Nipate

Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on December 01, 2017, 04:19:26 PM

Title: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: RV Pundit on December 01, 2017, 04:19:26 PM
http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/news/Bitcoin-loses-over-fifth-its-value--less-than-24-hours/539546-4210248-517qdy/index.html
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: vooke on December 02, 2017, 12:34:26 PM
Yeah,
I made a few coins shorting them it on forex brokers.
To me that’s safer than buying and holding them in your wallet. I’m busy elsewhere but if the frenzy survives Dec, I will short them BIG in Jan. $3K-$5k capital  is enough to earn me enough to settle most of my 2018 bills and probably buy my mother in Love a Vitz, these boda bodas nearly took her out
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Kadudu on December 03, 2017, 01:11:07 AM
Someone will eventually loose very badly. Just a question of time.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Georgesoros on December 05, 2017, 08:03:16 PM
Someone will eventually loose very badly. Just a question of time.
If you have money you know you can afford to lose, do it. You may end up rich.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 06, 2017, 05:36:07 PM
Bitcoin is here to stay. These are teething problems caused by greed. Currency is for transacting, trading and saving - not a commodity, stock or investment like greedy speculators are doing with cryptos. The blockchain came up after 2007-09 financial crisis when folks lost faith in the Fed. Bitcoin is a true market currency because there is no Fed to stabilize it - totally depends on supply and demand. So I don't see folks discarding cyrptos - in fact there are people buying Bitcoins and Ethereums big right now during this fake meltdown. Bitcoin saved wikileaks and other pariahs who work under water. The secrecy and independence are unprecedented. Growing acceptance by states and business will make it stable with time.

In short I will not sell my BTC.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 06, 2017, 05:59:30 PM
Bitcoin's other strength - besides secrecy & state-free independence - is scarcity. Which is caused by power-sapping mining as opposed to fiat paper printing.  Most people think the heavy power consumption is a problem 8) I think Elon Musk is Satoshi Nakamoto. He lies about it.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Georgesoros on December 06, 2017, 08:27:00 PM
How much was it when you bought?

Bitcoin is here to stay. These are teething problems caused by greed. Currency is for transacting, trading and saving - not a commodity, stock or investment like greedy speculators are doing with cryptos. The blockchain came up after 2007-09 financial crisis when folks lost faith in the Fed. Bitcoin is a true market currency because there is no Fed to stabilize it - totally depends on supply and demand. So I don't see folks discarding cyrptos - in fact there are people buying Bitcoins and Ethereums big right now during this fake meltdown. Bitcoin saved wikileaks and other pariahs who work under water. The secrecy and independence are unprecedented. Growing acceptance by states and business will make it stable with time.

In short I will not sell my BTC.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 06, 2017, 09:47:40 PM
13.00 USD in 2012.

How much was it when you bought?

Bitcoin is here to stay. These are teething problems caused by greed. Currency is for transacting, trading and saving - not a commodity, stock or investment like greedy speculators are doing with cryptos. The blockchain came up after 2007-09 financial crisis when folks lost faith in the Fed. Bitcoin is a true market currency because there is no Fed to stabilize it - totally depends on supply and demand. So I don't see folks discarding cyrptos - in fact there are people buying Bitcoins and Ethereums big right now during this fake meltdown. Bitcoin saved wikileaks and other pariahs who work under water. The secrecy and independence are unprecedented. Growing acceptance by states and business will make it stable with time.

In short I will not sell my BTC.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 06, 2017, 09:53:23 PM
How much was it when you bought?

Bitcoin is here to stay. These are teething problems caused by greed. Currency is for transacting, trading and saving - not a commodity, stock or investment like greedy speculators are doing with cryptos. The blockchain came up after 2007-09 financial crisis when folks lost faith in the Fed. Bitcoin is a true market currency because there is no Fed to stabilize it - totally depends on supply and demand. So I don't see folks discarding cyrptos - in fact there are people buying Bitcoins and Ethereums big right now during this fake meltdown. Bitcoin saved wikileaks and other pariahs who work under water. The secrecy and independence are unprecedented. Growing acceptance by states and business will make it stable with time.

In short I will not sell my BTC.

I'll chime in.

I bought my first lot in November 2015, got 6.25 BTC for ~Sh250k via Bitpesa. Then added 1 or 2 (depending on my pockets) during the next few months. Haven't liquidated any yet but I'll be doing it very soon.

I've lost hope in BTC and I firmly believe it's not going to become a replacement currency anytime soon, if at all. Also, at the moment, too many people jumping in without a clue on what blockchain is.

Interesting read:

Quote
Joe Kennedy is the father of former president John F. Kennedy.

Joe made most of his money in the stock market. He traded stocks in the roaring 20s when there was little regulation and "anything goes" attitude surrounding all of Wall Street.

Joe famously avoided the Great Depression, and stock market crash of 1929. He sold his entire portfolio days before the crash. But how did he do it? This one anecdote explains it all:

"Joe Kennedy exited the stock market in timely fashion after a shoeshine boy gave him some stock tips. He figured that when the shoeshine boys have tips, the market is too popular for its own good."

A theory also advanced by Bernard Baruch, another vested interest who described the scene before the big Crash: "Taxi drivers told you what to buy. The shoeshine boy could give you a summary of the day's financial news as he worked with rag and polish. An old beggar who regularly patrolled the street in front of my office now gave me tips and, I suppose, spent the money I and others gave him in the market. My cook had a brokerage account and followed the ticker closely. Her paper profits were quickly blown away in the gale of 1929."
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: vooke on December 06, 2017, 10:12:22 PM
Bitcoin's other strength - besides secrecy & state-free independence - is scarcity. Which is caused by power-sapping mining as opposed to fiat paper printing.  Most people think the heavy power consumption is a problem 8) I think Elon Musk is Satoshi Nakamoto. He lies about it.

Artificial scarcity
Artificial demand

The technology has 1001 applications but BTC is falling BIG
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 06, 2017, 10:15:07 PM
Quote
Joe Kennedy is the father of former president John F. Kennedy.

Joe made most of his money in the stock market. He traded stocks in the roaring 20s when there was little regulation and "anything goes" attitude surrounding all of Wall Street.

Joe famously avoided the Great Depression, and stock market crash of 1929. He sold his entire portfolio days before the crash. But how did he do it? This one anecdote explains it all:

"Joe Kennedy exited the stock market in timely fashion after a shoeshine boy gave him some stock tips. He figured that when the shoeshine boys have tips, the market is too popular for its own good."

A theory also advanced by Bernard Baruch, another vested interest who described the scene before the big Crash: "Taxi drivers told you what to buy. The shoeshine boy could give you a summary of the day's financial news as he worked with rag and polish. An old beggar who regularly patrolled the street in front of my office now gave me tips and, I suppose, spent the money I and others gave him in the market. My cook had a brokerage account and followed the ticker closely. Her paper profits were quickly blown away in the gale of 1929."

Distinction:

-The Bitcoin bubble is bursting/will burst because of speculation. This is quite separate from Bitcoin itself. Bitcoin is being treated as a commodity instead of a medium. Because of this, the volatility dissuades its acceptance as an exchange. I can bet even drug dealers are facing a nightmare.

-Once the speculators get burnt and move on, it will take some time for trading and merchandising - of actual goods and services - to pick up. Unfortunately you cannot keep human behavior even out of  the anonymous market. The currency has to be fairly non-volatile for confidence to grow.

Realize cryptocurrency is a real advancement almost like paper money during barter trade. The money markets did not die off after 1929, did they? The upside beats the downside and improvements will come along the way.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 06, 2017, 10:28:35 PM
Distinction:

-The Bitcoin bubble is bursting/will burst because of speculation. This is quite separate from Bitcoin itself. Bitcoin is being treated as a commodity instead of a medium. Because of this, the volatility dissuades its acceptance as an exchange. I can bet even drug dealers are facing a nightmare.

-Once the speculators get burnt and move on, it will take some time for trading and merchandising - of actual goods and services - to pick up. Unfortunately you cannot keep human behavior even out of  the anonymous market. The currency has to be fairly non-volatile for confidence to grow.

Realize cryptocurrency is a real advancement almost like paper money during barter trade. The money markets did not die off after 1929, did they? The upside beats the downside and improvements will come along the way.

I agree with you that when the speculators get burned, they'll run in droves, crashing the market. I was actually waiting for that so I could pick up some more BTC on the "cheap". But it's over for me now.

Unfortunately, from where I stand, BTC is and can never become a currency like the KES or USD. The backbone, the blockchain, is not laid out for that. Too slow and handles very few transactions compared to, say, VISA. Look at the current unconfirmed transactions (https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions). One has to wait for a long time for any payment to go through unless one is willing to pay much more in transaction fees to entice the miners.

Satoshi originally designed it as a store of value, just like gold. The gold price also fluctuates on a daily basis. You can't, for example, use BTC or gold to plan your next weeks shopping as you have no clue what it's value is going to be by then. It might be higher or lower, just like with gold.

Have a look at IOTA or Ethereum. Now those are interesting concepts and could dethrone BTC as real and viable currencies.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 07, 2017, 12:16:13 AM
Unfortunately, from where I stand, BTC is and can never become a currency like the KES or USD. The backbone, the blockchain, is not laid out for that. Too slow and handles very few transactions compared to, say, VISA.

And for reasons that go well beyond what you state, even after the speculators run off and end up crying in their beer.    I am no economics expert, but, as far as I can tell, one reason is that although governments are free to print as much "regular money" as they like, the general idea is that the value of money will correspond to the production and supply of goods and services.    The degree of "decoupling" is a major part of the explanation for the difference between the US Fed's "quantitative easing" and Mugabe's Central Bank printing by the truckload. The idea of a currency whose value is solely determined by how much gets "minted" and how many suckers can be persuaded to line up is ...

