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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 05:49:37 PM

Title: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 05:49:37 PM
50 polling station reporting.Moas final score mirror.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 06:18:29 PM
With 293 Uhuru extend lead to 63%
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 06:26:24 PM
The results transmission seem to be dying.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Nefertiti on August 08, 2017, 07:05:55 PM
Nanok wiping the floor with Munyes :D

1 . JOSPHAT KOLI NANOK
  ODM
40 votes (75.47%)

2 . JOHN MUNYES KIYONGA
  JP
13 votes (24.53%)
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Nefertiti on August 08, 2017, 07:10:38 PM
THARAKA: JP guy trailing...

1 . SAMWEL MBAE RAGWA
  NARC-KENYA
57 votes (64.04%)

Reporting Polling Stations:   
2 out of 625
Turnout :   
0.04175384932959269 %
Registered voters:   
213154
Valid Votes:   
89
Disputed Votes:   
0
Rejected Votes:   
0
2 . ONESMUS MUTHOMI NJUKI
  JP
31 votes (34.83%)
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 07:19:25 PM
The results transmission seem to be dying.

It's useless information anyway.  They were doing better in 2013 before it died.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 07:23:25 PM
at about 1m votes...Uhuru 58%..Raila 41%
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 07:24:41 PM
I think I switch that in final final moas. don't be a fool. I'd be fine if I got 95% score.
Nanok wiping the floor with Munyes :D

1 . JOSPHAT KOLI NANOK
  ODM
40 votes (75.47%)

2 . JOHN MUNYES KIYONGA
  JP
13 votes (24.53%)
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Nefertiti on August 08, 2017, 07:37:53 PM
BARINGO

1 . GIDEON KIPSIELEI TOWETT MOI
  KANU
421 votes (76.55%)

Reporting Polling Stations:   
9 out of 892
Turnout :   
0.23809728836035787 %
Registered voters:   
232258
Valid Votes:   
550
Disputed Votes:   
0
Rejected Votes:   
3
2 . SIMON KIPRONO CHELUGUI
  JP
126 votes (22.91%)
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 07:42:08 PM
MOAS has Gideon winning Baringo
BARINGO

1 . GIDEON KIPSIELEI TOWETT MOI
  KANU
421 votes (76.55%)

Reporting Polling Stations:   
9 out of 892
Turnout :   
0.23809728836035787 %
Registered voters:   
232258
Valid Votes:   
550
Disputed Votes:   
0
Rejected Votes:   
3
2 . SIMON KIPRONO CHELUGUI
  JP
126 votes (22.91%)

Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Globalcitizen12 on August 08, 2017, 07:45:25 PM
8 percent reported ..raila 41 and uhuru 59...MoAs was generous to raila
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 07:48:43 PM
at 1.5m counted..Uhuru 57%..Raila 41%.

This will settle down to around 52-54% - and 44-47%
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 07:49:54 PM
Unless turn out is low; no way; Raila will climb and max out at 45%.
8 percent reported ..raila 41 and uhuru 59...MoAs was generous to raila
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: einstein_g on August 08, 2017, 07:58:46 PM
Isaac Ruto ananyolewa bila maji...
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 08, 2017, 08:00:00 PM
Na bado. He need to be in prison. Kipsigis are the most conservative and most consensus of kalenjin - it easy to read them - they eschew individualism and militancy - they prefer consensus- nandi are mercurial. If kipsigis had been as mercurial as nandis- the british would have taken 20yrs to defeat kipsigis-nandi coalition.
Isaac Ruto ananyolewa bila maji...
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Nefertiti on August 08, 2017, 08:45:37 PM
Seems Omollo and Kichwa have gone AWOL... hibernate early... instead of own up to results. Expect Omollo back in 2020  :D
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kadame6 on August 08, 2017, 08:54:47 PM
Seems Omollo and Kichwa have gone AWOL... hibernate early... instead of own up to results. Expect Omollo back in 2020  :D
I don't know about Omollo as he wasnt around last election but Kichwa will be back soon enough.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kadame6 on August 08, 2017, 08:59:50 PM
I have been seeing presidential results of specific polling stations and counties discussed here and elsewhere but I don't see them on the IEBC portal. Anyone know where I can see them? A link perhaps?
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 09:05:45 PM
I have been seeing presidential results of specific polling stations and counties discussed here and elsewhere but I don't see them on the IEBC portal. Anyone know where I can see them? A link perhaps?

