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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 10:05:43 AM

Title: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 10:05:43 AM: IPSOS poll results:

47% of Kenyans would vote for Raila Odinga, 41% of Kenyans would vote for DP Ruto, 2.9% of Kenyans would vote for George Wajackoyah, 0.2% of Kenyans would vote for Mwaure Waihiga and 3.8% are undecided pic.twitter.com/bVBuF4751t
— Citizen TV Kenya (@citizentvkenya) August 2, 2022
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: Nefertiti on August 02, 2022, 12:34:58 PM: 8)
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 12:48:58 PM: They use to be a little more credible when Tom Wolf was there - but after he left for 2019 - I dont know what to make of their polls. We have less than a week to know who is accurate. You can bet MOASS beat them all.
Quote from: Robina on August 02, 2022, 12:34:58 PM
8)
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: yulemsee on August 02, 2022, 12:58:25 PM: Quote from: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 12:48:58 PM
They use to be a little more credible when Tom Wolf was there - but after he left for 2019 - I dont know what to make of their polls. We have less than a week to know who is accurate. You can bet MOASS beat them all.
Quote from: Robina on August 02, 2022, 12:34:58 PM
8)
Is Tom Wolf at Tifa credible?
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 01:04:48 PM: Yes Tom wolf is normally the best of the worst. MOASS is normally as good as IEBC.
Of course they will latch into Raila endless rigging.
But even in 2010 - Tom Wolf Ipsos predicted Nos will score 20% versus 70% - with 10% undecided.
MOAS predicted 33% versus 67%
Final results was 32 versus 68%
Quote from: yulemsee on August 02, 2022, 12:58:25 PM
Is Tom Wolf at Tifa credible?
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: yulemsee on August 02, 2022, 01:45:54 PM: Quote from: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 01:04:48 PM
Yes Tom wolf is normally the best of the worst. MOASS is normally as good as IEBC.
Of course they will latch into Raila endless rigging.
But even in 2010 - Tom Wolf Ipsos predicted Nos will score 20% versus 70% - with 10% undecided.
MOAS predicted 33% versus 67%
Final results was 32 versus 68%
Quote from: yulemsee on August 02, 2022, 12:58:25 PM
Is Tom Wolf at Tifa credible?
According to a survey conducted by TIFA Research, Raila Odinga is the most preferred presidential candidate in Nairobi County at 52% followed by William Ruto at 34% #TIFAResearchPoll pic.twitter.com/t7FRgDJZkE
— TIFA Research (@TifaResearch) August 2, 2022
?t=NhYgluOESxUuMBiNEERv2Q&s=19
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: gout on August 02, 2022, 02:14:05 PM: Raila is leading in Nyandarua :D :D :D :D
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 03:07:32 PM: That is only way they can make those ridiculous claim.
Quote from: gout on August 02, 2022, 02:14:05 PM
Raila is leading in Nyandarua :D :D :D :D
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: KenyanPlato on August 02, 2022, 03:08:30 PM: https://ntvkenya.co.ke/elections/nmg-sponsored-poll-puts-raila-at-49-ruto-second-at-41-per-cent/

ruto is going home
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 03:09:25 PM: Nairobi I dont see such a big gap happening. Max Raila will beat Ruto by 10 percent. But we have six days to go
Quote from: yulemsee on August 02, 2022, 01:45:54 PM
According to a survey conducted by TIFA Research, Raila Odinga is the most preferred presidential candidate in Nairobi County at 52% followed by William Ruto at 34% #TIFAResearchPoll pic.twitter.com/t7FRgDJZkE
— TIFA Research (@TifaResearch) August 2, 2022
?t=NhYgluOESxUuMBiNEERv2Q&s=19
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 03:10:15 PM: NMG=InfoTrak=Raila's propaganda wing.
Quote from: KenyanPlato on August 02, 2022, 03:08:30 PM
https://ntvkenya.co.ke/elections/nmg-sponsored-poll-puts-raila-at-49-ruto-second-at-41-per-cent/

ruto is going home
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: Nefertiti on August 02, 2022, 05:17:00 PM: This is possible, your Ruto 85% is hearsay. Kikuyus will split fairly.

Nyandarua even majority MPs are Jubilee... most Azimionated Mt Kenya county followed by Murang'a and Kiambu.

Quote from: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 03:07:32 PM
That is only way they can make those ridiculous claim.
Quote from: gout on August 02, 2022, 02:14:05 PM
Raila is leading in Nyandarua :D :D :D :D
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: Nefertiti on August 02, 2022, 05:20:25 PM: Nairobi if you consider demographics: it easy to see how Raila is ahead. Suburban women who like Karua.

Quote from: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 03:09:25 PM
Nairobi I dont see such a big gap happening. Max Raila will beat Ruto by 10 percent. But we have six days to go
Title: Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
Post by: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 07:15:27 PM: Nairobi is hustler nation HQ. The whole narrative appeal to urban poor. Middle class/suburban Nairobi are so few - almost half of Nairobi are slum dweller - about next 40 percent lower middle class - and maybe 10 percent are middle class.
Quote from: Robina on August 02, 2022, 05:20:25 PM
Nairobi if you consider demographics: it easy to see how Raila is ahead. Suburban women who like Karua.

Quote from: RV Pundit on August 02, 2022, 03:09:25 PM
Nairobi I dont see such a big gap happening. Max Raila will beat Ruto by 10 percent. But we have six days to go