Nipate

Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: KenyanPlato on August 12, 2022, 11:34:38 AM

Title: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: KenyanPlato on August 12, 2022, 11:34:38 AM
All right guys I have unraveled this puzzle. cosmopolitan kiambu and nairobi county is the battle ground. if raila has performed in nairobi the way azimio candidates have he is president elect. if he hasn't then  ruto is your president. that why Azimio is combing nairobi constituencies for every vote.
Most western voters who didn't travel Home voted where they reside in nairobi, kiambu and surrounding Maa counties
All in All ruto has arrived on the national stage and it is his to perform as he wishes
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: yulemsee on August 12, 2022, 11:51:24 AM
You are right, we have seen scenes of Nairobi Returning Officers refusing to declare presidential and M.P races, supposedly because a few Preciding Officers and their hard copy forms have gone into the ether.
This is also why governor tallies are held up
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: yulemsee on August 12, 2022, 11:52:40 AM
double post
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: RV Pundit on August 12, 2022, 11:57:25 AM
Yes Nairobi is critical but all form 34As were already uploaded. What Azimio can do is stop ROS but Chebukati will decide the next court of action.


Reported forms 34A
3,649 of 3,649

100.00
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: Nefertiti on August 12, 2022, 11:59:05 AM
Nairobi Azimio zoning helped.. notice how in the past 2013-17 CORD & NASA parties split the vote while Jubilee was united.

Zoning is the key factor. Eg Kayole - Luo, Kamba and a few Kikuyu saved Babu Owino.

Anything on Sakaja vs Igathe?
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: RV Pundit on August 12, 2022, 12:00:23 PM
Form 34B - about 40% have reported
Reported forms 34B
7 of 17

41.18%
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: Nowayhaha on August 12, 2022, 12:01:36 PM

Nairobi Azimio zoning helped.. notice how in the past 2013-17 CORD & NASA parties split the vote while Jubilee was united.

Zoning is the key factor. Eg Kayole - Luo, Kamba and a few Kikuyu saved Babu Owino.

Anything on Sakaja vs Igathe?
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: RV Pundit on August 12, 2022, 12:05:14 PM
Dagoretti South - Ruto 40k - Raila 27k
Embakasi North -  Ruto 33k  - Raila 34k
Embakasi West - Ruto 35  - Raila 45k
Kasarani -  Ruto 55k - Raila 35k

Opinion polls got Nairobi wrong. It appears Ruto will take it. Hustler Nation was mostly an urban narrative and it worked.

Both Sakaja and Ruto have defied the tribal arithmetics.
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: Nefertiti on August 12, 2022, 12:14:15 PM
Those are Kikuyu areas.. factor slums and Raila beats Ruto.

How come UDA lost most of those MP seats? Was there cheating?
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: RV Pundit on August 12, 2022, 12:15:26 PM
I think projection from UDA itumbi - Ruto won Nairobi by believe it 52% or something like that.

They simply defied tribal arithmetics

Those are Kikuyu areas.. factor slums and Raila beats Ruto.

How come UDA lost most of those MP seats? Was there cheating?
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: Stockguru on August 12, 2022, 12:49:18 PM
Now that Sakaja has won Nairobi. It may be over for Raila. it was a great run for raila being a competitive contensant for 2x5 years is not a small feat
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: KenyanPlato on August 12, 2022, 12:55:58 PM
iebc issues clarification that women rep and governor races in nairobi are not called yet

?s=20&t=rh7M_zsnYS8WnKX1Q9-n9Q
Title: Re: Nairobi NAIROBI nairobi
Post by: gout on August 12, 2022, 01:59:50 PM
Hasora nation messaging has met expectations.