Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Githunguri on April 05, 2022, 03:09:56 PM
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Friends,
In 2002 presidential election,Mudavadi the King of the Maragoli was vice president.He supported Uhuru and lost his MP seat.To male matters worse,Jakom revived his political career by making him Deputy PM.After that Mudavadi thought he was so politically strong,What did he get?A mere 400k votes.Raila got over 60% luhya votes and white washed madvd.To revive his political career Madvd ran back to Baba mtakatifu Jakom in 2017 to rescue his political career.It therefore makes sense to say that Madvd can only deliver 10% luhya maragoli vote to Ruto.
In 2007,All bukusu leaders led by Wetangula wamalwa mukhisa kituyi,kombo supported Kibaki and Raila basically white washed them by garnering 70% luhua vote even without Madvd.The best wetangula can give Ruto is 10%
It's therefore important to say that William ruto will get between 15-20% luhua vote
Anything else is NONSENSE.
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Desperation mapema.
Ruto still wins with 15 percent of Luhyas.
Labda uweke negative :) -
Focus on GEMA
Remember Jubilee 2013 won with Jakom getting 80-90 percent plus everywhere except in Kalenjin+GEMA
Now Ruto even if he does 20 percent more than Uhuru of 2013 in coast, luhyas, ukambani, name it.
AMEWIN - because the extra 20 percent everywhere takes care of lost Uhuru votes in GEMA
Uhuru was facing a vicious propaganda of another kikuyu inhering another Kikuyu
Ruto is facing very mild propaganda of CHAIN CHAIN while he is on frontal as change candidate running new miracle economic order :)
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Desperation mapema.
Ruto still wins with 15 percent of Luhyas.
Labda uweke negative :)
Focus on GEMA
GEMA Turnout at 70%.
Divided GEMA Vote.
GEMA diaspora in Nairobi Western Coast votes Azimio
Rails becomes president at 56%.
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GEMA are 5.8M - 15% turnout reduction is NOT even a million. Ruto easily make that by gaining 15 percent in baluhya, matusa, mijikenda and everywhere compared to UhuRuto of 2013.
LUO+Kamba - 20 (Pro Raila if Kalonzo is running mate)
KAMATUSA - 20 (Pro Ruto)
LUHYA+GUSII+MIJIKIENDA+SOMALI- 30 (50-50 group - battleground)
GEMA - 30 - the DECIDER
SASA CHEZA HAPO - reduce Ruto in GEMA but make sure he doesnt gain in 50-50 group.
Roughly speaking - when you factor historical turnout.
GEMA Turnout at 70%.
Divided GEMA Vote.
Rails becomes president at 56%.
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Desperation mapema.
Ruto still wins with 15 percent of Luhyas.
Labda uweke negative :) -
Focus on GEMA
Remember Jubilee 2013 won with Jakom getting 80-90 percent plus everywhere except in Kalenjin+GEMA
Now Ruto even if he does 20 percent more than Uhuru of 2013 in coast, luhyas, ukambani, name it.
AMEWIN - because the extra 20 percent everywhere takes care of lost Uhuru votes in GEMA
Uhuru was facing a vicious propaganda of another kikuyu inhering another Kikuyu
Ruto is facing very mild propaganda of CHAIN CHAIN while he is on frontal as change candidate running new miracle economic order :)
In Western Nyanza and Coast,
Deploying Kenya HAIWEZI tawaliwa na kabila mbili za kikuyu na kalenjin.
In Rift valley,
Propaganda and false flags to sell fear and GEMA diaspora flees back to Mt Kenya and don't vote
In Mt Kenya
Lower voter turnout divided Gema and jammed systems and delayed ballots
Rails hits 60%.
It's GAME OVER.
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You can add special prayers from Prophet Awour for a special miracle on 9th august
Desperation mapema.
Ruto still wins with 15 percent of Luhyas.
Labda uweke negative :) -
Focus on GEMA
Remember Jubilee 2013 won with Jakom getting 80-90 percent plus everywhere except in Kalenjin+GEMA
Now Ruto even if he does 20 percent more than Uhuru of 2013 in coast, luhyas, ukambani, name it.
AMEWIN - because the extra 20 percent everywhere takes care of lost Uhuru votes in GEMA
Uhuru was facing a vicious propaganda of another kikuyu inhering another Kikuyu
Ruto is facing very mild propaganda of CHAIN CHAIN while he is on frontal as change candidate running new miracle economic order :)
In Western Nyanza and Coast,
Deploying Kenya HAIWEZI tawaliwa na kabila mbili za kikuyu na kalenjin.
In Rift valley,
Propaganda and false flags to sell fear and GEMA diaspora flees back to Mt Kenya and don't vote
In Mt Kenya
Lower voter turnout divided Gema and jammed systems and delayed ballots
Rails hits 60%.
It's GAME OVER.
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Empty head
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Desperation mapema.
Ruto still wins with 15 percent of Luhyas.
Labda uweke negative :)
Focus on GEMA
GEMA Turnout at 70%.
Divided GEMA Vote.
GEMA diaspora in Nairobi Western Coast votes Azimio
Rails becomes president at 56%.
Chebukati is Kenya Keanza and will do fair, but if unfair, he will do to his group. IEBC and systems forget. Ruto is winning this the same way Moi won twice. Kamatusa are home in Ruto/Moi something that many don't know. Massaai/Samburu/Turka/pokot have zero fear of Kalenjin president. Add another 10% boost of ruto damu constituents they have been receiving money from FP networks from 2012. If you didn't know DP started his campaign in 2012 targeting and frequenting certain places. Those people will turnout and even Pundit Maos will not capture it. Ruto may defeat Raila by over 15 points. Make sure to come here on election night!
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In 2007,All bukusu leaders led by Wetangula wamalwa mukhisa kituyi,kombo supported Kibaki and Raila basically white washed them by garnering 70% luhua vote even without Madvd
My God, Luhya leader are useless, bure kabisa. :o
How do they again all line up behind a thief instead of creating their own alliance. The hoi polloi are wiser and once again will turn in out in numbers for the right side.
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"In 2007,All bukusu leaders led by Wetangula wamalwa mukhisa kituyi,kombo supported Kibaki and Raila basically white washed them by garnering 70% luhua vote even without Madvd
My God, Luhya leader are useless, bure kabisa. :o
How do they again all line up behind a thief instead of creating their own alliance. The hoi polloi are wiser and once again will turn in out in numbers for the right side.
In 2007, Ruto was in charge of Raila's campaign, especially in Bungoma and Transnzoia regions. He worked that area like wildfire selling Raila to the masses in a way that local leaders could not. I remember Ruto labelling those leaders and it resonated with the masses. If Ruto wasn't the engine, Kibaki would have beat Taila hands down. In 2022 the same won't happen. Bungoma and Transnzoia will go Kenya Kwanza and Raila's former 70% will be cut low 30%. Respect Ruto; Kenya's campaign machine!