I hope you are right. AU seems headed for deepening consolidation.. with freed trade zone ala EU. Kenya should benefit. Kenya has never held AU or OAU.
Looks like the President Ruto used Kenyan playbook after securing SADC, most COMESA, AND 100% EAC. You support Raila, we support SELMA of Algeria for deputy! Once you break North Africa votes, and have secured Somalia with Sahel Region not in play because of expulsion, it is hard for Raila to lose. It maybe tight. but Raila seem to have an edge, now that
Algeria
Angola
Botswana
Burundi
Central African Republic
Congo
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Equatorial Guinea
The Gambia
Ghana
Guinea-Bissau
Malawi
Mauritius
Nigeria
Rwanda
Seychelles
South Sudan
Tanzania
Togo
Uganda
Zambia
Zimbabwe
South Africa
...And many Nywele ngumu countries are sticking together!
I thought Moi was OAU chairman at one point. Ruto will cost Raila AU chairman seat. Our foreign policy need to be revised. We have tilted too much to the west while most African countries are aligning with global south so other African countries have to be suspicious why does Kenya want to control AU so badlyI hope you are right. AU seems headed for deepening consolidation.. with freed trade zone ala EU. Kenya should benefit. Kenya has never held AU or OAU.
Amina Mohammed had three things working against her. She was a woman, fronted by Mlevi unorganized Uhuru, and she also came out as non Nywele Ngumu. Amina lost Uganda, South Sudan Burundi and Djibouti among aother countries that could have won. Now that Burundi, Uganda, and South Sudan in Raila's bag, things are much easy!Looks like the President Ruto used Kenyan playbook after securing SADC, most COMESA, AND 100% EAC. You support Raila, we support SELMA of Algeria for deputy! Once you break North Africa votes, and have secured Somalia with Sahel Region not in play because of expulsion, it is hard for Raila to lose. It maybe tight. but Raila seem to have an edge, now that
Algeria
Angola
Botswana
Burundi
Central African Republic
Congo
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Equatorial Guinea
The Gambia
Ghana
Guinea-Bissau
Malawi
Mauritius
Nigeria
Rwanda
Seychelles
South Sudan
Tanzania
Togo
Uganda
Zambia
Zimbabwe
South Africa
...And many Nywele ngumu countries are sticking together!
We'll see. Ruto ran all over with Amina Mohamed in 2017. Got floored badly by Francophone guy from Chad.
Ruto and babaman walking on eggshells in the two Sudans and now DRC/Rwanda/Uganda. Keg powder.Kagame, DRC, Uganda AND Sudan has already pledged the support. Infact, EAC, buy default has to support Raila according to declaration! Looks like Raila, for the first time is going to make it like he did to Prime minsiter through Dr Ruto. Anything President Ruto supports sails through!
I hope Raila wins. This AU seat is big - you need advantage like all those UN offices in Nairobi probably shield you from coups that occur in the neighborhood. Africa going federal you need to retain a few big offices in EA aka Nairobi.
Former Prime Minister Raila Odinga has expressed strong confidence of clinching the African Union Commission (AUC) chairperson seat in the upcoming elections.
Raila said having done his assignment, he is now well-prepared and "very" confident of trouncing his opponents.
"The campaigns have been successful. We have done our campaigns over the length and breadth of Africa, and we are sure we will get the votes from most countries of the continent," he said
?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 13, 2025</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>Southern African Development Community (SADC) calls upon its 16 member states to support Madagascar’s candidate, Richard Randriamandrato, for the African Union Commission (AUC) chairpersonship in a final diplomatic push to consolidate regional backing 48 hours to the election at… pic.twitter.com/Xw0C9EuyQX
— Cyprian, Is Nyakundi (@C_NyaKundiH) February 13, 2025
Well look like last minute betrayal or secretariat playing games
I dont see competition - been following djibouti dude - only campaigned in TZ & Senegal
Baba will win with landslide
Excellent punditry!
Of course I do excellent punditry.
I am not a god though.
I couldnt see Kagame fcking SADC block so hard on Jan 31st.
Kagame should have delayed it for 2 weeks.Excellent punditry!
Well, your punditry was on Feb 12, 3 days before AUC election. But you still predicted a landslide!
The point is your punditry was so off despite dismissing out of hand those who were of contrary opinions.
Just present the facts - not shouting down those whose views you don't agree with.
AdiosOf course I do excellent punditry.
I am not a god though.
I couldnt see Kagame fcking SADC block so hard on Jan 31st.
Kagame should have delayed it for 2 weeks.Excellent punditry!
UMBWA.
FOLLOW THIS THREAD
FOLLOW DRC WARS.
FOLLOW THE DATES
I really dont like engaging fools who lie - you're desperate to sell MATIANGI - I have long history of Pundtry here.
DO NOT EVER EXPECT ME TO SUGAR COAT things - kama hauna akili - HAUNA - if you present silly half thought crap - trust me I will tell you - that is silly
Reply #4 on: January 26, 2025, 12:00:20 PM »
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Raila already won - Djiboutti has no game
Re: Djiboutian Diplomat Mahamoud Youssouf emerges as the Front-Raila and Ruto loses
« Reply #14 on: January 31, 2025, 01:01:50 PM »
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He has two weeks to walk the slippery potato of congo wars.
Re: Djiboutian Diplomat Mahamoud Youssouf emerges as the Front-Raila and Ruto loses
« Reply #20 on: February 13, 2025, 06:58:59 PM »
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Well look like last minute betrayal or secretariat playing gamesWell, your punditry was on Feb 12, 3 days before AUC election. But you still predicted a landslide!
The point is your punditry was so off despite dismissing out of hand those who were of contrary opinions.
Just present the facts - not shouting down those whose views you don't agree with.
AdiosOf course I do excellent punditry.
I am not a god though.
I couldnt see Kagame fcking SADC block so hard on Jan 31st.
Kagame should have delayed it for 2 weeks.Excellent punditry!
Thanks for the excellent punditry. Much appreciated
I dont see competition - been following djibouti dude - only campaigned in TZ & Senegal
Baba will win with landslide
You still don't get it, do you?
Kagame attacked in January. Your excellent punditry for a RAO landslide was on Feb 12. AUC election was 3 days later on Feb 15. But you still could not see it!!!!
The insults are cos you simply can't fathom being wrong - and those who point it out are silly & umbwa. Very intellectual behaviour.
You dont follow things.
Kagame captured GOMA on 26-31st Jan
And imprisoned SADC.
Kenya embassy burnt.
That is week when everything changed.
Before then the proxy war was going on.
Everyone was confident they would prevail.
DRC war didnt star January - it was ongoing.
Uhuru in 2022 agreed to send kenya troops...fatso was Raila friend.
Ruto brought them back home and refuse to fight kagame.
And told Tskiedei to fkc off - hence the start of beef - he went to sadc.
Everyone knew Ruto was sending Raila to AUC to fix local political problem.
SADC hit Ruto.
Last minute they announce support for Madagscar - dual east and south country,
I Knew something was cooking.
The fall of GOMA= fall of Raila = Embarrased SADC took their anger on Kenya and Raila = Raila is unluckyYou still don't get it, do you?
Kagame attacked in January. Your excellent punditry for a RAO landslide was on Feb 12. AUC election was 3 days later on Feb 15. But you still could not see it!!!!
The insults are cos you simply can't fathom being wrong - and those who point it out are silly & umbwa. Very intellectual behaviour.