There is a slight shift of preference in Tharaka-Nithi following the nomination of the running mates, especially on Ruto's side where the Tharaka-Nithi king pin, Kithure Kindiki lost to Rigathi Gachagua. Ruto drops 3.3% of popularity as Raila gains 0.4% #MizaniAfricaPolls pic.twitter.com/U7bLNm4kEP
— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) May 20, 2022
In Nyeri County, Karua's appointment as running mate seemed to have pleased more respondents than Gachagua's nomination since Raila gains more popularity by 6.2% as Ruto drops by 3.6%. #MizaniAfricaPolls pic.twitter.com/LF3yIHzOyw
— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) May 20, 2022
The Presidential Running Mate nomination has already caused a paradigm shift with the respondents in Kirinyaga. Ruto's popularity has had a slight drop of 4.9%. Raila on the other hand has gained more traction and an increase of 10.2%. #MizaniAfricaPolls pic.twitter.com/PHbeNB4TOB
— Mizani Africa (@Mizaniafrica) May 20, 2022
1) Poor turnout during UDA nomination.Unlike in 2013 and 2017 TNA and Jubilee nominations in My Kenya.Very few kikuyu turned out to vote.It must feel nice to consult yourself with lies. First, nomination turnout in Gemaland, like the rest of the country, was hugely similar to TNA. Second, in a fierce UDA battle, Ruto point men lost to other Ruto point men. Some Ruto hardened followers may fail, but it will be less than 10%, meaning 90% of his point men will win in their jurisdictions. I doubt Badilisha, Waiguru, and Njuki will lose. Kina Kahiga, Wamatangi, Kihika, Kan'gata, and most UDA candidates will win in Gemaland, RV, and all over the place. I suspect Ruto and Kenya Kwanza will have more Governors, senators, women reps, MPs, etc., than any political formation. Ndindi and Ichung'wah are usually elected by 80-90% of the electorates, meaning they are Kikuyu princes. They are best suited to criticize the lame president hated by many, especially Mt Kenya, without feeling a political hit. Martha is ugly, but she is also a spent force that cannot galvanize the mountain effectively for ODM's Kabuga. Her 44K votes when she ran in 2013 is evident. She only got votes from Ndia, and Gichugu votes, and most Kikuyu by millions went for Uhuru Kenyatta.
2) Ruto pointmen in GEMA like Isaac Mwaura and Catherine waruguru lost in the nominations.
3) Not just opinion polls but it's evident UDA candidates like Bishop wanjiru Nairobi Muthomi tharaka Badilisha Nyandarua Kuria Moses Kiambu Waiguru Kirinyaga are going to loose in the coming elections
4) Paid Crowds.Its very evident from tangible public evidence Ruto crowds are hired.they are paid 1000 each to attend UDA rallies You can see from the uniforms women are wearing while sacco and school buses are all over.The UDA candidates and UDA affiliated candidates are given targets for rallies attendance while the candidates also mobilize candidates to heckle each other.
5) Martha Karua.When GEMA compare Martha who fought for them in 2008 against Rigathi who was D.O Molo in 1992 when there was PER.They trust Martha more.
6) Sending Ndindi Ichungwa to criticise Uhuru was the biggest political mistake.Your recent fights with Uhuru bare knuckle made it even worse.For that reason more GEMA people started disliking you and UDA.
To sum it all,KARUA reinvented drove the last NAIL.Its over for Ruto in GEMA.
1) Poor turnout during UDA nomination.Unlike in 2013 and 2017 TNA and Jubilee nominations in My Kenya.Very few kikuyu turned out to vote.
2) Ruto pointmen in GEMA like Isaac Mwaura and Catherine waruguru lost in the nominations.
3) Not just opinion polls but it's evident UDA candidates like Bishop wanjiru Nairobi Muthomi tharaka Badilisha Nyandarua Kuria Moses Kiambu Waiguru Kirinyaga are going to loose in the coming elections
4) Paid Crowds.Its very evident from tangible public evidence Ruto crowds are hired.they are paid 1000 each to attend UDA rallies You can see from the uniforms women are wearing while sacco and school buses are all over.The UDA candidates and UDA affiliated candidates are given targets for rallies attendance while the candidates also mobilize candidates to heckle each other.
