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Forum => Kenya Discussion => Topic started by: RV Pundit on November 04, 2019, 01:23:34 PM

Title: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 04, 2019, 01:23:34 PM
https://www.nation.co.ke/news/Kenya-2019-population-data-release/1056-5335994-bo5pxd/index.html
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 04, 2019, 02:09:50 PM
(https://scontent.fnbo2-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/75561545_2538503923045653_6887543052039094272_n.jpg?_nc_cat=103&_nc_eui2=AeE5oacPjacDChbBKgM4lp4qszTFf8aHj_sWKevLDsPULSvMZbqGQxCBSH6cCRJ0zekAym7tuTErelHNqDhTFwWA9fBfPahPJcyyEo-9bhj6_g&_nc_oc=AQlgEaVDoRghp-kR6iQA1B_d6kILgEU-zbYDHFXRPzLwUhPWQG0YT67uIOG45HneWn0&_nc_ht=scontent.fnbo2-1.fna&oh=0f021e4df6650e73234a15bd0bebaa7e&oe=5E503DE1)
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on November 04, 2019, 03:57:20 PM
What happened to the tribal breakdown?
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Nefertiti on November 04, 2019, 06:28:23 PM
Gema dismal numbers... only Kiambu and Nakuru are cosmopolitan and heavily populated. Somali deserve more MPs.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 04, 2019, 08:09:37 PM
Interesting fact..Eastern overtaken by Nyanza..Central stretches lead on Western.Nairobi added like 25% more people.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: yulemsee on November 04, 2019, 08:18:52 PM
Gema dismal numbers... only Kiambu and Nakuru are cosmopolitan and heavily populated. Somali deserve more MPs.
Whatever gema has lost in Nyandarua, Nyeri, Muranga is made up by Kiambu and Nakuru. If the constituency boundaries in Nakuru and Kiambu are gerry mandered.... you get the drift
The somali counties will actually lose mps
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Nefertiti on November 04, 2019, 08:19:29 PM
1,500 intersexuals is oddly small. I expected 10K or such range.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: vooke on November 04, 2019, 10:52:16 PM
Tharaka’s 393K remind me of 2007 fraud
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Georgesoros on November 05, 2019, 02:12:05 AM
Whaat?? They actually counted who’s having sex with who??
Join me in launching ours too????????????
Declare your flag Robina..

1,500 intersexuals is oddly small. I expected 10K or such range.
1,500 intersexuals is oddly small. I expected 10K or such range.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 07:35:17 AM
Looking at figures it appears there is greater urbinization push that saw Nairobi,Kiambu,Nakuru,Kajiado,Machakos,Mombasa and Kilifi add more than 0.5m while counties like Nyamira added 20k people.Most counties are losing people to cities...soon Kiambu,Machakos and Kajiado will become as comsoplitan as Nairobi.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kadudu on November 05, 2019, 10:25:16 AM
Tharaka Nithi had 216K voters in 2007. Now 12 years later the population is at 393K :D :D :D :D
Kibaki's tenure from 2007 should be renounced. The man sat in SH illegally.

Tharaka’s 393K remind me of 2007 fraud
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 10:58:08 AM
Yes it was brazen rigging.
Tharaka Nithi had 216K voters in 2007. Now 12 years later the population is at 393K :D :D :D :D
Kibaki's tenure from 2007 should be renounced. The man sat in SH illegally.

Tharaka’s 393K remind me of 2007 fraud
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 10:58:49 AM
Counties that need to be worried about losing seats to likes of Nairobi, Kiambu, Nakuru and Kajiado
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EIiC2fxXsAAmlPa.png:large)
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 11:45:45 AM
My attempt at tribal MOAS for this census

1) Kikuyu population

Approximately 65% of Kiambu (down from 80% in 2009) -2.4M = 1.6m (Kiambu saw huge increase mostly in areas near Nairobi -ruiru,thika,kabete,Juja - as compared to Githunguri,Gatundu S & N, Lari).

