Out Of All Central Counties Raila will get least Votes in Muranga

[Nowayhaha]

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POLICE trying to stop people from leaving the poorly attended AZIMIO rally in Muranga. Lakini .

Muranga, hawataki PROJECT #hawapangwingwi! pic.twitter.com/s0IaI8hkBw

— -Dennis Itumbi, CBS (@OleItumbi) January 29, 2022

[patel]

Not sure this means anything but it's clear Raila and ODM think central will be a battle ground. What bothers me about this weekday rallies is the number of idle people. Unemployment is very high. Atleast above 50%.

[RV Pundit]

Suprisngly most muranga MPs are backing him..muranga tycoons really trying

[Pajero]

Looks like the mountain will be split right in the middle

[Nowayhaha]

Their allegiance is to Murathe he gave them the nomination certificates in 2017. Only place repeat nominations didnt change the initial outcome. Reason Kangata was on one hand fully supportive of Ruto but allegiance was on Murathe /Uhuru.

Suprisngly most muranga MPs are backing him..muranga tycoons really trying

[KenyanPlato]

Suprisngly most muranga MPs are backing him..muranga tycoons really trying

The wild card in Central. Raila get considerable amount of votes and ruto will need to sweep the rest of kenya. It is surprising how unsure mps in Central are about ability of uda to get them back in power.

[patel]

There is no way Centro will be split 50 - 50 even with rigging I would say 60 - 40 in favor of Ruto and UDA. Nominations will determine the margin.

Looks like the mountain will be split right in the middle

[patel]

Tycoons can only sway roughly 10% of the vote. The level of hopelessness in Centro is worrying and no one can work the crowds better than baba Yao. Raila team lack that 'street credit.

Suprisngly most muranga MPs are backing him..muranga tycoons really trying

[Nowayhaha]

Majority of Central Mps never make it back to parliament. I did a thread on this 2 years ago when Robina and RVPundit used to throw MPs a measure of popularity. Let me retrieve the thread

Suprisngly most muranga MPs are backing him..muranga tycoons really trying

The wild card in Central. Raila get considerable amount of votes and ruto will need to sweep the rest of kenya. It is surprising how unsure mps in Central are about ability of uda to get them back in power.

[RV Pundit]

Indicator versus measure. 70 percent of Mps dont make it. But as we approach election date they listen to the ground and are good indicators of the ground - that is why Ruto Mps are increasing day by day.

When it come to politics - you're looking at many indicators - and trying to ingore the noises like yours. Some Mps indeed could be bought - you can see in Muranga the tycoons there have interest.

Majority of Central Mps never make it back to parliament. I did a thread on this 2 years ago when Robina and RVPundit used to throw MPs a measure of popularity. Let me retrieve the thread

[Nowayhaha]

Dissapointment is the key, from voters to the dons.
For a fact Murathe was big factor in 2017 political wise, 2022 dyanamics are different. Only 3 Polticians in Muranga will make it back and for that they require Ruto to say nobody will oppose them.

Indicator versus measure. 70 percent of Mps dont make it. But as we approach election date they listen to the ground and are good indicators of the ground - that is why Ruto Mps are increasing day by day.

When it come to politics - you're looking at many indicators - and trying to ingore the noises like yours. Some Mps indeed could be bought - you can see in Muranga the tycoons there have interest.

Majority of Central Mps never make it back to parliament. I did a thread on this 2 years ago when Robina and RVPundit used to throw MPs a measure of popularity. Let me retrieve the thread

[RV Pundit]

We will see - credible opinion polls, Mps,MACS, parties with largest number of candidates, party primary turnouts, rally attendances, defections, key political players and influencers, etc - are MANY INDICATORS one has to look out for - and try to factor into coming up with a number - a prediction.

Definitely Raila is not coming empty-handed in Mt Kenya - he will exceed his previous votes by huge margin. Will it be 10 or 20 or 30 or 40 percent or even 50 percent?

That will will continue to observe. I am inclined to think he is now at 20 percent - but I expect he will end up with 35 percent with very strong backing from Uhuru and his machinery. Without it - he will play around 20 or less.

Dissapointment is the key, from voters to the dons.
For a fact Murathe was big factor in 2017 political wise, 2022 dyanamics are different. Only 3 Polticians in Muranga will make it back and for that they require Ruto to say nobody will oppose them.

[Njuri Ncheke]

As it stands Muranga will be babas waterloo. But 2 scenarios if he picks dp from there then Ruto will be forced to do same,its a wait and see. But there is also strong talk of Munya being fronted by state and government officials could be smoke screen tactics.

[RV Pundit]

Munya is better for Raila because he could excite Merus - merus never had a DPORK - and that could get him significant votes - and he can still come for a few kikuyu votes.

But all is waste of time until Kalonzo accepts to join AZIMIO - then Raila can start thinking of tinkering.

Saa hii he is in 30s....if he had not destroyed NASA....he would be sitting pretty now - just working on 1/3 of GEMA.

They killed NASA and Jubilee - it's called ZERO work.

As it stands Muranga will be babas waterloo. But 2 scenarios if he picks dp from there then Ruto will be forced to do same,its a wait and see. But there is also strong talk of Munya being fronted by state and government officials could be smoke screen tactics.