Another reason is general acceptance.    Which are people more likely to accept: government-backed money of some fuzzy, "decentralized"  electronic stuff?    Robina says that the speculators are the problem and the whole point is "for trading and merchandising - of actual goods and services".   But how many people or businesses are actually dealing in bitcoins without a reference to the "inferior currencies" (e.g. KES and USD)?     Elsewhere Robina writes that

Quote
Satoshi has made me rich God bless him.
http://www.nipate.org/index.php?topic=6172.msg49233#msg49233

What does "rich" mean?    Is 50 bitcoins considered rich?   25 or 1000?  I'm sure she has her own answer.   But for me and, I suspect, most people,  to determine whether a person with X bitcoins was rich or not, one would probably do a conversion (at the prevailing rate) to "inferior currencies" (e.g. KES and USD).

I suspect that at the end of the day, excluding a handful of geeks---and they are called geeks for a reason---people who have been buying bitcoins, accepting payment in bitcoins, ... all have in mind a nice payout in "regular money"---the "inferior" stuff.   Here's a question: how many people with bitcoins actually use them for goods and services, and how many are just sitting on them?   And if the latter, what is the reason?

On the "broader scale", Ken Rogoff at Harvard has recently been emphasizing some fairly obvious points to those who think that these funny currencies will take over.  The first is that governments simply won't allow it:

Quote
It is folly to think that Bitcoin will ever be allowed to supplant central-bank-issued money. It is one thing for governments to allow small anonymous transactions with virtual currencies; indeed, this would be desirable. But it is an entirely different matter for governments to allow large-scale anonymous payments, which would make it extremely difficult to collect taxes or counter criminal activity.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/bitcoin-long-term-price-collapse-by-kenneth-rogoff-2017-10

And the second is

Quote
Finally, it is hard to see what would stop central banks from creating their own digital currencies and using regulation to tilt the playing field until they win. The long history of currency tells us that what the private sector innovates, the state eventually regulates and appropriates.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/bitcoin-long-term-price-collapse-by-kenneth-rogoff-2017-10

One of things that has recently excited Bitcoin types is Japan's new regulations on virtual currencies.   As far as I can tell, much of the excitement is misplaced.   

I am no expert on these virtual-currency matters, but here's how I see it: The general idea of virtual currency appears to have some benefits, and these may well become widespread; the specific idea of blockchain appears to have many applications outside bitcoin, and quite a few people are looking into those.    Nothing there depends on whether bitcoin itself even survives.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 07, 2017, 11:50:49 AM
Another reason is general acceptance.    Which are people more likely to accept: government-backed money of some fuzzy, "decentralized"  electronic stuff?    Robina says that the speculators are the problem and the whole point is "for trading and merchandising - of actual goods and services".   But how many people or businesses are actually dealing in bitcoins without a reference to the "inferior currencies" (e.g. KES and USD)?     

Exactly.

Read this a couple of days ago in Reddit:

Quote
Bitcoin is a horrible currency.

Currencies have three jobs: 1) Being a Means of Exchange, 2) Storing Value, and 3) Being a unit of account. Bitcoin doesn't do any one of them better than other currencies.

The Unit of Account concept is simple. If you have to look up how many bitcoins are required to buy a pizza or convert it in your head to dollars then it's not a unit of account. In fact, the value of a bitcoin is never talked about in relation to goods and services, it's always in terms of dollars or another currency. The US is the Unit of Account in this sense, so Bitcoin hasn't yet developed this use.

The next use is as a Store of Value. This is the one that a lot of people hang their hats on, because the technology itself puts a cap on how many bitcoins can exist and therefore inflation is difficult to accomplish... only that's not really right. In order for something to be a useful Store of Value then the price of it has to be at least a little predictable. You know so that I can pay you today for a hamburger on Tuesday. Business depends upon paying when you have money to get what you need when you need it (usually when you don't have money). If the value of the currency varies wildly over a short period of time then these deals fall apart as one person or the other is invariably screwed by overpaying or underpaying as the value of the unit of exchange is about as constant as a drunk stumbling home from the bar. On November 7th a Bitcoin was worth something like $6,973 on the 12th it was worth $5,845 and on the 17th it was worth $7,843. Good luck trying to figure out the future value of the currency or trying to figure out how much you can spend now and still cover groceries next week.

People aren't buying Bitcoin to store value, they're buying to speculate. Think about it, if you sold bitcoin on the 7th, bought that same bitcoin back on the 12th and then sold it again on the 17th then you would have made money. THAT action is a major driving force in the value of the currency, and that is also a problem.

That brings us to the final function of a currency and the one that the Bitcoin has made the most headway, as a medium of exchange. Bitcoins are used to buy and sell goods. It is often used as an alternative method of converting currencies to the big banks that tend to charge fees to change currencies. It's also used in a variety of transactions that require some degree of secrecy. These are good uses.

So, one of the reasons why Bitcoin is a problem is because there are two uses. The first are the standard currency uses that will keep Bitcoin going as long as it is useful for those purposes. The second is the speculative bubble, people who buy a coin for the purpose of selling it at a later date to make a profit (as opposed to a purchase). It's really hard to separate the two because often the people who make the trades themselves don't know.

But, as a general rule, look for a crash whenever the value of the Bitcoin rises rapidly without a corresponding increase in adoption of velocity of transaction.

This news just in:
Quote
Steam no longer accepting bitcoin due to ‘high fees and volatility’
 (https://www.theverge.com/2017/12/6/16743220/valve-steam-bitcoin-game-store-payment-method-crypto-volatility)

Steam is no longer accepting bitcoin as a payment method, game company and distributor Valve announced today. The company is attributing its decision to cryptocurrency’s “high fees and volatility.” In a blog post, Valve explained that bitcoin transaction fees have gone up to nearly $20 per transaction last week, “compared to roughly $0.20 when we initially enabled Bitcoin.” Those fees then have to be shouldered by gamers making purchases on Steam, and the total cost to consumers could be even higher if the value of bitcoin dips in the meantime.

Even if the value of bitcoin were to go up while the user completes the transaction, and Steam has to refund the difference to the user, the transaction fee must be paid by the user again for the refund. “This year, we’ve seen increasing number of customers get into this state,” the post states. There’s even the scenario, Valve explains, that as the user or Steam tries to cover the difference in value, the value of bitcoin then changes again, causing more problems.

Steam says it could reconsider this decision to remove bitcoin as a payment option in the future, if the currency finds more stability, but for now it’s just working with any customers who are still dealing with underpayments or transaction fees. Just last week, the value of bitcoin skyrocketed past $10,000, marking a 933 percent increase since January of this year. Other governments in China, South Korea, Russia, and elsewhere around the world have taken a more stern look at cryptocurrency and implemented regulations or outright bans.

Robina, don't get me wrong; I'm quite satisfied with what I've so far gained with BTC (paper value so far) and the blockchain for me is one of the most important concepts of software I've ever seen. Unfortunately, as can seen above, at the moment BTC is absolutely useless as a currency.

Quote
Finally, it is hard to see what would stop central banks from creating their own digital currencies and using regulation to tilt the playing field until they win. The long history of currency tells us that what the private sector innovates, the state eventually regulates and appropriates.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/bitcoin-long-term-price-collapse-by-kenneth-rogoff-2017-10

One of things that has recently excited Bitcoin types is Japan's new regulations on virtual currencies.   As far as I can tell, much of the excitement is misplaced. 

The banks are working on their own blockchain currency. Check out Ripple (https://www.forbes.com/sites/tomgroenfeldt/2017/11/01/leading-banks-in-using-ripple-blockchain-value-its-speed/#349679183930). Will it work? Who knows.



Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: RV Pundit on December 07, 2017, 06:53:33 PM
Plain ponzi. I won't engage in it.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 07, 2017, 07:00:52 PM
Another reason is general acceptance.    Which are people more likely to accept: government-backed money of some fuzzy, "decentralized"  electronic stuff?    Robina says that the speculators are the problem and the whole point is "for trading and merchandising - of actual goods and services".   But how many people or businesses are actually dealing in bitcoins without a reference to the "inferior currencies" (e.g. KES and USD)?     

Exactly.

Read this a couple of days ago in Reddit:

Quote
Bitcoin is a horrible currency.

Currencies have three jobs: 1) Being a Means of Exchange, 2) Storing Value, and 3) Being a unit of account. Bitcoin doesn't do any one of them better than other currencies.

The Unit of Account concept is simple. If you have to look up how many bitcoins are required to buy a pizza or convert it in your head to dollars then it's not a unit of account. In fact, the value of a bitcoin is never talked about in relation to goods and services, it's always in terms of dollars or another currency. The US is the Unit of Account in this sense, so Bitcoin hasn't yet developed this use.

The next use is as a Store of Value. This is the one that a lot of people hang their hats on, because the technology itself puts a cap on how many bitcoins can exist and therefore inflation is difficult to accomplish... only that's not really right. In order for something to be a useful Store of Value then the price of it has to be at least a little predictable. You know so that I can pay you today for a hamburger on Tuesday. Business depends upon paying when you have money to get what you need when you need it (usually when you don't have money). If the value of the currency varies wildly over a short period of time then these deals fall apart as one person or the other is invariably screwed by overpaying or underpaying as the value of the unit of exchange is about as constant as a drunk stumbling home from the bar. On November 7th a Bitcoin was worth something like $6,973 on the 12th it was worth $5,845 and on the 17th it was worth $7,843. Good luck trying to figure out the future value of the currency or trying to figure out how much you can spend now and still cover groceries next week.

