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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: vooke on July 30, 2017, 02:21:44 PM

Title: Pundito, this Poll dubbed your MOAS
Post by: vooke on July 30, 2017, 02:21:44 PM
Arrives at 53% :o

https://citizentv.co.ke/news/poll-puts-uhuru-ahead-of-raila-by-double-digits-171814/
Title: Re: Pundito, this Poll dubbed your MOAS
Post by: RV Pundit on July 30, 2017, 02:23:38 PM
I wish they could share their data.
Title: Re: Pundito, this Poll dubbed your MOAS
Post by: RV Pundit on July 30, 2017, 02:25:17 PM
Okay found something like MOAS  in their website - done in April.
http://centreforafricanprogress.com/2017/04/02/presidential-opinion-poll/
Title: Re: Pundito, this Poll dubbed your MOAS
Post by: Nefertiti on July 31, 2017, 03:36:46 AM
Ukambani... Macha - 40% Uhuru - seems like a nightmare for NASA. Let us wait.
Title: Re: Pundito, this Poll dubbed your MOAS
Post by: vooke on July 31, 2017, 10:14:41 AM
Ukambani... Macha - 40% Uhuru - seems like a nightmare for NASA. Let us wait.

Tifa's singing the same song. I don't buy it

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Title: Re: Pundito, this Poll dubbed your MOAS
Post by: RV Pundit on July 31, 2017, 10:31:16 AM
This will be nightmarish for wiper - and if kambas as much as 30% support uhuru - Uhuru goes 54% - Nasa goes 45%.
Ukambani... Macha - 40% Uhuru - seems like a nightmare for NASA. Let us wait.

Tifa's singing the same song. I don't buy it

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Title: Re: Pundito, this Poll dubbed your MOAS
Post by: Omollo on July 31, 2017, 11:29:28 AM
There is a dogged attempt by Jubilee to get votes in Ukambani. It is not working and the frustration is real. Recently we had Joe Mutambu handed 250M to fight Kalonzo. He chose to go for T-Shirts and posters. Raila Miaka Kumi and posters of the "luos" wearing the t-shirts.

Other attempts:

1. Using DPP to threaten to charge Kalonzo over land
2. Using Fazul to hit Kalonzo Family over NGO
3. Using Media to claim he is not campaigning as hard and has run away to Asia (he was in Ukambani campaigning amid a  JP imposed media blackout)

Pundit

Either we accept the polls or we reject them.
Title: Re: Pundito, this Poll dubbed your MOAS
Post by: RV Pundit on July 31, 2017, 11:36:19 AM
You worry about polls.I have my own MOAS - I temper pollsters - where they say 37% in Machakos - I'd take 15% or something like that - based on historical voting trends. I do watch polls for direction - so where I had Machakos & Kitui at 10-15% (which you caused a lot of ruckus) - opinion polls are showing it's even bad for NASA --so maybe I'll do 15-20%. Certainly Kalonzo is panicked - he has spend the last week mostly in Ukambani. Things are thick for NASA - In Kalenjin where I had NASA 10-15% - I am seeing all that evaporating. The tribal bond is strong in kenya.
Either we accept the polls or we reject them.