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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on July 16, 2022, 08:44:19 PM
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PREDICTED PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 9 AUGUST 2022
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Source: MOTHER OF ALL SPREADSHEET by Rv Pundit
NATIONAL SUMMARY
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Registered voters: 22,199,312
Votes Expected To Be Cast: 16,072,665 72% - weighted historical average without cleaning register will see 5% drop of turnout.
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Candidate Party Votes %
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William Ruto UDA 8,772,405 55%
Raila Odinga AZIMIO 7,058,158 44%
Others OTHERS 242,100 2% - Wajackoyah will score 1.7% - Mwaura 0.3%.
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Total 16,072,665
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Lowest Ruto will do is 54% of 8.5M; Lowest Raila will do is 6.9M of 43% - factoring all plausible Shenagians.
Highest Ruto will do is 56% of 9M; Highest Raila will do is 7.2M of 45% - if election is free & fair
The numbers settles at 55% of 8.7M for Ruto and 44% of 7M for RAILA
The counties breakdown - including projected turnout see below
*minor edit - meru/nyeri fixed.
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The Senate Prediction
Party
UDA 26
ODM 10
JUBILEE 2
WIPER 3
UDM 4
FORDK 1
NRA 1
TOTAL 47
CODE COUNTY PREDICTED WINNER PARTY
1 MOMBASA ODM
2 KWALE UDA
3 KILIFI ODM
4 TANA RIVER UDA
5 LAMU UDA
6 TAITA TAVETA JUBILEE
7 GARISSA JUBILEE
8 WAJIR UDA
9 MANDERA UDM
10 MARSABIT UDM
11 ISIOLO UDM
12 MERU UDA
13 THARAKA-NITHI UDA
14 EMBU UDA
15 KITUI WIPER
16 MACHAKOS WIPER
17 MAKUENI WIPER
18 NYANDARUA UDA
19 NYERI UDA
20 KIRINYAGA UDA
21 MURANG'A UDA
22 KIAMBU UDA
23 TURKANA UDA
24 WEST POKOT UDA
25 SAMBURU UDA
26 TRANS NZOIA UDA
27 UASIN GISHU UDA
28 ELGEYO/MARAKWET UDA
29 NANDI UDA
30 BARINGO UDA
31 LAIKIPIA UDA
32 NAKURU UDA
33 NAROK UDA
34 KAJIADO UDA
35 KERICHO UDA
36 BOMET UDA
37 KAKAMEGA UDA
38 VIHIGA ODM
39 BUNGOMA FORDK
40 BUSIA NRA
41 SIAYA ODM
42 KISUMU ODM
43 HOMA BAY ODM
44 MIGORI ODM
45 KISII ODM
46 NYAMIRA ODM
47 NAIROBI CITY ODM
Total 47
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The COUNTY WOMEN MP PREDICTION
Party
UDA 26
ODM 10
WIPER 4
JUBILEE 2
UDM 2
FORDK 1
KANU 1
OTHER 1
47
The COUNTY WOMEN MP
CODE COUNTY PREDICTED WINNER PARTY
1 MOMBASA ODM
2 KWALE UDA
3 KILIFI ODM
4 TANA RIVER UDA
5 LAMU UDA
6 TAITA TAVETA UDA
7 GARISSA UDM
8 WAJIR OTHER
9 MANDERA UDM
10 MARSABIT UDA
11 ISIOLO JUBILEE
12 MERU UDA
13 THARAKA-NITHI UDA
14 EMBU UDA
15 KITUI WIPER
16 MACHAKOS WIPER
17 MAKUENI WIPER
18 NYANDARUA UDA
19 NYERI UDA
20 KIRINYAGA UDA
21 MURANG'A UDA
22 KIAMBU UDA
23 TURKANA UDA
24 WEST POKOT UDA
25 SAMBURU KANU
26 TRANS NZOIA UDA
27 UASIN GISHU UDA
28 ELGEYO/MARAKWET UDA
29 NANDI UDA
30 BARINGO UDA
31 LAIKIPIA UDA
32 NAKURU UDA
33 NAROK UDA
34 KAJIADO UDA
35 KERICHO UDA
36 BOMET UDA
37 KAKAMEGA ODM
38 VIHIGA ODM
39 BUNGOMA FORDK
40 BUSIA ODM
41 SIAYA ODM
42 KISUMU ODM
43 HOMA BAY ODM
44 MIGORI ODM
45 KISII WIPER
46 NYAMIRA JUBILEE
47 NAIROBI CITY ODM
Total 47
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The Final Governor Race Prediction
Party
UDA 24
ODM 8
UDM 3
WIPER 3
JUBILEE 2
ANC 2
FORDK 2
UPA 1
INDEPENDENT 2
TOTAL 47
CODE COUNTY PREDICTED WINNER PARTY
1 MOMBASA UDA
2 KWALE UDA
3 KILIFI ODM
4 TANA RIVER UDA
5 LAMU ANC
6 TAITA TAVETA JUBILEE
7 GARISSA ODM
8 WAJIR JUBILEE
9 MANDERA UDM
10 MARSABIT UDM
11 ISIOLO INDEPENDENT
12 MERU UDA
13 THARAKA-NITHI UDA
14 EMBU UDA
15 KITUI WIPER
16 MACHAKOS WIPER
17 MAKUENI WIPER
18 NYANDARUA UDA
19 NYERI UDA
20 KIRINYAGA UDA
21 MURANG'A UDA
22 KIAMBU UDA
23 TURKANA UDA
24 WEST POKOT UDA
25 SAMBURU UDA
26 TRANS NZOIA FORDK
27 UASIN GISHU UDA
28 ELGEYO/MARAKWET UDA
29 NANDI UDA
30 BARINGO UDA
31 LAIKIPIA UDA
32 NAKURU UDA
33 NAROK UDA
34 KAJIADO ODM
35 KERICHO UDA
36 BOMET UDA
37 KAKAMEGA ANC
38 VIHIGA ODM
39 BUNGOMA FORDK
40 BUSIA ODM
41 SIAYA UDM
42 KISUMU ODM
43 HOMA BAY INDEPENDENT
44 MIGORI ODM
45 KISII ODM
46 NYAMIRA UPA
47 NAIROBI CITY UDA
Total 47
(https://iili.io/Srvhsp.jpg) (https://freeimage.host/)
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The National Assembly Composition
UDA will get 180 - about 170 elected Mps (145 from const+26 from women rep+7 nomination slots)
Followed by ODM with - 67 total mps including 3 nominated
Uhuru's Jubilee and Wiper - will play around 25 mps - with single nomination slot.
