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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 11:40:57 AM

Title: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 11:40:57 AM
For purposes of clarity and simplicity,data has been classified into 3 broad sections.Section 1 is Azimio strong hold.Section 2 is KK strong hold.Section 3 is the swing region.A strong hold is considered a region where a candidate ganners over 60% of the votes cast while a swing region is where results are even or rather difference between two leading candidates is less than 10%.

1.KK strong holds-Here we have a total of 18 counties (10 all Gema) and (7 pure kalenjin) counties that KK are expected to sweep with of 60% of total votes cast.
2.Azimio strong holds-Here we also have a total of 17 counties that Azimio is expected to sweep with over 60% of total votes cast.(6 Nyanza counties,Busia,Machakos,Kitui,Makueni,Mombasa,Kilifi,Taita taveta,Kakamega and all 4 NE counties.)
4.Swing areas-under this category,we have 14 counties spread across that results are expected to be even or rather the difference to be marginally small.(Narok,Kajiado,Vihiga,Bungoma,Samburu,Transnzoia,Isiolo,Lamu,TanaRiver,Kwale and Turkana).

KK STRONGHOLDS
GEMA COUNTIES
Meru-780,858
Tharaka-234618
Embu-337627
Nyeri-492040
Kirinyaga-378,410
Muranga-628,416
Kiambu-1,293,309
Nyandarua-362,357
Laikipia-265,842
Nakuru-1,050,367
TOTAL 5,558,178
EXPECTED TURNOUT 75%-4,168,633
KK-2,709,611(68%)
AZIMIO-1,333,962 (31%)

KALENJIN COUNTIES
Uasingishu-530,993
Nandi-402,856
Baringo-271,997
Elgeyo-211,352
Bomet-370,399
Kericho-429,288
West pokot-214,574
TOTAL 2,431,459
EXPECTED TURNOUT-78%-1,896,538
KK-1.763,780 (93%)
AZIMIO-132,757 (7%)


AZIMIO STRONGHOLD
NYANZA COUNTIES
Homabay-537,108
Siaya-518,056
Kisumu-616,871
Migori-454,954
Kisii-638,603
Nyamira-316,389
TOTAL 3,081,981
EXPECTED TURNOUT-79%-2,434,764
KK-194,781(12%)
AZIMIO 2,239,982 (88%)

UKAMBANI COUNTIES
Kitui-532,267
Machakos-690,243
Makueni-474,493
TOTAL-1,697,003
EXPECTED TURNOUT-1,323,662 (78%)
KK-198,549(15%)
AZIMIO-1.125,112(85%)

COAST COUNTIES
Mombasa-654,063
Kilifi-582631
Taita taveta-179,234
TOTAL-1,415,928
EXPECTED TURNOUT -920,353 (65%)
KK-276,105 (30%)
AZIMIO-644,248 (70%)

WESTERN COUNTIES
Kakamega-843,139
Busia-406,569
TOTAL 1,247,708
EXPECTED TURNOUT-935,781 (75%)
KK-319,523 (35%)
AZIMIO-616,354 (65%)

NORTHERN COUNTIES
Mandera- 211,098
Garissa-207,435
Wajir-196,466
Marsarbit-164,864
TOTAL-779,863
EXPECTED TURNOUT-483,515 (62%)
KK-183,735 (38%)
AZIMIO-299,799 (62%)

NAIROBI-2,505,199-EXPECTED VOTES (75%)-1,878,899.
KK-751,599 (41%)
AZIMIO 1,127,339 (59%)

SWING COUNTIES
Narok-397,618
Kajiado-463,546
Bungoma-644,233
Vihiga-304,755
Turkana-241,583
Samburu-98,081
Transnzoia-395,741
Kwale-320,782
Lamu-79,157
Tana River-137,605
Isiolo-86,665
TOTAL-3,383,874
EXPECTED TURNOUT-2,301,034 (68%)
KK-1,035,465 (48%)
AZIMIO-1,265,568 (52%)

TOTAL FOR KK-7,433,148 (46%)
TOTAL FOR AZIMIO-8,785,121 (54%)



Title: Re: 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54%,KK 46%
Post by: Githunguri on June 06, 2022, 11:48:28 AM
 Very correct analysis.Raila is between 54%-56%.

