Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: gout on March 15, 2017, 03:00:38 PM
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Looking at the trends of elections it is evident that the opposition parties invests very little for what ODM is calling 'protecting the vote'. The opposition players largely rely on stronghold support, public euphoria and incumbency weaknesses. This rarely works as evidenced in Kenya since 1988 mlolongo fiasco, 92 matiba win and 2007 raila massive win.
Despite the opposition candidates/parties collecting hundreds of millions - 2013/2017 it is running into billions, they don't hire and pay agents at the polling stations. Paying 2 agents per the 22,000 polling stations at a rate of Kshs. 500- Kshs. 2,500 would amount 44m - 220m for the 2 important days. It is the least the parties should do after collecting the nomination fees from the aspirants.
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I do not wish to stand brief for the opposition. However in 2013 Raila was conned by his closest aides. They not only ate the money meant for equipment (cars, security etc) for agents but there are stories (unverified but highly plausible) that they also received money from Jubilee to not deploy the same agents.
One of the persons is now so wealthy that he keeps running for office in Homa Bay.
Īn 2007, only Ruto managed to deploy a tough voter protection unit in RV and extended it to Western. That denied Kibaki the opportunities to steal votes in areas outside Central and thus ended up with 120% in parts of Nyeri. The man charged with protecting votes and the Transition was Musalia Mudavadi. Kibaki reminded him of pending Goldenberg charges and he stayed home only surfacing when Ruto started making noise at KICC.
In conclusion it is the same corruption and greed you see in Jubilee that ruins the opposition. This is why I stayed out of the 2013 elections and watched from the sidelines. I am not sure this will be different.
I do not feel there is a candidate in Kenya who can take the hard decisions that are required to carry the derailed locomotive back on the rails. From top to bottom:
Raila - 60%
Kalonzo - 50%
Wetangula - 30%
Mudavadi - 10%
That percentage shows the propensity of the person to take steps to restore the train on the rails. Kalonzo is as they say fifty - fifty. Wetangula would simply have greater wish to keep the train down than up. Mudavadi would deny there is a derailed train.
Looking at the trends of elections it is evident that the opposition parties invests very little for what ODM is calling 'protecting the vote'. The opposition players largely rely on stronghold support, public euphoria and incumbency weaknesses. This rarely works as evidenced in Kenya since 1988 mlolongo fiasco, 92 matiba win and 2007 raila massive win.
Despite the opposition candidates/parties collecting hundreds of millions - 2013/2017 it is running into billions, they don't hire and pay agents at the polling stations. Paying 2 agents per the 22,000 polling stations at a rate of Kshs. 500- Kshs. 2,500 would amount 44m - 220m for the 2 important days. It is the least the parties should do after collecting the nomination fees from the aspirants.