Approximately 45% of Nakuru (down from 52% in 2009) -2.2 =1m (most of Nakuru increment are in-migration - mostly I suspect from Gusii (Nakuru town),Kipsigis (kuresoi) & Luhyas(naivasha))

Approximately 25% of Nairobi (down from 29% in 2009) -4.4m =1.1m (I  also see small decrements as other tribes urbanize)

Approximately 60% of Laikipia (down from 63%) - 0.5m =0.3m ( I see a small decrement on account of Maasai higher birth rate in Laikipia North)

Approximately 95% of Nyeri,Kirinyanga, Muranga and Nyandarau (same as 2009) -0.6+0.8+0.6+1.1m (3.1m) = 2.9m

Approximately 10% of Uasin Gishu -1.2m =0.12m

Approximately 25% of Lamu -0.15 = 0.05m

Approximately 25% of Kajiado (down from 30%) - 1.7 = 0.4m (most pop increment in Kajiado due to in-migration from Nairobi urban brawl)

Small population elsewhere -- Narok (0.1M,Machakos 0.1m,Mombasa & Kilifi 0.2m,Tranzoia,Nandi,Kericho(0.1m)) =0.5m

Total =8m (16.8%) - from 6.6m from 17.5% (declining birth/fertility) in 2009 - about 20% in 1989 - and 22.5% in 70s.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Nefertiti on November 05, 2019, 12:10:16 PM
Don't be silly - intersex is a gender same as male and female. Not gayism.  It is a useful demographic statistic to know for the state.

Robina is a heterosexual female.

Whaat?? They actually counted who’s having sex with who??
Join me in launching ours too????????????
Declare your flag Robina..

1,500 intersexuals is oddly small. I expected 10K or such range.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 12:12:22 PM
Luhya Population
Assumption- on account of high fertility - I am going to use 2009 ratios- as it cancel any in & out-migration.
83% of Bungoma (1.7M) = 1.4m
57% of Busia (0.9M) = 0.5m
93% of Kakamega (1.9m)=1.8m
96% of Vihiga (0.6m)= 0.6m
52% of Tranzoia (1m) =0.5m
20% of Uasin Gishu (1.2m) =0.2m
17% of Nairobi (4.4m)  = 0.8m - 17% up from 15% in 2009.
15 % of Mombasa (1.2m) = 0.2m
5% of Nakuru (naivasha & nakuru town) -(2.2m)= 0.1m
Diaspora elsewhere in Machakos, Kajiado & Kisumu - roughly 0.3m.

Total = 6.3-6.5m - from 5.3m in 2009 - roughly 13.5% of kenya population.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kadudu on November 05, 2019, 12:19:58 PM
Luhya Population
Assumption- on account of high fertility - I am going to use 2009 ratios- as it cancel any in & out-migration.
83% of Bungoma (1.7M) = 1.4m
57% of Busia (0.9M) = 0.5m
93% of Kakamega (1.9m)=1.8m
96% of Vihiga (0.6m)= 0.6m
52% of Tranzoia (1m) =0.5m
20% of Uasin Gishu (1.2m) =0.2m
17% of Nairobi (4.4m)  = 0.8m - 17% up from 15% in 2009.
15 % of Mombasa (1.2m) = 0.2m
5% of Nakuru (naivasha & nakuru town) -(2.2m)= 0.1m
Diaspora elsewhere in Machakos, Kajiado & Kisumu - roughly 0.3m.

Total = 6.3-6.5m - from 5.3m in 2009 - roughly 13.5% of kenya population.

Have you included the babies born to Kikuyu mothers but sired by the Luhya watchies, mechanics, cooks and fundis in Kiambu, Muranga and Nyeri? :D :D :D
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 12:22:02 PM
I think you're confusing casual sex with siring babies. Kikuyu women are having 1-2 kids in their lifetime- with their fathers carefully selected.Majority have kids when they are so young and never have another. I don't think they want a baluhya looking kid deep in Muranga - the kid would stand out and they will get into trouble. The contraceptive usage in central is close to 95% - while nationally we are at 57%.
Have you included the babies born to Kikuyu mothers but sired by the Luhya watchies, mechanics, cooks and fundis in Kiambu, Muranga and Nyeri? :D :D :D
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 12:45:52 PM
It appears Kalenjin might have overtaken Luhya to become the 2nd most popolous tribe in Kenya.