It's a replica of 2002 election.
Title: Re: 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54%,KK 46%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 12:23:27 PM
Yes,but there could be slight changes depending on how gema plays out.
Title: Re: 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54%,KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 02:45:18 PM
First let me sticky this - so Azimio guys here can have something to look forward to. I will analyse the figures in short while
Title: Re: 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54%,KK 46%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 03:20:53 PM
Fanya haraka and be objective please,hapana bebwa na feelings and emotions.
Title: Re: 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54%,KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 03:58:57 PM
Nimekusadia hapa - took it to excel - Ruto led. I dont even have to critique the figures. Until you find me formulae where Ruto loses.

Bye Bye


Counties   Reg Votes   Raila   Ruto    Turn out   Total Cast   Raila   Ruto
Meru   780,858   31   68   75   585644   181550   398238
Tharaka   234618   31   68   75   175964   54549   119656
Embu   337627   31   68   75   253220   78498   172190
Nyeri   492040   31   68   75   369030   114399   250940
Kirinyaga   378,410   31   68   75   283808   87980   192989
Muranga   628,416   31   68   75   471312   146107   320492
Kiambu   1,293,309   31   68   75   969982   300694   659588
Nyandarua   362,357   31   68   75   271768   84248   184802
Laikipia   265,842   31   68   75   199382   61808   135580
Nakuru   1,050,367   31   68   75   787775   244210   535687
Uasingishu   530,993   7   93   78   414175   28992   385183
Nandi   402,856   7   93   78   314228   21996   292232
Baringo   271,997   7   93   78   212158   14851   197307
Elgeyo   211,352   7   93   78   164855   11540   153315
Bomet   370,399   7   93   78   288911   20224   268687
Kericho   429,288   7   93   78   334845   23439   311406
West pokot   214,574   7   93   78   167368   11716   155652
Homabay   537,108   88   12   79   424315   373397   50918
Siaya   518,056   88   12   79   409264   360152   49112
Kisumu   616,871   88   12   79   487328   428849   58479
Migori   454,954   88   12   79   359414   316284   43130
Kisii   638,603   88   12   79   504496   443956   60540
Nyamira   316,389   88   12   79   249947   219953   29994
Kitui   532,267   85   15   78   415168   352893   62275
Machakos   690,243   85   15   78   538390   457632   80759
Makueni   474,493   85   15   78   370105   314589   55516
Mombasa   654,063   70   30   65   425141   297599   127542
Kilifi   582631   70   30   65   378710   265097   113613
Taita taveta   179,234   70   30   65   116502   81551   34951
Kakamega   843,139   65   35   75   632354   411030   221324
Busia   406,569   65   35   75   304927   198203   106724
Mandera   211,098   68   32   62   130881   88999   41882
Garissa   207,435   68   32   62   128610   87455   41155
Wajir   196,466   68   32   62   121809   82830   38979
Marsarbit   164,864   68   32   62   102216   69507   32709
NAIROBI   2,505,199   41   59   75   1878899   770349   1108550
Narok   397,618   48   52   68   270380   129782   140598
Kajiado   463,546   48   52   68   315211   151301   163910
Bungoma   644,233   48   52   68   438078   210277   227801
Vihiga   304,755   48   52   68   207233   99472   107761
Turkana   241,583   48   52   68   164276   78852   85424
Samburu   98,081   48   52   68   66695   32014   34681
Transnzoia   395,741   48   52   68   269104   129170   139934
Kwale   320,782   48   52   68   218132   104703   113429
Lamu   79,157   48   52   68   53827   25837   27990
Tana River   137,605   48   52   68   93571   44914   48657
Isiolo   86,665   48   52   68   58932   28287   30645
               16398340   8141735   8212926
Title: Re: 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50%,KK 49%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 04:05:12 PM
I have edited the title to reflect the mathematical correctness :)

Now once you figure out another formulae let me know.

I am not going to bother with obvious problems in many areas and in turnout.

I will release my final final MOASS in few weeks.