People aren't buying Bitcoin to store value, they're buying to speculate. Think about it, if you sold bitcoin on the 7th, bought that same bitcoin back on the 12th and then sold it again on the 17th then you would have made money. THAT action is a major driving force in the value of the currency, and that is also a problem.

That brings us to the final function of a currency and the one that the Bitcoin has made the most headway, as a medium of exchange. Bitcoins are used to buy and sell goods. It is often used as an alternative method of converting currencies to the big banks that tend to charge fees to change currencies. It's also used in a variety of transactions that require some degree of secrecy. These are good uses.

So, one of the reasons why Bitcoin is a problem is because there are two uses. The first are the standard currency uses that will keep Bitcoin going as long as it is useful for those purposes. The second is the speculative bubble, people who buy a coin for the purpose of selling it at a later date to make a profit (as opposed to a purchase). It's really hard to separate the two because often the people who make the trades themselves don't know.

But, as a general rule, look for a crash whenever the value of the Bitcoin rises rapidly without a corresponding increase in adoption of velocity of transaction.

This news just in:
Quote
Steam no longer accepting bitcoin due to ‘high fees and volatility’
 (https://www.theverge.com/2017/12/6/16743220/valve-steam-bitcoin-game-store-payment-method-crypto-volatility)

Steam is no longer accepting bitcoin as a payment method, game company and distributor Valve announced today. The company is attributing its decision to cryptocurrency’s “high fees and volatility.” In a blog post, Valve explained that bitcoin transaction fees have gone up to nearly $20 per transaction last week, “compared to roughly $0.20 when we initially enabled Bitcoin.” Those fees then have to be shouldered by gamers making purchases on Steam, and the total cost to consumers could be even higher if the value of bitcoin dips in the meantime.

Even if the value of bitcoin were to go up while the user completes the transaction, and Steam has to refund the difference to the user, the transaction fee must be paid by the user again for the refund. “This year, we’ve seen increasing number of customers get into this state,” the post states. There’s even the scenario, Valve explains, that as the user or Steam tries to cover the difference in value, the value of bitcoin then changes again, causing more problems.

Steam says it could reconsider this decision to remove bitcoin as a payment option in the future, if the currency finds more stability, but for now it’s just working with any customers who are still dealing with underpayments or transaction fees. Just last week, the value of bitcoin skyrocketed past $10,000, marking a 933 percent increase since January of this year. Other governments in China, South Korea, Russia, and elsewhere around the world have taken a more stern look at cryptocurrency and implemented regulations or outright bans.

Robina, don't get me wrong; I'm quite satisfied with what I've so far gained with BTC (paper value so far) and the blockchain for me is one of the most important concepts of software I've ever seen. Unfortunately, as can seen above, at the moment BTC is absolutely useless as a currency.

Quote
Finally, it is hard to see what would stop central banks from creating their own digital currencies and using regulation to tilt the playing field until they win. The long history of currency tells us that what the private sector innovates, the state eventually regulates and appropriates.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/bitcoin-long-term-price-collapse-by-kenneth-rogoff-2017-10

One of things that has recently excited Bitcoin types is Japan's new regulations on virtual currencies.   As far as I can tell, much of the excitement is misplaced. 

The banks are working on their own blockchain currency. Check out Ripple (https://www.forbes.com/sites/tomgroenfeldt/2017/11/01/leading-banks-in-using-ripple-blockchain-value-its-speed/#349679183930). Will it work? Who knows.






I doubt it, the one to watch is IOTA, no fees, a different take on blockchain.  Bitcoin won't replace currency, it will be more like gold a store of value.  I'm betting on vergecoin to deliver everything bitcoin hasn't.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Georgesoros on December 07, 2017, 07:21:10 PM
Whoa Robina!!
Its heading to $15K..

13.00 USD in 2012.

How much was it when you bought?

Bitcoin is here to stay. These are teething problems caused by greed. Currency is for transacting, trading and saving - not a commodity, stock or investment like greedy speculators are doing with cryptos. The blockchain came up after 2007-09 financial crisis when folks lost faith in the Fed. Bitcoin is a true market currency because there is no Fed to stabilize it - totally depends on supply and demand. So I don't see folks discarding cyrptos - in fact there are people buying Bitcoins and Ethereums big right now during this fake meltdown. Bitcoin saved wikileaks and other pariahs who work under water. The secrecy and independence are unprecedented. Growing acceptance by states and business will make it stable with time.

In short I will not sell my BTC.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 07, 2017, 07:30:52 PM
Whoa Robina!!
Its heading to $15K..

>$17k, and the unconfirmed transactions have climbed from ~80'000 to 194'000 (https://blockchain.info/unconfirmed-transactions) and climbing fast since this morning. BTC is not able to handle the volumes currently running through it.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 07, 2017, 07:35:04 PM
I doubt it, the one to watch is IOTA, no fees, a different take on blockchain.  Bitcoin won't replace currency, it will be more like gold a store of value.  I'm betting on vergecoin to deliver everything bitcoin hasn't.

I'd mentioned IOTA already above as a good investment. Vergecoin isn't bad either, a rock-solid team behind it and doesn't have scaling issues.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 07, 2017, 09:34:37 PM
I doubt it, the one to watch is IOTA, no fees, a different take on blockchain.  Bitcoin won't replace currency, it will be more like gold a store of value.  I'm betting on vergecoin to deliver everything bitcoin hasn't.

I'd mentioned IOTA already above as a good investment. Vergecoin isn't bad either, a rock-solid team behind it and doesn't have scaling issues.

Sorry, I'm reading on the phone, I'd skimmed over some posts.   Apologies
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: vooke on December 10, 2017, 08:16:40 AM
Plain ponzi. I won't engage in it.

I will be some $5K richer in Jan and I intend to go short on BTCUSD with all of it. That’s the most I can afford to burn on BTC,and not cry when I lose my shirt.


The BTC futures being introduced nobody knows HOW they will affect prices but one sure thing is, they add ability to speculate and make money on the way down as opposed to presently where you can only make money on your way up.

Moon Ki,
The idea of government run crypto is not sexy at all. Nobody will trust the authorities with privacy,and privacy is a key driver,at least initially , of BTC allure. Government cryptos will be released but I doubt they can match or even pretend to compete with BTC. But it’s possible after the ponzi comes down,and hubris melt, we wil soberly consider cryptos as a medium of exchange as opposed to commodity

Robina,
Please bail out and get me my iPhone X. Asante
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 10, 2017, 11:52:31 AM
I will be some $5K richer in Jan and I intend to go short on BTCUSD with all of it. That’s the most I can afford to burn on BTC,and not cry when I lose my shirt.


The BTC futures being introduced nobody knows HOW they will affect prices but one sure thing is, they add ability to speculate and make money on the way down as opposed to presently where you can only make money on your way up.

Wait for the dip and buy more. Do not sell.


Moon Ki,
The idea of government run crypto is not sexy at all. Nobody will trust the authorities with privacy,and privacy is a key driver,at least initially , of BTC allure. Government cryptos will be released but I doubt they can match or even pretend to compete with BTC. But it’s possible after the ponzi comes down,and hubris melt, we wil soberly consider cryptos as a medium of exchange as opposed to commodity

Government crypto is literal voodoo. Anonymity & decentralized are the key features. Trust MOON Ki to bet on those.


Robina,
Please bail out and get me my iPhone X. Asante

I'm not selling.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 10, 2017, 12:23:43 PM
Moon Ki,
The idea of government run crypto is not sexy at all. Nobody will trust the authorities with privacy,and privacy is a key driver,at least initially , of BTC allure. Government cryptos will be released but I doubt they can match or even pretend to compete with BTC. But it’s possible after the ponzi comes down,and hubris melt, we wil soberly consider cryptos as a medium of exchange as opposed to commodity.

I don't quite get that. I can see how some geeks and anti-social types might look at the sexy element, but I never see money solely in such terms ... the sexiness of money.   I'd much rather focus on all the sexy things one can get with real money, including the sexiness of all sorts of real sex.

Beyond real or virtual sexiness, I have some opinions on all this; but let me not jump the gun, given that I do not know your "starting point".   So, before I write a full response to that, I have a couple of questions:

- Do you really mean "privacy", or do you mean "anonymity"?   

- What is it about bitcoin that you think any person or organization might want to match or even pretend to match?

While I await your answers, I'll give you a broad, general opinion: bitcoin has never really been a "medium of exchange as opposed to commodity"; there have never real  prospects that it might ever be; and there are no prospects that it will ever be.   

What is happening with bitcoin right now is actually the best that ever could happen: All sorts of greedy types jumping in, hoping (if they understand what is going on) that they will unload on other suckers before the gravy-train crashes.    I too have considered jumping in for the "free and easy money".   But this lemming rush?   Yes, some people will get rich, but how many will end up crying? 

(By the way, I saw your note on shorting bitcoin, and I too thought it might be an opportunity to clean up.   But it looks like current frenzy will go on for a while and with increasing delays on transactions.  Makes things very tricky.)



Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 10, 2017, 12:33:09 PM
Government crypto is literal voodoo. Anonymity & decentralized are the key features. Trust MOON Ki to bet on those.

WTF!
  What now.     

See MOON Ki's questions above to vooke.   Feel free to add "anonymity" and "decentralized" to whatever list he comes up with; MOON Ki will give a full "response" to  all.   

MOON Ki has already considered the "anonymity" angle and has a ready response on that one.   For Robina: why do you think the "decentralized" is that important? (Lest I misunderstand you,  perhaps you will also explain what you mean by the term.)
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 10, 2017, 02:02:11 PM
I wonder if MOON Ki sees any point of an option to the status quo. So he needs a thesis to convince him. Don't worry when cars showed up some insisted we must continue riding horses :D

For starters the various financial crises - Asia in the 90s, entire developed world 2007-09. Poor people in places like Zim are stuck with morons like Bob & Grace to manage their wealth and line up outside banks with gunias to carry useless cash. These are failures of the traditional banking system. Decentralization and anonymity disrupt this system.

