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Basically Colorado supreme court says Trump cannot be on the ballot in Colorado at all for inciting Jan 16 riots at the Capitol. His legal team has run to SCOTUS. Colorado is blue state so on its own does not affect Trump chances, but there are a dozen other states with cases to bar him - including red Texas, purple Michigan, Arizona, red Wyoming - so SCOTUS ruling could seal his fate.
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Meantime Trump is milking it big on social media.
https://truthsocial.com/@joshuahooser/111612909302490140
https://truthsocial.com/@LouCozzolino/111613420007079446
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Red states react - Utah says there will be no primary 'ballots' but caucuses - to shield Trump from potential bad ruling by SCOTUS.
There is talk of purple Florida and red states barring Biden for allowing criminals & terrorists through the border.
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Red states react - Utah says there will be no primary 'ballots' but caucuses - to shield Trump from potential bad ruling by SCOTUS.
There is talk of purple Florida and red states barring Biden for allowing criminals & terrorists through the border.
Red states cannot bar Biden; courts will have to do it. There is nowhere in our constitution that says such, but the 14th Amendment is clear, like night and day. I suspect the conservative Supreme Court will uphold Colorado's ruling.
Trump went to court 60 times, challenging election results and losing 60-0. US courts only rely on law/constitution and facts, not hearsay!
On another note, Fani Willis, Tanya Chuktan, and Jack Smith will bury Trump, and down the road, he will be bankrupt like Rudy when all the lawsuits come down!
Beating 30 counts is hard, but beating 91 is impossible; either way, he slices it, Trump is jail-bound! Raw fucked totally!
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Red states react - Utah says there will be no primary 'ballots' but caucuses - to shield Trump from potential bad ruling by SCOTUS.
There is talk of purple Florida and red states barring Biden for allowing criminals & terrorists through the border.
Red states cannot bar Biden; courts will have to do it. There is nowhere in our constitution that says such, but the 14th Amendment is clear, like night and day. I suspect the conservative Supreme Court will uphold Colorado's ruling.
Trump went to court 60 times, challenging election results and losing 60-0. US courts only rely on law/constitution and facts, not hearsay!
On another note, Fani Willis, Tanya Chuktan, and Jack Smith will bury Trump, and down the road, he will be bankrupt like Rudy when all the lawsuits come down!
Beating 30 counts is hard, but beating 91 is impossible; either way, he slices it, Trump is jail-bound! Raw fucked totally!
91 indictments - all that matters is who is the next POTUS. Bankruptcy, jail, etc are pointless if it comes after Nov24. The more the indictments, the more popular Trump becomes even among independents. The polls and donations indicate this.
So I think Trump indictments are BAD for Biden/Dems - and GOOD for Trump.
Colorado ban - yes I agree very likely SCOTUS will uphold the Colorado ban - and the other states with ongoing cases will equally ban him. This will bury him. I also agree the few tit-for-tat cases against Biden will be rejected.
BUT - a very big but - this will not help Biden/Dems. For one Trump's base will be raging red and vengeful - nothing drives turnout better than wrath. For two Trump will likely endorse one of his competitors - it's easy to conceive they all running with this in mind. 👀
Who would a banned Trump endorse?
Chris Christie - the most liberal of the lot - former blue New Jersey governor. He is the least popular of the candidates and has been viciously anti-Trump so I see little chance of an endorsement.
Vivek Ramaswamy - going by his politics he is only a moderate conservative. His Trump-worshipping rhetoric has not yielded anything in fact he is doing worse than before; Nikki Haley has overtaken him and he is only better than Christie. I see little chance of an endorsement from Trump despite the bootlicking.
Ron DeSantis - rockstar governor - under him Florida credit rating has bounced from AA+ to AAA - while the US has slid in the reverse. Republicans took both state legislative houses under DeSantis, and he had 60%+ victory in 2020. He has stuffed the state courts with conservative judges, passed anti-LGBT, anti-migration, anti-China laws. DeSantis is really another Ted Cruz hardline conservative and would struggle to beat Biden. He was almost running mano o' mano with Trump only months ago until Trump accused him of betrayal and started hammering him hard. Now he is distant second at 12%. His chance at Trump endorsement is only better than Christie's.
Nikki Haley - worst warmongering neocon and most rabid Zionist you ever met - she would pour billions of cash and weapons into Zelenskyy, Taiwan, Israel... Tough as nails too and the kind of persona Trump likes. She has been only mildly critical of him and was one of his big endorsers as South Carolina governor in 2016, then his faithful ambassador to UN. Her polls, cash and endorsements have been soaring now she is head- to- head with DeSantis. I see Trump endorsing Nikki Haley... cause they align on policy and character... God help the world!
Pardon the long insha 🙂 but I don't see Biden's chances as so much greater than Trump's. Nikki Haley would enjoy Trump endorsement and the women's vote.
But hey, a day is a year in politics.
Why Nikki Haley polls better against Joe Biden than Donald Trump does
12/09/2023 07:00 AM
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/09/haley-electability-trump-biden-polls-00130926
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Red states react - Utah says there will be no primary 'ballots' but caucuses - to shield Trump from potential bad ruling by SCOTUS.
