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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on March 10, 2022, 02:03:49 PM

Title: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: RV Pundit on March 10, 2022, 02:03:49 PM
Look like roughly 80 percent versus 20 percent. That will put Ruto comfortably at 55 percent.

Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: RV Pundit on March 10, 2022, 02:05:05 PM
Busia remain Raila's bedrock.
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Nefertiti on March 10, 2022, 05:03:29 PM
ODM 7X vs UDA... not just Busia - Luhya yote is bulk Raila despite earthquake. Luhya is heading to 2002 Mdvd rebellion

Quote from: RV Pundit on March 10, 2022, 02:05:05 PM
Busia remain Raila's bedrock.
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Nefertiti on March 10, 2022, 05:06:29 PM
This kind of headlines just reveal Luhya anger at spineless Mdvd betrayal

Vihiga MP: Mudavadi could not raise campaign funds so we joined Ruto
https://nation.africa/kenya/counties/sabatia-mp-mudavadi-could-not-fund-his-presidential-campaign-3742218
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Nefertiti on March 10, 2022, 05:18:50 PM
Raila beats Ruto in hustler bedrock Nairobi 41 vs 31
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Nefertiti on March 10, 2022, 05:20:10 PM
NEP Ruto does not stand a chance against Raila

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2022-03-10-boost-for-raila-as-udm-endorse-him-for-presidency/
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Pajero on March 10, 2022, 05:55:17 PM
I keep saying that only area where Ruto will beat Raila is kalenjin rift and central.Now for central,lets watch the numbers,if Raila hits 30% then its done and dusted for the thief.
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Nowayhaha on March 10, 2022, 05:58:48 PM

Ruto will win overal in Coast ,Eastern and North Eastern, Nairobi they will even out. Raila will win only in Nyanza and Western. Western his win will be diluted to 50 %against Rutos 40 %.

Quote from: Pajero on March 10, 2022, 05:55:17 PM
I keep saying that only area where Ruto will beat Raila is kalenjin rift and central.Now for central,lets watch the numbers,if Raila hits 30% then its done and dusted for the thief.
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Nowayhaha on March 10, 2022, 05:59:55 PM

Actually N.Eastern is Rutos stronghold ,He will get more than 70% of the votes

Quote from: Robina on March 10, 2022, 05:20:10 PM
NEP Ruto does not stand a chance against Raila

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2022-03-10-boost-for-raila-as-udm-endorse-him-for-presidency/
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Pajero on March 10, 2022, 06:29:52 PM
Coast is 70% azimionated,continue dreaming.NE,all leaders are aligning with azimio.For Western am sure you have seen todays TIFA polls on busia,that should give you a clue.In Eastern,if Kalonzo joins Azimio,forget it.
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Nowayhaha on March 10, 2022, 06:49:42 PM

Ruto has Taita Taveta, Tana River, Lamu and Kwale, Raila has Mombasa at 60% to Rutos 40% and They will split in Kilifi.

Quote from: Pajero on March 10, 2022, 06:29:52 PM
Coast is 70% azimionated,continue dreaming.NE,all leaders are aligning with azimio.For Western am sure you have seen todays TIFA polls on busia,that should give you a clue.In Eastern,if Kalonzo joins Azimio,forget it.
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: Nowayhaha on March 10, 2022, 06:57:36 PM
Which leaders in N.E. name them, Busia is an ext3nsion of Luo Nyanza thats expected funny enough in 2013 Rutos URP got 2 Mps is Teso area. Bungoma Ruto will win and Kakamega Ruto will get substantial nummber of votes in Vihiga Ruto will win. Now Kambas have 3 Counties in Eastern  in 2007 He lost to Kibaki in Eastern. In 2013 and 2017 Raila lost to Uhuruto in Eastern. Remember apart from 3 Kamba counties it has 5 others counyies namely Marsabit ,Meru Tharaka Nithi ,Embu,Isiolo .
Now about Kenyan opinion polls have always been wrong in all general elections . Thats a fact.

Quote from: Pajero on March 10, 2022, 06:29:52 PM
Coast is 70% azimionated,continue dreaming.NE,all leaders are aligning with azimio.For Western am sure you have seen todays TIFA polls on busia,that should give you a clue.In Eastern,if Kalonzo joins Azimio,forget it.
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: RV Heavy Hitter! on March 10, 2022, 07:18:39 PM
Ruto is wildly popular except in Nyanza. Watch the space and expect to be shocked.
Title: Re: Mt kenya still slipper for Jakom despite Sagan 3
Post by: RV Pundit on March 10, 2022, 07:49:17 PM
Interpreting Kenya opinion polls requires someone like Charles Hornsby and yours truly.. focus on MOASS.For example Busia is more an extension of luo nyanza than Western.Mt Kenya Ruto is doing great...check uhuru opinion polls number in 2017 or 2013..in fact at this point Ruto will score 85-90 percent.Nairobi it depends on kalonzo otherwise Raila enjoy an edge over Ruto because kavirondo tribes in Nairobi and Mombasa slums merge against gema.Once we know kalonzo move I will make the final moass.I look forward for Charles Hornsby moass last election he nailed it..the man has studied Kenya politics like nobody else...has written on it