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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Higgins the genius on August 01, 2017, 01:44:55 PM

Title: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Higgins the genius on August 01, 2017, 01:44:55 PM
Infotrak : Raila 49
Uhuru 48
Undecided 2.2 percent
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Modesty Blaise on August 01, 2017, 03:42:56 PM
Higgins where's the news link? Eliminate stuffing and Jubilee is toast. Thus all the monkey business despite the 'big lead'. All rulers are either butchers or meat.
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Higgins the genius on August 01, 2017, 03:55:55 PM
http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2017/08/01/raila-ahead-of-uhuru-six-days-to-election-infotrak_c1608367 (http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2017/08/01/raila-ahead-of-uhuru-six-days-to-election-infotrak_c1608367)
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Omollo on August 01, 2017, 04:06:30 PM
They are confused. The vote stuffing using the 2.5 has been placed on ice due to the publicity and fears that there is a mole in their midst.

They are now compromising Returning and Polling officers en masse . They intend to either compromise or intimidate NASA agents in their areas to allow stuffing. They want a turnout of 98%.

Lakini tutaona.

Higgins where's the news link? Eliminate stuffing and Jubilee is toast. Thus all the monkey business despite the 'big lead'. All rulers are either butchers or meat.
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Kichwa on August 01, 2017, 04:20:22 PM
Jubilee should be very happy with this numbers because besides the polls, the political feelers are detecting a bigger margin.  I think Jubilee knows that they are losing and that is why they resort to what the Mafia does best-kill, and steal.  Killing and stealing has worked for them for over 50 years and they believe it works. Maybe this time it will not work-nothing works for ever, even an well oiled machine breaks up sometimes.

Infotrak : Raila 49
Uhuru 48
Undecided 2.2 percent
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: RV Pundit on August 01, 2017, 04:47:51 PM
Ambithology doing her five year ritual
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: vooke on August 01, 2017, 04:53:02 PM
The poll was quite extensive
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: einstein_g on August 01, 2017, 05:00:56 PM
Ipsos says Uhuru 47, Raila 44.

Undecided 5%
Refused to answer 3%
Won't vote 1%

Undecided + refused to answer = 8%. That's a lot. I'd split them in half an assign to each of the two main candidates.
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: RV Pundit on August 01, 2017, 05:23:29 PM
Let see if they can beat MOAS. They stand no chance.
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: einstein_g on August 01, 2017, 05:27:16 PM
Depends on how the 8% vote. If 6% goes to Uhuru then your MOAS would be on the dot.

Let see if they can beat MOAS. They stand no chance.
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Higgins the genius on August 01, 2017, 05:27:52 PM
GetIT411:
POLLSTER Wolf says nobody votes 'undecided' and on this basis, President Kenyatta would garner 52pc of vote, Raila 48pc. www.capitalfm.co.ke
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: einstein_g on August 01, 2017, 05:35:58 PM
Star says 47 Uhuru, 46 undecided. 7% undecided

http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2017/08/01/tight-race-for-state-house-as-uhuru-one-per-cent-ahead-of-raila-the_c1608559
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: RV Pundit on August 01, 2017, 05:45:28 PM
Very close. Does that mean "others" get nothing?. He should have said 52%, 47%,1% - which MOAS would endorse.
GetIT411:
POLLSTER Wolf says nobody votes 'undecided' and on this basis, President Kenyatta would garner 52pc of vote, Raila 48pc. www.capitalfm.co.ke
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Omollo on August 01, 2017, 06:26:21 PM
Why should everybody agree with Pundit?

The pollsters are using a methodology that has been tested over the years. You are employing witchcraft and you want them to quote your cooked figures?

I have my own observations ( as Pundit should not insinuate that he is right):
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Kichwa on August 01, 2017, 11:08:38 PM

The first sentence was fine.  Red reveals that you are a very nervous man. How are you going to spin a lose. Mambo yamebadilika ma brada.

Let see if they can beat MOAS. They stand no chance.
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: hk on August 02, 2017, 07:47:12 AM
Nairobi uhuru might win it, there are droves of people leaving nairobi mostly to western . Its no wonder mudavadi/kidero are pleading to voters not leave.
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Ole on August 02, 2017, 06:13:16 PM
Quote from: Omollo
link=topic=4903.msg36564#msg36564 date=1501601181
Why should everybody agree with Pundit?

The pollsters are using a methodology that has been tested over the years. You are employing witchcraft and you want them to quote your cooked figures?

I have my own observations ( as Pundit should not insinuate that he is right):
  • Uhuru's portion of western province will shrink to 5%
  • Coast to 10% and under
  • Nyanza will not exceed 5%
  • I do not agree with the Eastern Numbers but they may well stay as they are due to the Presence of Meru.
Uhuru numbers have increased in the kisii region due to his vigorous campaign. I believe this election is a tossup.
Title: Re: Infrotrak, Ipsos and The Star newspaper to release final poll today
Post by: Omollo on August 02, 2017, 06:20:16 PM
Uhuru numbers have increased in the kisii region due to his vigorous campaign. I believe this election is a tossup.
How "vigorous" is it Ole? What constitutes "vigorous"?

Kisii and Kajiado are strange places. There is no NASA in the two places. Only ODM. The intelligence we have is different. I think finally ODM has managed to obliterate Jubilee in both Kisii and Nyamira.

However it is one of the counties which Jubilee has targeted to steal from. To do so they need to prepare people for it and they are pulling no stops. From online bots to radio, TV and other propaganda.