?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1527283991824412672%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fnipate.net%2Findex.php%3Ftopic%3D12453.0At Vihiga County, Incumbent Governor Wilber Ottichillo commands the highest ranking with 41.4% Former Governor Reverend Moses Akaranga comes second place with 26.8% #MizaniAfricaPolls pic.twitter.com/o714Gu675L
— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) May 19, 2022
being confident despite this is insane?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1527283991824412672%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fnipate.net%2Findex.php%3Ftopic%3D12453.0At Vihiga County, Incumbent Governor Wilber Ottichillo commands the highest ranking with 41.4% Former Governor Reverend Moses Akaranga comes second place with 26.8% #MizaniAfricaPolls pic.twitter.com/o714Gu675L
— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) May 19, 2022
Western will vote 65% Azimio.Mudavadi should refund sign fee.
Had a cup of tea with Vihiga Bullets Football Club in company of former Vihiga Governor Moses Akaranga. pic.twitter.com/fAnXS8aGaA
— William Samoei Ruto, PhD (@WilliamsRuto) May 12, 2022
i see things as going quite bad for KK. With the plainly raw deal Mdvd got for himself & ANC. Now you have UDA in Sabatia.
Is UDA so popular as to beat both ANC and ODM? Guys so confident they need no zoning.
maDVD Agoi should give up and back Akaranga. I saw Akaranga in Karen recently. Once Maragoli merge they win. The problem Akaranga has been wasting maDVD because he has some funny church with strong grassroot network.
Akaranga and Agoi are both Maragolis.
Otichilo is Bunyore
Khaniri a Tiriki.
Maragolis are 50 percent: Bunyore 30%; Tiriki 15%; or about.
It been a battle btw Akaranga church and Mudamba political family - allowing Bunyore & Tirikis to merge.
As of now - Ruto has to nail a deal with Akaranga - to help maDVD - and he was in karen - so the deal could be cooking
I will tell you straight up Mulembe nation is Azimio-nated. This is really Baba's other bedroom.
There is little trouble in Bungoma which needs working on. My Bukusu are not fully in... maybe at 60%... we need to work on this and the problem has really been the fickle representation we had for the past years. ODM did itself in by allowing the zoning in the past 2 elections cycles and thus the likes of Weta and others passed through that collective coalition ticket. Same thing happening now with DAP-K. It also doesn't help that Wangamati (in Bungoma) has not done a really good job, but he will scrape through at razor thin margin. Khaemba in Kitale/Trans-Nzoia has been another disaster. When I say Bungoma, I include Trans-Nzoia.... that swathe is predominantly Bukusu Luhya dominated.
Thumb-suck the rest of Mulembe nation would be 80% Azimio as we speak; any non-Azimio who will pass through will just depend on personal charm or charisma and how the person works the ground. I would say therefore that Mulembe nation will go worst case 70:30 for Baba globally, only because the Bukusu are the largest sub-tribe and need to be worked on as of now.
On zoning for UDA, I think this was just Bill Ruto's hubris and kiburi; you have already seen UDA aligned candidates asking that they be allowed to run their own campaigns without UDA presence/interference; they are feeling the pulse of the ground and are telling Wananchi .....pigia mimi kura, huko juu weka Baba.
It not just tribe - Mdvd has no solid control of Maragoli after his endless blunders. Only Agoi is KK - Otichillo (41%) is ODM, Akaranga (Progressive Party) 26%, Khaniri (UDP) 11% - are all Azimio or Azimio-leaning. That 75% combo.
Only Agoi is KK - meagre 10%.
Vihiga is akin to Mombasa - where KK put on a show but numbers don't add up.
This is Mdvd home county 8) 8) - and the naked king will somehw deliver Luhya to Ruto.
Kakamega is equally bad for KK - Malala can't stand Barasa-Savula joint force.maDVD Agoi should give up and back Akaranga. I saw Akaranga in Karen recently. Once Maragoli merge they win. The problem Akaranga has been wasting maDVD because he has some funny church with strong grassroot network.
Akaranga and Agoi are both Maragolis.
Otichilo is Bunyore
Khaniri a Tiriki.
Maragolis are 50 percent: Bunyore 30%; Tiriki 15%; or about.
It been a battle btw Akaranga church and Mudamba political family - allowing Bunyore & Tirikis to merge.
As of now - Ruto has to nail a deal with Akaranga - to help maDVD - and he was in karen - so the deal could be cooking
How long did that take you to research.
MaDVD will deliver Maragoli(half vihiga) and half Kakamega (Ruto has strong game in North of Kakamega - Raila has the South)
That is minimum he can do.
But on the ground - he isnt there - he trust Agoi to do his bidding on the ground.
Rev Akaranga(Maragoli too) has a church with serious grassroot network in Vihiga - that made him win governor and MP.
Ruto seem to have gone for Akaranga to help bolster maDVD.