No system improves without a challenge. Paypal forced the bankers to digitize in the early 2000s. At first they attacked Paypal viciously before they copy-pasted the model. Paypal's problem was going proprietary - which the cryptocurrency solves by blockchain free patent. There are simply too many hackers, entrepreneurs, investors, etc for the establishment to beat. Any banker with a brain should invest in a crypto-exchange or wallet subsidiary.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 10, 2017, 02:11:26 PM
Bitcoin and crypto remind me of Kenyan banks resisting M-Pesa a decade ago. Today they are forming Pesalink to defend their dwindling marketshare - a decade too late. I was puzzled to see Safaricom opposing Bitcoin - instead of snapping Bitpesa asap.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: RVtitem on December 10, 2017, 04:32:19 PM
What will be the effect of futures on bitcoin price... Next few weeks seem uncertain
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 10, 2017, 05:27:50 PM
I wonder if MOON Ki sees any point of an option to the status quo. So he needs a thesis to convince him. Don't worry when cars showed up some insisted we must continue riding horses :D

For starters the various financial crises - Asia in the 90s, entire developed world 2007-09. Poor people in places like Zim are stuck with morons like Bob & Grace to manage their wealth and line up outside banks with gunias to carry useless cash. These are failures of the traditional banking system. Decentralization and anonymity disrupt this system.

No system improves without a challenge. Paypal forced the bankers to digitize in the early 2000s. At first they attacked Paypal viciously before they copy-pasted the model. Paypal's problem was going proprietary - which the cryptocurrency solves by blockchain free patent. There are simply too many hackers, entrepreneurs, investors, etc for the establishment to beat. Any banker with a brain should invest in a crypto-exchange or wallet subsidiary.

My questions are up there, and I think they are clear enough. (That includes one for you.)   If there are any questions that need clarification, I'd be happy to oblige.   I shall then give my answers.   

By the way, I might not be the best target for the mumbo-jumbo/ill-understood/regurgitation treadmill.  I'll leave that one there for now.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: vooke on December 10, 2017, 05:37:42 PM
Moon Ki,
The idea of government run crypto is not sexy at all. Nobody will trust the authorities with privacy,and privacy is a key driver,at least initially , of BTC allure. Government cryptos will be released but I doubt they can match or even pretend to compete with BTC. But it’s possible after the ponzi comes down,and hubris melt, we wil soberly consider cryptos as a medium of exchange as opposed to commodity.

I don't quite get that. I can see how some geeks and anti-social types might look at the sexy element, but I never see money solely in such terms ... the sexiness of money.   I'd much rather focus on all the sexy things one can get with real money, including the sexiness of all sorts of real sex.

Beyond real or virtual sexiness, I have some opinions on all this; but let me not jump the gun, given that I do not know your "starting point".   So, before I write a full response to that, I have a couple of questions:

- Do you really mean "privacy", or do you mean "anonymity"?   

- What is it about bitcoin that you think any person or organization might want to match or even pretend to match?

While I await your answers, I'll give you a broad, general opinion: bitcoin has never really been a "medium of exchange as opposed to commodity"; there have never real  prospects that it might ever be; and there are no prospects that it will ever be.   

What is happening with bitcoin right now is actually the best that ever could happen: All sorts of greedy types jumping in, hoping (if they understand what is going on) that they will unload on other suckers before the gravy-train crashes.    I too have considered jumping in for the "free and easy money".   But this lemming rush?   Yes, some people will get rich, but how many will end up crying? 

(By the way, I saw your note on shorting bitcoin, and I too thought it might be an opportunity to clean up.   But it looks like current frenzy will go on for a while and with increasing delays on transactions.  Makes things very tricky.)




1. Anonymity
2. Using cryptos as a legal tender...medium of exchange that’s what some central banks are musing


About shorting, I doubt it’ll edge higher, maybe $18K at most.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 10, 2017, 05:57:19 PM
1. Anonymity
2. Using cryptos as a legal tender...medium of exchange that’s what some central banks are musing


I'm just about to go off go bed, so my dull answer will come tomorrow.   I'm ready on (1) but can't be bothered to type it all right now.  In essence: unless one is a petty criminal with short-term horizons, the bitcoin sort of thing is about dim-witted as one can get.   

On (2), we should perhaps revisit the claim in question on government--issued crypto-currencies.  You "doubt that they can match or even pretend to compete with BTC".   By way of some follow-up questions that would help me with my response:

(i) who decides what's legal tender?
(ii) when, where, and how have crypto-currencies such as bitcoin been declared legal tender?

(The preceding is not for any flipped-up, bizaaro world on which "legal", "anonymous", etc. have the directly-opposed meaning.)

Quote
About shorting, I doubt it’ll edge higher, maybe $18K at most.

I think it will go way higher than that and keep going for quite some time.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 11, 2017, 02:18:33 AM
vooke, some short responses to your statement that "Government cryptos will be released but I doubt they can match or even pretend to compete with BTC.", on the basis of

"1. Anonymity
2. Using cryptos as a legal tender...medium of exchange that’s what some central banks are musing".

Governments will allow anonymity in the use of private "cryptocurrencies" only as long as they are considered play money that only a few people fool around with.   As soon as things get serious, it is quite easy to get a  "match": simply strip away any anonymity.   Japan has been praised this year for its recognition of cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin.    Here is an article on that: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-bitcoin/japans-fsa-gives-official-endorsement-to-11-cryptocurrency-exchanges-idUSKCN1C40T9 

One of the first points in the article is related to your (2) and one of my "follow-up" questions:

Quote
The Japanese government recognized bitcoin as legal tender in April and required cryptocurrency exchange operators to register with it.
*** Strictly, the article is incorrect: The Japanese laws have admitted the cryptocurrencies as "legal methods of payment", not as "legal tender".    Nevertheless, my point is that any "legality" comes from the government.


A couple of months ago Japanese government announced that it will carry out "full surveillance" on these exchange operators.     The "full surveillance" is about this:

Quote
The financial watchdog has laid out various requirements, such as building a strong computer system, segregation of customer accounts and checking the identity of customers, a key issue given concerns cryptocurrency could be used for money-laundering.

The UK and EU also seem to be moving in the same direction:   http://www.businessinsider.com/anti-money-laundering-cryptocurrencies-regulation-eu-uk-identity-2017-12

By the way, there is an amusing element in the Japanese story.  When Mt.Gox collapsed, the same people who had insisted that the government stay out of their funny-money affairs howled painfully about "the government should have done something!", "the government must do something!", etc.  Their pain was quite  understandable: without the sort of "deposit insurance" that governments typically provide for proper banking, their money really was totally gone.  The theft was also amusing in terms of the "crypto" part.   

Anyways ... back on track:

(1) Governments get to decide whether or not users of cyptocurrencies (including bitcoin) get to stay anonymous

(2) Government gets to decide what is and what is not legal tender.  And that includes bitcoin.

So, can a government "match or even pretend to compete with BTC"?
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: vooke on December 11, 2017, 10:31:57 AM
Moonki,
I will make time later today and respond to your detailed post.

Asante and great week ahead
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: RV Pundit on December 11, 2017, 12:39:58 PM
How liquid is bitcoin? If today I had 1B dollars worth of it - can I liquidate it to cash? Or it just like I suspect some make-belief nonsense where everyone is punting hoping to win and leave someone else without his shirt.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 11, 2017, 06:36:38 PM
Moonki,
I will make time later today and respond to your detailed post.

Asante and great week ahead

One more for those who believe in "anonymity" and "government out!":   a US federal judge has decided that if it looks like your US transactions in bitcoin might be worth taxing, then the government has a right to know who you are:    http://fortune.com/2017/11/29/irs-coinbase/

Court order: https://www.scribd.com/document/365893210/US-v-Coinbase-order#fullscreen&from_embed

(A key point in the order are the IRS requests that have been denied.   The denial is only "at this stage", and it seems apparent that the IRS can repeat the same intrusive requests once it has gone through the list of possible mischief-makers and narrowed it down.)

And there's an amusing side-note there:  the IRS gets its initial information from Chainalysis, a bunch of electronic sleuths who look at the bitcoin blockchain, which is public.   So, the very thing that facilitates the "decentralized, government-free money" is a handy tool for getting information on  suspicious people!

In yet other news, hackers again ignore the "crypto" in "cryptocurrency" and make off with plenty of good stuff:   http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-42275523
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 12, 2017, 06:55:24 PM
Anyone watching Litecoin (LTC)?
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 12, 2017, 08:23:19 PM
This would take a couple of days due to heavy trading by speculators. This is pure logistical - imagine 100m folks suddenly trading the shilling. At $20 fees. The free bitcoins would be bought immediately. A few days ago there were panic sales - at 12k usd. Now it's at 17k usd.

People are trading heavy all the time and overloading the network. They get real cash. It's speculation not make-believe.

How liquid is bitcoin? If today I had 1B dollars worth of it - can I liquidate it to cash? Or it just like I suspect some make-belief nonsense where everyone is punting hoping to win and leave someone else without his shirt.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 13, 2017, 02:49:48 AM
Anyone watching Litecoin (LTC)?


Yes yes yes... The moonshot is finally here.

Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 13, 2017, 02:52:41 AM
Moonki,
I will make time later today and respond to your detailed post.

Asante and great week ahead

One more for those who believe in "anonymity" and "government out!":   a US federal judge has decided that if it looks like your US transactions in bitcoin might be worth taxing, then the government has a right to know who you are:    http://fortune.com/2017/11/29/irs-coinbase/

Court order: https://www.scribd.com/document/365893210/US-v-Coinbase-order#fullscreen&from_embed

(A key point in the order are the IRS requests that have been denied.   The denial is only "at this stage", and it seems apparent that the IRS can repeat the same intrusive requests once it has gone through the list of possible mischief-makers and narrowed it down.)