There is talk of purple Florida and red states barring Biden for allowing criminals & terrorists through the border.
Red states cannot bar Biden; courts will have to do it. There is nowhere in our constitution that says such, but the 14th Amendment is clear, like night and day. I suspect the conservative Supreme Court will uphold Colorado's ruling.
Trump went to court 60 times, challenging election results and losing 60-0. US courts only rely on law/constitution and facts, not hearsay!
On another note, Fani Willis, Tanya Chuktan, and Jack Smith will bury Trump, and down the road, he will be bankrupt like Rudy when all the lawsuits come down!
Beating 30 counts is hard, but beating 91 is impossible; either way, he slices it, Trump is jail-bound! Raw fucked totally!
91 indictments - all that matters is who is the next POTUS. Bankruptcy, jail, etc are pointless if it comes after Nov24. The more the indictments, the more popular Trump becomes even among independents. The polls and donations indicate this.
So I think Trump indictments are BAD for Biden/Dems - and GOOD for Trump.
Colorado ban - yes I agree very likely SCOTUS will uphold the Colorado ban - and the other states with ongoing cases will equally ban him. This will bury him. I also agree the few tit-for-tat cases against Biden will be rejected.
BUT - a very big but - this will not help Biden/Dems. For one Trump's base will be raging red and vengeful - nothing drives turnout better than wrath. For two Trump will likely endorse one of his competitors - it's easy to conceive they all running with this in mind. 👀
Who would a banned Trump endorse?
Chris Christie - the most liberal of the lot - former blue New Jersey governor. He is the least popular of the candidates and has been viciously anti-Trump so I see little chance of an endorsement.
Vivek Ramaswamy - going by his politics he is only a moderate conservative. His Trump-worshipping rhetoric has not yielded anything in fact he is doing worse than before; Nikki Haley has overtaken him and he is only better than Christie. I see little chance of an endorsement from Trump despite the bootlicking.
Ron DeSantis - rockstar governor - under him Florida credit rating has bounced from AA+ to AAA - while the US has slid in the reverse. Republicans took both state legislative houses under DeSantis, and he had 60%+ victory in 2020. He has stuffed the state courts with conservative judges, passed anti-LGBT, anti-migration, anti-China laws. DeSantis is really another Ted Cruz hardline conservative and would struggle to beat Biden. He was almost running mano o' mano with Trump only months ago until Trump accused him of betrayal and started hammering him hard. Now he is distant second at 12%. His chance at Trump endorsement is only better than Christie's.
Nikki Haley - worst warmongering neocon and most rabid Zionist you ever met - she would pour billions of cash and weapons into Zelenskyy, Taiwan, Israel... Tough as nails too and the kind of persona Trump likes. She has been only mildly critical of him and was one of his big endorsers as South Carolina governor in 2016, then his faithful ambassador to UN. Her polls, cash and endorsements have been soaring now she is head- to- head with DeSantis. I see Trump endorsing Nikki Haley... cause they align on policy and character... God help the world!
Pardon the long insha 🙂 but I don't see Biden's chances as so much greater than Trump's. Nikki Haley would enjoy Trump endorsement and the women's vote.
But hey, a day is a year in politics.
Why Nikki Haley polls better against Joe Biden than Donald Trump does
12/09/2023 07:00 AM
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/09/haley-electability-trump-biden-polls-00130926
As indicated by poll after poll, Trump supporters cannot be transferred, so the idea that one candidate will benefit is invalid. Trump supporters call Nikki Haley the number 2 behind Trump Rag head. They would vote for Biden before voting for an Indian Woman; that is how vile these people are. Trump's base is powerful enough to dominate primary elections but NEVER general elections.
If the Supreme Court upholds Colorado, you can expect other state Jurisdictions to do the same, and Trump's numbers to 272 become impossible. This is Biden's clear chance to sleepwalk to the White House. Since Trump came into the political limelight, Rethugs has been losing ever since the 2020 and 2022 midterms and will fail again in 2024.
There is no money flowing for Trump to cover his legal liabilities. Lawyers alone make almost 100M a year defending him in all courts. He is also using Money donations for his personal expenses and when all the lawsuits come tumbling down, he will part with millions.
Dominion and Smartmatic are still on the horizon yet to file lawsuits. Rumor has it that they would want over a billion from Trump for lies.
Ruby Freeman and Her daughter, after fucking Rudy 148 million, are preparing for lawsuits for others as well Trump being one of them, for spreading lies. I think Trump will be hit with 400 million, and the two Georgia Ladies may take Trump Tower (I just love America)—a country of laws and facts where anyone who can argue in court wins always.
I saw Crazyhead Rudy Giuliani stuttering lately. I can't believe he will spend his old age in severe poverty! Smartmatic want a billion from him again lol
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RVHH lol - yes Crazy Rudy will die poor and maybe Trump too. I don't pity these crew they are not kids in politics or the law - Rudy is a lawyer, former NYC mayor, POTUS contender. They jumped into the pit with eyes wide open.
