Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on August 14, 2021, 07:23:55 PM
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It doesnt make sense
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Raila is crafting NARC 2. Uhuru is the CM. Kalonzo irreducible minimum is VP - easy-peasy. Mdvd has kati-kati hopes but even he knows that's a pipedream - so as it become clear Ruto has neither katikati nor DPORK to offer - Mdvd will mumble something about national unity and settle for DPM. Gema get PM.
If BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.
If BBI remain dead - Raila still unleashes all the carrots with "BBI in 100 days" ala Kibaki.
Either way I see little chance of Ruto beating Raila. Uhuru is retiring and just giving back to Ruto the backstabber.
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Robina is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.
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So many unknowns; if BBI; if no BBi; if Uhuru; if Uhuru doesn't; if kalonzo; if kalonzo doesnt; if weta; if maDVD :) :) That is a lot of permutation and combination; one of them fails; the make-belief dies;
Ruto in the meantime can simply win by getting 70 percent of GEMA; improving Kalenjin registration and turnout;
There are no iffs; there are no lies about 100 days - the Court is very clear - that constitution changing process is not possible even in 1 year.
Raila is crafting NARC 2. Uhuru is the CM. Kalonzo irreducible minimum is VP - easy-peasy. Mdvd has kati-kati hopes but even he knows that's a pipedream - so as it become clear Ruto has neither katikati nor DPORK to offer - Mdvd will mumble something about national unity and settle for DPM. Gema get PM.
If BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.
If BBI remain dead - Raila still unleashes all the carrots with "BBI in 100 days" ala Kibaki.
Either way I see little chance of Ruto beating Raila. Uhuru is retiring and just giving back to Ruto the backstabber.
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Robina is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.
How am I wishful? Nothing I write is not happening in the news, including the UDA tussles.
Here I have 2 options:
1) BBI stays dead - Ruto has some hope and it is a real match.
2) BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.
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BBI is dead - time barred - the losers of coa - will appeal at supreme court - that is another 3-4 months.
Robina is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.
How am I wishful? Nothing I write is not happening in the news, including the UDA tussles.
Here I have 2 options:
1) BBI stays dead - Ruto has some hope and it is a real match.
2) BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.
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BBI was always meant to be election-combo - so Ruto cannot have D/PM without looking like a copy-cat. He must be either yes or no - not watermelon where he promise Gema one thing and pastoralists the other.
If say SCORK rule in Dec - it ample time to Aug-22 combo. You can only argue about when 1/3 seats take effect, etc. Which is still better than now after Maraga advisory.
Do you know without BBI you are actually staring at crisis.
BBI is dead - time barred - the losers of coa - will appeal at supreme court - that is another 3-4 months.
Robina is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.
How am I wishful? Nothing I write is not happening in the news, including the UDA tussles.
Here I have 2 options:
1) BBI stays dead - Ruto has some hope and it is a real match.
2) BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.
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Power remain the same. BBI just bring fancy titles. BBI is therefore useless. Matiangi is like a prime minister - and there is no BBI. Ruto is DPORK in paper. Power will remain constant. The more people you bring - the more you have to share. Obviously Ruto doesnt want to have something to be shared with 5 people. Two or three.
BBI was always meant to be election-combo - so Ruto cannot have D/PM without looking like a copy-cat. He must be either yes or no - not watermelon where he promise Gema one thing and pastoralists the other.
If say SCORK rule in Dec - it ample time to Aug-22 combo. You can only argue about when 1/3 seats take effect, etc. Which is still better than now after Maraga advisory.
Do you know without BBI you are actually staring at crisis.
BBI is dead - time barred - the losers of coa - will appeal at supreme court - that is another 3-4 months.
Robina is the typical Kenyan naive. She has no clarity of mind. you can see from her opinion about BBI.Resurection she hopes.
How am I wishful? Nothing I write is not happening in the news, including the UDA tussles.
Here I have 2 options:
1) BBI stays dead - Ruto has some hope and it is a real match.
2) BBI resurrects - Ruto is DOA.