Author Topic: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41  (Read 763 times)

Offline RV Pundit

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1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« on: August 02, 2022, 10:05:43 AM »

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2022, 12:34:58 PM »
 8)
I desire to go to hell and not to heaven. In the former place I shall enjoy the company of popes, kings, and princes, while in the latter are only beggars, monks, and apostles. ~ Niccolo Machiavelli on his deathbed, June 1527

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2022, 12:48:58 PM »
They use to be a little more credible when Tom Wolf was there - but after he left for 2019 - I dont know what to make of their polls. We have less than a week to know who is accurate. You can bet MOASS beat them all.
8)

Offline yulemsee

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2022, 12:58:25 PM »
They use to be a little more credible when Tom Wolf was there - but after he left for 2019 - I dont know what to make of their polls. We have less than a week to know who is accurate. You can bet MOASS beat them all.
8)
Is Tom Wolf at Tifa credible?

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2022, 01:04:48 PM »
Yes Tom wolf is normally the best of the worst. MOASS is normally as good as IEBC.
Of course they will latch into Raila endless rigging.
But even in 2010 - Tom Wolf Ipsos predicted Nos will score 20% versus 70% - with 10% undecided.
MOAS predicted 33% versus 67%
Final results was 32 versus 68%
Is Tom Wolf at Tifa credible?

Offline yulemsee

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2022, 01:45:54 PM »
Yes Tom wolf is normally the best of the worst. MOASS is normally as good as IEBC.
Of course they will latch into Raila endless rigging.
But even in 2010 - Tom Wolf Ipsos predicted Nos will score 20% versus 70% - with 10% undecided.
MOAS predicted 33% versus 67%
Final results was 32 versus 68%
Is Tom Wolf at Tifa credible?
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Offline gout

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2022, 02:14:05 PM »
Raila is leading in Nyandarua :D :D :D :D
I underestimated the heartbreaks visited by hasla revolution

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #7 on: August 02, 2022, 03:07:32 PM »
That is only way they can make those ridiculous claim.
Raila is leading in Nyandarua :D :D :D :D

Offline KenyanPlato

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Offline RV Pundit

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #9 on: August 02, 2022, 03:09:25 PM »
Nairobi I dont see such a big gap happening. Max Raila will beat Ruto by 10 percent. But we have six days to go
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Offline RV Pundit

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Offline Nefertiti

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #11 on: August 02, 2022, 05:17:00 PM »
This is possible, your Ruto 85% is hearsay. Kikuyus will split fairly.

Nyandarua even majority MPs are Jubilee... most Azimionated Mt Kenya county followed by Murang'a and Kiambu.

That is only way they can make those ridiculous claim.
Raila is leading in Nyandarua :D :D :D :D
I desire to go to hell and not to heaven. In the former place I shall enjoy the company of popes, kings, and princes, while in the latter are only beggars, monks, and apostles. ~ Niccolo Machiavelli on his deathbed, June 1527

Offline Nefertiti

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #12 on: August 02, 2022, 05:20:25 PM »
Nairobi if you consider demographics: it easy to see how Raila is ahead. Suburban women who like Karua.

Nairobi I dont see such a big gap happening. Max Raila will beat Ruto by 10 percent. But we have six days to go
I desire to go to hell and not to heaven. In the former place I shall enjoy the company of popes, kings, and princes, while in the latter are only beggars, monks, and apostles. ~ Niccolo Machiavelli on his deathbed, June 1527

Offline RV Pundit

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Re: 1st and Last IPSOS - Raila 47; Ruto 41
« Reply #13 on: August 02, 2022, 07:15:27 PM »
Nairobi is hustler nation HQ. The whole narrative appeal to urban poor. Middle class/suburban Nairobi are so few - almost half of Nairobi are slum dweller - about next 40 percent lower middle class - and maybe 10 percent are middle class.
Nairobi if you consider demographics: it easy to see how Raila is ahead. Suburban women who like Karua.

Nairobi I dont see such a big gap happening. Max Raila will beat Ruto by 10 percent. But we have six days to go