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RVHH - ogopa huyu mdame. This thoroughbred is no joke... Trump handlers are scared she could run with it. As Pundit would say: moto ya kuchomea mbali
Trump allies and MAGA luminaries move to kill off the Haley-for-VP buzz
Haley’s rise has prompted speculation she’d be a logical running mate for Trump.
(https://www.politico.com/dims4/default/55fcf37/2147483647/strip/true/crop/5305x3537+0+0/resize/1260x840!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.politico.com%2F87%2Fd2%2F3e7b0f6047b896a6ca0fc68c8934%2Felection-2024-haley-58782.jpg)
Her rise has caught the attention of the former president, who has recently quizzed people outside his campaign for their impressions of Haley, according to three people familiar with the conversations.
“What do you think of Nikki?” Trump has asked.
..
Within some conservative circles, there is an emerging belief that Haley’s potential electoral strength — polls show her leading former President Joe Biden nationally and in key battleground states by wide margins — make her a conventional choice to serve as a running mate. Trump allies have moved swiftly to express their concerns that she’s not aligned with his base. And they’ve done so with little subtlety; deploying a full-scale media barrage of anti-Haley attacks.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/22/trump-allies-haley-vp-00133104
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Trump is the President come next elections .
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Trump is the President come next elections .
You are a joke!
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Noway - not so sure. Voters are fickle. Polls capture the mood for today only.
Main issues are
1. Inflation - seems to be coming down - good for Biden
2. Israel-Hamas - Biden walking tightrope to please his split constituencies. On one hand mzungu want Israel protected - Arab Americans want Palestine protected, bla. It is like Brexit for UK Labor. But 1 year away... angry Muslims & millennials will vote for Biden. He is also cancelling student loans to bribe millennials.
3. NOBODY CARES ABOUT UKRAINE or Hunter Biden
So Noway you see - Trump has to overcome first the legal hurdles, then Biden. My money is on Biden.
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Trump is the President come next elections .
You are a joke!
I agree with RVHH that SCOTUS is very likely to say it's up to individual states to ban or not based on their election laws.
So legal hurdles are BIG headache for Trump. It just takes two or three [big red] or purple states to sink him. I say "big red" because Wyoming 3 votes wouldn't stop him.
PURPLE: Michigan (and deep blue Minnesota) already sided with Trump. Watch out for Arizona and Georgia. North Carolina is also murky water but I haven't seen aggressive attempts to ban him there.
RED: if 29 votes Texas bans him he is kaput literally, case is ongoing. Wyoming with 3 votes is also ongoing.
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Banana republic kinda of tactics. Free fair election Trump wins but knowing what is at stake I think Biden people will steal again. Sad part is what we have witnessed in the last few years when a country is run by people who were not elected by anyone they not answerable to anyone. Biden is not running the show. Obvious.
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Deep blue Maine bans Trump from ballot. Trump lawyers say they will run to court... but highly likely court will uphold the decision.
Maines top election official removes Trump from 2024 primary ballot
https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/28/politics/trump-maine-14th-amendment-ballot/index.html
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So you believe Trump's fairy tales?
In 2016 Trump said he can only loose against Hillary Clinton if the votes are stolen. Trump is the only presidential candidate in the US to talk of stolen elections even before the ballot has taken place. Btw, Trump's people filed many lawsuits in 2020. None of them were even heard by the courts due to lack of evidence.
Banana republic kinda of tactics. Free fair election Trump wins but knowing what is at stake I think Biden people will steal again :o. Sad part is what we have witnessed in the last few years when a country is run by people who were never elected by one they not answerable to anyone.
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So you believe Trump's fairy tales?
In 2016 Trump said he can only loose against Hillary Clinton if the votes are stolen. Trump is the only presidential candidate in the US to talk of stolen elections even before the ballot has taken place. Btw, Trump's people filed many lawsuits in 2020. None of them were even heard by the courts due to lack of evidence.
Banana republic kinda of tactics. Free fair election Trump wins but knowing what is at stake I think Biden people will steal again :o. Sad part is what we have witnessed in the last few years when a country is run by people who were never elected by one they not answerable to anyone.
Kadudu,
There is one thing Americans got right off the bat in 1776. It cannot be left to illiterate mwananchi, the responsiblity of making the right electoral choices. Hence the electoral college manenos. Zamunda prezy hired slum dwellers to demo on the street in support of taxes to build affordable housing. These are voters but we all know slum dwellers have no salary that can be taxed. Such are the people who will vote in next government when they contribute ZERO to GDP of Zamunda. So back to Trump, he has nothing to offer. We know that coz he was a one term President. Yet half of Americans never go beyond 4th grade. Why give them the luxury to bring back that idiot who called Africa a sh*thole? It is not about Biden stealing. Elections are only stolen in Third world countries. In developed countries they just look into the law to bar you.
In 2013 Zamunda could have used chapter 6 to bar ICC suspects. The Chief Justice at that time freaked out when he had that option at his disposal. Such are the reasons Zamunda is where it is now.
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Chris "Fat Pig" Christie drops out.. which will benefit Nikki Haley big-time.
Chris Christies cranky exit
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/11/not-so-grown-up-chris-christies-cranky-exit-00135227
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Wednesday CNN debate was dog-fight.. DeSantis is seriously threatened by Haley. While Trump is threatened by both.