PARTY NUMBER
UDA 172 7 181
ODM 64 3 67
WIPER 25 1 26
JUBILEE 26 1 25
ANC 15 1 16
FORDK 7 7
DAPK 3 3
CCM 1 1
UPA 1 1
MDG 2 2
OTHER 3 3
FEDERAL 1 1
IND 3 3
UDM 10 10
KUPS 2 2
KANU 1 1
336 12 349
COUNTY_NAME CONST CODE CONSTITUENCY_NAME MPS
MOMBASA 001 CHANGAMWE WIPER
MOMBASA 002 JOMVU ODM
MOMBASA 003 KISAUNI ODM
MOMBASA 004 NYALI UDA
MOMBASA 005 LIKONI ODM
MOMBASA 006 MVITA ODM
MOMBASA ODM
KWALE 007 MSAMBWENI UDA
KWALE 008 LUNGALUNGA UDA
KWALE 009 MATUGA ODM
KWALE 010 KINANGO UDA
KWALE UDA
KILIFI 011 KILIFI NORTH UDA
KILIFI 012 KILIFI SOUTH ODM
KILIFI 013 KALOLENI UDA
KILIFI 014 RABAI ODM
KILIFI 015 GANZE OTHER
KILIFI 016 MALINDI ODM
KILIFI 017 MAGARINI ODM
KILIFI ODM
TANA RIVER 018 GARSEN UDA
TANA RIVER 019 GALOLE UDA
TANA RIVER 020 BURA ODM
TANA RIVER UDA
LAMU 021 LAMU EAST ANC
LAMU 022 LAMU WEST JUBILEE
LAMU ANC
TAITA TAVETA 023 TAVETA JUBILEE
TAITA TAVETA 024 WUNDANYI WIPER
TAITA TAVETA 025 MWATATE JUBILEE
TAITA TAVETA 026 VOI WIPER
TAITA TAVETA ODM
GARISSA 027 GARISSA TOWNSHIP UDA
GARISSA 028 BALAMBALA UDA
GARISSA 029 LAGDERA UDM
GARISSA 030 DADAAB WIPER
GARISSA 031 FAFI JUBILEE
GARISSA 032 IJARA JUBILEE
GARISSA JUBILEE
WAJIR 033 WAJIR NORTH UDA
WAJIR 034 WAJIR EAST JUBILEE
WAJIR 035 TARBAJ ODM
WAJIR 036 WAJIR WEST UDM
WAJIR 037 ELDAS JUBILEE
WAJIR 038 WAJIR SOUTH UDM
WAJIR JUBILEE
MANDERA 039 MANDERA WEST UDM
MANDERA 040 BANISSA UDM
MANDERA 041 MANDERA NORTH UDM
MANDERA 042 MANDERA SOUTH JUBILEE
MANDERA 043 MANDERA EAST UDA
MANDERA 044 LAFEY JUBILEE
MANDERA UDM
MARSABIT 045 MOYALE JUBILEE
MARSABIT 046 NORTH HORR UDM
MARSABIT 047 SAKU JUBILEE
MARSABIT 048 LAISAMIS UDM
MARSABIT UDM
ISIOLO 049 ISIOLO NORTH OTHER
ISIOLO 050 ISIOLO SOUTH UDA
ISIOLO JUBILEE
MERU 051 IGEMBE SOUTH UDA
MERU 052 IGEMBE CENTRAL UDA
MERU 053 IGEMBE NORTH UDA
MERU 054 TIGANIA WEST UDA
MERU 055 TIGANIA EAST UDA
MERU 056 NORTH IMENTI IND
MERU 057 BUURI UDA
MERU 058 CENTRAL IMENTI UDA
MERU 059 SOUTH IMENTI JUBILEE
MERU UDA
THARAKA - NITHI 060 MAARA JUBILEE
THARAKA - NITHI 061 CHUKA/IGAMBANG'OMBE UDA
THARAKA - NITHI 062 THARAKA UDA
THARAKA - NITHI UDA
EMBU 063 MANYATTA UDA
EMBU 064 RUNYENJES UDA
EMBU 065 MBEERE SOUTH UDA
EMBU 066 MBEERE NORTH UDA
EMBU UDA
KITUI 067 MWINGI NORTH WIPER
KITUI 068 MWINGI WEST WIPER
KITUI 069 MWINGI CENTRAL WIPER
KITUI 070 KITUI WEST UDA
KITUI 071 KITUI RURAL WIPER
KITUI 072 KITUI CENTRAL UDA
KITUI 073 KITUI EAST WIPER
KITUI 074 KITUI SOUTH UDA
KITUI WIPER
MACHAKOS 075 MASINGA WIPER
MACHAKOS 076 YATTA WIPER
MACHAKOS 077 KANGUNDO WIPER
MACHAKOS 078 MATUNGULU WIPER
MACHAKOS 079 KATHIANI WIPER
MACHAKOS 080 MAVOKO WIPER
MACHAKOS 081 MACHAKOS TOWN UDA
MACHAKOS 082 MWALA WIPER
MACHAKOS WIPER
MAKUENI 083 MBOONI UDA
MAKUENI 084 KILOME WIPER
MAKUENI 085 KAITI OTHER
MAKUENI 086 MAKUENI WIPER
MAKUENI 087 KIBWEZI WEST WIPER
MAKUENI 088 KIBWEZI EAST UDA
MAKUENI WIPER
NYANDARUA 089 KINANGOP JUBILEE
NYANDARUA 090 KIPIPIRI UDA
NYANDARUA 091 OL KALOU UDA
NYANDARUA 092 OL JOROK UDA
NYANDARUA 093 NDARAGWA UDA
NYANDARUA UDA
NYERI 094 TETU UDA
NYERI 095 KIENI UDA
NYERI 096 MATHIRA UDA
NYERI 097 OTHAYA JUBILEE
NYERI 098 MUKURWEINI UDA
NYERI 099 NYERI TOWN UDA
NYERI UDA
KIRINYAGA 100 MWEA UDA
KIRINYAGA 101 GICHUGU UDA
KIRINYAGA 102 NDIA UDA
KIRINYAGA 103 KIRINYAGA CENTRAL UDA
KIRINYAGA UDA
MURANG'A 104 KANGEMA UDA
MURANG'A 105 MATHIOYA UDA
MURANG'A 106 KIHARU UDA
MURANG'A 107 KIGUMO UDA
MURANG'A 108 MARAGWA UDA
MURANG'A 109 KANDARA UDA
MURANG'A 110 GATANGA UDA
MURANG'A UDA
KIAMBU 111 GATUNDU SOUTH UDA
KIAMBU 112 GATUNDU NORTH JUBILEE
KIAMBU 113 JUJA JUBILEE
KIAMBU 114 THIKA TOWN UDA
KIAMBU 115 RUIRU UDA
KIAMBU 116 GITHUNGURI UDA
KIAMBU 117 KIAMBU JUBILEE
KIAMBU 118 KIAMBAA UDA
KIAMBU 119 KABETE UDA
KIAMBU 120 KIKUYU UDA
KIAMBU 121 LIMURU UDA
KIAMBU 122 LARI UDA
KIAMBU UDA
TURKANA 123 TURKANA NORTH UDA
TURKANA 124 TURKANA WEST ODM
TURKANA 125 TURKANA CENTRAL JUBILEE
TURKANA 126 LOIMA UDA
TURKANA 127 TURKANA SOUTH ODM
TURKANA 128 TURKANA EAST UDA
TURKANA UDA
WEST POKOT 129 KAPENGURIA UDA
WEST POKOT 130 SIGOR UDA