And there's an amusing side-note there:  the IRS gets its initial information from Chainalysis, a bunch of electronic sleuths who look at the bitcoin blockchain, which is public.   So, the very thing that facilitates the "decentralized, government-free money" is a handy tool for getting information on  suspicious people!

In yet other news, hackers again ignore the "crypto" in "cryptocurrency" and make off with plenty of good stuff:   http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-42275523

These moves now expose the underbelly of bitcoin and other pritected-by-public-blockchain crypto.  This is a good thing for truly private coins.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 13, 2017, 12:15:08 PM
This would take a couple of days due to heavy trading by speculators. This is pure logistical - imagine 100m folks suddenly trading the shilling. At $20 fees. The free bitcoins would be bought immediately. A few days ago there were panic sales - at 12k usd. Now it's at 17k usd.

People are trading heavy all the time and overloading the network. They get real cash. It's speculation not make-believe.

How liquid is bitcoin? If today I had 1B dollars worth of it - can I liquidate it to cash? Or it just like I suspect some make-belief nonsense where everyone is punting hoping to win and leave someone else without his shirt.

I'd have to disagree here. Liquidating $1b worth of bitcoin at once would seriously crash the market (that's trying to sell over 58'000 bitcoins at once). In anycase, not even Coinbase would allow that kind of volume (current daily bitcoins traded worldwide is about 112'000 valued at $1.8b (https://blockchain.info/stats)).

The best way to go about it would be liquidating a few tens of bitcoins on a weekly basis. I'll not even bother going into the problems when that kind of money starts landing in ones bank account.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 13, 2017, 12:18:07 PM
Anyone watching Litecoin (LTC)?


Yes yes yes... The moonshot is finally here.



Yeah, it's great but don't get too excited (I know it's hard not to  :D). This is what the developer of Litecoin had to say:

Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 14, 2017, 07:18:48 AM
These moves now expose the underbelly of bitcoin and other pritected-by-public-blockchain crypto.  This is a good thing for truly private coins.

And the "truly private coins" would be good for?
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 14, 2017, 09:24:34 PM
These moves now expose the underbelly of bitcoin and other pritected-by-public-blockchain crypto.  This is a good thing for truly private coins.

And the "truly private coins" would be good for?

Privacy from the money grabbing governments.  I must say it feels quite good engaging in trade beyond the hands of her majesty's revenue and customs.   
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 14, 2017, 09:34:03 PM
Anyone watching Litecoin (LTC)?


Yes yes yes... The moonshot is finally here.



Yeah, it's great but don't get too excited (I know it's hard not to  :D). This is what the developer of Litecoin had to say:


Well the market excitement is beyond the powers of the developers.  I'm predicting LTC to 1k usd in Q1 2018
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 15, 2017, 06:55:49 PM
Privacy from the money grabbing governments.  I must say it feels quite good engaging in trade beyond the hands of her majesty's revenue and customs.   

Most crime probably feels good at the time, but it is astonishing to see such a "cheerful" public admission.  I urge veritas to look into your IP address and then follow the directions here: https://www.gov.uk/report-an-unregistered-trader-or-business

Still, to your credit, you are not among those who believe in "we'll use the funny moneies to pay for goods and services".    Hardly anyone uses them for that, for two good reasons: (a) hardly anybody takes them for that, and (b) "regular monies" are still way ahead and will remain way ahead government-back "virtual currencies" replace them in the "way ahead".  Bitcoin is the most prominent of the funny monies.   Has been around for nearly a decade.    And people can do what with it in practice? (Other than supporting criminal activities.)

Even the most die-hard supporters of, say, bitcoin, have just been sitting on their "coins", and the basic thing driving most cryptocurencies is the belief that at some point one will be able to sell, at much higher prices, to some suckers.

Oh, this just in on another "anonymous" user of bitcoin: https://www.justice.gov/usao-edny/pr/long-island-woman-indicted-bank-fraud-and-money-laundering-support-terrorists
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 15, 2017, 07:56:46 PM
Privacy from the money grabbing governments.  I must say it feels quite good engaging in trade beyond the hands of her majesty's revenue and customs.   

Most crime probably feels good at the time, but it is astonishing to see such a "cheerful" public admission.  I urge veritas to look into your IP address and then follow the directions here: https://www.gov.uk/report-an-unregistered-trader-or-business

Still, to your credit, you are not among those who believe in "we'll use the funny moneies to pay for goods and services".    Hardly anyone uses them for that, for two good reasons: (a) hardly anybody takes them for that, and (b) "regular monies" are still way ahead and will remain way ahead government-back "virtual currencies" replace them in the "way ahead".  Bitcoin is the most prominent of the funny monies.   Has been around for nearly a decade.    And people can do what with it in practice? (Other than supporting criminal activities.)

Even the most die-hard supporters of, say, bitcoin, have just been sitting on their "coins", and the basic thing driving most cryptocurencies is the belief that at some point one will be able to sell, at much higher prices, to some suckers.

Oh, this just in on another "anonymous" user of bitcoin: https://www.justice.gov/usao-edny/pr/long-island-woman-indicted-bank-fraud-and-money-laundering-support-terrorists

You're right. Bitcoin is an absolute failure as a common use currency and will never become one. What's more interesting is the technology behind it, the blockchain, but most people aren't interested in that at all.

Greed is what's driving the market now, with quite a few early adopters of bitcoin bailing out.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 16, 2017, 02:51:34 AM
Bitcoin is an absolute failure as a common use currency and will never become one.

And it's bad news for all other "private" cryptocurrencies.  Too many people now thinking "I missed out on bitcoin, but if I buy this new one now and just sit on it ...".   Not surprisingly, it looks like some people are cleaning up by knocking off and peddling new cryptocurrencies just about every other day.   

Quote
What's more interesting is the technology behind it, the blockchain, but most people aren't interested in that at all.

And when they are interested, they simply don't bother to understand it.  I've read or heard numerous excited statements that equate "blockchain" with "bitcoin".

Quote
Greed is what's driving the market now, with quite a few early adopters of bitcoin bailing out.

Uncle Sam too is bailing out .... sort of.  An interesting "commentary" on what Uncle Sam thinks of the current craze: A few days ago it went to court seeking permission to sell BTC and BCH that were seized from a drug dealer.   The claim in the filing was essentially that the government should make some money while prices are still high.  Fair point.  The value of the stuff at the time of seizure was around $0.5m; it's now probably around $10m; and knows what it will be next week.. 

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4329433-87-Main.html

Judge immediately agreed.

The filing has two interesting bits.    One, a footnote says that the government got into the drug dealer's "wallets" and transferred his stash into a government "wallet", but it is rather coy on the "how".   Two, the government is wary of bitcoin types; the filing says that to avoid "loss or fraud", the stuff will be sold in several small batches.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 16, 2017, 09:15:20 AM
Every failure you cite of crypto - devaluation, fraud, etc - can be countered with many more failures of fiat currency. There are numerous bank heists, corruption cases and devaluations worldwide involving fiat currency. Terrorism and corruption have existed for centuries and have been funded by fiat currency. You cite one Bitcoin terrorist... who funded all the others? Should we abandon the dollar or the euro for that? These crimes are not currency problems. Try banning greed and faith or religion first.

Recently Uncle Sam's global impunity and corruption have been exposed by Wikileaks whose survival is ensured by cryptocurrency. Uncle Sam froze all other funding channels. That's Uncle Sam's real beef - loss of control. However he's not as intransigent because he sees some value - it's a wait and see attitude at least according to Janet Yelen. Bitcoin is legal in a significant number of countries - OECD, Latin America, Asia, Africa, name it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_bitcoin_by_country_or_territory (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_bitcoin_by_country_or_territory) Not everyone buys into the doom theory.

There are many and counting legal merchants & retailers who accept bitcoin and other cryptos in their trade. Including giants Microsoft, Zynga, Expedia, Overstock, Virgin Galactic. http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-price-8-surprising-places-where-you-can-use-2017-10?IR=T/#virgin-galactic-3 (http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-price-8-surprising-places-where-you-can-use-2017-10?IR=T/#virgin-galactic-3) Online Xmas gift shops I bet are milking it big.

Acceptance as legal tender is the proper measure of success for a currency. And this will be driven by stability. Volatility is a teething problem. Just like the brand new internet some speculators will reap as others lose - the sooner the bubble bursts the better.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 16, 2017, 09:51:10 AM
The shilling has failed because some poor boys dug a tunnel in Thika... or well, Charterhouse closed. Smh.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 16, 2017, 10:58:23 AM
Every failure you cite of crypto - devaluation, fraud, etc - can be countered with many more failures of fiat currency. There are numerous bank heists, corruption cases and devaluations worldwide involving fiat currency. Terrorism and corruption have existed for centuries and have been funded by fiat currency. You cite one Bitcoin terrorist... who funded all the others? Should we abandon the dollar or the euro for that? These crimes are not currency problems. Try banning greed and faith or religion first.

You missed it.  Here it is, again: I cite them mainly because I find them amusing ... the anonymity, which turns out to not quite so;  the security, which turns out to be not quite so; and so on.    Everything you say about fiat currency is true.  Totally true.  I just don't find any of it as amusing.   Federal government breaks into drug dealer's bitcoin wallet, grabs his stash, seeks urgent court permission to sell while suckers are still piling in.   That's my kind of stuff!

Quote
Bitcoin is legal in a significant number of countries - OECD, Latin America, Asia, Africa, name it.

