senile. What really aided Ruto was TIME - Moi simply aged and withered away - and Gideon incompetence. In 2002 90% Kalenjin, MATUSA, Mijikenda, NFD, Kiambu voted Uhuru-Moi. So save it - there are almost ZERO parallels between Mt Kenya and Uhuru vs Kalenjin and Moi.
Another lie again about Ruto imaginary magic. During Raila vs Ruto war for Kalenjin, Ruto was aided and used by Kibaki and GEMA to fight Raila. So Ruto appeared mighty and smart while in truth he was used by Kibaki and Uhuru. Now Uhuru and GEMA are using Raila to fight Ruto. There is nothing outstanding about Ruto as you can see he is no match for Uhuru machinery. He won't even go to court because Uhuru can brazenly intimidate the judges ala SCORK 2017 presidential re-run.
About "revolt" in Mt Kenya. Ruto needs 90% GEMA to stand a chance against Raila. All those elites and big fish against Ruto are not delusional and will equally influence their people. Most MPs are actually passive and will not ship with Ruto to hustler party. Only a handful of MPs stick out their neck for Ruto - the rest sign protest letter and never even show up at rallies. Njuri and Pundit have very wishful thinking - jaundiced views and blinkers - it is very hard to leave Jubilee with GEMA, Matusa, Bukusu and shebang without Uhuru and GoK cronyism. PORK has too many cards. It why Ruto bought off and merged all those parties - to create mean machine - which has imploded as Pundit et al buried their heads in the sand last 2 years. Class vs tribalism is new experiment that Ruto can try out... against Raila "integrity" or "inclusion" - both are usual tribalism in gift wrapping.
Lastly if Ruto back Raila... :) that would be very good for Kenya - because his corrupt ways will take a back seat for another 10 or more years. Someone openly corrupting the clergy is a bad omen for the nation. But that is actually stupid and unlikely - Ruto is better off as official opposition leader which is a better chance for future stub at PORK.
GEMA will regret mightly if they don't reject Uhuru like Kalenjin did eventually to Moi - because Uhuru has decided to throw caution to the wind and start a war he won't finish. But it's very good war because GEMA has needed this - like Kalenjin needed to kick Moi and his group of selected elites. Ruto era gave Kalenjin new lease of life - and now it easy for 20yr old unknown person to be a governor.
GEMA has to reject what Uhuru is doing - otherwise, they are being driven into a very bad place - because the Luos will exact their revenge - while Kalenjin will be unforgiving. You don't open two war fronts - and you picked Gideon Moi to lead you :D.If GEMA elite were to play Ruto - Ruto will easily bid his time (54yrs) - he is very young and will back Raila.
What is going to happen is MAD - mutually assured destruction - and right now only the GEMA laity revolution against the selfish elite will save it.
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Robina
One very likely scenario is Uhuru and the cabal that Pundit refers to go for broke and shaft both Ruto and Raila. I've expected them to shaft Raila and exorcise Ruto (preferably scientifically).
In event the scientific exorcism fails and Raila is nursing a sore asshole, it is possible to remember that injured mongrels make friends while licking each others wounds. They emerge having formed a deadly gang
Pundit & Omollo: Uhuru and the GEMA elite know their choices and have chosen Raila. They are busy tagging along the masses and they have enough tools to pull it off. I don’t see a Raila-Ruto alliance because there is little time and circumstance for Kenyatta to pull a BBI rabbit. The stars are lined up for Raila and he is not stupid to mess it up. Expect Raila to bend over backwards for Uhuru and GEMA including ignore the looting, tribal appointments, stupidity like taking over Nairobi, etc- and ultimately sign a 50-50 MOU which he won’t keep.
This is Kenya so after 2022, expect usual betrayal and bickering with friends and foes switching places exactly as now. Pundit’s story about Ruto or the Kalenjin being more trustworthy is not fooling anyone on the mountain. Raila’s advanced years and the RV geopolitics favor a partnership with Raila not Ruto.
