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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on June 04, 2022, 08:32:50 PM

Title: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: RV Pundit on June 04, 2022, 08:32:50 PM
4 Embakasi  - with South going to Wiper
Kamukunji - finally Hussein will be retired.
Kasarani
Dago South
Langata
Starehe
Roysambu

UDA - 10

Next is ODM - Mathare, Ruaraka, Westland & Makaradara - 4
Wiper - 1 - Emba South
ODM - Dago North - Elachi kumbe defected to ODM.
Kibera - independent.

Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: Nefertiti on June 05, 2022, 02:31:20 AM
Most of those are TOO CLOSE TO CALL considering 1) the 1-3% margins  2) Mizani unproven track record

Embakasi East - doesn't make sense. Kikuyus voted Muriithi 99% before - Luo + Kamba vote Babu Owino as always. What new?

Kamukunji - so Kikuyus are many enough in Eastleigh to save Robow? Azimio has more Somalis than Jubilee 2017

Kibra - with 1% lead I doubt Imran will survive ODM pressure

Only sensible apart from obvious Mathare, Dago North, Makadara, Embakasi South and Westlands - is Starehe. Simon Mbugua the thief is popular and smooth mashinani operator.
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: Nefertiti on June 05, 2022, 02:59:03 AM
Elachi was forced to join ODM cause Dago North was zoned yet she is most popular after Arati left. In Mathare Bahati was left crying after Jubilee withdrew the ticket for ODM.

While Kaloozer was throwing tantrums and reflecting.. Wiper got only 1 MP in Azimio zoning. Plus DG.
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: RV Pundit on June 05, 2022, 06:36:30 AM
Yeah too close to call
What is clear = UDA has replaced Jubilee voting const - thtat is why it taking the old Embakasi
Emba East - Mureithi lost by 2,000 votes to Babu Owino.
Kamukunji- UDA guy is very popular amongst somalis - dont believe the bought leaders - somalis will vote more for Ruto than Raila.
Starehe - Mbugua is taking that - bila kupingwa - pale Mbugua mother use to be second hand clothes queen pin - she had connection to Gideon Moi in the 90s.
Mathare - yeah its flipped - Bahati cried - but he may still recover.
Kibra - If Luhyas go tribal - then Mariga should be competitive - now that Luos have two strong candidates.

In short GEMA have dumped Jubilee and are in UDA.


Quote from: Robina on June 05, 2022, 02:31:20 AM
Most of those are TOO CLOSE TO CALL considering 1) the 1-3% margins  2) Mizani unproven track record

Embakasi East - doesn't make sense. Kikuyus voted Muriithi 99% before - Luo + Kamba vote Babu Owino as always. What new?

Kamukunji - so Kikuyus are many enough in Eastleigh to save Robow? Azimio has more Somalis than Jubilee 2017

Kibra - with 1% lead I doubt Imran will survive ODM pressure

Only sensible apart from obvious Mathare, Dago North, Makadara, Embakasi South and Westlands - is Starehe. Simon Mbugua the thief is popular and smooth mashinani operator.

Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: Githunguri on June 05, 2022, 07:57:39 AM
UDA 6
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: Pragmatic on June 05, 2022, 09:50:00 AM
Enjoy the false sense of comfort. You will get a shocker come August 9th. Most sane GEMA will vote Baba/Azimio.

The Zombified so called hustlers will realise that “fake revolution” they are on about (Dynasty/Hustler [Poor]) is never gonna happen in Kenya. Work hard and earn your bread, not the fake narrative eti mtoto wa maskini pia anaweza kuwa President. Most Kenyans were mtoto wa maskini....peasantry. And that where Ruto will realise he has only managed to lie to the fools....

Nairobi will vote predominantly Baba as would most sensible people across the whole of Kenya.

Quote from: RV Pundit on June 05, 2022, 06:36:30 AM
In short GEMA have dumped Jubilee and are in UDA.
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: RV Pundit on June 05, 2022, 09:59:10 AM
2013 we heard the same thing -ohoo people will not vote for two ICC indicted person. Ballot box has just tick box. There is no explanation box. So unless you have some empirical data to challenge this - just wait for august - for the shellshacking. The poor majority will make Ruto PORK...because he has identified with them...and that is helping Ruto in Nairobi despite not having the ethnic base. Sonko became a governor coz of it. He will do it in Mombasa coz of it. The poor unsophisticated voters are the best - they dont need a lot - just hope
Quote from: Pragmatic on June 05, 2022, 09:50:00 AM
Enjoy the false sense of comfort. You will get a shocker come August 9th. Most sane GEMA will vote Baba/Azimio.

