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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on August 13, 2022, 03:16:49 PM

Title: MOAS versus governor race
Post by: RV Pundit on August 13, 2022, 03:16:49 PM

Naona this time round I have improved.
So far got wrong Siaya, Homabay, possibly Nyamira, turkana, tana river, of course meru, tranzoia (6)
Mombasa and MSA deferred.

Title: Re: MOAS versus governor race
Post by: RV Pundit on August 13, 2022, 03:18:47 PM

With Kiambu, Mandera and Narok still pending, Raila and Ruto have an equal share of Governors at 20.

Kakamega and Mombasa will go to the polls on August 23.

Click a county on the map to see who has been elected Governor.
https://t.co/vNK4aFcrXg pic.twitter.com/jIIieTJ17Y

— Oliver Mathenge (@OliverMathenge) August 13, 2022

Title: Re: MOAS versus governor race
Post by: RV Pundit on August 13, 2022, 03:24:03 PM

The Final Governor Race Prediction
Party   
UDA   24
ODM   8
UDM   3
WIPER   3
JUBILEE   2
ANC   2
FORDK   2
UPA   1
INDEPENDENT   2
TOTAL   47

CODE   COUNTY   PREDICTED WINNER PARTY
1   MOMBASA   UDA - deffered
2   KWALE   UDA - correct
3   KILIFI   ODM - correct
4   TANA RIVER   UDA - wrong - odm
5   LAMU   ANC - correct
6   TAITA TAVETA   JUBILEE - wrong - independent
7   GARISSA   ODM - correct
8   WAJIR   JUBILEE -?
9   MANDERA   UDM - correct
10   MARSABIT   UDM - correct?
11   ISIOLO   INDEPENDENT - correct
12   MERU   UDA - wrong - independent
13   THARAKA-NITHI   UDA - ?
14   EMBU   UDA - correct
15   KITUI   WIPER - correct
16   MACHAKOS   WIPER - correct
17   MAKUENI   WIPER - correct
18   NYANDARUA   UDA - correct
19   NYERI   UDA - correct
20   KIRINYAGA   UDA - correct
21   MURANG'A   UDA - correct
22   KIAMBU   UDA - correct
23   TURKANA   UDA - wrong - odm
24   WEST POKOT   UDA - correct
25   SAMBURU   UDA - correct
26   TRANS NZOIA   FORDK - wrong DAP
27   UASIN GISHU   UDA - correct
28   ELGEYO/MARAKWET   UDA - correct
29   NANDI   UDA - correct
30   BARINGO   UDA - correct
31   LAIKIPIA   UDA - correct
32   NAKURU   UDA - correct
33   NAROK   UDA -? UDA leading
34   KAJIADO   ODM - correct
35   KERICHO   UDA -  correct
36   BOMET   UDA - correct
37   KAKAMEGA   ANC - deffered
38   VIHIGA   ODM - correct
39   BUNGOMA   FORDK - correct
40   BUSIA   ODM - correct
41   SIAYA   UDM - wrong ODM
42   KISUMU   ODM - correct
43   HOMA BAY   INDEPENDENT - wrong ODM
44   MIGORI   ODM - correct
45   KISII   ODM - correct
46   NYAMIRA   UPA - ?
47   NAIROBI CITY   UDA - UDA leading
Total      47

Title: Re: MOAS versus governor race
Post by: RV Pundit on August 13, 2022, 03:26:02 PM

Look like I underrated ODM in 4 counties (I need to deal with more of my bias confirmation :)
Otherwise rest look solid