Author Topic: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high  (Read 1537 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« on: August 09, 2022, 06:46:51 AM »
I had predicted 5% drop but it appears the turnout is even higher than I modelled.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2022, 06:51:10 AM »
Ruto and Martha have voted at six.
Rigathi to vote.
Raila will likely vote at 10ish in Kibera.

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2022, 07:09:15 AM »
Apart from a few late polling stations - generally voting going on smoothly

Offline RV Heavy Hitter!

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #3 on: August 09, 2022, 08:04:50 AM »
Looks like the turnout is very high. I see Narok lines are insane with many okuyu voters in lines. I thought huko ni Maa and Kalenjin territory!
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Offline RV Heavy Hitter!

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2022, 08:06:24 AM »
I had predicted 5% drop but it appears the turnout is even higher than I modelled.
Hey Guru, habari. What does the high turnout mean? It looks like mtajua haujui is real!
The future belongs to those who have a quarter of the character and integrity of RV Heavy Hitter!

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2022, 08:38:30 AM »
Yes high turnout will give Ruto 2% boost. Uhuru was hoping for low turnout in Mt kenya. Let see - rigging look hard - at polling station. Maybe btw polling station and chebukati - they will try to introduce fake form results.
Hey Guru, habari. What does the high turnout mean? It looks like mtajua haujui is real!

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #6 on: August 09, 2022, 08:51:10 AM »
Muranga - report saying low turnout
https://t.co/caRepi8Hd2

Offline gout

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #7 on: August 09, 2022, 09:09:57 AM »
The weather is quite cold. As it gets warmer by the day and people pressure each other the turnout will be impressive.
I underestimated the heartbreaks visited by hasla revolution

Offline Njuri Ncheke

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #8 on: August 09, 2022, 10:15:24 AM »
Meru and Tharaka nithi turnout low. It appears afternoon section will be critical...

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #9 on: August 09, 2022, 10:21:25 AM »
Yes so far low turnout

Offline yulemsee

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2022, 11:51:13 AM »
The perceived low turnout could be as a result of more polling stations

Offline Njuri Ncheke

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #11 on: August 09, 2022, 12:41:51 PM »
The perceived low turnout could be as a result of more polling stations
Well said...lines picking up looking good

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #12 on: August 09, 2022, 12:53:24 PM »
So far Rift Valley (Kalenjin) seem to have highest turnout.
Mt kenya turnout is subdued.
Coast I hear is disaster

But so far with KIEMS kit working generally - and without Manual - the top up rigging may not happen.

So the next step is to prepare for results transmission.

I hope Uhuru isnt planning mockey games with Safaricom & Airtel.

Offline RV Heavy Hitter!

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #13 on: August 09, 2022, 01:01:08 PM »
Kiems kit during test trials work normal, but during elections, they tend to fail. Technology doesn't work like that; it must be human intervention at work.
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Offline RV Heavy Hitter!

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #14 on: August 09, 2022, 01:05:28 PM »
The weather is quite cold. As it gets warmer by the day and people pressure each other the turnout will be impressive.
No low turnout. only few polling stations with low turnout. I saw Ruiru and Murang'a poling stations with snake lines. With over 46000 polling stations. 20 million can vote in a 7 hour window easily!
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Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #15 on: August 09, 2022, 01:11:46 PM »
So with 5hours - IEBC I hear are reporting 30% voter turn out.
Normally people turn up in the early morning - those who have other things to do in the day

Women mostly turn  up after cooking lunch - they walk as pack as least in Kalenjinland- so generally 2-3pm is where lines are the longest.

Offline Njuri Ncheke

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #16 on: August 09, 2022, 01:34:07 PM »
In Meru its picking up long lines forming apparently people waiting for MCA and MPs to buy them :)

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #17 on: August 09, 2022, 01:42:56 PM »
So far only few polling stations have been allowed to vote manual - that 200- about 100,000K votes only

Offline gout

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #18 on: August 09, 2022, 01:43:48 PM »
Looks old people and manual labourers need to have their biometrics confirmed a few months before elections. The elections audit should  have picked why kits fail for older people na watu wa mjengo. It is obvious. 
I underestimated the heartbreaks visited by hasla revolution

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: Voting day - 6am to 5pm - turnout high
« Reply #19 on: August 09, 2022, 01:45:49 PM »
They get identified with ID - KIEMS kit has search function.
Problem is when it completely failed or messed up - like mix up - where Kakamega kit end up in Machakos.
Looks old people and manual labourers need to have their biometrics confirmed a few months before elections. The elections audit should  have picked why kits fail for older people na watu wa mjengo. It is obvious.