WEST POKOT 131 KACHELIBA UDA
WEST POKOT 132 POKOT SOUTH KUPS
WEST POKOT UDA
SAMBURU 133 SAMBURU WEST UDA
SAMBURU 134 SAMBURU NORTH UDA
SAMBURU 135 SAMBURU EAST UDA
SAMBURU UDA
TRANS NZOIA 136 KWANZA FORDK
TRANS NZOIA 137 ENDEBESS UDA
TRANS NZOIA 138 SABOTI UDA
TRANS NZOIA 139 KIMININI DAPK
TRANS NZOIA 140 CHERANGANY UDA
TRANS NZOIA FORDK
UASIN GISHU 141 SOY UDA
UASIN GISHU 142 TURBO UDA
UASIN GISHU 143 MOIBEN UDA
UASIN GISHU 144 AINABKOI UDA
UASIN GISHU 145 KAPSERET UDA
UASIN GISHU 146 KESSES UDA
UASIN GISHU UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 147 MARAKWET EAST UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 148 MARAKWET WEST UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 149 KEIYO NORTH UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 150 KEIYO SOUTH UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET UDA
NANDI 151 TINDERET UDA
NANDI 152 ALDAI UDA
NANDI 153 NANDI HILLS UDA
NANDI 154 CHESUMEI UDA
NANDI 155 EMGWEN UDA
NANDI 156 MOSOP UDA
NANDI UDA
BARINGO 157 TIATY KUPS
BARINGO 158 BARINGO NORTH UDA
BARINGO 159 BARINGO CENTRAL UDA
BARINGO 160 BARINGO SOUTH UDA
BARINGO 161 MOGOTIO UDA
BARINGO 162 ELDAMA RAVINE UDA
BARINGO UDA
LAIKIPIA 163 LAIKIPIA WEST UDA
LAIKIPIA 164 LAIKIPIA EAST UDA
LAIKIPIA 165 LAIKIPIA NORTH JUBILEE
LAIKIPIA UDA
NAKURU 166 MOLO UDA
NAKURU 167 NJORO UDA
NAKURU 168 NAIVASHA IND
NAKURU 169 GILGIL UDA
NAKURU 170 KURESOI SOUTH UDA
NAKURU 171 KURESOI NORTH UDA
NAKURU 172 SUBUKIA UDA
NAKURU 173 RONGAI UDA
NAKURU 174 BAHATI JUBILEE
NAKURU 175 NAKURU TOWN WEST UDA
NAKURU 176 NAKURU TOWN EAST UDA
NAKURU UDA
NAROK 177 KILGORIS KANU
NAROK 178 EMURUA DIKIRR UDA
NAROK 179 NAROK NORTH JUBILEE
NAROK 180 NAROK EAST UDA
NAROK 181 NAROK SOUTH UDA
NAROK 182 NAROK WEST UDA
NAROK UDA
KAJIADO 183 KAJIADO NORTH UDA
KAJIADO 184 KAJIADO CENTRAL UDA
KAJIADO 185 KAJIADO EAST UDA
KAJIADO 186 KAJIADO WEST UDA
KAJIADO 187 KAJIADO SOUTH UDA
KAJIADO UDA
KERICHO 188 KIPKELION EAST UDA
KERICHO 189 KIPKELION WEST UDA
KERICHO 190 AINAMOI UDA
KERICHO 191 BURETI UDA
KERICHO 192 BELGUT UDA
KERICHO 193 SIGOWET/SOIN IND
KERICHO UDA
BOMET 194 SOTIK UDA
BOMET 195 CHEPALUNGU CCM
BOMET 196 BOMET EAST UDA
BOMET 197 BOMET CENTRAL UDA
BOMET 198 KONOIN UDA
BOMET UDA
KAKAMEGA 199 LUGARI ANC
KAKAMEGA 200 LIKUYANI FORDK
KAKAMEGA 201 MALAVA ANC
KAKAMEGA 202 LURAMBI ANC
KAKAMEGA 203 NAVAKHOLO ANC
KAKAMEGA 204 MUMIAS WEST UDA
KAKAMEGA 205 MUMIAS EAST ANC
KAKAMEGA 206 MATUNGU ANC
KAKAMEGA 207 BUTERE ANC
KAKAMEGA 208 KHWISERO ODM
KAKAMEGA 209 SHINYALU ODM
KAKAMEGA 210 IKOLOMANI ODM
KAKAMEGA UDA
VIHIGA 211 VIHIGA ANC
VIHIGA 212 SABATIA ANC
VIHIGA 213 HAMISI ANC
VIHIGA 214 LUANDA ODM
VIHIGA 215 EMUHAYA ANC
VIHIGA ANC
BUNGOMA 216 MT. ELGON UDA
BUNGOMA 217 SIRISIA FORDK
BUNGOMA 218 KABUCHAI UDA
BUNGOMA 219 BUMULA DAPK
BUNGOMA 220 KANDUYI FORDK
BUNGOMA 221 WEBUYE EAST FORDK
BUNGOMA 222 WEBUYE WEST DAPK
BUNGOMA 223 KIMILILI FORDK
BUNGOMA 224 TONGAREN UDA
BUNGOMA FORK
BUSIA 225 TESO NORTH UDA
BUSIA 226 TESO SOUTH ODM
BUSIA 227 NAMBALE ANC
BUSIA 228 MATAYOS ODM
BUSIA 229 BUTULA ODM
BUSIA 230 FUNYULA ODM
BUSIA 231 BUDALANGI ODM
BUSIA ODM
SIAYA 232 UGENYA MDG
SIAYA 233 UGUNJA ODM
SIAYA 234 ALEGO USONGA ODM
SIAYA 235 GEM ODM
SIAYA 236 BONDO ODM
SIAYA 237 RARIEDA ODM
SIAYA ODM
KISUMU 238 KISUMU EAST ODM
KISUMU 239 KISUMU WEST MDG
KISUMU 240 KISUMU CENTRAL ODM
KISUMU 241 SEME ODM
KISUMU 242 NYANDO ODM
KISUMU 243 MUHORONI ODM
KISUMU 244 NYAKACH ODM
KISUMU ODM
HOMA BAY 245 KASIPUL ODM
HOMA BAY 246 KABONDO KASIPUL ODM
HOMA BAY 247 KARACHUONYO ODM
HOMA BAY 248 RANGWE ODM
HOMA BAY 249 HOMA BAY TOWN ODM
HOMA BAY 250 NDHIWA ODM
HOMA BAY 251 SUBA NORTH FEDERAL
HOMA BAY 252 SUBA SOUTH ODM
HOMA BAY ODM
MIGORI 253 RONGO ODM
MIGORI 254 AWENDO ODM
MIGORI 255 SUNA EAST ODM
MIGORI 256 SUNA WEST ODM
MIGORI 257 URIRI ODM
MIGORI 258 NYATIKE ODM
MIGORI 259 KURIA WEST UDA
MIGORI 260 KURIA EAST UDA
MIGORI ODM
KISII 261 BONCHARI ODM
KISII 262 SOUTH MUGIRANGO UDA
KISII 263 BOMACHOGE BORABU UDA
KISII 264 BOBASI WIPER
KISII 265 BOMACHOGE CHACHE UDA
