Lari people elected chege in UDA - and rest of your rambling - even if it's true - Ruto has plan B - gains in western, coast and elsewhere will cover expected losses in GEMA. Raila still has 1.5m gap. Bungoma alone can handle Kiambu losses (all the old men
).
Remember uhuru scored 10% on average of Luhya votes....Ruto is doing 50% plus...that 40% increase is enough to handle huge losses in half of GEMA and modest losses in most of GEMA.
Uhuru also scored 15% in coast ; and 10% in Ukambani; Ruto will do 50% plus in Coast...those are 3 solid counties...plus general increase in Ukambani, Kamatusa and the same level of support in Somali-Borana. Maybe he will register small losses in Gusii..
Ruto losing 2022 ni ngumu sana.
He is set to win all the 14 RV counties - that leaves only 10 counties - he will majority in 8 gema counties - that leaves only two counties - which he has gazillion to pick from
Ruto cannot lose 2022 unless massively rigged.
Ruto is losing ground in kiambu Vibaya. Gachagua is very unpopular. people are mad at ruto that he disrespected them by choosing this goon to represent them. He has lost 80% of anyone over 50 years. The young millennial won't vote. His goose is cooked in kiambu. He is fucked beyond measure. In lari he has a goon that is corrupt as candidate. People hate thr arsehole Vibaya sana. Wakiburi Njuguna a former knut officer is winning
Which chege...it is kahangara who won. He is seen as a goon and is hated vilivyo