96%,Bomet,0.9m
95%,Westpokot,0.6m
93%,Elgeyo Marakwet,0.5m
88%,Kericho,0.9m
88%,Baringo,0.7m
37%,Nakuru,2.2m
77%,Nandi,0.9m
58%,Uasing Gishu,1.2m
35%,Narok,1.2m
30%,Tranzoia,1m
12%,Bungoma,1.7
Diaspora (Nairobi,Machakos,Kajiado& Mombasa) =0.5m    

Total =6.5m plus diaspora 0.5 = 7m.
       =7m (14.7%) - from 4.9m
      
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 01:38:46 PM
I am using this data
(http://www.nipate.org/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=4710.0;attach=256;image)
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 01:45:46 PM
Luos,
95% of Siaya (1m) =1
87% of Homabay (Abasuba makes 8%). (1.1)
60% of Migori (1.1m
89% of Kisumu (1.2)
16% of Nairobi (4.4m)
17% of Mombasa (1.2m)
Diaspora in Kakamega,Uasin Gishu, Nakuru,Kiambu,Kericho Kajiado & Machakos =0.7m

Total = 4.543M + Diaspora (0.7M)
         = Total 5.3m (11%) from around 4m
         
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kadudu on November 05, 2019, 01:49:03 PM
It appears Kalenjin might have overtaken Luhya to become the 2nd most popolous tribe in Kenya.

96%,Bomet,0.9m
95%,Westpokot,0.6m
93%,Elgeyo Marakwet,0.5m
88%,Kericho,0.9m
88%,Baringo,0.7m
37%,Nakuru,2.2m
77%,Nandi,0.9m
58%,Uasing Gishu,1.2m
35%,Narok,1.2m
30%,Tranzoia,1m
12%,Bungoma,1.7
Diaspora (Nairobi,Machakos,Kajiado& Mombasa) =0.5m    

Total =6.5m plus diaspora 0.5 = 7m.
       =7m (14.7%) - from 4.9m

That is an increase of 43% in 10 years. World record. :D :D :D
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 01:53:52 PM
Maybe my maths is wrong :) but anything 6.5m - 7M plus from my data seem plausible. Kalenjin have added roughly 1.5m-2m people from 2009. Luhyas have added roughly 1-1.2m. Luos have added 1-1.3m while Kikuyus have added 1.4-1.5m people - but we will find out the real figures when KNBS release them.
That is an increase of 43% in 10 years. World record. :D :D :D
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kadudu on November 05, 2019, 01:58:20 PM
Maybe my maths is wrong :) but anything 6.5m - 7M plus from my data seem plausible. Kalenjin have added roughly 2m people from 2009. Luhyas have added roughly 1.2m. Luos have added 1.3m while Kikuyus have added 1.4m people since.

Not maybe, your maths is wrong. An increase of more than 10% to 15% in 10 years is not normal. even the Luhyas known for their love of babies cannot achieve that task.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 02:01:39 PM
There is nothing like 'Known' in dynamic data like demographics. In 2009 I think both Central and Western were very close - 3.4m - and now Central has overtaken Western by nearly a million votes. Admittedly most it going to Kiambu - that is sucking Nairobi excess population.

Eastern for long time use to be 2nd largest and populous - now Nyanza has overtaken them in population - as Meru, Embus and Kambas - see declining birth rate, and migration dynamics.

The dynamics of our tribal math.

If you must know in 1969 - Kalenjin were no 5 - with Kambasa No 4 - Luhyas no 3 - and Luos no 2

In 1989 - I think Kalenjin overtook Kambas to become no 4 - with Luhyas no 3 and Luos no 2 (or luhya also overtook Luos)

In 1999 - Tribal census was not released - but suspected Kalenjin had overtaken Luos.

