Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Modesty Blaise on February 15, 2026, 06:45:26 PM
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I pity these guys.
Raila groupies now exposed.
Most of them will go home,
Gladys Wanga -
was touted as DP with Raila,
now she is face off with her deputy Aroko who obviously align with Orengo-Babu
Being pro-Ruto is her biggest weakness.
She probably also face Kidero unless he return to Nairobi, which unlikely as it easier to beat Wanga than Babu Owino
Her chance of re-election is 50-50
Simba Arati -
worse than Wanga
was always pata-potea even with Raila cause Matiang'i take 90% Gusii
High risk of being one-term
Fernandes Barasa -
has first problem of UDA vs ODM headache. His deputy Savula is running as UDA
Worse is Luhya are drifting to DAP-K and Natembeya
high risk of loss to DAP-K Khalwale
Abdulswamad Shariff Nassir -
has some urban and youth appeal but not popular like Joho or Sonko
but with Azimio and ODM breakup he loses Kamba and Luo
high risk of loss to Jicho Pevu
Gideon Mung'aro -
is competent governor but vulnerable without united ODM
may lose if there is a strong opponent
These people's fate depends on if ODM breaks up, and opposition stay united.
Simba Arati is the worst off unless he join Matiang'i camp.