Haley-DeSantis clash in Iowa
I wish DeSantis beat Trump in Iowa next Wednesday - or slash Trump victory to be as thin as possible. Haley seem poised to seriously challenge Trump in New Hampshire -- with Trump-hating Christie exit Haley will easily nick it
Then we get a proper race 👀 not the boring Trump-is-king nonsense so far.
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Wednesday CNN debate was dog-fight.. DeSantis is seriously threatened by Haley. While Trump is threatened by both.
Haley-DeSantis clash in Iowa
I wish DeSantis beat Trump in Iowa next Wednesday - or slash Trump victory to be as thin as possible. Haley seem poised to seriously challenge Trump in New Hampshire -- with Trump-hating Christie exit Haley will easily nick it
Then we get a proper race 👀 not the boring Trump-is-king nonsense so far.
I doubt Trump will be eclipsed by Indian Woman in republican primary, but in the event such happens, most hardcore TRUMP voters will stay or vote Biden instead. To them they don't want anything non-white in leadership.
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Wednesday CNN debate was dog-fight.. DeSantis is seriously threatened by Haley. While Trump is threatened by both.
Haley-DeSantis clash in Iowa
I wish DeSantis beat Trump in Iowa next Wednesday - or slash Trump victory to be as thin as possible. Haley seem poised to seriously challenge Trump in New Hampshire -- with Trump-hating Christie exit Haley will easily nick it
Then we get a proper race 👀 not the boring Trump-is-king nonsense so far.
I doubt Trump will be eclipsed by Indian Woman in republican primary, but in the event such happens, most hardcore TRUMP voters will stay or vote Biden instead. To them they don't want anything non-white in leadership.
We shall see soon. In 2016 deplorables seemed to follow Ben Carson for a while until Trump kicked him hard. Indian woman could switch her punchlines to appeal to deplorables. Especially if Trump is barred by court and decides to back her.
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Trump sweeps Iowa 51% which was largely expected.
DeSantis 21 vs 19% Haley is very bad news for DeSantis.. because this is Iowa the Evangelical world. DeSantis and Trump are gunning for the same base of deplorables so unless Trump is banned by court DeSantis is going nowhere.
Haley has her work cut out in New Hampshire and might stick around longer. Her base is the non-MAGA conservatives which gives her good chance with Christie and Ramaswamy out.
Vivek Ramaswamy has endorsed Trump after eking dismal 7% mkia. He will be campaigning for Trump in New Hampshire - seems to be angling for cabinet secretary ala Ben Carson in 2016. Ramaswamy seems more and more an opportunist parroting Trump message since day 1. Haley openly denies she wants to be Trump VP - and Ramaswamy likely sees her as a rival in Trump camp. Expect Ramaswamy to double down on hammering Haley - especially on hawkish neocon foreign policy stuff like funding/arming Ukraine and Taiwan.
So 1 horse and 2 mules in the race. Haley prospects are better than DeSantis.
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Wednesday CNN debate was dog-fight.. DeSantis is seriously threatened by Haley. While Trump is threatened by both.
Haley-DeSantis clash in Iowa
I wish DeSantis beat Trump in Iowa next Wednesday - or slash Trump victory to be as thin as possible. Haley seem poised to seriously challenge Trump in New Hampshire -- with Trump-hating Christie exit Haley will easily nick it
Then we get a proper race 👀 not the boring Trump-is-king nonsense so far.
I doubt Trump will be eclipsed by Indian Woman in republican primary, but in the event such happens, most hardcore TRUMP voters will stay or vote Biden instead. To them they don't want anything non-white in leadership.
We shall see soon. In 2016 deplorables seemed to follow Ben Carson for a while until Trump kicked him hard. Indian woman could switch her punchlines to appeal to deplorables. Especially if Trump is barred by court and decides to back her.
I told you NIKKI can never win racist 'religious' right. I think the only folks that voted for her are young folks, indians, Hispanics, and to some extent Black folk in cities in IOWA
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Wednesday CNN debate was dog-fight.. DeSantis is seriously threatened by Haley. While Trump is threatened by both.
Haley-DeSantis clash in Iowa
I wish DeSantis beat Trump in Iowa next Wednesday - or slash Trump victory to be as thin as possible. Haley seem poised to seriously challenge Trump in New Hampshire -- with Trump-hating Christie exit Haley will easily nick it
Then we get a proper race 👀 not the boring Trump-is-king nonsense so far.
I doubt Trump will be eclipsed by Indian Woman in republican primary, but in the event such happens, most hardcore TRUMP voters will stay or vote Biden instead. To them they don't want anything non-white in leadership.
We shall see soon. In 2016 deplorables seemed to follow Ben Carson for a while until Trump kicked him hard. Indian woman could switch her punchlines to appeal to deplorables. Especially if Trump is barred by court and decides to back her.
I told you NIKKI can never win racist 'religious' right. I think the only folks that voted for her are young folks, indians, Hispanics, and to some extent Black folk in cities in IOWA
Well if Trump is barred by court - he will have to endorse someone. There is only Nikki and DeSantis. Both are handling Trump with kid gloves for that reason.