KISII 266 NYARIBARI MASABA ODM
KISII 267 NYARIBARI CHACHE UDA
KISII 268 KITUTU CHACHE NORTH UDA
KISII 269 KITUTU CHACHE SOUTH ODM
KISII WIPER
NYAMIRA 270 KITUTU MASABA UDA
NYAMIRA 271 WEST MUGIRANGO UPA
NYAMIRA 272 NORTH MUGIRANGO UDA
NYAMIRA 273 BORABU ODM
NYAMIRA JUBILEE
NAIROBI CITY 274 WESTLANDS ODM
NAIROBI CITY 275 DAGORETTI NORTH ODM
NAIROBI CITY 276 DAGORETTI SOUTH UDA
NAIROBI CITY 277 LANGATA UDA
NAIROBI CITY 278 KIBRA UDA
NAIROBI CITY 279 ROYSAMBU UDA
NAIROBI CITY 280 KASARANI UDA
NAIROBI CITY 281 RUARAKA ODM
NAIROBI CITY 282 EMBAKASI SOUTH WIPER
NAIROBI CITY 283 EMBAKASI NORTH UDA
NAIROBI CITY 284 EMBAKASI CENTRAL UDA
NAIROBI CITY 285 EMBAKASI EAST UDA
NAIROBI CITY 286 EMBAKASI WEST UDA
NAIROBI CITY 287 MAKADARA ODM
NAIROBI CITY 288 KAMUKUNJI UDA
NAIROBI CITY 289 STAREHE UDA
NAIROBI CITY 290 MATHARE ODM
NAIROBI CITY ODM
PARTY NUMBER
UDA 172 7 181
ODM 64 3 67
WIPER 25 1 26
JUBILEE 26 1 25
ANC 15 1 16
FORDK 7 7
DAPK 3 3
CCM 1 1
UPA 1 1
MDG 2 2
OTHER 3 3
FEDERAL 1 1
IND 3 3
UDM 10 10
KUPS 2 2
KANU 1 1
336 12 349
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PARLIAMENT - NA & SENATE
Finally this how parliament & senate will look like.
National Assembly
Kenya Kwanza will control 210 Mps; verus Azimio 135; with about 4 independents.
Senate
Kenya Kwanza will have 39 senators against Azimio 28 senators
Elected Senators 27 for KK - and 20 for Azimio
(https://iili.io/Sb8wkG.png)
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MOASS 2022 Super-thread.
https://nipate.net/index.php?topic=10543.0
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Updates on 07/08/2022
1) Senate - Wajir - UDM instead of ODM - UDM
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Analysis
1) Presidential race is now 55% versus 44% - Ruto could score as high as 57% - but I think Uhuru will try to rig a few - so I will leave at it.
2) Counties/Senate/Women - 27/28 for KK versus 17-21 for Azimio - 43% versus 57%.
3) National Assembly - KK (210) - 60% of parliament - versus 39% for Azimio(135) - with 1% for others/independent.
Mainstream Opinion pollster will lose their face like they did in 2010..when they underestimated Ruto by 10-17% point.
IRS and Mizani will shine.
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Adding some graphis
(https://iili.io/UN8fr7.md.png)
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The National Assembly Composition
UDA will get 180 - about 170 elected Mps (145 from const+26 from women rep+7 nomination slots)
Followed by ODM with - 67 total mps including 3 nominated
Uhuru's Jubilee and Wiper - will play around 25 mps - with single nomination slot.
PARTY NUMBER
UDA 172 7 181
ODM 64 3 67
WIPER 25 1 26
JUBILEE 26 1 25
ANC 15 1 16
FORDK 7 7
DAPK 3 3
CCM 1 1
UPA 1 1
MDG 2 2
OTHER 3 3
FEDERAL 1 1
IND 3 3
UDM 10 10
KUPS 2 2
KANU 1 1
336 12 349
COUNTY_NAME CONST CODE CONSTITUENCY_NAME MPS
MOMBASA 001 CHANGAMWE WIPER
MOMBASA 002 JOMVU ODM
MOMBASA 003 KISAUNI ODM
MOMBASA 004 NYALI UDA
MOMBASA 005 LIKONI ODM
MOMBASA 006 MVITA ODM
MOMBASA ODM
KWALE 007 MSAMBWENI UDA
KWALE 008 LUNGALUNGA UDA
KWALE 009 MATUGA ODM
KWALE 010 KINANGO UDA
KWALE UDA
KILIFI 011 KILIFI NORTH UDA
KILIFI 012 KILIFI SOUTH ODM
KILIFI 013 KALOLENI UDA
KILIFI 014 RABAI ODM
KILIFI 015 GANZE OTHER
KILIFI 016 MALINDI ODM
KILIFI 017 MAGARINI ODM
KILIFI ODM
TANA RIVER 018 GARSEN UDA
TANA RIVER 019 GALOLE UDA
TANA RIVER 020 BURA ODM
TANA RIVER UDA
LAMU 021 LAMU EAST ANC
LAMU 022 LAMU WEST JUBILEE
LAMU ANC
TAITA TAVETA 023 TAVETA JUBILEE
TAITA TAVETA 024 WUNDANYI WIPER
TAITA TAVETA 025 MWATATE JUBILEE
TAITA TAVETA 026 VOI WIPER
TAITA TAVETA ODM
GARISSA 027 GARISSA TOWNSHIP UDA
GARISSA 028 BALAMBALA UDA
GARISSA 029 LAGDERA UDM
GARISSA 030 DADAAB WIPER
GARISSA 031 FAFI JUBILEE
GARISSA 032 IJARA JUBILEE
GARISSA JUBILEE
WAJIR 033 WAJIR NORTH UDA
WAJIR 034 WAJIR EAST JUBILEE
WAJIR 035 TARBAJ ODM
WAJIR 036 WAJIR WEST UDM
WAJIR 037 ELDAS JUBILEE
WAJIR 038 WAJIR SOUTH UDM
WAJIR JUBILEE
MANDERA 039 MANDERA WEST UDM
