Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on July 13, 2022, 02:36:51 PM
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Never before have we had so many undecided voters by nearly all posters close to an election like this.
By now the undecided would be less than 2-3 percent.
Except in 2010 referendum.
And there in lies the biggest clue.
The meek the weak the poor the hustlers the unwashed are afraid of telling Uhuru he is getting a beating of the century - because he using state resources, mainstream media and name it to RAM IT DOWN THEIR THROAT.
The same scenario played out in 2010 because the majority YES made many of the NOS go underground ( they were meek poor christians fundamentalist listening to their pastors contrary to all the know it all) - except of course in Kalenjin land where Nos were the mainstream.
Biggest surprise was Ukambani. Even I didnt see that.
NO won in Ukambani.
The same scenario is playing out today.
Opinion polls
Opinion polls taken between April and July 2010 showed a consistent lead for the "Yes" campaign, with support ranging between 49% and 64%, compared to a range of 17% — 22% for the "No" campaign.
Date For Against Undecided
24 April 2010[22] 64% 17% 19%
29 May 2010[23] 63% 21% 16%
4 June 2010[24] 57% 20% 19%
7 July 2010[25] 49% 22% 22%
16 July 2010[26] 62% 20% 18%
23 July 2010[27] 58% 22% 17%
What you noticed is that NOS rose from average of 20% to 32% - some even had Nos at 17% - nearly doubled to 34%!
The Yes generally stuck around there - scoring 68% from 62%.
Once again prepared to be shocked. In fact with this knowledge - I am going BIG ON RUTO. I am going to BET BIG.
I would hate to get it wrong by more than 1% - Ruto impeding SHOCKING victory.
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actually most kikuyus moderates won't vote. take that as a sign central will have the lowest turnout in terms recent history
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Agree. I am seeing huge drop from 88 to 70 percent.
actually most kikuyus moderates won't vote. take that as a sign central will have the lowest turnout in terms recent history
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people are pissed..at ruto and uhuru. in my family no one will vote. that a 100% drop from 2016
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Ruto amedo? It's Uhuru who brought Kitendawili
people are pissed..at ruto and uhuru. in my family no one will vote. that a 100% drop from 2016
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Contradicting himself, yesterday it was all lovey dovey with Uhuru now his family hates Uhuru and loves Raila. Make up your mind.
Azimios Chair is Uhuru
people are pissed..at ruto and uhuru. in my family no one will vote. that a 100% drop from 2016
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Ruto amedo? It's Uhuru who brought Kitendawili
people are pissed..at ruto and uhuru. in my family no one will vote. that a 100% drop from 2016
they just realized voting matters less. plus they are convinced that the vote is fixed. Ruto is so corrupt my family won't touch him. Raila they are sympathetic to him but they feel he is too old to do anything meaningful
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Quite plausible. Let us spare the brat, amalize aende aachane na sisi - we will have a lifetime to stick the middle finger up his orifices.
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Yes I cannot think of any other reason why voters would be shy to tell pollsters. I can only think these are poor hustlers afraid of gov project being pushed.
Quite plausible. Let us spare the brat, amalize aende aachane na sisi - we will have a lifetime to stick the middle finger up his orifices.