Akaranga need Ruto/MaDVD to win back governor otherwise if they divide the vote the Bunyore will win.
Akaranga cannot stay in Azimio - he would be handing current governor free re-election.
Bunyore are ODM damus - they are half-luos half luhya like Busia luhyas.
Bunyores include wakina Kenneth marende - have intermarried with Luos - live near each other from Majengo to Maseno to Luanda.
Ruto will not get those votes.
Ruto can get Tirikis...but Khaniri and Jirongo the two sons of Tiriki are fighting their own wars.
Tirikis are close to Nandis and Maragoli.
Once again dont waste time researching - just ask ME :
Mister si una kiburi. Akaranga Progressive Party is at best neutral not KK.
About his tribe - he is at 26% despite Maragoli being 50%. Even with Agoi still only 35% total 8) Where is Mdvd influence?
Azimio side he can steal some Bunyore - so long as he firy backs Raila - and top up his wishy-washy Maragoli. Obviously even Maragoli are pissed with Mdvd stupidity and are the ones boostoing Otichilo to 40%.
The problem is anti-Ruto sentiment. UDA candidate would net 1% there.. Agoi 10% is a big shame for Mdvd.How long did that take you to research.
MaDVD will deliver Maragoli(half vihiga) and half Kakamega (Ruto has strong game in North of Kakamega - Raila has the South)
That is minimum he can do.
But on the ground - he isnt there - he trust Agoi to do his bidding on the ground.
Rev Akaranga(Maragoli too) has a church with serious grassroot network in Vihiga - that made him win governor and MP.
Ruto seem to have gone for Akaranga to help bolster maDVD.
Akaranga need Ruto/MaDVD to win back governor otherwise if they divide the vote the Bunyore will win.
Akaranga cannot stay in Azimio - he would be handing current governor free re-election.
Bunyore are ODM damus - they are half-luos half luhya like Busia luhyas.
Bunyores include wakina Kenneth marende - have intermarried with Luos - live near each other from Majengo to Maseno to Luanda.
Ruto will not get those votes.
Ruto can get Tirikis...but Khaniri and Jirongo the two sons of Tiriki are fighting their own wars.
Tirikis are close to Nandis and Maragoli.
Once again dont waste time researching - just ask ME :
I will tell you straight up Mulembe nation is Azimio-nated. This is really Baba's other bedroom.
There is little trouble in Bungoma which needs working on. My Bukusu are not fully in... maybe at 60%... we need to work on this and the problem has really been the fickle representation we had for the past years. ODM did itself in by allowing the zoning in the past 2 elections cycles and thus the likes of Weta and others passed through that collective coalition ticket. Same thing happening now with DAP-K. It also doesn't help that Wangamati (in Bungoma) has not done a really good job, but he will scrape through at razor thin margin. Khaemba in Kitale/Trans-Nzoia has been another disaster. When I say Bungoma, I include Trans-Nzoia.... that swathe is predominantly Bukusu Luhya dominated.
Thumb-suck the rest of Mulembe nation would be 80% Azimio as we speak; any non-Azimio who will pass through will just depend on personal charm or charisma and how the person works the ground. I would say therefore that Mulembe nation will go worst case 70:30 for Baba globally, only because the Bukusu are the largest sub-tribe and need to be worked on as of now.
On zoning for UDA, I think this was just Bill Ruto's hubris and kiburi; you have already seen UDA aligned candidates asking that they be allowed to run their own campaigns without UDA presence/interference; they are feeling the pulse of the ground and are telling Wananchi .....pigia mimi kura, huko juu weka Baba.i see things as going quite bad for KK. With the plainly raw deal Mdvd got for himself & ANC. Now you have UDA in Sabatia.
Is UDA so popular as to beat both ANC and ODM? Guys so confident they need no zoning.
The way Raila is struggling to attract crowds in Vihiga infact the area bordering Kisumu county.
— Mc Shynne_Ke🇰🇪🇨🇭🌍 (@McShynne_Ke) May 25, 2022
They had to hide the embarrassment pic.twitter.com/KekIT4Bq0R
Meanwhile,Raila in vihiga to counter Dp Ruto popularity in the area 😅😅 pic.twitter.com/g4ur2yCtLE
— irungu steve (@Kikuyu4hustler) May 25, 2022
now ati those mlika mwizi shots from a nobody mean Raila is struggling in LuhyaBabaCare vs MwiziCare
Luanda-Maseno are border towns of Luo and Bunyore. I bet more Luos from Siaya attended than Luhyas.All you have to look for is many Sudan-dark people in the rallies. Raila whenever he has a massive rally, 50% are those same navy blue dark folks from the lake and environs!now ati those mlika mwizi shots from a nobody mean Raila is struggling in LuhyaBabaCare vs MwiziCare
All you have to look for is many Sudan-dark people in the rallies. Raila whenever he has a massive rally, 50% are those same navy blue dark folks from the lake and environs!