Still have few problematic areas where I need to know MPs and Governors - plus get  more clarity on few areas.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 49%,KK 50%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 04:15:29 PM
Sorry I transposed the last one - now Raila led by 50 and Ruto 49.5% :) :). Congratultions!!!!!!!!!!!! You really tried - managing to beat Ruto by 100K votes sio Mchezo - you literally gave Raila led everywhere except in kalenjin 7 and 10 Mt kenya  :D :D

Narok   397,618   52   48   68   270380   140598   129782      
Kajiado   463,546   52   48   68   315211   163910   151301      
Bungoma   644,233   52   48   68   438078   227801   210277      
Vihiga   304,755   52   48   68   207233   107761   99472      
Turkana   241,583   52   48   68   164276   85424   78852      
Samburu   98,081   52   48   68   66695   34681   32014      
Transnzoia   395,741   52   48   68   269104   139934   129170      
Kwale   320,782   52   48   68   218132   113429   104703      
Lamu   79,157   52   48   68   53827   27990   25837      
Tana River   137,605   52   48   68   93571   48657   44914      
Isiolo   86,665   52   48   68   58932   30645   28287      
               16398340   8227956   8126705   0.501755422   0.495580955

Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 04:25:12 PM
Pajero-For Raila to beat Ruto by 0.5 percent - 100K votes- he must lead in every country - with low turnout in Mt Kenya and Kalenjin

Pajero reckon Raila will lead in 30 counties.

Homabay   537,108   88   12   79   424315   373397   50918      
Siaya   518,056   88   12   79   409264   360152   49112      
Kisumu   616,871   88   12   79   487328   428849   58479      
Migori   454,954   88   12   79   359414   316284   43130      
Kisii   638,603   88   12   79   504496   443956   60540      
Nyamira   316,389   88   12   79   249947   219953   29994      
Kitui   532,267   85   15   78   415168   352893   62275      
Machakos   690,243   85   15   78   538390   457632   80759      
Makueni   474,493   85   15   78   370105   314589   55516      
Mombasa   654,063   70   30   65   425141   297599   127542      
Kilifi   582631   70   30   65   378710   265097   113613      
Taita taveta   179,234   70   30   65   116502   81551   34951      
Kakamega   843,139   65   35   75   632354   411030   221324      
Busia   406,569   65   35   75   304927   198203   106724      
Mandera   211,098   68   32   62   130881   88999   41882      
Garissa   207,435   68   32   62   128610   87455   41155      
Wajir   196,466   68   32   62   121809   82830   38979      
Marsarbit   164,864   68   32   62   102216   69507   32709      
NAIROBI   2,505,199   41   59   75   1878899   770349   1108550      
Narok   397,618   52   48   68   270380   140598   129782      
Kajiado   463,546   52   48   68   315211   163910   151301      
Bungoma   644,233   52   48   68   438078   227801   210277      
Vihiga   304,755   52   48   68   207233   107761   99472      
Turkana   241,583   52   48   68   164276   85424   78852      
Samburu   98,081   52   48   68   66695   34681   32014      
Transnzoia   395,741   52   48   68   269104   139934   129170      
Kwale   320,782   52   48   68   218132   113429   104703      
Lamu   79,157   52   48   68   53827   27990   25837      
Tana River   137,605   52   48   68   93571   48657   44914      
Isiolo   86,665   52   48   68   58932   30645   28287      
               16398340   8227956   8126705   0.501755422   0.495580955
               101251            
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 05:21:19 PM
What have you done with my data,I don't understand.why are you corrupting it,how come your final total differs with mine.i expected you to counter me the way I have put them,region by region.from there we can start engaging.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 05:24:40 PM
Yes,Raila will lead in 27 counties,it's no brainer.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 05:25:50 PM
Off to Nyayo for manifesto launch,digest and get back.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 05:44:14 PM
PUNDITO DONT EDIT MY TITLE,WHO GAVE YOU POWERS TO DO THAT.THIS IS UNACCEPTABLE.MEMBERS IS THIS CORRECT.PUNDITO I GIVE YOU 2 HOURS TO RESTORE MY TITLE OR ELSE I MOVE OUT OF THIS FORUM.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 05:45:27 PM
OPINIONS MUST BE RESPECTED.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 05:53:42 PM
I respected your opinion. The best you should do is thank me for correcting mathematical errors; yaani unalia instead of saying asante; then we continue from there.