Did I say I have any problems with its legality anywhere?

Quote
There are many and counting legal merchants & retailers who accept bitcoin and other cryptos in their trade. Including giants Microsoft, Zynga, Expedia, Overstock, Virgin Galactic. http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-price-8-surprising-places-where-you-can-use-2017-10?IR=T/#virgin-galactic-3 (http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-price-8-surprising-places-where-you-can-use-2017-10?IR=T/#virgin-galactic-3)

If you want to argue about the "many and counting", there are actually better sources than that "surprising" link.   Here's one that busy keeping track:   http://coinmap.org/#/world/35.93131671/16.21582031/8

According to that: after almost decade, it's around 11,200 (yes, some plus/minus on that).  And that's for the whole wide world.    That's not exactly a great deal, is it?

Whenever someone tells me about how more and more businesses are accepting bitcoin and more and more people are using them for purchases, I suggest a little experiment for them: (a) in any large city where you live or travel to, try and find out just how many businesses take bitcoin, and  (b) if you know people who have owned bitcoins for years, ask them about the extent of their purchases.

Quote
Online Xmas gift shops I bet are milking it big

Give us a few names of these big milkers.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 16, 2017, 12:18:56 PM
MOON Ki there is not enough detail on the New York woman to finger crypto anonymity as the leak in her evil scheme. The multiple fraud, footprint on the jihad web, travel plans - these are sufficient wind for the anti-terror radar. Once captured her gadgets can reveal her transactions.

This applies to drug dealers and other criminals. Anonymity cannot make up for slack or stupidity.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 16, 2017, 01:12:07 PM
Every failure you cite of crypto - devaluation, fraud, etc - can be countered with many more failures of fiat currency. There are numerous bank heists, corruption cases and devaluations worldwide involving fiat currency. Terrorism and corruption have existed for centuries and have been funded by fiat currency. You cite one Bitcoin terrorist... who funded all the others? Should we abandon the dollar or the euro for that? These crimes are not currency problems. Try banning greed and faith or religion first.

Recently Uncle Sam's global impunity and corruption have been exposed by Wikileaks whose survival is ensured by cryptocurrency. Uncle Sam froze all other funding channels. That's Uncle Sam's real beef - loss of control. However he's not as intransigent because he sees some value - it's a wait and see attitude at least according to Janet Yelen. Bitcoin is legal in a significant number of countries - OECD, Latin America, Asia, Africa, name it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_bitcoin_by_country_or_territory (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_bitcoin_by_country_or_territory) Not everyone buys into the doom theory.

There are many and counting legal merchants & retailers who accept bitcoin and other cryptos in their trade. Including giants Microsoft, Zynga, Expedia, Overstock, Virgin Galactic. http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-price-8-surprising-places-where-you-can-use-2017-10?IR=T/#virgin-galactic-3 (http://www.businessinsider.com/bitcoin-price-8-surprising-places-where-you-can-use-2017-10?IR=T/#virgin-galactic-3) Online Xmas gift shops I bet are milking it big.

Acceptance as legal tender is the proper measure of success for a currency. And this will be driven by stability. Volatility is a teething problem. Just like the brand new internet some speculators will reap as others lose - the sooner the bubble bursts the better.


This is where bitcoin has failed, in the real world. Tell us, what are the transaction fees for, say, paying for goods worth Sh1k with bitcoin and how long would it, on average, take for the transaction to be confirmed? I hope you'll see why I, a blockchain devotee, have abandoned bitcoin but not the blockchain and cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin paved the road but unfortunately, in its current implementation, will never be the currency of the future. There are other much better crypto implementations out there, for example Litecoin and Ethereum which do the same job as bitcoin but much much more efficiently.

(https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/standards.png)

Think of what happened to the likes of Archie (the first search engine), Lyco, Yahoo search, AltaVista, Excite, etc. during the rise of the internet. They were the pioneers. Where are they today?
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 16, 2017, 08:35:43 PM
MOON Ki there is not enough detail on the New York woman to finger crypto anonymity as the leak in her evil scheme. The multiple fraud, footprint on the jihad web, travel plans - these are sufficient wind for the anti-terror radar. Once captured her gadgets can reveal her transactions.

This applies to drug dealers and other criminals. Anonymity cannot make up for slack or stupidity.

That wasn't my point, which is as follows. 

All those people are using bitcoin because of the promised anonymity, but that is not guaranteed.    Note the case in which a US judge has already ruled that a US "exchange" must reveal the identity of some its users to the IRS; some of the more intrusive requests were denied.   How do you think a judge would rule in a case of "we need to really poke our noses into all this because we have proof of people using bitcoin to fund terrorism"?   

The IRS case was a limited one.   In the EU things are already moving in a broad fashion.  On Friday: 

Quote
The European Parliament and the European Council agreed to a new set of rules on Friday that target exchange platforms for bitcoin and other virtual currencies.

The new measures would require platforms that previously allowed users to remain anonymous to identify them.

- Requires platforms that transfer bitcoin and "wallet" providers that hold cryptocurrencies for clients to identify users.

- Limits use of pre-paid payment cards.

- Raises transparency requirements for company and trust owners.

- Allows national investigators more access to information, including national bank account registers.

- Grants access to data on the beneficiaries of trusts to "persons who can demonstrate a legitimate interest"


Europe's Justice Commissioner Vera Jourova hailed the new rules, saying: "Today's agreement will bring more transparency to improve the prevention of money laundering and to cut off terrorist financing."
http://www.dw.com/en/bitcoin-eu-approves-cryptocurrency-clampdown-to-combat-terrorism-financing/a-41820170

Maybe the EU too has had its global impunity and corruption  exposed and the real beef is a loss of control?   Perhaps. I don't know. But I don't see that it matters.   What matters is this: The anonymity that users of cryptocurrencies claim is a huge "plus" might have been tolerated when it was just a small band of leftist geeks privately playing with their funny money and with themselves, but increasingly that will no longer be the case.  Consider that in light of some of your statements, such as that

Quote
Wikileaks whose survival is ensured by cryptocurrency.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 17, 2017, 01:19:22 AM
However he's not as intransigent because he sees some value - it's a wait and see attitude at least according to Janet Yelen.

I finally got to look at what Yellen actually said at that press conference.   Yours is a very "interesting" and "optimistic" interpretation.

First, her specific comment on "the future" was on the narrower issue of some central banks around the world looking at issuing their own virtual currencies.   As far as the USA goes,  here is what she said:

Quote
"I really want to caution, this is not something the Federal Reserve is seriously considering at this stage. While we're looking at research on this topic, there are, I think to my mind, limited benefits from introducing it, a limited need for it and some substantial concerns."

To the extent that one wishes to interpret that as "wait and see", it's really a "wait and see" on a "virtual dollar" or whatever the Fed might be thinking of in its research.

Second, she did say some things about bitcoin, but I see little that is positive in them.   According to her, it's a highly speculative asset, not a stable source of value, and hardly anybody uses it for  pay for anything anyway.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 17, 2017, 01:53:49 AM
Cryptos are

1. Decentralized - this is the feature that saves Wikileaks from the totalitarian Uncle Sam. It's not illegal to fund them, just impossible to use fiat currency. Also the Fed cannot issue extra coins. This freedom from the state and the central bank is a big deal and is the real intent of crypto after the 07-09 financial crisis.

2. Partially anonymous but not private - this implies you must mind your steps if your intents are unlawful. Criminals must use unregistered computers, mask IPs, avoid exchanges, switch wallets, etc to remain anonymous. Safer than fiat but not foolproof.

In real commerce, as a legal tender, neither of the two features is applicable especially in B2B and B2C transactions. P2P exchanges however will thrive in crypto.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 17, 2017, 03:21:45 AM
Cryptos are

1. Decentralized - this is the feature that saves Wikileaks from the totalitarian Uncle Sam. It's not illegal to fund them, just impossible to use fiat currency. Also the Fed cannot issue extra coins. This freedom from the state and the central bank is a big deal and is the real intent of crypto after the 07-09 financial crisis.

2. Partially anonymous but not private - this implies you must mind your steps if your intents are unlawful. Criminals must use unregistered computers, mask IPs, avoid exchanges, switch wallets, etc to remain anonymous. Safer than fiat but not foolproof.

In real commerce, as a legal tender, neither of the two features is applicable especially in B2B and B2C transactions. P2P exchanges however will thrive in crypto.

Yes, yes, ... I am aware of the standard story.  Some quick comments:

(1) My point about Wikileaks is that those using bitcoins to fund it and relying on anonymity might well have second thoughts with the "change in weather".   

On: "freedom from the state and the central bank is a big deal and is the real intent of crypto after the 07-09 financial crisis":

- Freedom to do what exactly?   To fund Wikileaks?   I should like to believe that people have a bit more than that in mind.   To use for goods and services?  Hardly anybody uses the funny money for that.

- And how exactly bitcoin etc. has actually-helped/would-help with that?   If a similar financial crisis were to occur today, how would bitcoin be different from any other speculative asset that one might have?   Given its volatility, do you see anyone really going into bitcoin as an "umbrella" for a rainy day?   And the same question for all the one-new-one-each-day cryptocurrencies that are popping up all over the place.   

(2): I don't support criminal activities, so I don't see much in promoting a cryptocurrency on the basis of what criminals can get away with and how.  I hope bitcoin types can come up with better "rationale".

Yes, P2P will thrive, but to what end?  Presumably a major point in money is its actual use, in the production and acquisition of goods, services, etc. ... not just something people endlessly pass between each other.   

All this has got me thinking in a different direction, and I have a question that you might be able to answer: bitcoin has been around for almost a decade now.   In that time, what exactly has it been good for?   (You may skip supporting Assange and criminals.)
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 17, 2017, 05:29:49 AM
One for Empedocles: I assume you are in Nairobi ... what do serious people think of this sort of stuff?

