Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on February 16, 2022, 09:38:45 AM
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Already Ngatia bought a pollster that showed him winning by huge margin.
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Pundit you had no problems saying pollsters reflect some reality on whats going on ground,I told you that they for highest bidder. I told you byJune they will be all screaming baba. So now you tell us you don't trust them.
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I dont trust them blindly - they are good indicators - some are outright manipulated - like Ngatia one- this is kenya. If I trusted I wont do MOASS. I know how to read opinion polls - you dont. I know when they say Ruto has 58 percent - that is almost what Uhuru had in opinion polls - it mean Ruto is at 80. They are many credible opinion polls depending on sampling - I watch out for those - and I can use to extrapolate for entire tribe.
I watch for many indicators....opinion polls, defections, party choice, rally attendance & enthusiam, key influencers direction, social media, my knowledge of the local issues, local players and etc. I know what matter in Igembe in Nyambene ills is not the same with Imenti.
I also predict how things will pan out when campaign proper start - and fickle support disappears as hard-nosed propaganda start.
So when I move numbers in MOAS - it will a lot of thinking and experiences.
The results is here - compared to 2017 for all seats.
https://nipate.net/index.php?topic=5108.0
Pundit you had no problems saying pollsters reflect some reality on whats going on ground,I told you that they for highest bidder. I told you byJune they will be all screaming baba. So now you tell us you don't trust them.