Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Pragmatic on August 07, 2022, 04:30:14 AM
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As I said before, Baba is KING of Nairobi, you have seen the difference between Kasarani and Nyayo Stadium.... I think Baba will get 70% of Nairobi votes.
It is over guys, in your heart of hearts even you know it is a wrap!! You have been good sport... give it up now.
Yes WsR has ran a gritty and tough campaign but you will now all agree that this is Baba’s moment. It has been long in coming but it is now here - Freedom is Here!!
We are sure of a round 1 win, what we don’t know is by what margin. You will be shocked by even how central will vote.
One thing we can also be sure of is that Baba’s will be an inclusive government, all Kenyans on deck; not a two tribe kleptocracy.
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More people know Raila slept at Kasarani than Diamond's performance.
(https://scontent-atl3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/296356918_5455953567798327_8123819660844858003_n.jpg?stp=dst-jpg_p526x296&_nc_cat=104&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=8bfeb9&_nc_ohc=zOCqA5JexCgAX_gYAX8&tn=MFW_hcTdtlK1R4JF&_nc_ht=scontent-atl3-1.xx&oh=00_AT-nQMID0t5zB5h2Dvw8UclBfV77EGsDxFJPIZJv3m_2sQ&oe=62F349F1)
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Luos from slums always attend Baba event and get excited. It's hardly an indicator of anything. In fact Moi use to win - while scoring little in Nairobi. Museveni does the same...he sweep villages
Ruto indeed has run a gritty, tough, hard-nosed grassroot campaign last seen during Moi era. Moi was able to survive the 90s despite tribal maths no favouring him plus poor economy by campaigning deep in villages. Village people are easy to impress - if you visit them in their villages - they know you care about them.
Ruto is about to be rewarded for his hardwork. I recall seeing a video of women protesting in Kiambu that some chief wanted to take their ids or force them to vote Raila. Their main ARGUMENT - RUTO HAD BEEN TO THEIR VILLAGE VIWANDANI - RAILA NOPE.
Anyway go back to 2017 Ruto improved Jubilee from 50.5% to 54.4% - by same campaign strategy. Raila despite getting maDVD backing only improved 1%.
Hardwork pays. And Tuesday you will see it. Raila will regret never working hard enough to win PORK. Kalonzo already has admitted he wished he knew :)
Ruto strategy if you can discern is MOISQUE - he goes for many small rallies - doing 12 rallies per day. Ruto has been to almost every village in GEMA, Western, Coast, Ukambani.
Raila is still stuck with few major rallies in the same stadias - election after election - preaching to the same converted people - most of the time - they are actually urban LUOS in Mombasa, Bungoma, Kakamega, Kericho, name it - attending his rallies.
Apart from the optics such mega rallies bring - they have always fallen short - to win election - and if Raila had changed strategy when he was younger - he would have won PORK.
As I said before, Baba is KING of Nairobi, you have seen the difference between Kasarani and Nyayo Stadium.... I think Baba will get 70% of Nairobi votes.
It is over guys, in your heart of hearts even you know it is a wrap!! You have been good sport... give it up now.
Yes WsR has ran a gritty and tough campaign but you will now all agree that this is Baba’s moment. It has been long in coming but it is now here - Freedom is Here!!
We are sure of a round 1 win, what we don’t know is by what margin. You will be shocked by even how central will vote.
One thing we can also be sure of is that Baba’s will be an inclusive government, all Kenyans on deck; not a two tribe kleptocracy.
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C’est la vie... As they say, let’s keep it here! No need for long inshas.... you can’t recover any ground now.
Luos from slums always attend Baba event and get excited. It's hardly an indicator of anything. In fact Moi use to win - while scoring little in Nairobi. Museveni does the same...he sweep villages
Ruto indeed has run a gritty, tough, hard-nosed grassroot campaign last seen during Moi era. Moi was able to survive the 90s despite tribal maths no favouring him plus poor economy by campaigning deep in villages. Village people are easy to impress - if you visit them in their villages - they know you care about them.
Ruto is about to be rewarded for his hardwork. I recall seeing a video of women protesting in Kiambu that some chief wanted to take their ids or force them to vote Raila. Their main ARGUMENT - RUTO HAD BEEN TO THEIR VILLAGE VIWANDANI - RAILA NOPE.