THIS simple basic maths. I used your own figures.

OPINIONS MUST BE RESPECTED.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 05:57:04 PM
Redo the maths :) :) wacha hasira :)
What have you done with my data,I don't understand.why are you corrupting it,how come your final total differs with mine.i expected you to counter me the way I have put them,region by region.from there we can start engaging.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 06:01:14 PM
Those are your numbers; You cannot run away from them :)
PUNDITO DONT EDIT MY TITLE,WHO GAVE YOU POWERS TO DO THAT.THIS IS UNACCEPTABLE.MEMBERS IS THIS CORRECT.PUNDITO I GIVE YOU 2 HOURS TO RESTORE MY TITLE OR ELSE I MOVE OUT OF THIS FORUM.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 06:05:11 PM
Which mathematical error pundito,are you mad,my summation  is correct,what do you take me for.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 06:15:21 PM
This excel - the first thing I did was to just put your figures through sanity test - and the figures were mathematical wrong.

Attached is your excel - download and continue from there - if you want this conversation to continue - or just admit that Raila CANNOT beat Ruto.

There is really no need for all these - facts are very stubborn things. Your own skewed data has buried you.

Which mathematical error pundito,are you mad,my summation  is correct,what do you take me for.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 06:20:21 PM
Pundito,take a pen and a paper and do your summation again,your excel work sheet iko shida.

KK
2709611
1763770
194781
198549
276105
319523
183735
751599
1035465
TOTAL 7433148

AZIMIO
1333962
132757
2239982
1125112
644248
616248
299799
1127339
1265568
TOTAL 8785121

WHO IS MAD HERE
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 06:22:50 PM
Check excel. My primary school maths record remain unbeaten almost 30yrs later. Let not argue over basic arithmatic. I would have loved to hear your argument on why you assign figures xyz to Raila or Ruto - but clearly there is no debate here - Ruto will win this thing. Your own skewed data clearly shows that.
Pundito,take a pen and a paper and do your summation again,your excel work sheet iko shida.

KK
2709611
1763770
194781
198549
276105
319523
183735
751599
1035465
TOTAL 7433148

AZIMIO
1333962
132757
2239982
1125112
644248
616248
299799
1127339
1265568
TOTAL 8785121

WHO IS MAD HERE
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 06:27:23 PM
I have corrected the transpose error on last columns - please for next two months - use this excel.

Once you're happy with summation - and you still want to argue - go ahead.

But remember I have done this maths for donkey years.

Raila need 50 percent of GEMA to go 50-50 with Ruto.

It OVER - unless kuna rigging.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 06:33:57 PM
RESTORE MY TITLE AND OFFER ME AN APOLOGY
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 06:35:41 PM
LOL - Poor Pajero. The maths is very very clear.

RESTORE MY TITLE AND OFFER ME AN APOLOGY
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 06:36:52 PM
Angalia Tena tell me - check where you may need to revise

ID   Counties   Reg Votes   Raila   Ruto   Turnout   TotalCast   Raila2022   Ruto2022

Mt Kenya
1   Meru          780858   31   68   75   585644   181550   398238
2   Tharaka   234618   31   68   75   175964   54549   119656
3   Embu   337627   31   68   75   253220   78498   172190
4   Nyeri   492040   31   68   75   369030   114399   250940
5   Kirinyaga   378410   31   68   75   283808   87980   192989
6   Muranga   628416   31   68   75   471312   146107   320492
7   Kiambu   1293309   31   68   75   969982   300694   659588
8   Nyandarua   362357   31   68   75   271768   84248   184802
9   Laikipia   265842   31   68   75   199382   61808   135580
10   Nakuru   1050367   31   68   75   787775   244210   535687

Kalenjin cluster
11   Uasingishu   530993   7   93   78   414175   28992   385183
12   Nandi   402856   7   93   78   314228   21996   292232
13   Baringo   271997   7   93   78   212158   14851   197307
14   Elgeyo   211352   7   93   78   164855   11540   153315
15   Bomet   370399   7   93   78   288911   20224   268687
16   Kericho   429288   7   93   78   334845   23439   311406
17   West pokot   214574   7   93   78   167368   11716   155652