The Zombified so called hustlers will realise that “fake revolution” they are on about (Dynasty/Hustler [Poor]) is never gonna happen in Kenya. Work hard and earn your bread, not the fake narrative eti mtoto wa maskini pia anaweza kuwa President. Most Kenyans were mtoto wa maskini....peasantry. And that where Ruto will realise he has only managed to lie to the fools....

Nairobi will vote predominantly Baba as would most sensible people across the whole of Kenya.

Quote from: RV Pundit on June 05, 2022, 06:36:30 AM
In short GEMA have dumped Jubilee and are in UDA.
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: gout on June 06, 2022, 11:45:26 AM
Karua better pray Babu loses. Him and Junet will destroy her after August.

Kweli siasa ni umalaya kama ni Karua anacheka Babu Owino akiongea.
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: Nefertiti on June 07, 2022, 12:59:28 AM
Quote from: gout on June 06, 2022, 11:45:26 AM
Karua better pray Babu loses. Him and Junet will destroy her after August.

Kweli siasa ni umalaya kama ni Karua anacheka Babu Owino akiongea.

You are wrong. Karua is DP but the real partner is Uhuru/Jubilee. There will be no need to "destroy" a powerless VP. She is not Ruto.
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: Nowayhaha on June 07, 2022, 02:55:25 AM

Pragma .  Change that to Most Insane GEMA will vote Baba/Azimio.
Raila has been fighting GEMA since 2003, He incited Kenyans against GEMA in 2007.
A child born in 2002 will be 20 years by Aug 10 elections. Their whole lifetime have been seeing Raila fighting GEMA now add to those GEMA people who were 10 years in 2002 . You can see in their whole life time Raila has been antogonizing them . Then you think walapa they are going to vote their one and real enemy ?
Actually it seems you are the insane one if you think GEMA will vote Raila.
Quote from: Pragmatic on June 05, 2022, 09:50:00 AM
Enjoy the false sense of comfort. You will get a shocker come August 9th. Most sane GEMA will vote Baba/Azimio.



Quote from: RV Pundit on June 05, 2022, 06:36:30 AM
In short GEMA have dumped Jubilee and are in UDA.
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: yulemsee on August 11, 2022, 09:17:28 AM
Pundit, you sniffed the product, you wrote so much propaganda you ended up believing it
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: RV Pundit on August 11, 2022, 09:29:37 AM
Tulia - Mizani were wrong - but loss in Nairobi - are compensated by gains UDA has made in Mt kenya proper.

We will get time to do postmorteum

Quote from: yulemsee on August 11, 2022, 09:17:28 AM
Pundit, you sniffed the product, you wrote so much propaganda you ended up believing it
Title: Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10, ODM 5, Wiper 1 and Ind 1
Post by: audacityofhope on August 11, 2022, 03:11:39 PM
Re: Nairobi MPs - look like UDA will sweep 10 ... nyef, nyef

Pundit, how can you use "sweep" and one UDA MP in one sentence?   :roll:

Quote
Nairobi County

Ronald Karauri - Kasarani Constituency (Independent)
Isaac Waihenya Ndirangu - Roysambu (Jubilee)
Phelix Odiwuor Jalang'o - Langáta (ODM)
Tim Wanyonyi - Westlands (ODM)
Paul Babu Owino Ongili - Embakasi East  (ODM)
Mark Mwenje - Embakasi West (Jubilee)
Julius Mawathe - Embakasi South (Wiper)
Banjamin Gathiru - Embakasi Central (UDA)
Beatrice Elachi - Dagoretti North (ODM)
Dennis Waweru - Dagoretti South (Jubilee)
Yusuf Hassan Abdi- Kamukunji Constituency (Jubilee)
Peter Orero - Kibra Constituency (ODM)
George Aladwa  - Makadara (ODM)
Anthony Oluoch - Mathare (ODM)
Tom Kajwang' - Ruaraka (ODM)
Amos Mwago - Starehe (Jubilee)

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/realtime/2022-08-10-mp-race-list-of-winners/