Pundit & Omollo: Uhuru and the GEMA elite know their choices and have chosen Raila. They are busy tagging along the masses and they have enough tools to pull it off. I don’t see a Raila-Ruto alliance because there is little time and circumstance for Kenyatta to pull a BBI rabbit. The stars are lined up for Raila and he is not stupid to mess it up. Expect Raila to bend over backwards for Uhuru and GEMA including ignore the looting, tribal appointments, stupidity like taking over Nairobi, etc- and ultimately sign a 50-50 MOU which he won’t keep.
This is Kenya so after 2022, expect usual betrayal and bickering with friends and foes switching places exactly as now. Pundit’s story about Ruto or the Kalenjin being more trustworthy is not fooling anyone on the mountain. Raila’s advanced years and the RV geopolitics favor a partnership with Raila not Ruto.
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Robina
Pundit is still as naive as we were to imagine there will be real or near real elections. That ended in 2002 and will never happen again without a revolution. It's the state which will decide who beat who.
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Unless either Raila or Ruto dies - I think for the first time we see the transfer of power from GEMA to a new elite. I don't think the state can handle both. Impossible. Unless they go for assassination.
You'll see Uhuru really struggle to govern going forward unless he makes Raila his true partner.
Robina
Pundit is still as naive as we were to imagine there will be real or near real elections. That ended in 2002 and will never happen again without a revolution. It's the state which will decide who beat who.
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Robina
Pundit is still as naive as we were to imagine there will be real or near real elections. That ended in 2002 and will never happen again without a revolution. It's the state which will decide who beat who.
I have noticed there are two camps. Those that are believe the elections reflect reality on the ground and those that have made peace with sham elections. The former subscribe to Kalenjin/GEMA supremacy and believe courting GEMA is key. The latter buy none of that, and believe that control of state machinery is key. Depending on which camp you fall, some analysis will simply never make sense. If I am not wrong, I think Robina also believes those elections are real.
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Uhuru has no way around term limits without BBI... so he must pick one and has settled on Raila. He is not delusional. The reasoning is: Raila has no direct Mt Kenya support and in theory would struggle to get it even as PORK. Given the reality of term limit I see no reason for Raila to make any big demands in GoK now at the risk of a fallout. He will entertain the brats for a good chance against Ruto. What exactly would Uhuru do to “betray” Raila - it either him or Ruto. No PK or Kikuyu can hack it now... Uhuru will pick a runningmate and sign a paper about 50-50 :) ... tough luck.
First Uhuru now has to finish off the greedy scornful, entitled, condescending Ruto who dared invade his house and make out with Ngina.
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Very laughable.
Uhuru has no way around term limits without BBI... so he must pick one and has settled on Raila. He is not delusional. The reasoning is: Raila has no direct Mt Kenya support and in theory would struggle to get it even as PORK. Given the reality of term limit I see no reason for Raila to make any big demands in GoK now at the risk of a fallout. He will entertain the brats for a good chance against Ruto. What exactly would Uhuru do to “betray” Raila - it either him or Ruto. No PK or Kikuyu can hack it now... Uhuru will pick a runningmate and sign a paper about 50-50 :) ... tough luck.
First Uhuru now has to finish off the greedy scornful, entitled, condescending Ruto who dared invade his house and make out with Ngina.
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Its hard to beat sitting president anywhere going for re-election. It also hard to beat a sitting gov narrowly. So if you're running against the state - then it has to be like 2002 - a kind of white-wash that would be impossible to top or rig.
I have noticed there are two camps. Those that are believe the elections reflect reality on the ground and those that have made peace with sham elections. The former subscribe to Kalenjin/GEMA supremacy and believe courting GEMA is key. The latter buy none of that, and believe that control of state machinery is key. Depending on which camp you fall, some analysis will simply never make sense. If I am not wrong, I think Robina also believes those elections are real.