MANDERA 040 BANISSA UDM
MANDERA 041 MANDERA NORTH UDM
MANDERA 042 MANDERA SOUTH JUBILEE
MANDERA 043 MANDERA EAST UDA
MANDERA 044 LAFEY JUBILEE
MANDERA UDM
MARSABIT 045 MOYALE JUBILEE
MARSABIT 046 NORTH HORR UDM
MARSABIT 047 SAKU JUBILEE
MARSABIT 048 LAISAMIS UDM
MARSABIT UDM
ISIOLO 049 ISIOLO NORTH OTHER
ISIOLO 050 ISIOLO SOUTH UDA
ISIOLO JUBILEE
MERU 051 IGEMBE SOUTH UDA
MERU 052 IGEMBE CENTRAL UDA
MERU 053 IGEMBE NORTH UDA
MERU 054 TIGANIA WEST UDA
MERU 055 TIGANIA EAST UDA
MERU 056 NORTH IMENTI IND
MERU 057 BUURI UDA
MERU 058 CENTRAL IMENTI UDA
MERU 059 SOUTH IMENTI JUBILEE
MERU UDA
THARAKA - NITHI 060 MAARA JUBILEE
THARAKA - NITHI 061 CHUKA/IGAMBANG'OMBE UDA
THARAKA - NITHI 062 THARAKA UDA
THARAKA - NITHI UDA
EMBU 063 MANYATTA UDA
EMBU 064 RUNYENJES UDA
EMBU 065 MBEERE SOUTH UDA
EMBU 066 MBEERE NORTH UDA
EMBU UDA
KITUI 067 MWINGI NORTH WIPER
KITUI 068 MWINGI WEST WIPER
KITUI 069 MWINGI CENTRAL WIPER
KITUI 070 KITUI WEST UDA
KITUI 071 KITUI RURAL WIPER
KITUI 072 KITUI CENTRAL UDA
KITUI 073 KITUI EAST WIPER
KITUI 074 KITUI SOUTH UDA
KITUI WIPER
MACHAKOS 075 MASINGA WIPER
MACHAKOS 076 YATTA WIPER
MACHAKOS 077 KANGUNDO WIPER
MACHAKOS 078 MATUNGULU WIPER
MACHAKOS 079 KATHIANI WIPER
MACHAKOS 080 MAVOKO WIPER
MACHAKOS 081 MACHAKOS TOWN UDA
MACHAKOS 082 MWALA WIPER
MACHAKOS WIPER
MAKUENI 083 MBOONI UDA
MAKUENI 084 KILOME WIPER
MAKUENI 085 KAITI OTHER
MAKUENI 086 MAKUENI WIPER
MAKUENI 087 KIBWEZI WEST WIPER
MAKUENI 088 KIBWEZI EAST UDA
MAKUENI WIPER
NYANDARUA 089 KINANGOP JUBILEE
NYANDARUA 090 KIPIPIRI UDA
NYANDARUA 091 OL KALOU UDA
NYANDARUA 092 OL JOROK UDA
NYANDARUA 093 NDARAGWA UDA
NYANDARUA UDA
NYERI 094 TETU UDA
NYERI 095 KIENI UDA
NYERI 096 MATHIRA UDA
NYERI 097 OTHAYA JUBILEE
NYERI 098 MUKURWEINI UDA
NYERI 099 NYERI TOWN UDA
NYERI UDA
KIRINYAGA 100 MWEA UDA
KIRINYAGA 101 GICHUGU UDA
KIRINYAGA 102 NDIA UDA
KIRINYAGA 103 KIRINYAGA CENTRAL UDA
KIRINYAGA UDA
MURANG'A 104 KANGEMA UDA
MURANG'A 105 MATHIOYA UDA
MURANG'A 106 KIHARU UDA
MURANG'A 107 KIGUMO UDA
MURANG'A 108 MARAGWA UDA
MURANG'A 109 KANDARA UDA
MURANG'A 110 GATANGA UDA
MURANG'A UDA
KIAMBU 111 GATUNDU SOUTH UDA
KIAMBU 112 GATUNDU NORTH JUBILEE
KIAMBU 113 JUJA JUBILEE
KIAMBU 114 THIKA TOWN UDA
KIAMBU 115 RUIRU UDA
KIAMBU 116 GITHUNGURI UDA
KIAMBU 117 KIAMBU JUBILEE
KIAMBU 118 KIAMBAA UDA
KIAMBU 119 KABETE UDA
KIAMBU 120 KIKUYU UDA
KIAMBU 121 LIMURU UDA
KIAMBU 122 LARI UDA
KIAMBU UDA
TURKANA 123 TURKANA NORTH UDA
TURKANA 124 TURKANA WEST ODM
TURKANA 125 TURKANA CENTRAL JUBILEE
TURKANA 126 LOIMA UDA
TURKANA 127 TURKANA SOUTH ODM
TURKANA 128 TURKANA EAST UDA
TURKANA UDA
WEST POKOT 129 KAPENGURIA UDA
WEST POKOT 130 SIGOR UDA
WEST POKOT 131 KACHELIBA UDA
WEST POKOT 132 POKOT SOUTH KUPS
WEST POKOT UDA
SAMBURU 133 SAMBURU WEST UDA
SAMBURU 134 SAMBURU NORTH UDA
SAMBURU 135 SAMBURU EAST UDA
SAMBURU UDA
TRANS NZOIA 136 KWANZA FORDK
TRANS NZOIA 137 ENDEBESS UDA
TRANS NZOIA 138 SABOTI UDA
TRANS NZOIA 139 KIMININI DAPK
TRANS NZOIA 140 CHERANGANY UDA
TRANS NZOIA FORDK
UASIN GISHU 141 SOY UDA
UASIN GISHU 142 TURBO UDA
UASIN GISHU 143 MOIBEN UDA
UASIN GISHU 144 AINABKOI UDA
UASIN GISHU 145 KAPSERET UDA
UASIN GISHU 146 KESSES UDA
UASIN GISHU UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 147 MARAKWET EAST UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 148 MARAKWET WEST UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 149 KEIYO NORTH UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET 150 KEIYO SOUTH UDA
ELGEYO/MARAKWET UDA
NANDI 151 TINDERET UDA
NANDI 152 ALDAI UDA
NANDI 153 NANDI HILLS UDA
NANDI 154 CHESUMEI UDA
NANDI 155 EMGWEN UDA
NANDI 156 MOSOP UDA
NANDI UDA
BARINGO 157 TIATY KUPS
BARINGO 158 BARINGO NORTH UDA
BARINGO 159 BARINGO CENTRAL UDA
BARINGO 160 BARINGO SOUTH UDA
BARINGO 161 MOGOTIO UDA
BARINGO 162 ELDAMA RAVINE UDA
BARINGO UDA
LAIKIPIA 163 LAIKIPIA WEST UDA
LAIKIPIA 164 LAIKIPIA EAST UDA
LAIKIPIA 165 LAIKIPIA NORTH JUBILEE
LAIKIPIA UDA
NAKURU 166 MOLO UDA
NAKURU 167 NJORO UDA
NAKURU 168 NAIVASHA IND
NAKURU 169 GILGIL UDA