Nyanza Cluster
18   Homabay   537108   88   12   79   424315   373397   50918
19   Siaya   518056   88   12   79   409264   360152   49112
20   Kisumu   616871   88   12   79   487328   428849   58479
21   Migori   454954   88   12   79   359414   316284   43130
22   Kisii   638603   88   12   79   504496   443956   60540
23   Nyamira   316389   88   12   79   249947   219953   29994

Ukambani Cluster
24   Kitui   532267   85   15   78   415168   352893   62275
25   Machakos   690243   85   15   78   538390   457632   80759
26   Makueni   474493   85   15   78   370105   314589   55516
27   Mombasa   654063   70   30   65   425141   297599   127542

Coastal Cluster
28   Kilifi   582631   70   30   65   378710   265097   113613
29   Taita taveta   179234   70   30   65   116502   81551   34951
30   Kakamega   843139   65   35   75   632354   411030   221324
31   Busia   406569   65   35   75   304927   198203   106724

Norther Kenya cluster
32   Mandera   211098   68   32   62   130881   88999   41882
33   Garissa   207435   68   32   62   128610   87455   41155
34   Wajir   196466   68   32   62   121809   82830   38979
35   Marsarbit   164864   68   32   62   102216   69507   32709


Nairobi
36   NAIROBI   2505199   41   59   75   1878899   770349   1108550


Battle-ground

37   Narok   397618   52   48   68   270380   129782   140598
38   Kajiado   463546   52   48   68   315211   151301   163910
39   Bungoma   644233   52   48   68   438078   210277   227801
40   Vihiga   304755   52   48   68   207233   99472   107761
41   Turkana   241583   52   48   68   164276   78852   85424
42   Samburu   98081   52   48   68   66695   32014   34681
43   Transnzoia   395741   52   48   68   269104   129170   139934
44   Kwale   320782   52   48   68   218132   104703   113429
45   Lamu   79157   52   48   68   53827   25837   27990
46   Tana River   137605   52   48   68   93571   44914   48657
47   Isiolo   86665   52   48   68   58932   28287   30645
      22154751            16398340   8141735   8212926
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 06:37:59 PM
Can someone help us here please,this guy is nuts.Please someone to do the maths.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 06:41:33 PM
Pundito,just take the totals by regions the way I have put them and list in an excel first.They are 9 regions beginning with Gema and last is swing region.Then tell me TOTAL.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 06:56:07 PM
Okay there is an error in Nairobi - I switched the figures.
Pundito,just take the totals by regions the way I have put them and list in an excel first.They are 9 regions beginning with Gema and last is swing region.Then tell me TOTAL.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 52% KK 48%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 07:03:07 PM
Now edited - Your New Maths are

Total ->16398340
Raila -> 8566157   
Ruto-> 7788504   
Percentage
Raila 52.2379521   
Ruto 474956855

National Turnout 78%            
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 52% KK 48%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 07:07:59 PM
Hapana,redo your summation and get it right,looks like you never stepped in a maths class.Get it right,restore my title and tender an apology.one hour remaining.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 52% KK 48%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 07:09:36 PM
Where else is wrong. I thought you wanted a serious debate on your figures. Or they are light weight. Stop being emotional. Your figures are full of crappy assumption. Let get maths right before we proceed.
Hapana,redo your summation and get it right,looks like you never stepped in a maths class.Get it right,restore my title and tender an apology.one hour remaining.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 52% KK 48%
Post by: Pajero on June 06, 2022, 07:15:33 PM
Before you hurl insults on me,take a piece of paper and add the following
2709611
1763780
194781
198549
276105
319523
183735
751599
1035455

Then give me the answer
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 52% KK 48%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 07:20:11 PM
Get an excel - how old are you -80yrs? - and put your figures there. I have done it for you. Eti pen and paper :) - and calculator.

Once you've excel - you can use to play with many scenarios - for example your turnout are just wild - please use 2013/2017 figures for more realistic numbers - lower mt kenya - increase kalenjin to match Luo.