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Which is why whoever of Raila or Ruto has Uhuru support is the next PORK. Uhuru and GEMA are backing Raila for the same reason Ruto backed Uhuru in 2012 - inability or less likelihood to take over the their base.
Its hard to beat sitting president anywhere going for re-election. It also hard to beat a sitting gov narrowly. So if you're running against the state - then it has to be like 2002 - a kind of white-wash that would be impossible to top or rig.
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People will tell you am Machiavellian. Or Darwinian. Fairness and justice are human constructs - not natural instincts - until earthlings evolve the strongest will prevail. Poor Ruto is going nowhere.
I have noticed there are two camps. Those that are believe the elections reflect reality on the ground and those that have made peace with sham elections. The former subscribe to Kalenjin/GEMA supremacy and believe courting GEMA is key. The latter buy none of that, and believe that control of state machinery is key. Depending on which camp you fall, some analysis will simply never make sense. If I am not wrong, I think Robina also believes those elections are real.
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You're 2yrs ahead of everyone. We don't know who Uhuru will back. And we don't know who GEMA will back. Control your Jubilation as your enter gov.
Which is why whoever of Raila or Ruto has Uhuru support is the next PORK. Uhuru and GEMA are backing Raila for the same reason Ruto backed Uhuru in 2012 - inability to take over the other’s base.
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Ruto has never run for PORK and will not run for PORK if he doesn't have a shot. Siasa bado. GEMA & Uhuru backing Raila is the stuff of legends. That just is laughable.
People will tell you am Machiavellian. Or Darwinian. Fairness and justice are human constructs - not natural instincts - until earthlings evolve the strongest will prevail. Poor Ruto is going nowhere.
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You been telling us Ruto is sleepwalking to SH for 7 years now... how can I be ahead of you?
You're 2yrs ahead of everyone. We don't know who Uhuru will back. And we don't know who GEMA will back. Control your Jubilation as your enter gov.
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GEMA neither ever backed Kalenjin. It would be a first. It laughable you imagined Uhuru can sit as a duck as Ruto take over GEMA. How is that going now?
Ruto has never run for PORK and will not run for PORK if he doesn't have a shot. Siasa bado. GEMA & Uhuru backing Raila is the stuff of legends. That just is laughable.
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Kagwe is dead as dodo - 4M tea finished him.
Pundit so is Ruto still running with Kiunjuri as DPORK? The bloke is MIA as Kagwe hog the airwaves. Or is he waiting for Uhuru to endorse him :) - I doubt Ruto is delusional like you.
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Its true that my reaction back then is comparable to Pundit's denial but only up to a certain point. However, you have to cut me some slack here because that was then and this is now. We had just came out of the liberation struggle and we were innocent, young and naive. What's Pundit's excuse?
Saying I told you so isn't a strong person's asset. When issue such a caution to a child playing with a razor blade you often get into the house and pull out the first aid kit & prepare for the bleeding.
I recall the experience I had with my brother KM. I picked up the signals first: we had been shafted by Kibaki in 2003 though the full extent of the bila vaseline act would take come out in 2004. KM refused to admit and he wasn't alone. There ensued a civil war between us who were cheering LDP. I was a late convert to opposition having remained true to KANU & was the last soldier to emerge from the forest. I transferred my all to LDP not least because Mudavadi and other wild animals were not in.
On a visit to Kenya I practically ran over Kibaki huddled with Mudavadi. Shortly after I met Raila driving a splitting new range rover with Mudavadi in the passenger side. I knew Kibaki was preparing to screw Raila.
It's all history.
My advice to Ruto is for him to count his losses. The only way to defeat Uhuru is to let Uhuru defeat himself. If I were Ruto I'd quit & watch Uhuru try to shaft Raila a head of schedule.
Like I wrote before i see an 2007 like alliance in the making. As with 2007 the traitors will be Kalonzo & Mudavadi