NAKURU 170 KURESOI SOUTH UDA
NAKURU 171 KURESOI NORTH UDA
NAKURU 172 SUBUKIA UDA
NAKURU 173 RONGAI UDA
NAKURU 174 BAHATI JUBILEE
NAKURU 175 NAKURU TOWN WEST UDA
NAKURU 176 NAKURU TOWN EAST UDA
NAKURU UDA
NAROK 177 KILGORIS KANU
NAROK 178 EMURUA DIKIRR UDA
NAROK 179 NAROK NORTH JUBILEE
NAROK 180 NAROK EAST UDA
NAROK 181 NAROK SOUTH UDA
NAROK 182 NAROK WEST UDA
NAROK UDA
KAJIADO 183 KAJIADO NORTH UDA
KAJIADO 184 KAJIADO CENTRAL UDA
KAJIADO 185 KAJIADO EAST UDA
KAJIADO 186 KAJIADO WEST UDA
KAJIADO 187 KAJIADO SOUTH UDA
KAJIADO UDA
KERICHO 188 KIPKELION EAST UDA
KERICHO 189 KIPKELION WEST UDA
KERICHO 190 AINAMOI UDA
KERICHO 191 BURETI UDA
KERICHO 192 BELGUT UDA
KERICHO 193 SIGOWET/SOIN IND
KERICHO UDA
BOMET 194 SOTIK UDA
BOMET 195 CHEPALUNGU CCM
BOMET 196 BOMET EAST UDA
BOMET 197 BOMET CENTRAL UDA
BOMET 198 KONOIN UDA
BOMET UDA
KAKAMEGA 199 LUGARI ANC
KAKAMEGA 200 LIKUYANI FORDK
KAKAMEGA 201 MALAVA ANC
KAKAMEGA 202 LURAMBI ANC
KAKAMEGA 203 NAVAKHOLO ANC
KAKAMEGA 204 MUMIAS WEST UDA
KAKAMEGA 205 MUMIAS EAST ANC
KAKAMEGA 206 MATUNGU ANC
KAKAMEGA 207 BUTERE ANC
KAKAMEGA 208 KHWISERO ODM
KAKAMEGA 209 SHINYALU ODM
KAKAMEGA 210 IKOLOMANI ODM
KAKAMEGA UDA
VIHIGA 211 VIHIGA ANC
VIHIGA 212 SABATIA ANC
VIHIGA 213 HAMISI ANC
VIHIGA 214 LUANDA ODM
VIHIGA 215 EMUHAYA ANC
VIHIGA ANC
BUNGOMA 216 MT. ELGON UDA
BUNGOMA 217 SIRISIA FORDK
BUNGOMA 218 KABUCHAI UDA
BUNGOMA 219 BUMULA DAPK
BUNGOMA 220 KANDUYI FORDK
BUNGOMA 221 WEBUYE EAST FORDK
BUNGOMA 222 WEBUYE WEST DAPK
BUNGOMA 223 KIMILILI FORDK
BUNGOMA 224 TONGAREN UDA
BUNGOMA FORK
BUSIA 225 TESO NORTH UDA
BUSIA 226 TESO SOUTH ODM
BUSIA 227 NAMBALE ANC
BUSIA 228 MATAYOS ODM
BUSIA 229 BUTULA ODM
BUSIA 230 FUNYULA ODM
BUSIA 231 BUDALANGI ODM
BUSIA ODM
SIAYA 232 UGENYA MDG
SIAYA 233 UGUNJA ODM
SIAYA 234 ALEGO USONGA ODM
SIAYA 235 GEM ODM
SIAYA 236 BONDO ODM
SIAYA 237 RARIEDA ODM
SIAYA ODM
KISUMU 238 KISUMU EAST ODM
KISUMU 239 KISUMU WEST MDG
KISUMU 240 KISUMU CENTRAL ODM
KISUMU 241 SEME ODM
KISUMU 242 NYANDO ODM
KISUMU 243 MUHORONI ODM
KISUMU 244 NYAKACH ODM
KISUMU ODM
HOMA BAY 245 KASIPUL ODM
HOMA BAY 246 KABONDO KASIPUL ODM
HOMA BAY 247 KARACHUONYO ODM
HOMA BAY 248 RANGWE ODM
HOMA BAY 249 HOMA BAY TOWN ODM
HOMA BAY 250 NDHIWA ODM
HOMA BAY 251 SUBA NORTH FEDERAL
HOMA BAY 252 SUBA SOUTH ODM
HOMA BAY ODM
MIGORI 253 RONGO ODM
MIGORI 254 AWENDO ODM
MIGORI 255 SUNA EAST ODM
MIGORI 256 SUNA WEST ODM
MIGORI 257 URIRI ODM
MIGORI 258 NYATIKE ODM
MIGORI 259 KURIA WEST UDA
MIGORI 260 KURIA EAST UDA
MIGORI ODM
KISII 261 BONCHARI ODM
KISII 262 SOUTH MUGIRANGO UDA
KISII 263 BOMACHOGE BORABU UDA
KISII 264 BOBASI WIPER
KISII 265 BOMACHOGE CHACHE UDA
KISII 266 NYARIBARI MASABA ODM
KISII 267 NYARIBARI CHACHE UDA
KISII 268 KITUTU CHACHE NORTH UDA
KISII 269 KITUTU CHACHE SOUTH ODM
KISII WIPER
NYAMIRA 270 KITUTU MASABA UDA
NYAMIRA 271 WEST MUGIRANGO UPA
NYAMIRA 272 NORTH MUGIRANGO UDA
NYAMIRA 273 BORABU ODM
NYAMIRA JUBILEE
NAIROBI CITY 274 WESTLANDS ODM
NAIROBI CITY 275 DAGORETTI NORTH ODM
NAIROBI CITY 276 DAGORETTI SOUTH UDA
NAIROBI CITY 277 LANGATA UDA
NAIROBI CITY 278 KIBRA UDA
NAIROBI CITY 279 ROYSAMBU UDA
NAIROBI CITY 280 KASARANI UDA
NAIROBI CITY 281 RUARAKA ODM
NAIROBI CITY 282 EMBAKASI SOUTH WIPER
NAIROBI CITY 283 EMBAKASI NORTH UDA
NAIROBI CITY 284 EMBAKASI CENTRAL UDA
NAIROBI CITY 285 EMBAKASI EAST UDA
NAIROBI CITY 286 EMBAKASI WEST UDA
NAIROBI CITY 287 MAKADARA ODM
NAIROBI CITY 288 KAMUKUNJI UDA
NAIROBI CITY 289 STAREHE UDA
NAIROBI CITY 290 MATHARE ODM
NAIROBI CITY ODM
PARTY NUMBER
UDA 172 7 181
ODM 64 3 67
WIPER 25 1 26
JUBILEE 26 1 25
ANC 15 1 16
FORDK 7 7
DAPK 3 3
CCM 1 1
UPA 1 1
MDG 2 2
OTHER 3 3
FEDERAL 1 1
IND 3 3
UDM 10 10
KUPS 2 2
KANU 1 1
336 12 349
8) this random sample you got 50% wrong
NYAMIRA 271 WEST MUGIRANGO UPA (goes to Jubilee)
NYAMIRA 270 KITUTU MASABA UDA (but ODM has won)
MARSABIT 047 SAKU JUBILEE (nope UDA has won)
MARSABIT 045 MOYALE JUBILEE (UPIA)
ISIOLO 050 ISIOLO SOUTH UDA (IND)
TRANS NZOIA 138 SABOTI UDA (ODM)
NYERI 097 OTHAYA JUBILEE (UDA)
-
Nitpicking.