I am also waiting for that kind of information.  When they said they had a portal I assumed something where you could drill down and get information including scanned forms.  What they have is opaque - they might as well shut it down and announce the final result at the end.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Globalcitizen12 on August 08, 2017, 09:08:06 PM
Windy and kademe
The sample of bungoma, kisii, and coast show Uhuru will win. Raila only hope is low turnout in central...
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kadame6 on August 08, 2017, 09:10:01 PM
I have been seeing presidential results of specific polling stations and counties discussed here and elsewhere but I don't see them on the IEBC portal. Anyone know where I can see them? A link perhaps?

I am also waiting for that kind of information.  When they said they had a portal I assumed something where you could drill down and get information including scanned forms.  What they have is opaque - they might as well shut it down and announce the final result at the end.
Yet Im seeing discussions on TV on specific polling stations. They must be getting that info from somewhere? Maybe IEBC only gave media access? I don't know.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 09:12:08 PM
I have been seeing presidential results of specific polling stations and counties discussed here and elsewhere but I don't see them on the IEBC portal. Anyone know where I can see them? A link perhaps?

I am also waiting for that kind of information.  When they said they had a portal I assumed something where you could drill down and get information including scanned forms.  What they have is opaque - they might as well shut it down and announce the final result at the end.
Yet Im seeing discussions on TV on specific polling stations. They must be getting that info from somewhere? Maybe IEBC only gave media access? I don't know.

Here is a better link than the earlier one https://public.rts.iebc.or.ke/enr/index.html#/Kenya_Elections_Presidential/1.  Much much better.  At least you can drill down some.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 09:13:29 PM
Windy and kademe
The sample of bungoma, kisii, and coast show Uhuru will win. Raila only hope is low turnout in central...

No he is not.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kadame6 on August 08, 2017, 09:15:35 PM
Windy and kademe
The sample of bungoma, kisii, and coast show Uhuru will win. Raila only hope is low turnout in central...
I've made my peace with yet another 5 years of plunder (it will not just be looting now, lol). Let the people have what they want. I wont be defending the Kenyan negro frim charges of inescapable tribalism or backwardness from now on. Maybe when Im an old woman, things will look like how I hoped. As of now, mimi na familia yangu :D I congratulate Raila and urge him to leave the land to its owners and concentrate on his personal legacy. Without him manning the gate, maybe the people shall wake up on their own and decide when they've had enough. He shall remain my Presidente!
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kadame6 on August 08, 2017, 09:18:12 PM
I have been seeing presidential results of specific polling stations and counties discussed here and elsewhere but I don't see them on the IEBC portal. Anyone know where I can see them? A link perhaps?

I am also waiting for that kind of information.  When they said they had a portal I assumed something where you could drill down and get information including scanned forms.  What they have is opaque - they might as well shut it down and announce the final result at the end.
Yet Im seeing discussions on TV on specific polling stations. They must be getting that info from somewhere? Maybe IEBC only gave media access? I don't know.

Here is a better link than the earlier one https://public.rts.iebc.or.ke/enr/index.html#/Kenya_Elections_Presidential/1.  Much much better.  At least you can drill down some.
Thanks Termi!
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 09:19:07 PM
Windy and kademe
The sample of bungoma, kisii, and coast show Uhuru will win. Raila only hope is low turnout in central...
I've made my peace with yet another 5 years of plunder (it will not just be looting now, lol). Let the people have what they want. I wont be defending the Kenyan negro frim charges of inescapable tribalism or backwardness from now on. Maybe when Im an old woman, things will look like how I hoped. As of now, mimi na familia yangu :D I congratulate Raila and urge him to leave the land to its owners and concentrate on his personal legacy. Without him manning the gate, maybe the people shall wake up on their own and decide when they've had enough. He shall remain my Presidente!

It's too early.  There is 86.66% of polling stations uncounted.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: einstein_g on August 08, 2017, 09:34:15 PM
RV, can you predict performance of MOAS from interim presidential results from county?

https://public.rts.iebc.or.ke/enr/index.html#/Kenya_Elections_Presidential/1/1016
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 09:35:17 PM
I have been seeing presidential results of specific polling stations and counties discussed here and elsewhere but I don't see them on the IEBC portal. Anyone know where I can see them? A link perhaps?