Anyway go back to 2017 Ruto improved Jubilee from 50.5% to 54.4% - by same campaign strategy. Raila despite getting maDVD backing only improved 1%.
Hardwork pays. And Tuesday you will see it. Raila will regret never working hard enough to win PORK. Kalonzo already has admitted he wished he knew :)
Ruto strategy if you can discern is MOISQUE - he goes for many small rallies - doing 12 rallies per day. Ruto has been to almost every village in GEMA, Western, Coast, Ukambani.
Raila is still stuck with few major rallies in the same stadias - election after election - preaching to the same converted people - most of the time - they are actually urban LUOS in Mombasa, Bungoma, Kakamega, Kericho, name it - attending his rallies.
Apart from the optics such mega rallies bring - they have always fallen short - to win election - and if Raila had changed strategy when he was younger - he would have won PORK.
As I said before, Baba is KING of Nairobi, you have seen the difference between Kasarani and Nyayo Stadium.... I think Baba will get 70% of Nairobi votes.
It is over guys, in your heart of hearts even you know it is a wrap!! You have been good sport... give it up now.
Yes WsR has ran a gritty and tough campaign but you will now all agree that this is Baba’s moment. It has been long in coming but it is now here - Freedom is Here!!
We are sure of a round 1 win, what we don’t know is by what margin. You will be shocked by even how central will vote.
One thing we can also be sure of is that Baba’s will be an inclusive government, all Kenyans on deck; not a two tribe kleptocracy.
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Sure few hours to go....let see who lost ground. My numbers says Ruto is going for 57% while Raila will be 41% - worse case for Ruto is now 55% versus 44% for Raila. Few things - Wajackoyah is finished - Raila has lost coast - and I dont think he's done a good job in Ukambani. Be prepared for very "shocking" results.
C’est la vie... As they say, let’s keep it here! No need for long inshas.... you can’t recover any ground now.
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We await the msema kweli....
Sure few hours to go....let see who lost ground. My numbers says Ruto is going for 57% while Raila will be 41% - worse case for Ruto is now 55% versus 44% for Raila. Few things - Wajackoyah is finished - Raila has lost coast - and I dont think he's done a good job in Ukambani. Be prepared for very "shocking" results.
C’est la vie... As they say, let’s keep it here! No need for long inshas.... you can’t recover any ground now.
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Ruto will have 56% . Come talk to me later..
Sure few hours to go....let see who lost ground. My numbers says Ruto is going for 57% while Raila will be 41% - worse case for Ruto is now 55% versus 44% for Raila. Few things - Wajackoyah is finished - Raila has lost coast - and I dont think he's done a good job in Ukambani. Be prepared for very "shocking" results.
C’est la vie... As they say, let’s keep it here! No need for long inshas.... you can’t recover any ground now.
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Raila tired and worn out...what an underwhelming ending to Odinga and Kenyatta dynasty. We wait for National inquiry on state capture.
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Sure few hours to go....let see who lost ground. My numbers says Ruto is going for 57% while Raila will be 41% - worse case for Ruto is now 55% versus 44% for Raila. Few things - Wajackoyah is finished - Raila has lost coast - and I dont think he's done a good job in Ukambani. Be prepared for very "shocking" results.
C’est la vie... As they say, let’s keep it here! No need for long inshas.... you can’t recover any ground now.
Your problem is you have consumed the product, in this case propaganda.
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This is your first time doing this. This is my what - 10th time? You struggle very much to have Ruto lose - and you got what 49.5% versus 50.5% - with Ruto scoring 15% of Gusii and Luhya :) :)
I am waiting to see if Charles Horsnby (That GUY I RESPECT IN THIS BUSINESS) will release a final one - but he is doing 52 for Ruto versus 48 for Raila - which for me is month of May-June kind of situation.
July--> Ruto has obliterated Raila - 1) Manifesto Launch 2) Rigathi debate ended Martha wave 3) Signing up of Kingi/Sonko/Mutua 4) Uhuru failure to campaign for Raila 5) Raila failure to appear for the debate - Wajackoyah also collapsed -
Raila has suffered greatly - Kalonzo wishy-washy campaigns, mitumba issues, church issue (KASUMBA!) - big mistake.
All that have added Ruto 1% each to grow from 52 to 56% - low of 55% - high of 57%.
http://www.charleshornsby.com/kenya-blog
Your problem is you have consumed the product, in this case propaganda.