Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on July 10, 2015, 01:28:51 AM
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It looks like the Negro Museveni has kicked off his reelection campaign in earnest. Campaign fever in the region.
Two leading presidential hopefuls have been arrested in Uganda for organising meetings without police permission, state media report.
Amama Mbabazi was arrested in eastern Jinja town, while Kizza Besigye was detained at his home in the capital, the New Vision newspaper said.
Besigye in a police cell.
(http://l1.yimg.com/bt/api/res/1.2/TM48rd9eztSPyZmwyyjbiQ--/YXBwaWQ9eW5ld3M7Y2g9MzIxO2NyPTE7Y3c9NDUwO2R4PTA7ZHk9MDtmaT11bGNyb3A7aD0zMjE7cT04NTt3PTQ1MA--/http://media.zenfs.com/en_us/News/Reuters/2013-11-21T185822Z_1_CBRE9AK1GPD00_RTROPTP_2_UGANDA-UNREST.JPG)
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-33459274
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What is Mbambazi's gameplan?
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Uganda are where we were nearly 25yrs ago.
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29 years in power leads to this sort of environment. It doesn't matter how good the person was at the start.
Term limits are made for the African. Without them, Moi would be on his 37th year and going strong.
Without them you have conditions where the peace cannot be guaranteed when the strongman eventually exits the scene.
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precisely.
29 years in power leads to this sort of environment. It doesn't matter how good the person was at the start.
Term limits are made for the African. Without them, Moi would be on his 37th year and going strong.
Without them you have conditions where the peace cannot be guaranteed when the strongman eventually exits the scene.
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M7 has no way out. He got in to power thanks to the Baganda. The Baganda had sponsored Amin and did give him all the support he needed after he overthrew Obote.
When Obote rigged himself back in to office using a Muganda ( Paul Muwanga), the Baganda turned to Museveni. They expected him to return the mkono and let them get the taste of power they have longed for for too long. He just can't.
If he ever allows free and fair elections, he will be gone before 40% of the vote is counted. Museveni has been steadily losing voters over the years - even with rigging included. Logically, he cannot overcome the opposition this time and must find a way of rigging. He knows that Besigye and his former PM will eventually merge in to one and that scares the shit out of him.
What I never understand is why the opposition thinks it can only campaign by having rallies. Since Museveni eventually allows all his opponents on the ballot, why can't they change tactics?
Some resource material for anybody who is interested:
[pdf]http://ifra-nairobi.net/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/4Bwana.pdf[/pdf]
GROUP---------- %
Baganda--------------- 16.2
Bagisu------------------ 5.1
Iteso -------------------- 8.1
Acholi ------------------- 4.4
Basoga ----------------- 7.7
Lugbara -----------------3.6
Banyankore------------- 8.0
Banyoro------------------ 2.9
Banyaruanda------------ 5.8
Batoro -------------------- 3.2
Bakiga -------------------- 7.1
Karamojong ------------- 2.0
Lango --------------------- 5.6
Others (est.)------------- 20.3
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Some few Odds countries like Uganda in an otherwise democratizing Africa.
(https://fbcdn-sphotos-a-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xtf1/v/t1.0-9/11698532_10153545680434078_623073972343543431_n.jpg?oh=b20b58632158633ee0a85f57cd375ae4&oe=5610ACE5&__gda__=1448367437_6824e4893a18ea01307e2a5e790155ac)