5) Martha Karua.When GEMA compare Martha who fought for them in 2008 against Rigathi who was D.O Molo in 1992 when there was PER.They trust Martha more.
6) Sending Ndindi Ichungwa to criticise Uhuru was the biggest political mistake.Your recent fights with Uhuru bare knuckle made it even worse.For that reason more GEMA people started disliking you and UDA.
To sum it all,KARUA reinvented drove the last NAIL.Its over for Ruto in GEMA.
Njuki will most likely loose to Njoka,all indications from ground point to that direction,Njoka already has Tharaka votes,he will split chuka votes with Njuki unless something drastic happens Muthomi Njuki is gone.
What to note is muthomi is not liked even UDA supporters don't like him before Ruto took him he was heading to irrelevance but its an uphill climb for him
Njuri - how is Linturi vs Kiraitu vs Kawira going?
Naskia Kawira is being backed by Munya.
Kiraitu hana lake.
Now Linturi has two advantages - Igembes/Tigania (Northern Merus) who use to back Munya - are with him.
South Merus will still vote UDA party.
Imentis are split btw kawira and Kiraitu
So hiyo nayo Linturi has won just by fluking through.
Kiraitu amefanya blunder maajab - allowed himself to be intimidated to join AZIMIO - and now he is trying to run away from it.
Linturi and Anna Waiguru on normal day should have been rejected but they are hanging on UDA/Ruto coattails.Njuri - how is Linturi vs Kiraitu vs Kawira going?
Remember back then I told you Linturi will run Governor on UDA tivket . Wewe na ujuaji wako dismissed that. Now he is the next Governor of Meru.
Njuri - how is Linturi vs Kiraitu vs Kawira going?Battle is between Kawira and Linturi,Kawira has a slight very slight lead,No one is talking about Kiraitu but that's where the folly is Kiraitu nicknamed kingangi or crocodile is just lying submerged and might surprise them during voting,Kawira being clandestinely supported by Munya we will seeits not clear yet.
Wrong party, heading nowhere.You mixing Njoka meaning(snake) Jubilee and Njuki meaning in local language (bee) UDA,my friend like you have been told many times before don't call mlima as if you from there kuna vitu sisi wenyeji are good at,you don't see ys calling kalenjin kura. The fact as we might not like is that current governor Muthomi Njuki is sinking thats plain truth,unless Ruto can rescue him but hard we will see.
Last minute party euphoria will carry UDA candidates.
Unless Njoka is that unpopular.Njuki will most likely loose to Njoka,all indications from ground point to that direction,Njoka already has Tharaka votes,he will split chuka votes with Njuki unless something drastic happens Muthomi Njuki is gone.
What to note is muthomi is not liked even UDA supporters don't like him before Ruto took him he was heading to irrelevance but its an uphill climb for him
You mixing Njoka meaning(snake) Jubilee and Njuki meaning in local language (bee) UDA,my friend like you have been told many times before don't call mlima as if you from there kuna vitu sisi wenyeji are good at,you don't see ys calling kalenjin kura. The fact as we might not like is that current governor Muthomi Njuki is sinking thats plain truth,unless Ruto can rescue him but hard we will see.
Pundit kweli so much fitina just crown anything UDA. There is no "last minute" miracle Ruto can pull he hasn't done for 4 years.
Is there at least a Mizani to show the Linturi lead you are touting? Njoka is leading in Tharaka... i hold Mizani in suspicion but that says simething.
wapi Mizani ya Meru governor contest?
UDA in imenti abandoning Linturi for Kiraitu,just sad,Linturi is done for
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0yuPcFeSQWdSTYFxtq7LFXZmDnvLfhoCqQ3a56X4W7WB4vJ8bum8QKaBtTbiDiRLtl&id=103948771905950
I told you.
I think 45% GEMA refused to vote while 20% casted votes gave Raila.
That even 10% lesser turnout and 20% Raila support in GEMA has costed Ruto the presidency.
I wish he just gave Uhuru that prime minister seat he wanted.
It's over.
Am out.