Nairobi mess compensated by Jubilee sweeping mt kenya
I had predicted 10 or so - they got them in Nairobi
-
C minus
NAIROBI CITY 274 WESTLANDS ODM
NAIROBI CITY 275 DAGORETTI NORTH ODM
NAIROBI CITY 276 DAGORETTI SOUTH UDA (ODM)
NAIROBI CITY 277 LANGATA UDA (ODM)
NAIROBI CITY 278 KIBRA UDA (ODM... can't believe you thought Mariga had a chance)
NAIROBI CITY 279 ROYSAMBU UDA (ODM)
NAIROBI CITY 280 KASARANI UDA (IND)
NAIROBI CITY 281 RUARAKA ODM
NAIROBI CITY 282 EMBAKASI SOUTH WIPER
NAIROBI CITY 283 EMBAKASI NORTH UDA
NAIROBI CITY 284 EMBAKASI CENTRAL UDA
NAIROBI CITY 285 EMBAKASI EAST UDA
NAIROBI CITY 286 EMBAKASI WEST UDA (Jubilee Mwenje duhh)
NAIROBI CITY 287 MAKADARA ODM
NAIROBI CITY 288 KAMUKUNJI UDA (Jubilee)
NAIROBI CITY 289 STAREHE UDA (Jubilee)
NAIROBI CITY 290 MATHARE ODM
NAIROBI CITY ODM
The National Assembly Composition
NAIROBI CITY 274 WESTLANDS ODM
NAIROBI CITY 275 DAGORETTI NORTH ODM
NAIROBI CITY 276 DAGORETTI SOUTH UDA
NAIROBI CITY 277 LANGATA UDA
NAIROBI CITY 278 KIBRA UDA
NAIROBI CITY 279 ROYSAMBU UDA
NAIROBI CITY 280 KASARANI UDA
NAIROBI CITY 281 RUARAKA ODM
NAIROBI CITY 282 EMBAKASI SOUTH WIPER
NAIROBI CITY 283 EMBAKASI NORTH UDA
NAIROBI CITY 284 EMBAKASI CENTRAL UDA
NAIROBI CITY 285 EMBAKASI EAST UDA
NAIROBI CITY 286 EMBAKASI WEST UDA
NAIROBI CITY 287 MAKADARA ODM
NAIROBI CITY 288 KAMUKUNJI UDA
NAIROBI CITY 289 STAREHE UDA
NAIROBI CITY 290 MATHARE ODM
NAIROBI CITY ODM
PARTY NUMBER
UDA 172 7 181
ODM 64 3 67
WIPER 25 1 26
JUBILEE 26 1 25
ANC 15 1 16
FORDK 7 7
DAPK 3 3
CCM 1 1
UPA 1 1
MDG 2 2
OTHER 3 3
FEDERAL 1 1
IND 3 3
UDM 10 10
KUPS 2 2
KANU 1 1
336 12 349
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Nitpicking.
Nairobi mess compensated by Jubilee sweeping mt kenya
I had predicted 10 or so - they got them in Nairobi
KK has 3 vs 13 Azimio.. that worse performance than Ambitho
-
UDA swept the board in Mt kenya - that pretty means I overstimated Uhuru; 25 mps look impossible; he has 2 or 3 in Nairobi; one in Kisii; and therefore 15 is hard kidogo
KK has 3 vs 13 Azimio.. that worse performance than Ambitho
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Really? at the Nairobi rate i doubt it. Let see by end of day.
UDA swept the board in Mt kenya - that pretty means I overstimated Uhuru; 25 mps look impossible; he has 2 or 3 in Nairobi; one in Kisii; and therefore 15 is hard kidogo
KK has 3 vs 13 Azimio.. that worse performance than Ambitho
-
Pundit what do you mean by "Nairobi mess"? KK had a steel UDA front but fell flat.
-
UDA underperform in Nairobi - I expected them to get 9/8 seats - they may end up with 3/4 - but they elsewhere they are doing fine
Pundit what do you mean by "Nairobi mess"? KK had a steel UDA front but fell flat.