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Vivek campaigning with Trump in New Hampshire .. watch from 4:00 - Nikki Haley is now Sneaky Haley
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Oregon refuses to ban Trump
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/12/politics/oregon-supreme-court-trump-ballot-2024/index.html
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Hutchinson endorses Haley
https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/01/20/new-hampshire-primary-2024/hutchinson-backs-haley-00136765
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RVHH come here... Ron DeSantis dropped out and endorsed Trump yesterday. Obviously he has bagged an IOU for secretary position if Trump wins.
This leaves Trump vs Nikki Haley.. so what happens if Trump is barred from running by SCOTUS?
You will have the mhindi thoroughbred vs old Biden - it a homerun. We don't yet know if Trump will be barred - not likely - what you will get is SCOTUS upholds Colorado and leaves states to decide individually how to run their elections as it has been since 1778. Just one or couple big red or purple state bans - like Georgia and South Carolina - and Trump is toast.
This scenario of legal ban - would have seismic effect. If it happened early in the GOP primaries - Haley would use it to say look, this old man will lose easy to Biden.
If it happened later into or after the primaries - Trump would be clobbered by Biden like isukuti with his hands cuffed in the back.
Either case this is now an entertaining duet - and Haley is no pushover. Trump has the wide lead and hardcore base of deplorables - which allows Haley to easily play tough card of underdog woman of color - all the while secretly cheering anti-Trump legal hurdles.
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CNN Poll: Trumps lead over Haley widens to double digits in New Hampshire
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/01/21/politics/new-hampshire-primary-poll-trump-haley-desantis/index.html
Ron DeSantis drops out of 2024 presidential race, endorses Donald Trump
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/21/ron-desantis-drops-out-of-2024-presidential-race-.html
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Seems Biden is running on Roe v Wade aka abortion as rematch shapes up. Trump obviously hyping economy and immigration.
?t=11RKrAXxTGNjSkJ85c-KeQ&s=19
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Continue dreaming , Trump is your President come Dec 2024..
RVHH come here... Ron DeSantis dropped out and endorsed Trump yesterday. Obviously he has bagged an IOU for secretary position if Trump wins.
This leaves Trump vs Nikki Haley.. so what happens if Trump is barred from running by SCOTUS?
You will have the mhindi thoroughbred vs old Biden - it a homerun. We don't yet know if Trump will be barred - not likely - what you will get is SCOTUS upholds Colorado and leaves states to decide individually how to run their elections as it has been since 1778. Just one or couple big red or purple state bans - like Georgia and South Carolina - and Trump is toast.
This scenario of legal ban - would have seismic effect. If it happened early in the GOP primaries - Haley would use it to say look, this old man will lose easy to Biden.
If it happened later into or after the primaries - Trump would be clobbered by Biden like isukuti with his hands cuffed in the back.
Either case this is now an entertaining duet - and Haley is no pushover. Trump has the wide lead and hardcore base of deplorables - which allows Haley to easily play tough card of underdog woman of color - all the while secretly cheering anti-Trump legal hurdles.
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Seems Biden is running on Roe v Wade aka abortion as rematch shapes up. Trump obviously hyping economy and immigration.
?t=11RKrAXxTGNjSkJ85c-KeQ&s=19
Trump cannot run on economy because Biden of all the US presidents have had the best economy. Healthcare and Economy will sink republicans. Trump will lose badly if he will be the republican nominee, which I expect. I don't think republicans entertain non white person ever, If NIKKI was on DNC ticket, she'd be the first woman and Indian president of the US. Trump already calling her Randhawa nonstop, which have driven Asians further to democratic corner as always lol
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Continue dreaming , Trump is your President come Dec 2024..
RVHH come here... Ron DeSantis dropped out and endorsed Trump yesterday. Obviously he has bagged an IOU for secretary position if Trump wins.
This leaves Trump vs Nikki Haley.. so what happens if Trump is barred from running by SCOTUS?
You will have the mhindi thoroughbred vs old Biden - it a homerun. We don't yet know if Trump will be barred - not likely - what you will get is SCOTUS upholds Colorado and leaves states to decide individually how to run their elections as it has been since 1778. Just one or couple big red or purple state bans - like Georgia and South Carolina - and Trump is toast.
This scenario of legal ban - would have seismic effect. If it happened early in the GOP primaries - Haley would use it to say look, this old man will lose easy to Biden.
If it happened later into or after the primaries - Trump would be clobbered by Biden like isukuti with his hands cuffed in the back.
Either case this is now an entertaining duet - and Haley is no pushover. Trump has the wide lead and hardcore base of deplorables - which allows Haley to easily play tough card of underdog woman of color - all the while secretly cheering anti-Trump legal hurdles.
You are the one Hallucinating. Trump lost by 7 million votes the last time. Data show he has not gained, but lost more, so expect him to lose by 8+ million votes
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New Hampshire result:Trump 54% vs 43 Haley
10 point gap. This is abit disappointing for Haley with NH having the most open primary rules. It allows any unregistered voter to vote in ANY primary. Haley got her votes from independents and fringe Dems unlike Iowa or South Carolina.
But it is also disappointing for Trump because he did not crash Haley. It allows Haley some optics look we are going toe to toe.