In 2009 - It was Kambas - Luos - Kalenjin - Luhyas - Kikuyus.

My data seem to suggest - it now Kambas(?) - Luos(5.5m) - Luhyas(6.5M) - Kalenjin(7M) - Kikuyus(8M)


Not maybe, your maths is wrong. An increase of more than 10% to 15% in 10 years is not normal. even the Luhyas known for their love of babies cannot achieve that task.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 05, 2019, 02:32:55 PM
Actually eastern still the second largest
[/img]
https://scontent.fnbo2-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/75375570_2539451359617576_9085752505777782784_n.jpg?_nc_cat=100&_nc_oc=AQlqLSQZF6eNvkxmmdU2lmijd1_xoday3RSWzWStyJ8iv6BgzvlAMLSsLc-Zk2_L1BM&_nc_ht=scontent.fnbo2-1.fna&oh=c10b399d888678db1f6c9e0a8ec8b5b5&oe=5E1B6842 [/img]
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on November 05, 2019, 04:36:36 PM
Don't be silly - intersex is a gender same as male and female. Not gayism.  It is a useful demographic statistic to know for the state.

Robina is a heterosexual female.

Whaat?? They actually counted who’s having sex with who??
Join me in launching ours too????????????
Declare your flag Robina..

1,500 intersexuals is oddly small. I expected 10K or such range.

That is an odd data point in such a conservative place though.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on November 05, 2019, 05:18:11 PM
It appears Kalenjin might have overtaken Luhya to become the 2nd most popolous tribe in Kenya.

96%,Bomet,0.9m
95%,Westpokot,0.6m
93%,Elgeyo Marakwet,0.5m
88%,Kericho,0.9m
88%,Baringo,0.7m
37%,Nakuru,2.2m
77%,Nandi,0.9m
58%,Uasing Gishu,1.2m
35%,Narok,1.2m
30%,Tranzoia,1m
12%,Bungoma,1.7
Diaspora (Nairobi,Machakos,Kajiado& Mombasa) =0.5m     

Total =6.5m plus diaspora 0.5 = 7m.
       =7m (14.7%) - from 4.9m

That is an increase of 43% in 10 years. World record. :D :D :D

That would be 3.6% per year though.  Which seems to be a typical number for countries in that region.  I am not sure why they kept tribal numbers secret.  If you collect the data, then you ought to share it.    Otherwise it might be used for wrong reasons.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 06, 2019, 09:56:45 AM
The national average is 2% - anyway I think my numbers are about solid - maybe the diaspora is a lot less than 0.5m ( I know Nairobi  in 2009 had like 150-200K kalenjins) - so maybe now that number is closer to 300k. Add a few in Kajiado,Machakos, Kiambu and Mombasa - so it plausible a diaspora of 500k - added to 6.5M in Kalenjin proper counties.

That would be 3.6% per year though.  Which seems to be a typical number for countries in that region.  I am not sure why they kept tribal numbers secret.  If you collect the data, then you ought to share it.    Otherwise it might be used for wrong reasons.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Nefertiti on November 07, 2019, 11:59:50 AM
The moral of the long story is Gema headcount is dwindling fast - which if they could see beyond their nose means they are economically ahead - leading the demographic turnaround. Gema will rip bigger than all tribes from the demographic dividend. Muthomi Njuki and Ephraim Maina nonsense about census rigging - is just that - who rigged? Kibaki or Uhuru? Kibicho controls the machinery so it just parochial fears of politicians who need tyranny to continue milking the till. The census is correct and accurate.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kadudu on November 08, 2019, 01:33:58 PM
The Mt Kenya politicians do not want to face reality. Dwindling numbers means elightened people. Who in Nyeri or Kiambu is ready to feed, cloth and educate 6 kids? The higher the education, the less kids people get kids. Of course M kenya with its vicinity to Nairobi is the most enlightened ethnic block. Luhyas will overtake Kikuyus in the next 10 years and the Kalejins in another 10 years. I hope by then the masses do not vote for the ethnic warlords as is the case now.
As of the Kikuyus who voted for Uhuru in 2013 and 2017 and are now complaining about the economic mess, what did you expect from a man not known to have worked all his life?

