Roughly I expect Mt kenya to be 25 percent of the vote when voter registration is completed. You have 75 percent out there. Remove Luos. You still got 65 percent. You still got enough to remove Kambas or Luhya....and still nick elections at 50 percent.
Mt kenya now is nearly equal to pastoralist population - minus kalenjin.
Bottomline - they are many paths to win PORK.
A good politician always has plan A B C D.
Moi won twice in 1990s despite not getting support from populous tribes. He did that by assembling small tribes into a big punch.
But if you think Ruto needs Mt kenya voters to register and vote in such number. THINK AGAIN.
Unlike you Ruto practices real politics. He knows he need the Kikuyu vote and also the rest of Kenyan votes.
Getting 50% +1 is not an easy achievement.
In 2013 we knew that If Uhuru and Ruto dont work together it was not possible to win Presidency.In 2022 Ruto needs Mt Kenya to win elections . He knows it hence reason he has camped there for the last 4 years.
MOi got 40 percent in 1997 - without a single kikuyu or Luo vote almost.
Kenya ni Kubwa.