Nevada is next Feb 8 - then South Carolina Feb 28.
Both states poll show Trump crashing Haley 3-1.. South Carolina her home state where she was House Rep and governor... Trump whooping her 68% v 28% 👀👀
Short of wild card happening Trump is as good as king.
Wild card remains the legal hurdles - which is just SCOTUS ruling on Colorado ban. It would reshuffle the deck.
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Seems Biden is running on Roe v Wade aka abortion as rematch shapes up. Trump obviously hyping economy and immigration.
?t=11RKrAXxTGNjSkJ85c-KeQ&s=19
Trump cannot run on economy because Biden of all the US presidents have had the best economy. Healthcare and Economy will sink republicans. Trump will lose badly if he will be the republican nominee, which I expect. I don't think republicans entertain non white person ever, If NIKKI was on DNC ticket, she'd be the first woman and Indian president of the US. Trump already calling her Randhawa nonstop, which have driven Asians further to democratic corner as always lol
Obviously the economy is doing well but what matters is what people FEEL. Polls show most people are hit hard by inflation. But we are 10 months from Nov so people will start feeling the growth. Economy is likely to go mute or non-issue if trend continues
Biden will run on Roe v Wade - which has been tried & tested in purple state Ohio where pro-lifers lost 57-43% in August. Roe v Wade is the biggest card for Biden.
Trump will run on Immigration - there is biiig south border mess.
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Continue dreaming , Trump is your President come Dec 2024..
RVHH come here... Ron DeSantis dropped out and endorsed Trump yesterday. Obviously he has bagged an IOU for secretary position if Trump wins.
This leaves Trump vs Nikki Haley.. so what happens if Trump is barred from running by SCOTUS?
You will have the mhindi thoroughbred vs old Biden - it a homerun. We don't yet know if Trump will be barred - not likely - what you will get is SCOTUS upholds Colorado and leaves states to decide individually how to run their elections as it has been since 1778. Just one or couple big red or purple state bans - like Georgia and South Carolina - and Trump is toast.
This scenario of legal ban - would have seismic effect. If it happened early in the GOP primaries - Haley would use it to say look, this old man will lose easy to Biden.
If it happened later into or after the primaries - Trump would be clobbered by Biden like isukuti with his hands cuffed in the back.
Either case this is now an entertaining duet - and Haley is no pushover. Trump has the wide lead and hardcore base of deplorables - which allows Haley to easily play tough card of underdog woman of color - all the while secretly cheering anti-Trump legal hurdles.
You are the one Hallucinating. Trump lost by 7 million votes the last time. Data show he has not gained, but lost more, so expect him to lose by 8+ million votes
I think it comes down to issues of the day.
Right now - Trump is beating Biden in key swing states over INFLATION. But the trend is going Biden way with whole 10 months to Nov.
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Trump vs Haley escalates into dogfight - Haley punchline is that Trump is as senile as Biden and the old men should retire together
Haley remains defiant as Trump ratchets up attacks on last-standing 2024 GOP rival
January 25, 2024
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/25/politics/nikki-haley-trump-republican-primary/index.html
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Pollster thinks Trump needs Haley to bag independents in crucial purple states
Trump almost has to pick Haley as VP: Mark Penn
01/26/24 9:34 AM ET
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4431211-trump-almost-has-to-pick-haley-as-vp-mark-penn/
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Trump deploys legal heavyweights to SCOTUS to argue a technicality in Colorado ban. I don't see him surviving this - it is not a culture war issue ala Roe v Wade - so the conservative majority cannot save him.
Arguing POTUS is not US officer :o - is unconvincing letter over spirit straw.
Either they ban him outright and immediately kill his political career, ie uphold the spirit over the letter,
Or affirm that interpretation is a state function as there is no Federal/Congressional law related to the 14th amendment, and dismiss the case. States indeed have varying electoral laws or rules for primaries, redistricting, assigning electoral college votes, etc - provided no Federal law is violated.
Or well I am wrong and the 'spirit' is the clause was only meant for Civil War secessionists. Unlikely because Trump's lawyers are not making this argument.
The conservative legal world lines up behind Donald Trump at the Supreme Court
Fri January 26, 2024
The former president is urging the justices to overturn the Colorado Supreme Court decision that said he should be disqualified from the state ballot for his role in the attack on the US Capitol based on the Constitutions 14th Amendment.
Adopted after the Civil War and aimed at former Confederate leaders, Section 3 says, No person shall hold any office under the United States who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof.
Mitchell opened his arguments with the assertion that the president is not an officer of the United States, as the term is used in the Constitution, and therefore not covered by Section 3. (This theory was adopted by the Colorado trial judge but rejected by the state Supreme Court, which found it inconsistent with the plain language and history of Section 3.)
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The former attorneys general add, Whatever one thinks of President Trumps behavior on January 6, 2021, the stakes in this case are much larger than any one candidate or election. The overriding question is whether the Court will interpret Section 3 in a way that would henceforth empower partisan officials to unilaterally disqualify their political opponents from the ballot, especially the presidential ballot.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/26/politics/supreme-court-trump-colorado-mitchell-analysis/index.html
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Trump slapped $83m for defaming E. Jean Caroll, immediately starts milking it for politics
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Trump is killing the idea that all politics is local. The GOP primary proves it.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/28/gop-primary-national-politics-00138219
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Trump crushes Nikki Haley by 2-1 margin in new poll of South Carolina
January 30, 2024 at 5:53 p.m.