From the Chairman of the Blockchain Association of Kenya at their Big Event:

Quote
Critics of cryptocurrencies do not understand cryptocurrencies are an economic incentive for participants to secure the integrity of an immutable distributed ledger.

“Bitcoin’s innovation is the use of economics to ensure security” he said, adding that the price we see today represents investors pricing in future expectations of the utility of blockchains like smart contracts and decentralized applications.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DQ1augcW0AEadBn.jpg

Bizarre but entertaining stuff, including a session of "Warembo in Bitcoin Biashara".

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DQ1augcW0AEadBn.jpg)


Looks like they cleaned up at this event---thousands of shillings per head---and are planning to do repeats.    Mining Kenyan pockets is undoubtedly easier ...

I took a look at their webpage.   Most, if not all of the links, lead to the same page, which hasn't been checked for contradictions and misinformation.


Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 17, 2017, 11:12:49 AM
Wikileak activists are well known and are not hiding behind anonymity. They don't need it. It is not illegal to fund or support Wikileaks; this is why the US has to resort to trumped up rape charges against Mr Assange. They cannot charge him with treason because he will plead the 1st - he is a journalist - and would get asylum in half the world. The independence of crypto is all Wikileaks needs and it works perfectly.

Criminality is abuse of crypto and is not the essence. It is about the state. If you are a Russian in the west and wish to fund anti-Putin activists in Moscow, you are better off anonymous. It's literally a life and death issue yet you are not a criminal. You may find polonium in your tea :o The same can be said of the Chinese, the Saudis and many other draconian regimes. Even in Kenya you may want to support NASA anonymously - without getting into someones' bad books 8)

Decentralization and anonymity are a very strong combination. The state cannot shut down crypto - unlike Visa or Paypal - and with some caution you can maintain your anonymity.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 17, 2017, 12:27:43 PM
One for Empedocles: I assume you are in Nairobi ... what do serious people think of this sort of stuff?

From the Chairman of the Blockchain Association of Kenya at their Big Event:

Quote
Critics of cryptocurrencies do not understand cryptocurrencies are an economic incentive for participants to secure the integrity of an immutable distributed ledger.

“Bitcoin’s innovation is the use of economics to ensure security” he said, adding that the price we see today represents investors pricing in future expectations of the utility of blockchains like smart contracts and decentralized applications.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DQ1augcW0AEadBn.jpg

Bizarre but entertaining stuff, including a session of "Warembo in Bitcoin Biashara".

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DQ1augcW0AEadBn.jpg)


Looks like they cleaned up at this event---thousands of shillings per head---and are planning to do repeats.    Mining Kenyan pockets is undoubtedly easier ...

I took a look at their webpage.   Most, if not all of the links, lead to the same page, which hasn't been checked for contradictions and misinformation.

Yeah, I spent at least 7-8 months in .ke per year.

I was invited to the event but declined. A good friend of mine went (@ Sh2k a head) and found it was more of an exchangers meeting than anything else i.e. use me to exchange your KES to bitcoin and you'll make tons of money...guaranteed. This was not the first of such meetings where gullible Kenyans are being suckered in. A few weeks ago, one such get together was supposed to be graced by the Satoshi Nakamoto himself (he unfortunately missed his flight :D). Most people are being fleeced big time here, with the likes of Bitclub Network etc.

The problem is we as Kenyans don't research at all.

The few serious people I know, well, we do a lot of independent research and invest what we're willing to lose. We're not many but so far every single one I personally know has made money even though we don't use cryptos as a currency (one time last year I tried it out by buying my son a game on Steam using bitcoin).
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 18, 2017, 04:00:55 AM
Wikileak activists are well known and are not hiding behind anonymity. They don't need it. It is not illegal to fund or support Wikileaks.   

I know that it is not illegal.   Now, go to https://wikileaks.org/ and take a look at the page begging for donations.    One can pay through credit card, Paypal, etc. ... but for payment by bitcoin there is a "special note":

Quote
Bitcoin is a secure and anonymous digital currency. Bitcoins cannot be easily tracked back to you.
https://shop.wikileaks.org/donate

Certainly looks like somebody there thinks there is something to anonymity.  That's why I too think there is something to it.

Quote
This is why the US has to resort to trumped up rape charges against Mr Assange. They cannot charge him with treason because he will plead the 1st - he is a journalist - and would get asylum in half the world.   The independence of crypto is all Wikileaks needs and it works perfectly.


Not everyone is as confident about that as you are.   As an example, here is a different view from a couple of people who ought to know: http://www.newsweek.com/could-assange-claim-first-amendment-defense-590773

Anyways ... the Swedes dropped the rape charges against the fellow.   So, where is he now?   Freely roaming half the world?

Oh, I found this one amusing: Looking at old stuff in places like bitcointalk, it looks like the initial heroes (supposedly including Satoshi himself) weren't too keen to be associated with Wikileaks. 

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1735.msg26999#msg26999

Quote
Criminality is abuse of crypto and is not the essence. It is about the state. If you are a Russian in the west and wish to fund anti-Putin activists in Moscow, you are better off anonymous. It's literally a life and death issue yet you are not a criminal. You may find polonium in your tea :o The same can be said of the Chinese, the Saudis and many other draconian regimes. Even in Kenya you may want to support NASA anonymously - without getting into someones' bad books 8)

Decentralization and anonymity are a very strong combination. The state cannot shut down crypto - unlike Visa or Paypal - and with some caution you can maintain your anonymity.

I have given opinions on the "anonymity".    I am now at the stage where I simply find it amusing, for the following reason.

There seems to be some hope that bitcoin etc. will get to the point of being something like "normal currency"---used routinely to pay for goods and services etc.  Once the speculators leave, things will stabilize, and it will be back to "normal currency" stuff.   Etc. Etc. Etc.  But most people, in almost all their monetary transactions, are never concerned with fighting draconian governments or the military-industrial complex or whatever and so have little use for the "anonymity".  As a general rule, when most people part with their money, they want the recipient to know exactly where it is coming from.   

Anecdotal evidence is not proof, but I did a little experiment on my dinner companions this evening.   The experiment consisted of asking three questions and then "evaluating" the answers: (a) "in the last 5 years, have you been involved in any financial transactions in which you wished to remain anonymous?", (b) "for the next 5 years, do you think you will be involved in any financial transactions in which anonymity will be important"?, and (c) "for what reason would ever you get into cryptocurrencies?"

Yes, it was a small sample and whatever.   But I would be happy to bet on the extension of the results to a much larger group.   And what were the results?  Try the same small experiment on the next 10 people that you run into.   

The number of businesses that take cryptocurrencies and number of people who actually use cryptocurrencies for anything other than speculation are pathetically small.  Why is that?   I don't know, but in the case of bitcoin I suspect that part of it has to do with the fact that quite a few bitcoin groupies keep harping on things---"decentralized", "anonymous", ...---that have nothing to do with how most people actually use money.   Of course, there is now  a great deal of interest in cryptocurrency, but it is all about people dreaming of making free, easy money ... when they eventually convert to real money.    Quite understandable; who among would have any problems with free and easy money.    But we are now in the region of foolishness and scams and ... To my mind, it makes little sense to continue insisting on some fuzzy, "noble" goals that have little to do with current reality.

We are now in Great-Scams territory.    And I don't mean just the obvious pyramid schemes or the "pay-to-learn" talks by clueless "experts".    Just take a look at the staggering number of cryptocurrencies that keep popping up and at increasing rates.   Here is the 2017 list so far:

https://bitinfocharts.com/new-cryptocurrencies-2017.html

And what exactly are they offering?  Take a look at the eye-watering numbers from "The JP Morgan of Cryptobanks" (last day for 6% discount):

https://crypterium.io/?ref=d2930094a937088043c8db62&gclid=CjwKCAiApdPRBRAdEiwA84bo3wOaF4Wr7MUGhyIAd_8qkjmFCa_X_h0aosZA8XvQkoDUoV-akLT-3BoC22EQAvD_BwE
 
When the dust finally settles, most or all of these private cryptocurrencies will probably be good for just one thing.   Real estate.   This kind:

http://www.lunarland.com/
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 18, 2017, 12:17:24 PM
Asking your friends if they made anonymous purchases or transactions is an oxymoron.

Cypto is currency with a niche - designed to actually solve a problem - not just another channel or sovereign symbol. Crypto is not here to supplant the fiat, just an option for those in need of it. I see no reason for its demise anymore than the constantly devalued shilling.

It's funny to read about the crypto dollar. Imagine that - freedom from the state by the state. The only development now is more solutions to safeguard and tighten the anonymity.

Doom prophecy is a necessary stage in most great inventions.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 18, 2017, 02:17:28 PM
Looks like the G20 might take a stand on cryptocurrencies next year.  :(


Quote
Crypto to Take Center Stage at G20 – “Need to See How We Can Regulate Bitcoin (https://news.bitcoin.com/crypto-to-take-center-stage-at-g20-need-to-see-how-we-can-regulate-bitcoin/)”

French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire announced on Sunday December 17th that the next Group of 20 (G20) meeting would include discussion about how to regulate the world’s most popular cryptocurrency, bitcoin. The digital asset hasn’t ceased in making news all year, and European politicians appear more concerned in direct proportion to its price increase, as shown by the EU legislative body urging strict compliance laws upon coin exchanges this week. The G20 establishing regulatory frameworks, however, would spread across the world and have enormous impact.

Speaking to La Chaîne Info (LCI), French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire declared: “I am going to propose to the next G20 president, Argentina, that at the G20 summit in April we have a discussion all together on the question of bitcoin.”

