Nipate
Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: Stockguru on August 10, 2022, 08:53:47 PM
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This how MOAS Crumbled
1. ]Makueni Wrong - Raila scored 79% MOAS had him at 60%
2. Machakos Raila scored 77% you had him at 63%
3. Nyeri MoAS was adding up to 104% you had Ruto at 79 and Raila at 25^%. Raila came in at 15% and Ruto 84%
4) Nandi you are missing by 4% that is a big number of 360K cast
5) Taita Taveta - missed by 6% raila got 73% vs 63% moas
6) Missied Kilifi by 12%
7) Kirinyaga you projected 30% for Raila he came in at 14%
8) Vihiga you missed Raila by 20%
10) Kwale another Big Miss 15% miss for Raila
11) Wajir another 10% miss for Raila
12) Tranzoia another 15% miss for Raila
BOMET you are right on the Money
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County Raila Ruto
Kwale -15% 15%
Kilifi -18% 20%
Taita Taveta -13% 14%
Garissa -24% 24%
Wajir -10% 11%
Mandera -23% 23%
Kitui -7% 8%
Machakos -14% 15%
Makueni -19% 20%
Turkana -24% 25%
West Pokot -11% 11%
Samburu -9% 9%
Trans Nzoia -15% 16%
Laikipia -10% 10%
Narok -13% 13%
Kajiado -9% 9%
Kakamega -23% 21%
Vihiga -19% 19%
Bungoma -10% 9%
Busia -9% 8%
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I used Citizens Tally Percentages- Seems if we use Citizens projections we are headed for a Run 0ff my projection has Raila at 48.9 vs Ruto 49.6
Total Cast Raila Ruto Others
100% 48.9% 49.6% 1.5%
15,701,815 7,681,338 7,786,958 233,518
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We will compare MOAS with IEBC - and your favourite opinion polls next week :)
We are going to go county per county
We will do turnout
We will do MPS
We will do everything
JUST RELAX
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9,349,863
Total votes cast
29,841 of 46,229
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We will compare MOAS with IEBC - and your favourite opinion polls next week :)
We are going to go county per county
We will do turnout
We will do MPS
We will do everything
JUST RELAX
moas is off the mark. you need to do better