Trump leads his sole remaining primary rival by 66%-31% in her home state, according to the poll that was bankrolled by a pro-Trump political action committee and first reported by The Messenger.
https://www.nydailynews.com/2024/01/30/trump-crushes-nikki-haley-by-2-1-margin-in-new-poll-of-south-carolina/
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Senile Biden mumbles incoherently yet again..
watch from 2:42
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?t=FRhzRdjnKAAaaa9oukXg-Q&s=19
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Nevada primary is here... polls show Trump 20-point landslide.
Haley is focused on home state South Carolina.. and is now bareknuckles dogfight. Lots of threats from MAGA redknecks.
Nikki Haley enters her YOLO stage
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/05/nikki-haley-trump-attacks-00139462
Nikki Haley requests Secret Service protection, citing rise in threats
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/05/nikki-haley-requests-secret-service-protection-citing-rise-in-threats.html
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Hardly a punchline... this was expected and was only a delaying tactic in Team Trump.
The real binder is if states can strike him off the ballot cause 14th Amendment on engineering insurrection on Jan 6, 2021. That will send the deck into the air.
The expectation is
1. SCOTUS sets states free to make a choice. Colorado has already stricken him off the ballot. Oregon has declined to strike him. Both are deep blue and insignificant. But this leaves the cards in the air should a major red or purple state strike him - say Texas, Georgia or Michigan - he will be toast.
2. SCOTUS outrightly strikes him off the ballot. The poor man and GOP are all stuck with mhindi thoroughbred neocon Nikki Haley.
3. Or well a LACUNA .. I have read or heard that RNC rules allow a banned candidate to nominate a replacement. Not sure but Ron DeSantis has deftly aligned himself with Trump for this reason - kupitia kati kati - MAGAland will be baying for blood and we may have a Haley vs DeSantis scenario.
Both first two scenarios are a golden ticket for Nikki Haley. Very bad for Trump and the GOP. Only an absolution works well for Trump and the GOP.
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The sUPREME judges arguments were highly against.
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Totally expected with Clarence Thomass wife was part of the insurrection and a huge MAGA idiot. The case I am mostly watching is the New York business one, if he loses that one and is fined big bucks and his businesses closed, the consequences will be dire. He is already running out of MAGA donation money.
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Totally expected with Clarence Thomass wife was part of the insurrection and a huge MAGA idiot. The case I am mostly watching is the New York business one, if he loses that one and is fined big bucks and his businesses closed, the consequences will be dire. He is already running out of MAGA donation money.
Who is the complainant in this case ? Bank was paid it's money. Ramifications of this case if it goes against Trump will be huge. How many people would go to jail for property valuation?
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Totally expected with Clarence Thomass wife was part of the insurrection and a huge MAGA idiot. The case I am mostly watching is the New York business one, if he loses that one and is fined big bucks and his businesses closed, the consequences will be dire. He is already running out of MAGA donation money.
Financially, yes he will be hit. Anything else I dont think so.
The guy is a Mobutu version.
Only person to explain it better will be Trevor.
This is a civil case so it will not affect anything.
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Totally expected with Clarence Thomass wife was part of the insurrection and a huge MAGA idiot. The case I am mostly watching is the New York business one, if he loses that one and is fined big bucks and his businesses closed, the consequences will be dire. He is already running out of MAGA donation money.
Financially, yes he will be hit. Anything else I dont think so.
The guy is a Mobutu version.
Only person to explain it better will be Trevor.
This is a civil case so it will not affect anything.
he overvalued his properties for loans and undervalued them for taxes denying NYorkers millions in taxpayer money. This is considered intelligent in Kenya, here in USA, its fraud and criminal. If they hit him with like 500m fine, to appeal, he has to deposit a fraction of that money as bond. Have you realised how quickly he shut up after the 83m sexual assault judgement? This fines are no joke. Politically, the maga pos will not abandon him, its just satisfying for us to see him broke juts like Rudy and the pillow guy.
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The sUPREME judges arguments were highly against.
Highly politicized I thought. Even the liberal judges want an off ramp. Barely a mention of the actual Colorado court that found that he participated in insurrection. I am curious how they plan to tiptoe around that, because they must defer to the factual findings of the lower tribunals. But I don't rule out anything. They'll probably run with the absurdity that a President is not an officer. We live in interesting times.
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Looks like we may be back to status quo of one-horse race. Mhindi woman has no chance against Trump. Big IF.
I still see a chance of the ball being left to the states - because federal elections are only 'federal' when the electors meet at the Capitol to formally appoint the already elected POTUS as the Electoral College.
Each of 50 states has electoral college votes equivalent to its 2 senators plus the number of House reps. 48 states & DC simply allocate all their votes to the winner of the presidential vote in the state. However Maine and Nebraska allocate their college votes proportionally to the votes each candidate gets in the elections instead of winner-takes-all.