The moral of the long story is Gema headcount is dwindling fast - which if they could see beyond their nose means they are economically ahead - leading the demographic turnaround. Gema will rip bigger than all tribes from the demographic dividend. Muthomi Njuki and Ephraim Maina nonsense about census rigging - is just that - who rigged? Kibaki or Uhuru? Kibicho controls the machinery so it just parochial fears of politicians who need tyranny to continue milking the till. The census is correct and accurate.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 08, 2019, 01:44:49 PM
Most people don't know that at turn of century - Maasai were the most populous tribe in Kenya. Kenya as whole had 1m people. The biggest tribe probably had 100-150k people.
The Mt Kenya politicians do not want to face reality. Dwindling numbers means elightened people. Who in Nyeri or Kiambu is ready to feed, cloth and educate 6 kids? The higher the education, the less kids people get kids. Of course M kenya with its vicinity to Nairobi is the most enlightened ethnic block. Luhyas will overtake Kikuyus in the next 10 years and the Kalejins in another 10 years. I hope by then the masses do not vote for the ethnic warlords as is the case now.
As of the Kikuyus who voted for Uhuru in 2013 and 2017 and are now complaining about the economic mess, what did you expect from a man not known to have worked all his life?
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: gout on November 11, 2019, 05:36:30 PM
Nairobi deserves to be split to at least 4 counties; Kiambu & Nakuru into 2 - we need serious investment into sewer, water, schools and all social services in these counties to serve all these masses.

Meanwhile, protect likes of Samburu, Isiolo, Tana River, Lamu, Elgeyo under some terms on productivity or anything for 15-20 years and then find a way to integrate them with others.

Embakasi has nearly a million people, more than half of the existing counties' populations - Just out of magination!
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on November 11, 2019, 05:55:23 PM
Here I was thinking Nairobi Metro - Nairobi plus Machakos plus Kiambu plus Kajiado - need to amalgamated - and be made a FEDERAL CAPITAL or Special County - otherwise it will never be able to really do big ticket projects - like light or metro rail. Then Nairobi can be divided into boroughs with mayors control parts of it.

Alternatively Nairobi, Kiambu and Nakuru - all cities - need to have Mayors in addition to governors. MCAs and Sub-country administrator are sufficient for rural counties...

Nairobi deserves to be split to at least 4 counties; Kiambu & Nakuru into 2 - we need serious investment into sewer, water, schools and all social services in these counties to serve all these masses.

Meanwhile, protect likes of Samburu, Isiolo, Tana River, Lamu, Elgeyo under some terms on productivity or anything for 15-20 years and then find a way to integrate them with others.

Embakasi has nearly a million people, more than half of the existing counties' populations - Just out of magination!
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: gout on November 11, 2019, 06:52:06 PM
The sentiments by Mt. Kenya and the rise of likes of Sonko/Babu Owinos will make this impossible. Mutula Kilonzo grand metro plans have been killed despite having the regulations well spelt out. With political goodwill the city counties can get enough monies for development - but the hounding of Sonko and sometime back Joho shows otherwise. The splits are more acceptable and practical approach especially once the politicians understand rural urban migration.

Seems trying to reverse Session Paper No 10 of 1969 is not working - we are throwing money in the villages yet people are heading to the cities with no sewer or schools.

Here I was thinking Nairobi Metro - Nairobi plus Machakos plus Kiambu plus Kajiado - need to amalgamated - and be made a FEDERAL CAPITAL or Special County - otherwise it will never be able to really do big ticket projects - like light or metro rail. Then Nairobi can be divided into boroughs with mayors control parts of it.

Alternatively Nairobi, Kiambu and Nakuru - all cities - need to have Mayors in addition to governors. MCAs and Sub-country administrator are sufficient for rural counties...

