Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Githunguri on May 15, 2022, 01:31:42 PM
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He is at 90%.
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Not only Nyeri but Laikipia-Nyeri-Kirinyaga-even part of Embu- flow the same way.
Kiambu-Nyandarua-Nakuru flow one way
Muranga is the middle man but generally influence Nairobi politics
Look at impact
We wait for Raila move on Martha.
But generally Nyeri-Laikipia-Kirinyanga-Embu - is going hard on Ruto.
Kiambu-Muranga soft.
Meru-Tharaka soft.
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Not only Nyeri but Laikipia-Nyeri-Kirinyaga-even part of Embu- flow the same way.
Kiambu-Nyandarua-Nakuru flow one way
Muranga is the middle man but generally influence Nairobi politics
Look at impact
We wait for Raila move on Martha.
But generally Nyeri-Laikipia-Kirinyanga-Embu - is going hard on Ruto.
Kiambu-Muranga soft.
Meru-Tharaka soft.
If Raila picks Karua...embu kirinyaga Meru tharaka give Raila.
If Raila picks kenneth it divides kiambu muranga VS Nyeri kikuyu and embu meru tharaka becomes toss up.
Whatever happens in the next 24hrs for azimio is crucial
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Zero impact on PK or Karua in Mt kenya.
Greatest impact Raila get from Mt kenya is Uhuru kenyatta in Kiambu.
Only thing PK or Karua will do is assist Uhuru kenyatta in Kiambu-Nakuru-Nyandarua consolidates that 30 percent- and maybe few votes from Gatanga and Gichugu.
The logic is simple - for people to be influenced by you - they have to listen to you
Nobody has been listening to Karua or PK since 2013
Why simple - they have been talking gibberbshih to Mt kenya.
One minute they are opposing Uhuru who is ICC hero for protecting Mt kenya.
Next minute they are selling Raila whom most mt kenya dont trust.
Even if Raila makes them both DPORK - ZERO IMPACT
If Raila picks Karua...embu kirinyaga Meru tharaka give Raila.
If Raila picks kenneth it divides kiambu muranga VS Nyeri kikuyu and embu meru tharaka becomes toss up.
Whatever happens in the next 24hrs for azimio is crucial
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Zero impact on PK or Karua in Mt kenya.
Greatest impact Raila get from Mt kenya is Uhuru kenyatta in Kiambu.
Only thing PK or Karua will do is assist Uhuru kenyatta in Kiambu-Nakuru-Nyandarua consolidates that 30 percent- and maybe few votes from Gatanga and Gichugu.
The logic is simple - for people to be influenced by you - they have to listen to you
Nobody has been listening to Karua or PK since 2013
If Raila picks Karua...embu kirinyaga Meru tharaka give Raila.
If Raila picks kenneth it divides kiambu muranga VS Nyeri kikuyu and embu meru tharaka becomes toss up.
Whatever happens in the next 24hrs for azimio is crucial
You made alot of guesswork over the last 24hrs...continue guessing
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They are things I dont make guesswork on.
Reading politics...no guesswork. Guessing who Ruto will pick...I am not oracle.
PK or Martha will have ZERO Impact on Raila candidature.
Mt kenya treat them as aliens speaking their own stuff.
Next 24 hours - I am praying Raila doesnt listen to me :) :) and pick either of them.
My MOASS will be realeased shortly after that declaring Ruto the 5th President.
If it's Kalonzo - we have a fight - it would be well played by Raila as desperate Kambas will go hard on him.
You made alot of guesswork over the last 24hrs...continue guessing