In short presidential elections are decided by state rules -; there is no federal law dictating how the election should be done.
Therefore I expect SCOTUS to uphold Colorado's decision and leave Trump to fight the suspensions in the state courts. This is no Roe v Wade or ideological case. There are laws and precedents in place.
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Take an example of presidential elections in Maine. Assume the candidates are tied at Biden 265 vs 269 Trump. Only Maine with its 4 college votes is pending.
Now assume the popular ballot outcome in Maine is Biden 54% vs 46% Trump. So that the college is proportionally split Biden 2 vs 2 Trump... and Trump becomes POTUS.
Can Biden run to SCOTUS and demand Maine allocate him all the 4 college votes because that is how it's done in 48 states & DC? What would the justices do? - they would tell Biden that how Maine allocates its college votes is Maine's business. Because there is no federal law Maine would have violated.
Ditto for the Colorado decision to bar Trump.
About the justices' concern of the can of worms being kicked down the road to other states barring candidates - that's a strawman argument. Equally, what if future incumbent presidents decide to incite insurrections upon losing re-election? Not just presidents but governors, sheriffs, AGs, DAs, name it?
It is not SCOTUS' job to pick apart cans and worms. Too many cans.
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Trump swept Nevada. Poor Haley is camping in homeground South Carolina... polls are saying it will be 1-2 walkover. Only the courts can save her.
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Judge orders Trump and companies to pay nearly $355 million in civil fraud trial
February 16, 2024
https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-civil-fraud-trial-decision-02-16-24/index.html
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Trump says long VP shortlist includes Tim Scott, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy
(https://www.politico.com/dims4/default/aa9cb0c/2147483647/strip/true/crop/5187x3458+0+0/resize/660x420!/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.politico.com%2F8d%2F7f%2Fb19bee8040bfabca207cb91a2756%2Felection-2024-trump-06867.jpg)
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/20/trump-vp-shortlist-00142353
I don't see how Trump gains from any of these featherweights. Nikki Haley is the one polling the best and has inpendents' backing. Haley game remain hazy - if courts bar Trump, or get picked for VP. I am sure if Trump called her about VP... she would swiftly discard any neocon nonsense and fall in line.
Wild card remains SCOTUS decision.
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Another rout
Trump scores easy knockout of Nikki Haley in South Carolina
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/24/trump-wins-south-carolina-00143160
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Oral submissions at SCOTUS
Not a valid youtube URL
https://www.youtube.com/live/6VpJKUscNaM?si=WvC1eCKfH7fIlniI
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Trump crashes Haley 70-30% in Michigan.
Trump marches to victory in Michigan primary, though with a familiar note of caution
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/27/trump-victory-michigan-primary-haley-00143787
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Nikki Haley notches first and only win in DC, 3-votes state.🙂
She will be whacked properly tomorrow Super Tuesday.
Haley wins DC GOP primary
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/03/politics/nikki-haley-dc-primary/index.html
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Rethugs want a non functional govt so that the Musks of this world can take over.
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Supreme Court saves Trump. Cases closed. Let us move to the next one. Is a president immune to any prosecution for what the president does during office? This is the big case.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/mar/04/trump-scotus-colorado-ruling
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Supreme Court saves Trump. Cases closed. Let us move to the next one. Is a president immune to any prosecution for what the president does during office? This is the big case.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/mar/04/trump-scotus-colorado-ruling
It was UNANIMOUS including all 3 liberal justices. Nikki should just move on now - this was her only reason to stay in the race.
It is akin to Kenya's ICC chapter 6 ruling. States have no power to bar federal candidates from the ballot. Only Congress can do that by passing relevant laws on the 14th amendment or anything else.
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Haley wins deep blue Vermont.
Biden and Trump dominate on Super Tuesday
https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/super-tuesday-primary-03-05-24/index.html
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I think it was a wise ruling. In future any state would have just locked out any candidate it deemed not singing its song.
It was UNANIMOUS including all 3 liberal justices. Nikki should just move on now - this was her only reason to stay in the race.
It is akin to Kenya's ICC chapter 6 ruling. States have no power to bar federal candidates from the ballot. Only Congress can do that by passing relevant laws on the 14th amendment or anything else.
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Trump will unite non whites - my prediction
Lots of Hispanic people support him
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Nikki Haley drops out of Republican primary
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/06/nikki-haley-drop-out-republican-primary-00145301
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Nikki Haley drops out of Republican primary
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/06/nikki-haley-drop-out-republican-primary-00145301
not a political scientist but I could have told you Hamellica not ready for an Indian woman president. Trump destroyed her the minute he started asking where is her husband....well now he can come home and file for divorce. Siasa hasara tupu.
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INikki Haley drops out of Republican primary
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/06/nikki-haley-drop-out-republican-primary-00145301
not a political scientist but I could have told you Hamellica not ready for an Indian woman president. Trump destroyed her the minute he started asking where is her husband....well now he can come home and file for divorce. Siasa hasara tupu.
I don't see Haley dying off. Trump needs her to appeal to independents who are put off by MAGA. If they make up she will be back at the UN if Trump wins.