Nairobi deserves to be split to at least 4 counties; Kiambu & Nakuru into 2 - we need serious investment into sewer, water, schools and all social services in these counties to serve all these masses.

Meanwhile, protect likes of Samburu, Isiolo, Tana River, Lamu, Elgeyo under some terms on productivity or anything for 15-20 years and then find a way to integrate them with others.

Embakasi has nearly a million people, more than half of the existing counties' populations - Just out of magination!
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: KenyanPlato on December 15, 2019, 11:56:02 PM
So when will the final report be released. Did pundit say that contraception penetration in central is 95%? That is amazing. People need to stop having kids there is no need for them anymore
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: RV Pundit on December 16, 2019, 08:21:45 AM
People will stop having manys when they feel the chances of few kids to survive are high. So in places with high morbidity/mortality - don't expect to see few children.Apart from ignorance that can be sorted by education - we need to sort out infant mortality.

I think national contraceptive usage is 60% - but places like central are hovering towards 90% and north eastern are at 10% or if not lower.

So when will the final report be released. Did pundit say that contraception penetration in central is 95%? That is amazing. People need to stop having kids there is no need for them anymore
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: Kim Jong-Un's Pajama Pants on December 27, 2019, 03:10:53 PM
So when will the final report be released. Did pundit say that contraception penetration in central is 95%? That is amazing. People need to stop having kids there is no need for them anymore


Kids are necessary to avoid extinction.  Not to mention political annihilation 😁.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: KenyanPlato on February 05, 2020, 01:25:29 PM
Pundito

How many Giriama, Pokots and Indians are there in Kenya?
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: gout on February 21, 2020, 07:25:20 PM
RV Punditry was right on the tribal numbers.

The urbanization figures show that 5 towns -Nairobi, Mombasa, Nakuru, Ruiru and Eldoret- hold 50% of Kenyan living in urban areas. Not sure what this implies for devolution. Likes of Kisumu, Embu, Machakos, Nyeri are ghost towns despite having a head start with Provincial administration.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: KenyanPlato on February 22, 2020, 03:26:50 PM
Thanks Higgins the Genius: I am adding this info to this thread

2019 Population Census Distilled

Volume I: Population by County and Sub-County

1. The total enumerated population increased to 47,564,296 in 2019 from 37,724.850 in 2009.

2. There were 23,548,056 males, 24,014,716 females and 1,524 intersex in 2019 compared to 18,674,184 males and 19,050,666 females in 2009. Intersexes were not counted in 2009.

3. Females accounted for 50.5% of the total population in both 2009 and 2019 censuses.

4. The inter-censal growth rate has declined to 2.2% in 2019, from 2.9% in 2009.

Key Findings

Summary of the three volumes is as below:

Volume II: Distribution of Population by Administrative Units

• The total urban and rural population was 14,831,700 and 32,732,596 respectively in 2019 compared to 12,487,375 urban and 26,122,722 rural population in 2009.

• The percentage of urban to total population increased from 24.1 per cent in 2009 to 31.2 per cent in 2019.

• The most densely populated sub-locations in 2019 were:

1. Kware in Nairobi City County with 166,517
2. Tibwani in Mombasa County with 114,520
3. Mlolongo in Machakos County with 93,075
4. Tassia in Nairobi City County with 88,874
5. Mowlem in Nairobi City County with 88,039

• The most populous urban centres in 2019 were:

1. Nairobi City - 4,397,073
2. Mombasa - 1,208,333
3. Nakuru - 590,674
4. Ruiru - 490,120
5. Eldoret  - 475,716

Volume III: Distribution of Population by Single Years, Sex and Administrative Units

• The population aged below 35 years was 35,700,787 (75.1 per cent) in 2019 compared to 30,237,255 (78.3 per cent) in 2009.

• Children (0-14 years) were 18,541,982(39.0 per cent) in 2019 compared to 16,571,877 (43 per cent) in 2009.