I am also waiting for that kind of information.  When they said they had a portal I assumed something where you could drill down and get information including scanned forms.  What they have is opaque - they might as well shut it down and announce the final result at the end.
Yet Im seeing discussions on TV on specific polling stations. They must be getting that info from somewhere? Maybe IEBC only gave media access? I don't know.

Here is a better link than the earlier one https://public.rts.iebc.or.ke/enr/index.html#/Kenya_Elections_Presidential/1 (https://public.rts.iebc.or.ke/enr/index.html#/Kenya_Elections_Presidential/1).  Much much better.  At least you can drill down some.
Thanks Termi!

No problem.  At this point, any lead could be an artifact of where the counting is complete more than anything.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: einstein_g on August 08, 2017, 09:49:13 PM
RV, can you predict performance of MOAS from interim presidential results from county?

https://public.rts.iebc.or.ke/enr/index.html#/Kenya_Elections_Presidential/1/1016

Bungoma on point (MOAS Uhuru 28, polling 27), Wajir Uhuru doing much better: 47 vs 40 MOAS
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: einstein_g on August 08, 2017, 09:53:33 PM
Uhuru doing much better than MOAS in Kisii, Nyamira
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 09:56:34 PM
Uhuru doing much better than MOAS in Kisii, Nyamira

Except that Kisii and Nyamira are 4.26% and 3.25% polling stations in.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 09:59:54 PM
The bulk of the counties with completed polling stations over 20% are in Bomet(J), Nandi(J), Baringo](J), Tharaka Nithi(J), Kericho(J), West Poko(J), Uasin Gishu(J), Makueni(N), Kisumu(N), Samburu(J), Elgeyo Marakwe(J) in that order.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kichwa on August 08, 2017, 10:00:23 PM
We are waiting for results people, could you please keep down the noise.  The campaign is over. Some of us do not rely on pundit for news. He is an egoistic rabid partisan and tribalist.

Windy and kademe
The sample of bungoma, kisii, and coast show Uhuru will win. Raila only hope is low turnout in central...
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: einstein_g on August 08, 2017, 10:04:06 PM
Preliminary results are a good indicator this time around, especially for homogeneous counties. Because polling stations are reporting directly. So these are actually much better than opinion polls which sample less than 1% of population per county.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 10:04:45 PM
These are the ones with over 10% polling stations in.

Migori (N)
Kitui (N)
Kajiado (B)
Homa Bay (N)
Nyandarua (J)
Laikipia (J)
Kirinyaga (J)
Nakuru (J)
Embu (J)
Machakos (N)
Turkana (B)
Trans Nzoia (B)
Narok (J)
Kakamega (N)
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kadame6 on August 08, 2017, 10:06:11 PM
These are the ones with over 10% polling stations in.

Migori (N)
Kitui (N)
Kajiado (B)
Homa Bay (N)
Nyandarua (J)
Laikipia (J)
Kirinyaga (J)
Nakuru (J)
Embu (J)
Machakos (N)
Turkana (B)
Trans Nzoia (B)
Narok (J)
Kakamega (N)
Termi, what do those letters stand for?
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on August 08, 2017, 10:06:52 PM
These are the ones with over 10% polling stations in.

Migori (N)
Kitui (N)
Kajiado (B)
Homa Bay (N)
Nyandarua (J)
Laikipia (J)
Kirinyaga (J)
Nakuru (J)
Embu (J)
Machakos (N)
Turkana (B)
Trans Nzoia (B)
Narok (J)
Kakamega (N)
Termi, what do those letters stand for?

Tribal affiliation hehehe.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kadame6 on August 08, 2017, 10:08:06 PM
Oh, I just got it, lol!
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: einstein_g on August 08, 2017, 10:29:53 PM
Early votes show Uhuru Kenyatta tightening grip on strongholds and gaining in former opposition bastions.

Uhuru has also increased his share of vote in Bungoma by 15%. Path to victory starting to look tricky for Raila

Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 09, 2017, 04:44:47 AM
@t 78% or 31k out 41k polling stations checking in UhuRuto 55 and Raila 44%
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Nefertiti on August 09, 2017, 06:41:35 AM
Pretty random transmission - so expect 55-44 ratio to hold to the end - it's gameshot.

