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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on February 18, 2016, 06:44:19 PM

Title: Besigye
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on February 18, 2016, 06:44:19 PM

Can Museveni risk handing over to this ssebo?

Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: RV Pundit on February 18, 2016, 06:47:38 PM
Looking at daily monitor results;Besigye can nick it. I was in Mbale recently and he is very popular at least in Eastern Uganda
Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on February 18, 2016, 06:49:52 PM
Quote from: RV Pundit on February 18, 2016, 06:47:38 PM
Looking at daily monitor results;Besigye can nick it. I was in Mbale recently and he is very popular at least in Eastern Uganda
Yep.  He has huge support in Kampala and the North too.  Apparently making inroads in the west.  It could go to a run-off.  If Museveni allows it.
Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: Gumzo on February 18, 2016, 06:58:45 PM
How important are tribal numbers in UG ?
Are the voting pattens as tribal as in .ke ?
Is there anything similar to "tyranny of numbers" at play there ?
Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: RV Pundit on February 18, 2016, 07:12:01 PM
Yeah look like a run-off which will be violent and Besigye may have to flee to exile.
Quote from: Windy City Assassin on February 18, 2016, 06:49:52 PM
Yep.  He has huge support in Kampala and the North too.  Apparently making inroads in the west.  It could go to a run-off.  If Museveni allows it.
Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: Kadudu on February 18, 2016, 07:13:32 PM
M7 like Kibaki in 2007 cannot afford to loose. He will win come rain come sunshine. He has all that matters on his side. Electrol board, police, military, judiciary etc. How can such a guy loose an election in Africa?
Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on February 18, 2016, 07:13:43 PM
Quote from: Gumzo on February 18, 2016, 06:58:45 PM
How important are tribal numbers in UG ?
Are the voting pattens as tribal as in .ke ?
Is there anything similar to "tyranny of numbers" at play there ?
Not as important as in Kenya.  Because the main contestants, Museveni, Besigye, Mbabazi are all baNyankole. 

It might change if NRM's stranglehold on power is lost.  Though, it might never get to Kenya's situation where we have only had real power shared between two communities since independence. 

You could say each major region has tasted power in Uganda over the years, though the westerners have had the lion's share thanks to stability.
Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: RV Pundit on February 19, 2016, 09:57:23 AM
M7 takes early lead with 59% against Besigye 35%.
Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on February 20, 2016, 07:19:17 PM
Museveni declared winner.  Not surprising.  Besigye is been held incommunicado.  That is like Kenya circa 1990.

http://www.monitor.co.ug/News/National/2016-Uganda-Elections-Museveni-declared-president/-/688334/3085692/-/kqh1s0z/-/index.html
Title: Re: Besigye
Post by: RV Pundit on February 21, 2016, 07:46:07 AM
Kenya in 80s.
Quote from: Windy City Assassin on February 20, 2016, 07:19:17 PM
Museveni declared winner.  Not surprising.  Besigye is been held incommunicado.  That is like Kenya circa 1990.

http://www.monitor.co.ug/News/National/2016-Uganda-Elections-Museveni-declared-president/-/688334/3085692/-/kqh1s0z/-/index.html