• Adolescents (10-19 years) were 11,631,929 (24.5 per cent) in 2019 compared to 9, 204,398 (23.8 per cent) in 2009.

• The youth population (18-34 years) constitute 13,777,600 (29.0 per cent) in 2019 compared to 11, 809,518 (28.7 per cent) in 2009.

• Population of working age (15-64 years) was 27,151,134 (57.1 per cent) in 2019 compared to 20,684,861 (53.6%) in 2009.

• The elderly population (65+ years) was 1,870,493 persons (3.9 per cent) in 2019 compared to 1,332,273 persons (3.45 per cent) in 2009. The females accounting for 55.8 per cent of the elderly in 2019 compared to 54.8 per cent in 2009.

 
Volume IV: Distribution of Population by Socio-Economic Characteristics
Education

• The total population aged 3 years and above who were at school/learning institution was 17,780,277 (40.7%). The proportion of the population recorded to be in school/learning institution in 2009 was 40.2%. This was an improvement of 0.5 percentage points;
• Pre-primary level  - 3,275,028 in 2019 compared to 2,302,026 in 2009 an increase of 42.3%;

• Primary level  - 10,028,470 in 2019 compared to 9,433,493 in 2009 an increase of 6.3%;

• Secondary level  -  3,403,657 in 2019 compared to 1,798,587 in 2009 an increase of 89.2%;

• Middle level, technical training/ vocational training centres (TVET) enrolment - 506,109 in 2019 compared to 325,196 in 2009 an increase of 55.6

• University enrolment more than doubled to 470,983 in 2019 from 171,855 in 2009.

Labour Force Participation
• The total conventional population aged 5 years and above was 41,235,190 (86.7 %) in 2019 compared to 32,478,570 (84.1 %) in 2009.

• Population in the labour force aged five years and above in 2019 was 22,298,559, composed of 19,529,216 (88.6 %) who worked in the seven days preceding the census and 2,769,343 who were seeking work. In 2009, the economically active population was 17,973,213, with 15,786,331 (87.8 %) working and 2,186,882 seeking work.

The conventional population aged 15-64 years was 26,868,611 out of which 73.5 per cent are in the labour force.

• The conventional population aged 18-34 years was 13,621,492 out of which 8,436,418 (61.9 %) were working while 1,647,484 were seeking work or indicated that there was no job available.

• The number of children aged 5-17 years from conventional population was 15,866,967 out of which 1,349,365 (8.5 %) reported to have been engaged in an economic activity during the last 7 days preceding the Census night.

• The inactive conventional population aged 5 years and above was 18,927,688 out of which 16.1 million persons were full-time students and 1.5 million were homemakers.

ICT: Ownership and Use of Selected ICT

 Equipment and Services
• The population aged 3 years and above that owned a mobile phone was 20,694,315 (47.3 per cent).

• The proportion of individuals aged 3 years and above that used Internet and Computer stood at 22.6 per cent and 10.4 per cent, respectively.

• The population aged 15 years and above who searched and bought goods and services online (e-commerce) was 1,249,133 (4.3 per cent).

Disability

• A population of 918,270 (2.2 per cent) aged 5 years and above have some form of disability.
• More females (523,883 persons) than males (394,330 persons) have disabilities.

• The most common types of disabilities are physical (385,417 persons) and vision (333,520 persons).

• The number of persons with albinism is 9,729 persons or 0.02 per cent.

Religion

The data shows that in 2019, 85.5 per cent of the population are Christians comprising mainly of Protestants (33.4%), followed by Catholics (20.6%) and Evangelical churches (20.4%).  Muslims accounted for 11 % of the entire population.