The G20 includes central bankers and leaders from 19 countries and the European Union, spanning the entire globe: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey, United Kingdom, and the United States.

“There is evidently a risk of speculation,” Mr. Le Maire continued. “We need to consider and examine this and see how…with all the other G20 members we can regulate bitcoin.”

That bitcoin would make it into the agenda is nothing short of jaw-dropping. G20 nations soak up more than eighty cents on every economic dollar around the world in terms of trade and productivity.

Mr. Le Maire was wrapping his session at the One Planet Summit in Boulogne-Billancourt this week. The week prior, the Finance Minister seemed to welcome bitcoin and its undergirding technology, blockchain. “The use of this new technology will allow fintech firms and other financial actors to develop new ways of trading securities that are faster, cheaper, more transparent and safer,” he said, referencing new rules to allow for trading unlisted securities. These would add “another asset for Paris’ attractiveness as a financial center” he was quoted as saying.

A Delicate Tango

Indeed the Macron government has largely been viewed as neoliberal, reordering France’s clunky and notorious bureaucracies toward less regulation.

The first scheduled calendar meetings at the Argentina G20 in April are of its Development Working Group in Buenos Aires, April 10th, 2018. Priorities announced for the gathering include, “the future of work and what this means for education, infrastructure for development, and a sustainable food future,” its website reads.

In anticipation of the meetings, Argentine President Mauricio Macri explained, “Technology is quickening productivity at an unprecedented rate, which presents both opportunities and challenges. We want to ensure that adopting technological advances does not lead to economic exclusion or other negative side effects.”

Bitcoin investor Tim Draper held a meeting with President Macri and an advisor in late November of this year. By all accounts, Mr. Macri seemed at least receptive to the idea of cryptocurrencies. That same month, the country’s Rofex exchange announced it would be offering bitcoin futures.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Georgesoros on December 18, 2017, 10:30:48 PM
Asking your friends if they made anonymous purchases or transactions is an oxymoron.

Cypto is currency with a niche - designed to actually solve a problem - not just another channel or sovereign symbol. Crypto is not here to supplant the fiat, just an option for those in need of it. I see no reason for its demise anymore than the constantly devalued shilling.

It's funny to read about the crypto dollar. Imagine that - freedom from the state by the state. The only development now is more solutions to safeguard and tighten the anonymity.

Doom prophecy is a necessary stage in most great inventions.

Only time will tell.
As for me buying now is like buying in 2006 all over again.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: MOON Ki on December 19, 2017, 07:20:26 AM
Asking your friends if they made anonymous purchases or transactions is an oxymoron.

As usual, you missed the point.   Please give it a bit more thought.    If, after that, you still don't get it, I shall be happy to explain.   Just ask.

Quote
Cypto is currency with a niche - designed to actually solve a problem - not just another channel or sovereign symbol. Crypto is not here to supplant the fiat, just an option for those in need of it. I see no reason for its demise anymore than the constantly devalued shilling.

And what problem is that?   Earlier you wrote that

Quote
freedom from the state and the central bank is a big deal and is the real intent of crypto after the 07-09 financial crisis

and I asked:

Quote
And how exactly bitcoin etc. has actually-helped/would-help with that?   If a similar financial crisis were to occur today, how would bitcoin be different from any other speculative asset that one might have?

Well?

You then started touting bitcoin on the basis that

Quote
There are many and counting legal merchants & retailers who accept bitcoin and other cryptos in their trade.

I gave you the worldwide numbers on the "many and counting".    Maybe the "many and counting" are in Nairobi and someone has missed them?

"Decentralized" and "anonymous"?  As I have pointed out, most people don't give bugger-all about that when it comes to money; what they care about is how they can get enough of it and then use it in the  acquisition of goods and services that will make life more comfortable or enjoyable or whatever.  Get enough and then upgrade.   

You once called for "blessings" on Satoshi for making you "rich".  Not quite.   What has made you "rich" is the large number of sucker-lemmings  who have rushed in and forward, with the sole intention (or hope) of making a quick and easy buck ... which means that you might get more real money (the government stuff) for the funny money.    (Maybe later we can also have Satoshi blessed for helping us fight the power?)

Quote
It's funny to read about the crypto dollar. Imagine that - freedom from the state by the state. The only development now is more solutions to safeguard and tighten the anonymity.

That's the sort of stuff  I have read/hear from peripheral "hustler", "experts" who cannot even make a distinction between "blockchain" and bitcoin.   And can't even be bothered to, as long as they are making a good buck at the "game".

Here's  basic definition of "cryptocurrency" that most people can understand:

Quote
A cryptocurrency (or crypto currency) is a digital asset designed to work as a medium of exchange that uses cryptography to secure its transactions, to control the creation of additional units, and to verify the transfer of assets.[1][2][3]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cryptocurrency

See anything there about "freedom from the state" or any mention at all of the "state"?

Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 20, 2017, 08:57:07 AM
Privacy from the money grabbing governments.  I must say it feels quite good engaging in trade beyond the hands of her majesty's revenue and customs.   

Most crime probably feels good at the time, but it is astonishing to see such a "cheerful" public admission.  I urge veritas to look into your IP address and then follow the directions here: https://www.gov.uk/report-an-unregistered-trader-or-business

Still, to your credit, you are not among those who believe in "we'll use the funny moneies to pay for goods and services".    Hardly anyone uses them for that, for two good reasons: (a) hardly anybody takes them for that, and (b) "regular monies" are still way ahead and will remain way ahead government-back "virtual currencies" replace them in the "way ahead".  Bitcoin is the most prominent of the funny monies.   Has been around for nearly a decade.    And people can do what with it in practice? (Other than supporting criminal activities.)

Even the most die-hard supporters of, say, bitcoin, have just been sitting on their "coins", and the basic thing driving most cryptocurencies is the belief that at some point one will be able to sell, at much higher prices, to some suckers.

Oh, this just in on another "anonymous" user of bitcoin: https://www.justice.gov/usao-edny/pr/long-island-woman-indicted-bank-fraud-and-money-laundering-support-terrorists

Tax is a creation of the money grabbing governments.  I firmly believe that my money is mine to do whatever I like with it.  I will pay my fair share of tax, but I am tired of the higher rate tax payer malarky and I am getting off.  In any case I am the one swimming with the sharks in the crypto markets and will not get any compensation for losses.  HM Revenue can step right off.

It's only funny money in the eyes of the criminalising governement.  I intend to make two major purchases from my "proceeds of crime" in 2018.  I am pretty sure I can find an equally "criminal" seller to complete the transaction.   

Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 20, 2017, 08:58:58 AM
Asking your friends if they made anonymous purchases or transactions is an oxymoron.

Cypto is currency with a niche - designed to actually solve a problem - not just another channel or sovereign symbol. Crypto is not here to supplant the fiat, just an option for those in need of it. I see no reason for its demise anymore than the constantly devalued shilling.

It's funny to read about the crypto dollar. Imagine that - freedom from the state by the state. The only development now is more solutions to safeguard and tighten the anonymity.

Doom prophecy is a necessary stage in most great inventions.

Only time will tell.
As for me buying now is like buying in 2006 all over again.


You and me both.  Either that or invest in an electoral fraudster ridden environment called Kenya 
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on December 22, 2017, 05:10:56 PM
Coinbase unleashed a couple of interesting days in the crypto market.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Georgesoros on December 25, 2017, 01:08:41 AM
Coinbase unleashed a couple of interesting days in the crypto market.
I predict a stabilized price of around $7K. Those who bought at $20K are big losers.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Nefertiti on December 27, 2017, 05:24:31 PM
Goldman Sachs is starting Bitcoin and crypto trading in 2018.
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: bryan275 on December 31, 2017, 07:38:33 AM
Coinbase unleashed a couple of interesting days in the crypto market.
I predict a stabilized price of around $7K. Those who bought at $20K are big losers.


Well, it looks like money is flowing in still.  I predict more into other coins in 2018.  I'm off to the moon. 
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: vooke on January 02, 2018, 08:33:06 PM
Quote
Everyone says the blockchain, the technology underpinning cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, is going to change EVERYTHING. And yet, after years of tireless effort and billions of dollars invested, nobody has actually come up with a use for the blockchain—besides currency speculation and illegal transactions.
Each purported use case?—?from payments to legal documents, from escrow to voting systems—amounts to a set of contortions to add a distributed, encrypted, anonymous ledger where none was needed. What if there isn’t actually any use for a distributed ledger at all? What if, ten years after it was invented, the reason nobody has adopted a distributed ledger at scale is because nobody wants it?.....,

https://hackernoon.com/ten-years-in-nobody-has-come-up-with-a-use-case-for-blockchain-ee98c180100
Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: Empedocles on January 03, 2018, 01:27:51 PM
Quote
Everyone says the blockchain, the technology underpinning cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin, is going to change EVERYTHING. And yet, after years of tireless effort and billions of dollars invested, nobody has actually come up with a use for the blockchain—besides currency speculation and illegal transactions.
Each purported use case?—?from payments to legal documents, from escrow to voting systems—amounts to a set of contortions to add a distributed, encrypted, anonymous ledger where none was needed. What if there isn’t actually any use for a distributed ledger at all? What if, ten years after it was invented, the reason nobody has adopted a distributed ledger at scale is because nobody wants it?.....,

https://hackernoon.com/ten-years-in-nobody-has-come-up-with-a-use-case-for-blockchain-ee98c180100

Invalid Tweet ID
Then the response from the Ethereum creator:


He then adds a dire warning.

Title: Re: BitCoins - the Ponzi scheme of the modern era
Post by: vooke on November 26, 2018, 03:06:47 PM
I think I know where Robina went. She refused to buy me an iPhone X at the peak of the mania and now she's holding less than 20% of the peak value

These HODLERS