Then we see if we still need to debate - or this debate is over.

Before you hurl insults on me,take a piece of paper and add the following
2709611
1763780
194781
198549
276105
319523
183735
751599
1035455

Then give me the answer
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 50.1%,KK 49.6%
Post by: RV Heavy Hitter! on June 06, 2022, 08:14:17 PM
Pundito,take a pen and a paper and do your summation again,your excel work sheet iko shida.

KK
2709611
1763770
194781
198549
276105
319523
183735
751599
1035465
TOTAL 7433148

AZIMIO
1333962
132757
2239982
1125112
644248
616248
299799
1127339
1265568
TOTAL 8785121

WHO IS MAD HERE
Reminds me of what you did in 2013 and 2017 in the other place. You were 100% sure then but it seem you are 90% sure this time. What you need to ingrain in your head is that the name Raila NEVER gets announced as a presidential winner EVER. We are talking 1990s to present! Chebukati will announce William Ruto and Rigathi Gachagua to continue that tradition. Lets meet again in 2027 for more of your Raila gibberish prediction!
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 52% KK 48%
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on June 06, 2022, 09:27:17 PM
I respected your opinion. The best you should do is thank me for correcting mathematical errors; yaani unalia instead of saying asante; then we continue from there.

THIS simple basic maths. I used your own figures.

OPINIONS MUST BE RESPECTED.

You shouldn't be able to just change what someone wrote even if you disagree.  Imagine what kind of place this becomes if anybody with edit power just overwrites what they disagree with.  That's the quickest way to kill a forum.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 52% KK 48%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 09:36:15 PM
You dont disagree with Maths. This is not an opinion. I disagree with his projections - but the only change here is on MATHS. And I have corrected my mistakes. He just need to re-look at maths again - and he will discover that maths here are corret.

I put it sticky because I thought he was interested in a serious debate. But if he wants propaganda - I can unsticky it - and you can go - and bring it up - and promote something that is mathematical wrong.
You shouldn't be able to just change what someone wrote even if you disagree.  Imagine what kind of place this becomes if anybody with edit power just overwrites what they disagree with.  That's the quickest way to kill a forum.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 06, 2022, 09:42:15 PM
Okay there goes the misleading title.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 52% KK 48%
Post by: Dear Mami on June 07, 2022, 02:00:29 PM
I respected your opinion. The best you should do is thank me for correcting mathematical errors; yaani unalia instead of saying asante; then we continue from there.

THIS simple basic maths. I used your own figures.

OPINIONS MUST BE RESPECTED.

You shouldn't be able to just change what someone wrote even if you disagree.  Imagine what kind of place this becomes if anybody with edit power just overwrites what they disagree with.  That's the quickest way to kill a forum.

Agreed! Njamlik 2.0  :o
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 07, 2022, 02:33:16 PM
Desperado looking for lame excuse. All I did was correct a mathematical typo. The title here is misleading.
Agreed! Njamlik 2.0  :o
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: Dear Mami on June 07, 2022, 04:00:51 PM
Desperado looking for lame excuse. All I did was correct a mathematical typo. The title here is misleading.
Agreed! Njamlik 2.0  :o

You are shameless with this patronizing bullcrap about unwanted corrections, and desperate is your middle name, forcing edits on another grownup's post. Nipateans are not your children. Enda mark kitabu ya mtoto wako with a red pen, huna adabu. 8)
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 07, 2022, 04:14:56 PM
Nyaboke ama kerubo check the dude invited me to mark his work. I sticky hit. He was very desperate for my comments. He couldnt wait for it. I took my time, took his dirty work to nice excel, and was starting to critique - and he went bonkers.