Ethnicity

In 2019, the ten most populous tribes were:

1.  Kikuyu 8,148,668
2.  Luhya 6,823,842
3.  Kalenjin 6,358,113
4.  Luo 5,066,966
5.  Kamba 4,663,910
6.  Kenyan Somali 2,780,502
7.  Kisii 2,703,235
8.  Mijikenda 2,488,691
9.  Meru 1,975,869
10. Maasai 1,189,522

The least five populous tribes were
1. Dahalo 575
2. Kenyan American 596
3. Gosha 685
4. El Molo 1,104
5. Konso 1,299

Special Population
• The total non-conventional population was 351,014
• The population found in Hotel/Lodge Residents was 99,786
• The population found in Schools/Children homes was 79,504
• Those in Prison/Police Cells were 59,354 on the census night
• The number of Travellers and Persons On-Transit was 48,697
• The Hospital In-Patients were 43,572
• The persons enumerated as outdoor sleepers (excludes outdoor sleeper’s/street families who were in rehabilitation and educational institutions) was 20,101

Ownership of Household Assets

• The proportion of households owning a Television set increased from 28.0 per cent in 2009 to 40.7 per cent in 2019.

• The proportion of households that have internet connection stood at 17.9 per cent.

• The proportion of households with a motorcycle increased from 2.1 per cent in 2009 to 9.2 per cent in 2019.

• The proportion of households owning a bicycle dropped from 25.3 per cent in 2009 to 15.0 per cent.

Housing Conditions and Amenities

• The proportion of conventional households using mains electricity as a source of lighting more than doubled from 22.7 per cent in 2009 to 50.4 per cent in 2019.

• The proportion of conventional households using solar as a source of lighting increased substantially from 1.6 per cent in 2009 to 19.3 per cent in 2019.

• The proportion of conventional households that owned the main dwelling unit they occupied was 61.3 per cent while 38.7 per cent rented the main dwelling unit.

• About 94 per cent of the owned dwelling units were constructed by households, while 2.8 per cent were purchased.

• The proportion of conventional households using clean energy for cooking (LPG, Electricity, Biogas and solar) was 25.4 per cent.

• The proportion of households using piped water increased from 30.0 per cent in 2009 to 34.2 per cent in 2019.

Agriculture

• The number of enumerated households during the 2019 census that mainly engaged in crop farming, livestock rearing and aquaculture was 6.4 million (52.3 per cent of households).

• Of the farming households, crop farming was practiced by 87.4 per cent and   livestock rearing by 74.4 per cent households.

• Maize production is the predominant crop cultivated by 80.3 per cent of the agriculture practising households. This was followed by beans (56.7 per cent) and Bananas (33.7 per cent).

• Total agricultural land (excluding communal land, corporate and Institutional agricultural land) reported by households accounted for 17.5 per cent of the total land area.

• The four main livestock kept by households were chicken, goats, sheep and cattle at 38.8, 28.0, 19.3 and 15.8 million respectively.

• In 2009, the four main livestock kept by households were chicken, goats, cattle and sheep at 31.9, 27.7, 17.5 and 17.1 million respectively.

Validation of Census Volume IV Results

Census stakeholders were engaged at various stages of the 2019 KPHC implementation. The recent engagement was during the validation workshop that was conducted for two days to discuss the results reported in volume IV.  There was a general consensus that the census results showed a similar trend with the administrative data generated by relevant Ministries, Departments and Agencies. It was further agreed that reasons for any small variations that are noted would be established when undertaking the in-depth analysis.


• One more Census basic report namely; Volume V on Distribution of Population by Political Units will be released after validation of the results with the relevant stakeholders.

• The preparatory work on the analytical reports is ongoing and the reports will be ready in the next six months.
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: KenyanPlato on February 22, 2020, 03:29:05 PM
what the breakdown of 40 to 57.. I believe population will have a lot of Gen Xers entering retirement with no savings and very little land or no land to be able to survive retirement.. There will be an accellerated immigration of retired professionals  out of Kenya to West
Title: Re: CENSUS 2019 - Kenyans are 47.3M people
Post by: KenyanPlato on February 24, 2020, 03:02:35 PM
https://www.businessdailyafrica.com/economy/39pc-of-Kenya-youth-are-unemployed/3946234-5466820-view-asAMP-lhdwjwz/index.html?attrs=0&order=1&__twitter_impression=true