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Mid term MOASS - Ruto at 38% without Raila & Murima
RV Pundit:
For more read my tweets.
This is a status report of Ruto’s strength across Kenya, excluding known ODM-strong counties like Luo Nyanza, part of Western, Coast .
Ruto strong in Kalenjin+17 pastoral counties - having upstaged Raila.
Ruto still share votes with Raila in other areas like coast+western.
Ruto is dead amongst Kikuyus.
He might be doing 30% with Weak Kindiki in Mt kenya East.
Overally he needs 12% more votes - Raila can deliver that easily.
Kalonzo would bring in 10% - and Ruto has to work hard elsewhere.
https://x.com/Bygones_24/status/1939604581400322241/photo/1
Modesty Blaise:
Mt Kenya East you are dreaming. GEMA yote will vote RiggyG - Ruto and Raila are back to fighting for non-GEMA. 2012 redux.
Modesty Blaise:
Essentially, DCP is the new TNA.
Prof Herman Manyora is telling you RiggyG has replaced Raila as the face of the opposition.
//www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-vV8ouVugA
Modesty Blaise:
This was 2 seconds ago:
Kindiki cant keep DPORK - Bus, DP, Jubilee & Munya PNU all against Ruto
https://nipate.net/index.php?topic=17505.0
Kiraitu's 'Bus' party joins Gachagua's camp in push to unseat Ruto in 2027
https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2025-06-18-kiraitus-bus-party-joins-gachaguas-camp
Remove the GEMA numbers that leaves Ruto with 33% in the 3-leg tripod.
RV Pundit:
Well I gave Kindiki 30% of Meru & 40% Embu - and 80% of his Tharaka.
You're saying he is totally useless.
I dont think so.
I dont see MPs following Rigathi around.
Let see by -election in Mbeere.
If Ruto totally loses Meru/Embu/Tharaka -and get 5% - when he fires Kindiki
He comes down to 36% of the registered votes - he'll need Kalonzo 10% - then work on turnout game to close 4% - that is assuming he is running against Raila.
Kindiki right now is only as useful as about to be used tissue paper - 2%.
Anyway with ODM with Ruto - and unless kikuyu-Luo reconcile somewhere in 2024 and all agree to back Raila- then we have battle - Ruto is sleepwalking to 2027
--- Quote from: Nefertiti on July 02, 2025, 04:32:59 PM ---Mt Kenya East you are dreaming. GEMA yote will vote RiggyG - Ruto and Raila are back to fighting for non-GEMA. 2012 redux.
--- End quote ---
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