Th man is suppose to be grateful that I corrected his maths - mara he started crying ohoo I dont know what you have done with my maths :) :) gave him back his excel; and we didnt even get to review; before he QUIT AFTER IT HIT HIM THAT RAO WAS GOING NOWHERE

You anger cannot make Raila win  - if excel ni NGUMU - sembuze next election :) :)

You are shameless, desperate is your middle name. Now forcing edits on another grownup's post. Nipateans are not your children. Enda mark kitabu ya mtoto wako with a red pen, huna adabu. 8)
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: GeeMail on June 07, 2022, 07:08:31 PM
Pundit stop it! Just apologize and we ask Veritas to remove your mod powers. You make grammatical and logical mistake all the time but we never edit then you come here justifying your despotism. Unacceptable.
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 07, 2022, 08:28:45 PM
I already apologized 😂 and put back his wrong maths.What more do you want..make Raila pork..hiyo nayo siwezi
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: Arcadian_Dreamer on June 08, 2022, 07:18:45 AM
I already apologized 😂 and put back his wrong maths.What more do you want..make Raila pork..hiyo nayo siwezi

What the heck even compelled you to edit another person's posts? I don't get  :o

Africans are special breed aki ya mungu  :D democracy is alien in our gene pool.

Each one of us is a mini tiktator unto himself given half a chance.

Aibu kubwa
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 08, 2022, 07:21:24 AM
Edit or correct his mathematics for him...with full disclosure.
What is worse here - dishonest fake lynch mob or helping clean up a mess he presented here;
Facts are in this thread. He was anxious for my input. I did justice to him.
I started with basic maths review and edited the title to reflect the correct maths.
I dont think that ought to be a problem - we didnt even get to analyse his projection or numbers;
As he came short - and was already on a mental catharsis.

Read slowly - and you'll see Pajero mental breakdown in context.

If Raila is losing; You cannot blame ME :) :)


What the heck even compelled you to edit another person's posts? I don't get  :o

Africans are special breed aki ya mungu  :D democracy is alien in our gene pool.

Each one of us is a mini tiktator unto himself given half a chance.

Aibu kubwa
Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: Arcadian_Dreamer on June 08, 2022, 07:40:06 AM
Edit or correct his mathematics for him...with full disclosure.
What is worse here - dishonest fake lynch mob or helping clean up a mess he presented here;
Facts are in this thread. He was anxious for my input. I did justice to him.
I started with basic maths review and edited the title to reflect the correct maths.
I dont think that ought to be a problem - we didnt even get to analyse his projection or numbers;
As he came short - and was already on a mental catharsis.

Read slowly - and you'll see Pajero mental breakdown in context.

If Raila is losing; You cannot blame ME :) :)

Mwana, uko ni shida kweli. You are still protesting after hearted apology, now you are doubling down  :-\ I don't get it.

We can disagree all day but let us play fair, don't be underhanded and juvenile. You kill the collegial atmosphere people leave, simple.

You committed a grave mistake. Dishonesty is an enemy of open discourse.

Raila losing is not objective fact as elections have not been held yet so stop gaslighting us.

Pajero-gate will be your downfall, Veritas has to take stern action or this forum will die.

Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 08, 2022, 07:44:57 AM
Apologize for what?
That was a joke.
This not kindergarten where we give cry babies lollilpop
This guy came up with basic arithmetic's - obviously looking for input - we should have resolved that calculation - then moved on.
This forum is only alive because I sustain it.
Otherwise it dead.
It almost seem dead if I stop posting on it.

And dont ever imagine being a moderator is something I even consider to be anything.

Bring on YOUR FACTS - defend them or go home.

In fact if it was mine - I would have been very grateful - and I would have been very happy for changes to be made.

I share my stuff to make them better - if someone notice an error - I more than happy to fix it.

Mwana, uko ni shida kweli. You are still protesting after hearted apology, now you are doubling down  :-\ I don't get it.

We can disagree all day but let us play fair, don't be underhanded and juvenile. You kill the collegial atmosphere people leave, simple.

You committed a grave mistake. Dishonesty is an enemy of open discourse.

Raila losing is not objective fact as elections have not been held yet so stop gaslighting us.

Pajero-gate will be your downfall, Veritas has to take stern action or this forum will die.


Title: Re: Pajero - 2022-THE NUMBERS AS THEY ARE-FINAL AZIMIO 54% KK 46%
Post by: RV Pundit on June 08, 2022, 07:54:06 AM
Most of you need to learn to be OPEN MINDED. You need to be nimble minded. To be able to change your mind in face of facts. That is what I do. This forums are only useful if you're here to learn. I change my mind almost daily because I learn from better ideas.