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Kakamega rout so far https://nation.africa/kenya/news/politics/unique-map-as-azimio-uda-paint-kenya-blue-and-yellow-3910572
KAKAMEGA 199 LUGARI ANC Nabii Nabwera -Lugari (ODM)
KAKAMEGA 200 LIKUYANI FORDK Innocent Mugabe - Likuyani (ODM)
KAKAMEGA 201 MALAVA ANC
KAKAMEGA 202 LURAMBI ANC Titus Khamala -Lurambi (ODM)
KAKAMEGA 203 NAVAKHOLO ANC Emmanuel Wangwe - Navakholo (ODM) -- duhhh
KAKAMEGA 204 MUMIAS WEST UDA Johnson Naicca - Mumias West (ODM) -- wapi Echesa 8)
KAKAMEGA 205 MUMIAS EAST ANC
KAKAMEGA 206 MATUNGU ANC Oscar Nabulindo - Matungu (ODM) --duhhh
KAKAMEGA 207 BUTERE ANC Tindi Mwale - Butere (ODM)
KAKAMEGA 208 KHWISERO ODM
KAKAMEGA 209 SHINYALU ODM Fred Akana - Shinyalu (ANC)
KAKAMEGA 210 IKOLOMANI ODM
KAKAMEGA UDA
The National Assembly Composition
KAKAMEGA 199 LUGARI ANC
KAKAMEGA 200 LIKUYANI FORDK
KAKAMEGA 201 MALAVA ANC
KAKAMEGA 202 LURAMBI ANC
KAKAMEGA 203 NAVAKHOLO ANC
KAKAMEGA 204 MUMIAS WEST UDA
KAKAMEGA 205 MUMIAS EAST ANC
KAKAMEGA 206 MATUNGU ANC
KAKAMEGA 207 BUTERE ANC
KAKAMEGA 208 KHWISERO ODM
KAKAMEGA 209 SHINYALU ODM
KAKAMEGA 210 IKOLOMANI ODM
KAKAMEGA UDA
-
KK 2 vs 14 Azimio. I won't be surprised if Sakaja loses.
UDA underperform in Nairobi - I expected them to get 9/8 seats - they may end up with 3/4 - but they elsewhere they are doing fine
Pundit what do you mean by "Nairobi mess"? KK had a steel UDA front but fell flat.
-
Kakamega so far ANC 2 vs ODM 9.. won't be surprised if Khalwale loses.
UDA ZERO 8)
-
Only Rashid of UDA had a chance here. ANC has underperformed.
Kakamega so far ANC 2 vs ODM 9.. won't be surprised if Khalwale loses.
UDA ZERO 8)
-
MP - Generally ODM has done well in Western, Kajiado, Nairobi, Coast , slightly better in Gusii, seem to sweep Luo Nyanza - so they could go high as 75-80 mps
UDA - Mt Kenya and Kalenjin behemoth should easily take them to 40 percent of parliament - that 130 elected mps - before 20 something women mps - so plus half nominated
So UDA still looking good for 170-180
-
Now the thread is unlocked for your discuscion.
-
1st Turnout - I expected an historical average - to comedown to 72% - but it came down to 66%.
I had anticipated this would happen without manual register crossing the names
The decision by Court of Appeal to disallowing manual crossing removed massive rigging.
From the data the most massive rigging used to happen
1) Luo Nyanza - I would expect them be at 80% at worse - but 67% - indicate massive rigging of 13% used to happen.
2) Mt kenya - I think 5-10% percent.
3) NEP - will check
-
53 versus 46% with 55 const to go!
Look like we will be very close.
-
You got it wrong.
Azimio has governors of course they'll win mombasa and KK counties also controls national assembly...UDA only has Senate.
-
Once we get confirmed data - senate, governors, women rep, mps.
You got it wrong.
Azimio has governors of course they'll win mombasa and KK counties also controls national assembly...UDA only has Senate.
-
This one is how it looks like - I was suprised by earlier one that had ODM at 88 mps.
-
The COUNTY WOMEN MP PREDICTION
Party
UDA 26
ODM 10
WIPER 4
JUBILEE 2
UDM 2
FORDK 1
KANU 1
OTHER 1
47
The COUNTY WOMEN MP
CODE COUNTY PREDICTED WINNER PARTY
1 MOMBASA ODM
2 KWALE UDA
3 KILIFI ODM
4 TANA RIVER UDA
5 LAMU UDA
6 TAITA TAVETA UDA
7 GARISSA UDM
8 WAJIR OTHER
9 MANDERA UDM
10 MARSABIT UDA
11 ISIOLO JUBILEE
12 MERU UDA
13 THARAKA-NITHI UDA
14 EMBU UDA
15 KITUI WIPER
16 MACHAKOS WIPER
17 MAKUENI WIPER
18 NYANDARUA UDA
19 NYERI UDA
20 KIRINYAGA UDA
21 MURANG'A UDA
22 KIAMBU UDA
23 TURKANA UDA
24 WEST POKOT UDA
25 SAMBURU KANU
26 TRANS NZOIA UDA
27 UASIN GISHU UDA
28 ELGEYO/MARAKWET UDA
29 NANDI UDA
30 BARINGO UDA
31 LAIKIPIA UDA
32 NAKURU UDA
33 NAROK UDA
34 KAJIADO UDA
35 KERICHO UDA
36 BOMET UDA
37 KAKAMEGA ODM
38 VIHIGA ODM
39 BUNGOMA FORDK
40 BUSIA ODM
41 SIAYA ODM
42 KISUMU ODM
43 HOMA BAY ODM
44 MIGORI ODM
45 KISII WIPER
46 NYAMIRA JUBILEE
47 NAIROBI CITY ODM
Total 47
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The Final Governor Race Prediction
Party
UDA 24
ODM 8
UDM 3
WIPER 3
JUBILEE 2
ANC 2
FORDK 2
UPA 1
INDEPENDENT 2
TOTAL 47
CODE COUNTY PREDICTED WINNER PARTY
1 MOMBASA UDA
2 KWALE UDA
3 KILIFI ODM
4 TANA RIVER UDA
5 LAMU ANC
6 TAITA TAVETA JUBILEE
7 GARISSA ODM
8 WAJIR JUBILEE
9 MANDERA UDM
10 MARSABIT UDM
11 ISIOLO INDEPENDENT
12 MERU UDA
13 THARAKA-NITHI UDA
14 EMBU UDA
15 KITUI WIPER
16 MACHAKOS WIPER
17 MAKUENI WIPER
18 NYANDARUA UDA
19 NYERI UDA
20 KIRINYAGA UDA
21 MURANG'A UDA
22 KIAMBU UDA
23 TURKANA UDA
24 WEST POKOT UDA
25 SAMBURU UDA
26 TRANS NZOIA FORDK
27 UASIN GISHU UDA
28 ELGEYO/MARAKWET UDA
29 NANDI UDA
30 BARINGO UDA
31 LAIKIPIA UDA
32 NAKURU UDA
33 NAROK UDA
34 KAJIADO ODM
35 KERICHO UDA
36 BOMET UDA
37 KAKAMEGA ANC
38 VIHIGA ODM
39 BUNGOMA FORDK
40 BUSIA ODM
41 SIAYA UDM
42 KISUMU ODM
43 HOMA BAY INDEPENDENT
44 MIGORI ODM
45 KISII ODM
46 NYAMIRA UPA
47 NAIROBI CITY UDA
Total 47
(https://iili.io/Srvhsp.jpg) (https://freeimage.host/)