@t 78% or 31k out 41k polling stations checking in UhuRuto 55 and Raila 44%
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 09, 2017, 06:49:00 AM
I think 53% versus 46% - right now it's 54% verus 44%.
Pretty random transmission - so expect 55-44 ratio to hold to the end - it's gameshot.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 09, 2017, 08:19:18 AM
Turn out at 70% is killing NASA
Votes · 88% reporting
Uhuru 54.7%
Raila 44.5%
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: einstein_g on August 09, 2017, 08:39:32 AM
MOAS generally on the money, Kisii, Nyamira and maybe Narok unexpected. Nyamira perhaps Matiangi effect.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 09, 2017, 12:18:01 PM
With 38K reporting Uhuru 54.4% and Raila 44.74%...2,500 polling station to go.

Look like we are going to have 54% versus 45%.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 09, 2017, 12:56:39 PM
Look like we still have around 1.5M votes to go...

38561 out of 40883
Turnout :   
75.24 %
Registered voters:   
19611423
Valid Votes:   
14372097
Disputed Votes:   
4531
Rejected Votes:   
382705
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Globalcitizen12 on August 09, 2017, 12:59:37 PM
Those portal results are garbage. treat them as such until IEBC produces official certified results
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: gout on August 09, 2017, 01:56:55 PM
It is a total whitewash. Uhuruto strategy was clinical. IEBC is at his best. Chebukati will go into history as the man who came out of a General election with his head held high.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kichwa on August 09, 2017, 02:35:50 PM
We have had numbers thrown at us. Now let us have the results of this elections. Is that too much to ask for?

It is a total whitewash. Uhuruto strategy was clinical. IEBC is at his best. Chebukati will go into history as the man who came out of a General election with his head held high.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: gout on August 09, 2017, 02:50:56 PM
The level of disorganization in NASA is just unbelievable. Agents in all polling stations would have ensured they have scanned copies of forms  34s from all over the country. A simple phone with a camera and whatsapp was all that the agents needed. Now we have to wait for IEBC to scan them and share.

We have had numbers thrown at us. Now let us have the results of this elections. Is that too much to ask for?

It is a total whitewash. Uhuruto strategy was clinical. IEBC is at his best. Chebukati will go into history as the man who came out of a General election with his head held high.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: Kichwa on August 09, 2017, 03:03:04 PM
NASA is an opposition political party in Africa-mostly representing the power.  Jubilee is government representing the most rich and the most powerful.  Iebc has a huge budget.  How do you expect NASA to have the resource to mirror everything that Jubilee and IEBC has. The problem is that if this continues unchallanged, democracy will have been hijacked for a long time by the rich and the powerful until there will be a bloody revolution or a military coup to end it.

The level of disorganization in NASA is just unbelievable. Agents in all polling stations would have ensured they have scanned copies of forms  34s from all over the country. A simple phone with a camera and whatsapp was all that the agents needed. Now we have to wait for IEBC to scan them and share.

We have had numbers thrown at us. Now let us have the results of this elections. Is that too much to ask for?

It is a total whitewash. Uhuruto strategy was clinical. IEBC is at his best. Chebukati will go into history as the man who came out of a General election with his head held high.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: gout on August 09, 2017, 03:22:43 PM
For 40,000 polling stations, the requirement would have been - to be an agent you have a smartphones. Maybe facilitate the swing and Jubilee zone agents with some cash from Linda Kura, Adopt a Station, Soros once they send the Whatsapp of scanned forms. That doesn't require a military coup.

NASA is an opposition political party in Africa-mostly representing the power.  Jubilee is government representing the most rich and the most powerful.  Iebc has a huge budget.  How do you expect NASA to have the resource to mirror everything that Jubilee and IEBC has. The problem is that if this continues unchallanged, democracy will have been hijacked for a long time by the rich and the powerful until there will be a bloody revolution or a military coup to end it.

The level of disorganization in NASA is just unbelievable. Agents in all polling stations would have ensured they have scanned copies of forms  34s from all over the country. A simple phone with a camera and whatsapp was all that the agents needed. Now we have to wait for IEBC to scan them and share.

We have had numbers thrown at us. Now let us have the results of this elections. Is that too much to ask for?

It is a total whitewash. Uhuruto strategy was clinical. IEBC is at his best. Chebukati will go into history as the man who came out of a General election with his head held high.
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: mya88 on August 10, 2017, 02:14:33 AM
Kenya is officially a matured nation. :D
Title: Re: Results thread.. Uhuru 53% Raila 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on August 10, 2017, 05:00:39 AM
1k polling station yet to report their provisional results and UhuRuto 54.28% as Raila aims at 45%